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jay87shot

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Everything posted by jay87shot

  1. jay87shot
    I am on board with running it back with Collins, Chourio, and Sal as our main 3 starters. I would love to trade Perkins for whatever prospect we can get and have Mitchell, Lockridge, and Yeli as OF depth with Black and/or Bauers as emergency (with some minor league AAA free agents). It would be great to get a CF upgrade but it doesn't seem like there are great options for that.
  2. jay87shot
    I think Vaughn should have a really nice year, I doubt we get .308/.375/.869 but it think .275/.350/.800 with 20-25 HR and 85-90 rbi's is realistic. That should provide enough to be stabile and I really like the idea of Blake Burke and Luke Adams platooning 1B and eventually DH'ing when Yeli is gone (28?)
  3. jay87shot
    It is crazy it has been 12 years since we fully developed a solid high school arm (I had to look it up) and a bullpen one at that. I really like the way we have done it, the likelihood hitting on 5 lower level arms that still have good upside vs. 1 or 2 higher level arms seems better to me. Especially with the likelihood of injuries through the minors. To be honest, I wouldn't mind seeing us take more HS arms in the 4-10 range if they find guys that they like and know will sign at say 750k.
  4. jay87shot
    I would think that if Luis Severino got 3/67 last year that is almost a guarantee on what Woody should get at minimum. Severino through a bit harder but Woody has a better track record and overall better track record. Obviously a team will do extensive mdeical checks but if he is truly 100% healthy a starter of his caliber should get around $25 million. Especially if he gains a mph or two back being farther removed from surgery and having a full offseason to work on what he needs to. I would love for him to just accept the QO and force Mark A. to cough up a little extra out of his pocket this year. Do player options count toward the total of the $50 million threshold. My guess would be that team options would (just buyouts/guarenteed money) and that a player option should.
  5. jay87shot
    We haven't talked about CJ Abrams recently, he is probably the only higher upside SS (maybe 2B) that would be available on the market. I will admit he isn't my favorite player but the talent is high enough to be a big upgrade potentially. We would probably have to give up Pratt/Henderson (top 100), Letson/Adams/Payne/Fischer/Dinges (near top 100), and Ortiz (SS replacement) and maybe a smaller 4th piece and that is if there isn't a bidding war. I wouldn't be completely against that because I think Abrams has some upside still if he can go to a better org.. However I think he doesn't play good enough defense or walk enough to fully fit our team structure and player mold. I wouldn't be against getting him for a year and even trading him next offseason if the price was right and Made/Pratt look ready.
  6. jay87shot
    In my opinion, I think Durbin and Collins have a little more potential just by maintaining consistency. However I doubt either evers hits 20HR. If they could get 35ish 2B's in a year that would be the best way to take the next step. I do like the idea of getting a high end OF'er and then moving Collins to 2B and Turang to SS. Ortiz would make a good potential utility IF with 2 lefties. I was a bit lower on Patrick but he really proved something to me in the playoffs. There are some Woody vibes (not the same stuff) but I can see him have some low 3 era seasons with 180-200 innings and 200 ks.
  7. jay87shot
    How would you evaluate the potential of Chad Patrick, Issac Collins, and Caleb Durbin???? I think if I asked about Misi and Henderson it would be pretty unanimous that Misi has ace potential and Henderson has potential to be a Freddy Peralta style starter. However Collins and Patrick weren't really even top 30 prospect and Durbin really wasn't until last year's AFL. I guess my question is can these 3 take another step forward? If you take Durbin and Collins bad month out (Durbin's first and Collins last) both were well above average hitters with 15 HR potential over 500 abs and 20-30 sb. Add in solid to plus defense and the upside is pretty tantalizing. However both could be due for some regression just based on prospect status and not necessarily strong avg. velo. If they improve like you would expect most rookie does anyone think 20/30 seasons with like 5 WAR are possible. With Patrick I was really impressed with him all season, even when unfairly demoted to AAA because of the overcrowded roster and he had options. He did average over a k an inning and showed some extra gas in the playoffs out of the pen. Is he someone who can get to the low 3s era wise or does he become more of an Adriam Houser type which was probably what most of us thought of him as a prospect?
  8. jay87shot
    Yes, for sure but if you are looking to upgrade the offense 2B/SS and OF are really the only great options and there are more high OF options available. In my opininion if we could get a quality OF'er it wouldnt be that hard to sell high on Isaac Collins. CJ Abrams is probably the only high end MI and will cost a ton.
  9. jay87shot
    Yes
  10. jay87shot
    3 team ideas Brewers get Duran Red Sox get McKenzie Gore Nats get Ashby, Collins, Red Sox lower level prospect, Brewers lower level prospect. We would get a big OF upgrade without giving up Freddy, there is some downside in giving up Ashby but we can overcome that likely. You could do the same package but swap in Joe Ryan for Gore, you could also swap Henderson for Ashby if preferred. Maybe this could be Sandy Alcantara to Boston as well with Miami wanting a slightly different mix of players Brewers get Edward Cabrera Marlins get DL Hall and 2 Padres prospects Padres get Megill I have said that if the team does end up trading Freddy that I would love to try and get Edward Cabrera as a cheaper top of the rotation potential arm that could help Misi, Priester, and the rest up top. I think this could be a potential steal if the Padres have anything left to trade.
  11. jay87shot
    I wonder how far down the road the front office looks when thinking about moves. I really doubt that there is much if any moves this offseason 1 big move would be nice in my opinion. However next offseason could see mass changes. 2027 offseason moves decisions Free Agents=Vaughn, Peralta 1 year left= Contreras, Megill Add in solid raises to guys who will be hitting arbitration for the 1st time, our top prospects will be close (likely pushing out Ortiz), and the unknown of the collective bargaining. I could see a bunch of potential smaller moves set to position us for next offseason. I would think a potential Megill or Peralta trade being the most talked about but maybe an odd ball move that at first doesn't make sense but will in the long run (no ideas as of now)
  12. jay87shot
    Duran had a 4.7 WAR, it was down from his monster 2024 (8.7 WAR) but I wouldnt called it a down year. I agree Duran could be the odd man out or at least the best piece they have to add pitching or MI help.
  13. jay87shot
    It will be interesting to see how the pitcher market shakes out. There are quite a few free agent options and potential trade options. I would think there would need to be a bidding war on Freddy for the price to get where we would move him. Duran would be a perfect LF for our team. I wonder if there would be a deal for Duran that would not include Freddy.
  14. jay87shot
    I doubt he hits more than 15 HR but from an offensive standpoint point I don't think hitting 35 2B or so isn't crazy. .300/.380/.800 would be an amazing year but probably around his peak.
  15. jay87shot
    Would I be safe to assume O'Rae starts in AA and plays mostly OF with some 2B sprinkled in. He doesn't turn 22 until Februray so there is still plenty of time to put together a good 2026 and rocket back up the organizational depth chart and prospect rankings. He had an advanced eye and speed to burn if he is hitting balls in the 100mph range he could be looking a lot like Luis Lara (a couple years older).
  16. jay87shot
    I doubt the Pirates would give him away for the price I would want to pay (like 2 prospects in the 20-30 range max). The Pirates offense stinks and Cruz is one of the only guys with any potential and he is still cheap. I wouldnt mind even trying Cruz at 1B (athletic and 6'7") and make him a utility style player with LF, 3B, and 1B. However I can't see the trade value or in division trade working. I wouldnt mind taking the risk and have him play with good leaders and a manager who will get him closer to his max potential (like we saw with Vaughn).
  17. jay87shot
    From a talent standpoint point, yes Quero should be the backup. However if we wait like 2-3 weeks we would gain an extra year of control so my guess is he will start in AAA. The other issue is that Contreras doesn't take days of so from a development standpoint he will only get like 100-150 abs. Unless we expect Yeli to start playing a bunch more in left (which I dont). My guess is he starts the 1st month in AAA then spends a like a month or so in the bigs. Somewhere in the middle of the year he spends a month in AAA to get some AB's and finishes the year in the bigs.
  18. jay87shot
    I 100% endorse this article, Hernandez was exceptional. If he threw harder he would be one of the fastest risers in the minors. I doubt there have been many better seasons in the minors from an 18 year old in the past 20 years.
  19. jay87shot
    What level or quality of baseball would some of the foriegn winter league be equivalent to??? AAA. If know the AFL is kind of in the AA realm. I guess that is a tricky question because you get some mlb players, some minor league guys, and a bunch of non mlb players.
  20. jay87shot
    If I was Stearns I wouldn't trade McLean or Tong for a year of Freddy. However my guess would be that if the Mets were to trade for him they could/would extend him right away which would make trading one of the young pitchers more plausible. I agree with you on Sproat being not to the level of the other 2, he just has more variables than the other 2, there is some good upside but he could bomb a lot easier.
  21. jay87shot
    The past 2 games should be super encouraging. Losing to Cleveland on the road by 5 with no one other than Giannis playing really well is a decent start but the win last night against a strong Knicks team is great. I feel pretty confident saying we should be a top 5 team in the east at this point. I would really like to see the scoring/ball go through the point guards more than Bobby when Giannis is out. The 2 games I have watched it just seems like when Giannis is off the court Bobby tries to take over and there is no ball movement or plan. I think that when Kevin Porter is back this is where he could help the team the most
  22. jay87shot
    Josh A. .273/.396/.636 4 HR 9/12 bb/k 2sb (44 ab's) Adams .317/.455/.537 2 HR 10/11 BB/K 2SB (41 AB'S) O'Rae .321/.387/.429 (3 2B) 3/9 bb/k 4sb (28 ab's) Flores 3.38 era 5.1 innings 4/7 bb/k Fowler 0 era 5 innings 3/7 bb/k Broca 0 era 4.2 innings 3/7 bb/k Peterson 1.93 era 4.2 innings 2/3 bb/k Jimenez 4.5 era 4 innings 1/3 bb/k Pretty solid AFL so far except for Dinges missing the past couple weeks.
  23. jay87shot
    Mauricio missed basically all of 2024 with an injury (torn acl) so that set him back a bunch. He started in the minors last year rehabbing and played well and moved to the majors. The Mets have a loaded IF (Lindor, Baty, Vientos, Acuna, McNeil) so there wasn't a ton of playing time. I would invision him as an ultimate utility guy who maybe platoons somewhere as well. Most of his PT was at 3B last year when Vientos was hurt but he can play all infield spots and I feel like at some point he was working in the OF (no mlb OF experience). But switch hitters who could be 20/20 or better with the positional versatility he has are pretty hard to come by. Also he seems like a high energy player who would mesh well with our clubhouse. Mauricio has been one of my most targeted players to hope to acquire for a while.
  24. jay87shot
    I would say Crow is a super safe bet to be kept. I wouldn't think anyone else would be picked in the rule 5 so keeping them should be easier. I wouldn't want to lose EMJ but if I was his agent I would look to move elsewhere, our 1B depth is to good and a bunch of organizations could give him a big league chance at some point next year.
  25. jay87shot
    I am sure there is lots of potential reasons, like age issues, some players could have a hard time getting visas and other international issues I would assume. I would guess last year there was probably a little fallout when the Dodgers signed Roki and pacts that the Dodgers may have made a couple years ago fell apart and then teams scramble to sign the Dodgers players and possible go back on deals they already have in place.
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