Brewcrew82
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Everything posted by Brewcrew82
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Geez. McCutchen's already put up more than half of his bWAR total from last year in 21 games....
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This is a bit of an exaggeration. Rich Hill is pitching no different than the slightly above replacement level pitcher he's been over the past few years. Contreras is the same as last year, intriguing stuff but still walking way too many and not striking out what his stuff would indicate. Oviedo and Keller have taken steps forward, but still no better than mid-rotation pitchers. Then, on the position player side, you have Reynolds who is a true star, but otherwise you have a bunch of veterans and lower pedigree young position players playing out of their minds. For instance, McCutchen has suddenly started hitting like it's 2014, and Connor freaking Joe has a wRC+ approaching 200... Better than the past couple of years, when they were really bad? Sure. But an up and coming team? It remains to be seen.
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@Brock Beauchamp, I feel like you're borderline permitting propaganda here. "Spot starter"? Suter hasn't started a game for several years...
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- brent suter
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Not ideal obviously, but Mitchell was due for big-time regression with his K% and GB%. Just means it’s Frelick szn (when he gets of the IL obvi).
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I don’t know if they’re playoffs good but they’re definitely better than last year. On the other hand, the Dodgers are a lot worse than they were last year and are a great candidate to miss the playoffs of last year’s playoff teams.
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Interesting. There's little precedent for that in MLB. Maybe the St. Paul Saints and the Twins?
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The minor league team would almost certainly get relocated.
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If that happens, they should purchase the Sounds and move them to Madison.
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Garrett Mitchell showing why his prospect stature is a little lower than Chourio, Frelick, and Wiemer's...high K%/GB% combo and always injured... Too bad about Frelick's thumb. That combined with the 40 man spot probably did the trick. Depending on how severe Mitchell's shoulder sublaxation is he could still end up as the starting CF in relatively short order.
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This is pretty clearly going to be an IL stint. Can be very serious depending on severity. Fernando Tatis Jr. had it in 2021 and only missed about 10 days, but ended up requiring surgery after the season. Brian Anderson had it in 2021 and missed a significant amount of time on the 60-day IL, also requiring surgery. If it's more on the short-term side like Tatis, you could see Perkins. However, if it's much longer than that, I think you're going to see Frelick as the new starting CF in place of Mitchell...
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Honestly, I think Corbin is going to make his next start. Not really what I would do, but with the way CC and Corbin talked about it last night (“cramp”, “tightness”) I think that’s where we’re headed.
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Mitch Keller from the Pirates is someone we should target imo. Former top 20 prospect with a few of years of control left who has put up middling numbers despite his high-level stuff. Sounds like a familiar story (Cole, Musgrove, Taillon)... Would be a nice back of the rotation addition at the very least with the potential for more if our pitcher development system is able to work its magic once again. Also, would add another option for next season, when we'll presumably be without Burnes.
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- brandon woodruff
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Honestly, I’d be fine with trading any of our prospects not named Chourio or Misiorowski for a starter. Garrett Mitchell, in particular, would be a great sell-high candidate…
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Cards have to finish below .500 at some point right? I don't think it's particularly likely just due to how good Goldschmidt, Arenado, and Walker are, but a guy can dream, right? Main thing is that they don't appear to be the clear NL Central frontrunner most people thought they were due to how awful their starting pitching has been.
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Noticed that Hiura has completely ditched his leg kick. If he shows improvement with the K numbers, I’d be tempted to give him one more shot and drop Voit. He’s crushing the the ball as he usually does. Worth paying attention to going forward…
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I'm not worried, yet. It's a small sample size. Corbin, Woody (provided it's a short IL stay), and Freddy have established themselves as among the best strikeout artists in the game. Same with Devin from the bullpen. He's only pitched 3 times thus far, which obviously impacts the overall K numbers. These guys are the reason why we've been among the top pitching staffs in terms of Ks over the past few years. We'll see with guys like Lauer, Bush, Strzelecki, etc. Velocity concerns in the beginning of the season generally tend fade away the further you go and the warmer the weather gets, unless there's an underlying injury. I just find it hard to believe that all of those guys simultaneously have underlying injuries. Trading a Hader definitely hurts. And the guys we've replaced him with (Payamps, Guerra, etc.) don't exactly have high K histories.. But, at the same time, you have Uribe, Cousins, Gasser knocking on the door in the minors...
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Anybody could’ve seen how bad the Cards rotation was heading into the season…Except for the national analysts who collectively went gaga over them.
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1982 Brewers Docuseries- “Just a Bit Outside”
Brewcrew82 replied to rickh150's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Does it say what streaming service it will be on? Nice to see the Brewers finally getting some attention from the national media. -
Except for the fact that Gennett was bad on defense from the start and strictly limited to 2B...Not even close to Turang's speed and on-base ability, either...
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3-1 start to the season! 10-0 pasting of the Mets and their $300 million+ offseason! Brice Turang superstar!
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2023 Brewers Season Predictions (Post-ST)
Brewcrew82 replied to Brewcrew82's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I’ll also add to my bold predictions that I think that, of the 6 NL playoff teams from last year, the Brewers will end up taking the Dodgers spot in the postseason. Dodgers are in some real trouble imo with the Lux injury and the players they lost in the off-season. -
With ST now officially in the rearview mirror and OD on Thursday, I figured it's time to create another predictions thread. So, time for "official" preseason predictions per the following categories: MVP: Corbin Burnes CY Young: Corbin Burnes Rookie of the Year: Sal Frelick BA Leader: Sal Frelick (.294), may not qualify, but this is a pretty safe pick imo HR Leader: Rowdy Tellez (37) ERA Leader: Corbin Burnes (2.47) SO Leader: Corbin Burnes (252) WAR Leader: Corbin Burnes (6.7) Breakout(s): Luis Urias, Abner Uribe, Freddy Peralta (healthy, 30 starts, top 10 CY) Disappointment(s): Eric Lauer, Matt Bush, Garrett Mitchell Bold Prediction (s): Chourio debuts in August and plants himself at the top of the order during the stretch run. Record: 90-72 Playoffs? Yes, Wild Card. Lose WS in 5 to SEA (FINALLY the team that "gets hot")
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Yeah, not comparable at all until Frelick has a season like Gimenez just had. Right now, Frelick has a total of zero MLB at-bats. Hoerner's deal would be more comparable for Frelick than Gimenez, and even then, Hoerner’s much further along in the process....
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Right, which is why I acknowledged they have an advantage. I just believe it’s closer than you think and is largely canceled out by the difference in the starting rotations. Though, I wouldn’t say Walker, Burleson are any more advanced than Wiemer, Frelick. Cardinals just decided to bring them up for opening day, while we opted to hold our guys down likely for service time manipulation. Winn could make an impact later in the season, but so could Chourio… O’Neil, Carlson, Gorman are also pretty big question marks still. And I wouldn’t bank on Arenado and Goldschmidt repeating their career years, considering their ages (Goldschmidt especially) and over performance relative to their stat cast profiles. Just like we should never have expected our starting pitching to repeat their 2021 numbers heading into last season.
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Disagree. I think it’s about an even advantage. If Peralta stays healthy like 2021, that’s three big time strikeout arms that the Cardinals don’t have the ability to match at all. On the position player side, I think our OF depth matches up pretty well with our prospects. Their OFs are obviously a little more proven but I think talent wise it’s even. Catchers cancel each other out. First base is advantage Cardinals, but it might not be by as much as we think with Rowdy and Goldschmidt set to regress in complete opposite directions. Second base is pretty dang even as Turang and Donovan have almost identical profiles, with Donovan being more proven at the MLB level. SS is slight advantage Brewers as Adames and Edman are both elite defenders, but Adames possesses the higher offensive ceiling due to his power. Third base is probably the biggest gap with Arenado being as great as he is, but Urias isn’t exactly a slouch and who knows if Arenado can repeat the season he had last year especially in that ballpark. And then DH is pretty even as well. The Cardinals have great position player depth, but I wouldn’t say it’s that superior to ours. It’s just slightly more proven. I think it’s going to come down to how the Brewers bullpen takes shape in bridging the gap to Devin. If we can get that figured out (Uribe?), I think we’ll be in good shape.
