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jay87shot

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Everything posted by jay87shot

  1. It does say worst case. I could see us trading William maybe next offseason (agreed extremely unlikely at deadline) if Quero looks really good in AAA and gets some decent mlb experience. Also we would likely get like 3 top 100 prospects and more for him.
  2. I didn't listen/read all of the Mark A interview but I do worry that Attenasio is struggling to keep up as the other owners have much deeper pockets. Overall, I like Mark and remember what it was like growing up with the Selig's. I think his heart is generally in the right place but I do think that he runs the team as a straight business and doesn't really gamble with the books. Being the smallest market I get the idea of needing to build a contender as cheaply as possible but I do think needs to be a point where Mark A needs to says, we need player A to give this team a chance at a championship, even though I need to go $10 million over budget lets do it. I think the year we got Sabathia was the only year I can say he possibly did that and that was like 17 years between playoffs or something.
  3. Best=William top 3 in MVP, gets to DH 1-2 times a week, Haase is solid. Quero is amazing in AAA but not needed in the bigs until September callup. Dinges and Corobo show really high upside potential and become top 20 prospects in the system. Worse= I can't see Contreras struggling to much so injuries really are the worst scenario I see. Maybe the team isn't great we trade Contreras at the deadline for a huge haul and then Quero gets hurt. I don't like even typing that.
  4. I agree, I am all for giving Black a chance I just kind of thought he would get 1B reps and then some DH when Yeli is in the OF, and likely some OF time. I don't mind giving him a shot to claim the position, I like him for 3rd better than the other options but everything I've read makes it seem like he will be like Ryan Braun was as a rookie defensively. The lineup will look very nice though if he can hit like we think he will and the other young guys make some improvements. Turang, Contreras/Chourio, Yeli, Contreras/Chourio, Mitchell, Rhys, Black, Ortiz, Sal I think that lineup has the potential to be awesome with all the guys with .340+ obps (maybe .350)
  5. I would think next offseason would be the time. He will get us a comp pick so my guess is that next offseason we should get more than Devin but less than Burnes. I would think maybe like an Ortiz and Comp pick value would be good with me. If for some reason we are looking to trade him at the deadline we should get 3 solid pieces.
  6. I'll go Juan Ortuno, Adamzewski , and Eric Brown Jr. for bats. Orunto is the guy that really get overlooked with the amazing DSL group because his tools aren't as loud. .344/.464/.481 more bb than k's puts him right with Made and Pena but because he is 5'8" and sign for a lot less he doesn't get mentioned. I doubt he starts in Biloxi but I would think 100 good ab's in rookie league could get him a promotion. Josh A has been talked about so I won't say much. Eric Brown, ok he had a nightmare year but he is just to good of an athlete to just disappear. Hopefully this is a Trent Grisham 2019 style year where they team let's his funky swing just be what it is and he gets out of his head. With how bad the year was he did only strikeout 83 times in 441 ab's. I have more faith in EBJ than Hebert or Eduardo Garcia. For pitchers I will go Manny Rodriguez, Jason Woodward, Quinten Low Manny Rodriguez has gotten some bottom of the top 30 love which is really a testament to how strong our system is. He was only 18 and had a 77/10 k/bb ratio in 94 innings. He showed the qualities that you can teach with some really gritty performances. He is kind of in the same boat as Ortuno were he doesn't have loud tools but at 6'2 175 he can add up to 5+ mph on his heater by the time he gets to the bigs. If he goes an affiliate a year he will be in the bigs around 22 throwing 93-95 with a solid pitcher mix and that bulldog approach and control. Woodward was up to 98 last year if I'm not mistaken. The problem is that he has thrown 40ish innings in 3 years. I envision a Brett Wichrowski style year for him, great first 4/5 starts that turns some heads. Probably a pretty early promotion to AA and then he holds his own. I don't know where Quinton Low is in recovery but if he is ready to go I think there is a lights out reliever in there. If he recovers fully and then gets a bump in mph from the surgery and/or switching to relief I think there is 100 mph easy. Trying to be a 2 way player (more pitching) and starting he was throwing up to 98 if I remember correctly in 2023. He is still only 22.
  7. Love this, he can be the 5th OF until Perk is back. He can play 1st, DH, and maybe best of all is a perfect pinch hitter late in the game if a lefty is slumping. He could even play an odd game at 3rd, probably not more than an emergency situation. He also provides a strong vet presence and like we saw at the end of 2023 every at bat was a battle.
  8. Hope to see a ton of that Yoho sequence for year to come. Filthy change over the plate, heater up in the zone, not even close change the batter can't help but swing at. Devin 2.0 style but maybe with better command?
  9. Hopefully there are a couple arms that turn out like Hunt/Yoho/Letson/Wichrowski/Kuehner/Manfredi/even Woodward, Robinson, and Birchard had some signs of upside in limited time. Hopefully some of the extra HS arms we got for show some good result in rookie ball and the college guys can advance quickly.
  10. I like the Steven Kwan angle, Sal has always reminded me of a smaller Johnny Damon. Hopefully the weight he added this offseason adds some power. I don't need Sal to hit HR's but with his speed he should be at like 40 combined 2B and 3B which a little more launch angle should help and he needs to take a few more walks. If he can get his OBP up over .350 and closer to .375 I think we will get the version of Sal I envisioned as a prospect. Have we heard if he is taking any reps at 3B or 2B? I haven't heard a lot from camp so far.
  11. I do think that the beginning of last year showed we moved Chourio a bit fast. I like the idea of A balls this year, AA/AAA next and start 2027 in the bigs at 19 an that is if he is hitting like .300 every level and showing defense chops.
  12. What is more likely Turang or Sal hitting .300 HR with 12+HR, Freddy (or other starter) being top 5 cy young, or one of Chourio/Contreras/Yeli be top 3 mvp? I could see any of those happening and wouldn't be to surprised but that is what I would call our dominating chances.
  13. There is nothing wrong with hitting .260-.280, my point is that if he hits in that range (which I expect he will) that it really doesn't make doing the extension next offseason much different. Now if he hits over .280 I would think an extension will be more costly for us next year and if he hits poorly maybe we just wait.
  14. I wouldnt be against a contract like Aaron Ashby's. His defense and base running give him a pretty high floor. However, I agree with the last couple posts, no reason to do it this year. I doubt Turang goes nuclear, if he hits like .260-.280 I wouldnt think there is much change in an extension next offseason. Also with the amount of young guys it is better to wait. We wouldn't want to extend Brice and Joey say and they level out and that costs us someone else bigger down the line.
  15. I think we have a bunch of overlooked bullpen options that can easily be overlooked and be "dominant". Look at how good Bryan Hudson and Jared Koenig were last year, I don't think they get much credit for how good they were. I wouldn't be to surprised to see another scrap heap style addition turn out like those guys or Megill. After what we saw from Ashby at the end of last year I think he could be like Josh Hader early in his career before closing. I think 2 of Sal, Turang, Ortiz, and Mitchell will really break out and be close to .300 hitters (maybe just healthy for Mitchell). We saw it from Turang for about 1/2 year and he was a near 5 WAR player and we've seen stretches from the others.
  16. Cmon now, Knoth really. Hopefully having it a month and a half ago makes him ready for early 2026. Heck maybe it tightens everything up, he gets the rest of his body ahead of schedule and he can add a few mph. Losing Gardner stinks I kind of had him lined up as one of the better AAA relievers. With losing Shane Smith (possibly could be returned) it hasn't been a great offseason for our minor league relief. I like some of the depth moves that are likely AAA pitchers but not really as much as Smith or Gardner.
  17. We haven't mentioned any of the Rangers IF depth for a while as trade options. There bullpen is pretty rough looking and they have Josh Smith, Ezekiel Duran, and Justin Foscue as extra IF'ers. I also like Casey Schmitt as a cheaper blocked 3B option. The is a little more power and higher end defense upside. I've mentioned the Ray's IF depth enough. The O's don't have the depth the once did but Mateo or Urias could make sense. The Mets with Acuna and Mauricio (maybe McNeil) could be interesting. Maybe the Twins as well.
  18. If Durbin does look the part in camp I would be all for Turang at ss and Ortiz at 3B. I do prefer Ortiz at ss and Turang at 2B just because turang was just so good defensively. I will say Ortiz was a gold glove 3B after the first 40 games or so. Another reason I would have the group of utility guys fight over 3B is that we have better prospects like Boeve close who will be 3B where we have no 2B prospects. What about leaving Turang and Ortiz at 2B and 3B? Are there any SS options that are blocked and ready to trade for? Even someone to hold the spot for a year for Pratt.
  19. At this point I am fine with some form of a Dunn and Durbin/Monesario platoon at 3rd. Dunn did show the tools to be a good 3rd baseman in the time we saw him last year. There is power and speed and he was a decent fielder. Consistency and lack of walks was a major problem but in the minors it was a strength so I do really like the upside of Dunn the most out of our options. In reality Spring Training should sort out 3B, give Dunn, Durbin, Mone, and Sal (maybe Collins) as much 3B work as possible and there should be a decent option. If the all stink we can overpay a bit for someone like Baty or Mead who likely will be blocked.
  20. 1st=CB Benjamin Morrison I think CB is our biggest need and there should be a couple great options at 23. For now I like Morrison based on size and tape. 2nd= OL Grey Zabel The versatility and and amazing Senior Bowl might end up making him a 1st rounder but I will hope for 2nd at this point. 3rd=WR Tai Felton WR from Maryland have been underrated, Felton had a great year and if he shows decent athleticism has high potential. 4th=NT Nazir Stackhouse With Slaton potentially gone to FA a replacement run stopper would be nice. Guty seems to draft a Georgia defender or two every year. 5th=LB Danny Stutsman He always seemed to be around the ball at OKL, this could help if we loses McDuffie or just long term if we don't pick up Walker's option year. 6th=CB Zah Frazier I am not going to pretend to know the later round CB well at this point, Frazier seems to be rising so he might be long gone but he looks the part of a big projectable CB. 7th=TE CJ Dippre With Musgraves injuries it would be nice to have a little TE depth, Dippre should be a solid practice teamer who can be ready to play as a rookie if needed. 7th DE= Ahmed Hassanien 22 sacks at Boise the past 2 years and I haven't seen him ranked in the top 200 anywhere. At 6'3" 277, this might be my sleeper of the draft right now, I would take him as high as the 4th. A lot will depend on workouts.
  21. If he isn't to expensive I would take Iglesias in a heart beat. However my guess is that his camp is trying to secure a multi year deal. Jorge Polanco got 1/7+ so my guess is Iglesias should get like 2/20 or 1/11-12. Iglesias did hit .331/.381/.448 for a 3.1 WAR with average defense at 2b and 3B (only a couple SS games) in half a year.
  22. Agree, now how long until someone else figures it out and gives Hook and Co. a manager/ton of money to be pitching coach is questionable. I will say our farm system is so deep with solid arms that we should be able to replenish the loses well for the next 3-4 years no problem.
  23. Great point, I don't have a problem with this in the least.
  24. Mlbtraderumors put out an article proposing that we are looking for SP depth. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/02/looking-at-the-brewers-rotation-depth-options.html They do recognize our depth, noting Elvin Rodriguez could be an option which I hadn't really thought about. With it looking more likely that Woody won't be ready to start the year and Gasser maybe missing most of the year instead of 1/2, I agree. It is getting close to the point where guys like Lorenzen and Clevinger signed really cheap deals 1/3. I would prefer to keep Ashby and Hall in multi innings roles and be able to move them into the rotation (better for confidence). Guys like Patrick, CarRod, Elvin Rodriguez, Misi, or Henderson could earn a rotation spot. But here are some guys that could be had cheaper that I would be happy to get. I think Pivetta, Quintana, and Heaney still get decent deals in the next couple weeks that won't count as deeply discounted. Kershaw to the Dodgers seems like a lock. Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson, not my favorite but the experience is there. Cal Quantrill and Chris Flexen, were decent in less than ideal situations and could be decent. Mike Clevinger and Spencer Turnbull, I don't know where he is coming back from injury but maybe a minor league contract. Jacob Junis, Drew Smyly, and Ryan Yarbrough, have been multi-inning relief guys but have been solid and could piggyback or be stretched out. Kyle Finnegan, I doubt there is time to convert him to the rotation but he has the arm and a 3 pitch mix that could do it. Easy to transition to bullpen if it doesn't work.
  25. I can see calling Baty a lotto ticket, it was only 2 years ago he was the #21 overall prospect with above average tools across the board except speed. He wasn't good in the bigs in 2023 but was pushed through the minors a bit fast only 32 AAA games, 4 games low A. He did put up a 0.3 WAR in 50 games last year which isn't great but with more consistent playing time something to build on. He isn't your traditional lotto prospect but I would say he has like a 40% chance of being a dud, 40% chance of being a bench player/platoon option, and 20% chance of fulfilling his potential and being a Alec Bohm or better style 3B. I would be fine adding him if the price is like Peguero or Payamps maybe add in Collins or someone comparable. He could hit .250 with average defense and 15+ HR, I would be happy with that for this year at 3B.
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