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jay87shot

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Everything posted by jay87shot

  1. I know in my heart that this is likely going to be true but am going to keep dreaming of that Gimenez style deal. In reality, a near .300 hitter with a borderline 20/30 year and glove glove defense, who is only getting better is going to get big bank in free agency. Maybe he would be a Yelich style extension candidate in like 2 years with Yeli close to done and Made possibly ready for a Chourio style deal.
  2. Love the Yoho and Gasser statement, it feels like Fedde and Payamps (maybe Rob Z even) don't have much future with the club and this point of the year would be a perfect time to get a better look at the 2 young arms. Especially since both have some upside to be useful in a playoff series where I can't see Fedde or Payamps being more than soaking up a innings in a blowout. Yesterday would have been a great game to get both guys some meaningful work had they been on the big league club.
  3. Is it time to think about switching Pratt to 3B or with Made moving up so quick do we just trade Pratt to sidestep an issue. I don't have an issue with Made playing 2B the rest of the week but he would seem to have the best path to the bigs and maximum value at SS (unless Turang moves to SS, not against). Pratt defensively is better but Made's bat probably will force the organization to figure out the IF configuration future sooner than later.
  4. https://www.mlb.com/news/2025-arizona-fall-league-rosters Full list as far as I can tell P=Broca, Anthony Flores, Fowler, Jimenez, Wichrowski Bats=Dinges, Josh A, Adams I am pretty happy with this list, it would have been nice to maybe get another bat maybe an OF in there. Maybe Adams or Josh A. could get some reps in the OF to better diversify there defensive potentials.
  5. I hope not, I don't disagree with any off your points. You can add in that attendance is relatively the same (24=31,323 25=32,111) despite the added excitement towards the team. I would think that with us losing salary from Rhys, Cortes, and Q (we actually owe Woody more next year than this year because of a $10 miliion dollar buyout of a mutual option) will be offset by arbitration raises for the most part. With Chourio and Ashby getting a little more money on their deals as well. I haven't done any math but was guessing there isn't much wriggle room to go down without trading Peralta and/or William (among others).
  6. I am sure it comes down to how much they project payroll in say 2028 or 2029. With Yeli thru 28 and Chourio longer we can probably only extend 1 or 2 morr unless payroll boons.
  7. Is there anyone in the mold of Cody Bellinger that could be a Bauers type upgrade that would pair with Vaughn and be a 4th/5th OF'er? Luis Arraez has some utility but no OF help, unless Turang goes to SS, I don't think that works. Any ideas, I guess Bauers back would be passible but I think there could be an upgrade. Ryan O'Hearn would be a better bat but defensively isn't great. I can't think of any cheaper great trade options.
  8. I know it has been brought up but Gimenez is an easy comp., being older I would just add in a couple different options. Do something like 4/54 5,10,15,24 with a 2 year team option for 2030-31 24 each. That comes to 6/102 and Turang could be a free agent at 32 having made $100 million. I like the same idea for Sal at a bit lower price 4/ 4,7, 12, 14 with a 2/32 million team option for a 6/67 extension. Priester, Henderson, and Misi could all be extension candidates if we could get Freddy/Ashby style deals (bigger for Misi and Preister more expensive). Uribe and Koenig could be interesting bullpen arms for saving long term money as well.
  9. That Meccage clip is nioce, an explosive 95 mph and the breaking pitches are really crisp and nasty. Give him, Knoth, Letson, ManRod, Melvin, Dorchies, Dubs, Renz, Tobias, Bjorn, and some of the new draftees a couple years and I guarantee like 4 of those guys will be top 100 prospects.
  10. What is up with Fischer at 8 SB in 15 games, is he a lot faster than scouts gave him credit for or is it a case of pitchers not respecting him and he is being opportunistic. If he can even be a 50 grade runner that greatly improves his prospect status (40 grade on mlb.com).
  11. I like Game 1 Freddy, Game 2 Woody (if he recovers some), Game 3 Priester, Game 4 planned bullpen game 1-3 innings Misi (out at 1st struggles), 2-5 Quintana, bullpen as needed. If we start Misi I would cap it. I wouldn't be opposed to bringing him in as a reliever in a big spot if we were down a run or two, I probably wouldn't risk it if we were ahead.
  12. I think it kind of depends on what the offers are for Freddy, if someone gives us a mlb ready top 50/75 high potential arm (and more), I would still probably trade Freddy if it is a Burnes like deal quantity over quality I would likely pass and just take the pick at the end of the year. Where are we on 1st base next year? I am still likely on the bring Vaughn back for a year side of things, however if continues the rest of the way like he has hit the last couple weeks, I would be worried about keeping him. Burke and Adams (Wilken) are still a 1/2 season away from being ready and EMJ hasn't taken off like a bunch of us thought at the beginning of the year (or Black). Long term, I love the idea of Burke and Adams platooning 1st maybe Adams can learn to play a little OF (I think he is done with 3B) since we will have Yeli at DH for the foreseeable future.
  13. At this point, Gasser, Henderson, and Quero are the only guys likely to graduate next year (Black/CarRod/EMJ not on most lists). Obviously the some of the talent in AA will have a chance at some point to be in the bigs next years. Add in all the HS talent from the last 3 drafts and likely a few nice int. signings and next year could be one of the most insane minor league systems.
  14. Jesus Made Has proved to be legit in A+, could a last week of the season AA peek be in store if he keeps it up ala Chourio.Luis Pena I am not worried by the slow start in Appleton, 1 good week and his stat line will be back.Cooper Pratt I had him trending towards like 5 but 2 strong weeks plus have restored my top 50 overall prospect.Jeferson Quero He has really blasted some high exit velo hits the past couple weeks, it looks like the bat is as good as ever. It's really going to be hard not to have him be William's backup next year. Maybe you can keep him down a month just to gain the extra year of control.Logan Henderson The injury stinks but he would probably be on a pretty strict innings pitch limit anyway. He has proven more than enough to get a rotation spot next year.Luke Adams It would be nice to see him back this year however the upside is real and proven at this point. The in game power had started to come through and his elite on base skills haven't diminished as he has climbed.Luis Lara It is time to give Lara some credit, at 20 in AA he is just to good not to be in the top 10, elite speed and defense with an improving bat. Braylon Payne I gave him the nod over Dinges and Fischer based on age here, he has shown enough to validate the 1st round selection but as expected getting some consistency will be the next big step.Marco Dinges Dinges has been ok since coming off the injury list, hopefully he can get back to mashing.Andrew Fischer I don't know what to think of Fischer's debut so far, he is stealing some bases which I wouldn't have guessed however to bat isn't explosive yet.Bishop Letson It is good to see him back off the injured list and pitching well, it would be nice to see him healthy the rest of the way.Blake Burke It is hard to ignore how good he has been in AA, if he can stay hot the rest of the way he could be an option for some top 100 lists. I wanted to move him up even more but maybe need another week or 2.Josh Adamczewski If he can stay healthy another guy who could make a big jump in the rankings by the end of the year.Brock Wilken The beginning of the season is enough for him to hold in this range while injured. It's stinks he and Adams aren't healthy to get some AAA run this year and possibly be an option for the club at the beginning of next year. Brady Ebel Just being in A ball shows how much the club believes in him, he had some hits this weekend to prove he isn't overmatched.Robert Gasser Gasser has looked strong, he should provide some valueable innings for the big league club soon, maybe taking a role like DL Hall has had.Eric Bitonti I have dropped him the most in my ranking since last month (I think had like 7th/8th), with his streakiness he could rocket up quickly. It's easy to forget he is still 19 and with his big frame consistency may take some more time. Ethan Dorchies His strikeout numbers put him a bit ahead of the other young HS pitchers from 2024. I have Dubaniwicz a bit lower but the 2 man wrecking crew is hard to beat.JD Thompson I would be nice to see him for a few outings this year, I am interested to see what the club does with his stuff. It sounds like the fastball/change are plus but the breaking pitcher need some work to get to the next level.Craig Yoho It's hard to ignore a 0.88 era in AAA, I would like to see him get another chance in the bigs. I still think he is a huge bullpen piece for us for a long time, 21-30 Kuehner, Hardin, Meccage, Dubanewicz, Crow, Wichrowski, Melvin Henandez, Manny Rodriguez, Cairone, Knoth All pitchers who have shown the ability to be big time guys if they can just harness small improvements to stuff, control, or injuries. For me this part of our system is what makes our minor league organization better than anyone else's. 31-40 Boeve, DeBerry, Dickinson, Antunez, Fenelon, Morrison, CarRod, Black, Hunt, Anderson I haven't given up on CarRod or Black however they do need to have a nice end of the season to continue to ensure 40 man roster spots. 41-50 Di Turri, Encarnacion, Woodward, Bjorn Johnson, Birchard, Renz, Tobias, Flores, Matt Wood, CJ Hughes
  15. I think it will be interesting to see how payroll shakes out for next year. We will owe Yeli, Freddy, Chourio, and Ashby around 47 million and likely 16.5 in buyouts for Woody, Rhys, Q, and Jansen. I don't think our arbitration numbers will be huge after maybe Contrares and with the success of the team the payroll should go up some. We have a pretty solid roster for next year already on paper, it would be nice to add 1 big name (or keep a guy like Woody) instead of adding a bunch of lower price depth options. What would we think of taking a flier on a guy like Shane Bieber if Woody can't be re-signed. He had 1 nice start and could be a high end starter on a contract like Matthew Boyd signed this offseason. Bieber and Woody have pretty similar careers but since Bieber will only 6 or so starts in I doubt he will require the same commitment as Woody. Bieber is also 2 years younger than Woody
  16. I'd like to see Luke Adams, Payne, and Josh A.. Dinges and Quero wouldnt be bad but with the wear and tear of catching just getting either to an offseason program might be better. I think Mike Boeve might be a good option kind of in a similar boat to Wilken last year. Letson would be a good idea since they don't over work guys. There aren't as many obvious arms.
  17. I don't mind the Fedde signing at all. He was really really good last year. He had a 5.6 WAR. Now clearly he isn't the same but if anyone can make a few quick adjustments to a pitcher it is our staff. I would say he looked ok today but give our staff a couple weeks and I bet you he can be like Quintana the rest of the way. I am not to worried about Megill, I get this isn't a nothing injury but if he can get back even a week before the end of the year I think that is fine. Abner has been so good and the overall depth is so good that we will be fine.
  18. With the injuries to Adams and Wilken is there a chance Burke could get a week or two in AAA at the end of the year. Vaughn has been great but having a lefty option close to ready would be big for next year. I said this when we drafted him, but he and Nick Kurtz are really similar and Kurtz has been amazing for the A's.
  19. I would wait, Mone and Turang can fill in for a week or two, if that creates a snowball effect then maybe in a couple weeks I'd entertain the Pratt idea. He has been better the past couple weeks but I don't think that is enough to warrant a move to the show.
  20. I feel like he had a very similar year last year, a good first month or so, struggled with consistency for 50 games or so and figured it out the last couple months. I have been envisioning him as a slightly more athletic JJ Hardy when developed. With his size the Brice Turang comp is good but I think when/if he adds a little bulk he will be more like a version of Corey Seager.
  21. The problem is who do you move down out of the top 10-15-20 for him. There have only been a few top prospects who haven't performed well (or injuries have moved them down). I would guess Kuehner is a top 10 prospect in like 10 other organizations but for us I have him borderline top 20 still. The same can be said for guys like Melvin Hernandez and Manny Rodriguez, both have been amazing as teenagers but are both borderline top 30 guys because our system is so deep (velocity is a reason as well).
  22. Wow, those stats are wild especially when it is an 11 week stretch that everyone is doing that for.
  23. Rhys would at least be a good bench bat when rosters expand and he has playoff experience so it would be nice to get his leadership up. I get that with Vaughn playing so well he really isn't needed.
  24. The article I read basically said a few player weren't happy that he takes to many days off around the all-star break. That is definitely concerning, but depending on the specifics not a deal breaker (he has had some injuries). I wouldn't really want to wreck the clubhouse but the bat (defense as well) is great would be really tempting. If we do make a move I would go for a star like Marte or Jose Ramirez (I know not available). I get that we would likely have to give up Made or Pena for him but there could be some work arounds. Idea 1= Dbacks get Freddy, Joey, Henderson, Wilken The D-backs would get much needed pitching in Freddy and Logan Henderson with a couple young bats going back. Idea 2= D-backs get Joe Ryan, Chad Patrick, Twins get Cooper Pratt and Jeferson Quero, Tate Kuehner Similar to the 1st deal the D-backs get pitching, the Twins get 2 high end prospects plus more for Ryan and we a star bat with out giving up Made or Pena. I still don't know if I would really do either of those deals because I don't think we need a big bat but maybe come the playoffs my mind will change.
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