Brewcrew82
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Everything posted by Brewcrew82
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Might want to take a look at the offensive environment in the international league last year... I don't think Gasser is going to make the OD roster simply due to service time manipulation, but there's no reason to not have him starting many games for the team this year. The projections have him at Adrian Houser-level production in his rookie season.
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I'd trade Contreras, but not until Quero has started sharing catching duties with him and proven he is up to the task. Could happen this season. Next season a more likely proposition. Which brings us to the 2025-2026 offseason where Contreras will have 2 years of control left. That's a nice sweet spot.
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How is being arguably the best pitcher in the international league not "beating on the door" for Gasser? Rodriguez, I'll give you. But Gasser is 24 going on 25 and ready for a starting spot.
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Jackson ChourioJacob MisiorowskiJeferson QueroTyler BlackJoey OrtizDL HallBrock WilkenRobert GasserJosh KnothCarlos F RodriguezLuis LaraYophery RodriguezCooper PrattJorge QuintanaEric BitontiMike BoeveEric Brown JrLuke AdamsLogan HendersonOliver Dunn
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They traded some decent prospects for Bauers, and we could use a left handed power hitter in the lineup. He hasn’t shown it yet in the majors, but he changed his swing and had some nice peripherals last year that they’re betting on. I personally don’t see how he doesn’t make the OD roster. With Gasser, it’s as simple as 1) he’s not on the 40 man and 2) they gain an extra year of control by holding him down the first couple weeks or so.
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It’s a Brewers discussion forum, and this clip came out yesterday. First time he publicly acknowledged why he refused to pitch outside of the 9th, and he blamed the Brewers.
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I think the team is a bit terrified by his peripheral numbers. If Yelich is indeed going to be playing mostly OF, he’s going to be crowded out in terms of ABs, with Yelich, Chourio, and Frelick all taking precedence before him. And then Wiemer has the advantage of being able to play for Frelick or Yelich against LHP. A trade or working out his swing issues in everyday ABs in AAA is the way to go until an injury arises or one of the other OFs underperforms.
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AAA or traded.
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My best guess based on how this regime operates: C: Contreras, Sanchez IF: Hoskins, Adames, Turang, Ortiz, Monasterio, Bauers OF: Yelich, Chourio, Frelick, Wiemer, Perkins SP: Peralta, Miley, Junis, Rea, Hall RP: Williams, Uribe, Payamps, Megill, Milner, Peguero, Wilson, Ross vs RHP: 1) Yelich LF 2) Contreras C 3) Hoskins 1B 4) Adames SS 5) Bauers DH 6) Frelick RF 7) Chourio CF 8) Ortiz 3B 9) Turang 2B vs. LHP: 1) Yelich LF 2) Contreras DH 3) Hoskins 1B 4) Sanchez C 5) Adames SS 6) Chourio CF 7) Ortiz 3B 8) Monasterio 2B 9) Wiemer RF
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Publicly confirming what we've all known for a while.... I get it, but it's a bad look imo. And it ended up costing us a couple of wins off the top of my head. At the same time, I don't think the Brewers come off clean here either the way they went about it. But it's mostly the system being screwed up. Hopefully DL Hall doesn't come across this clip if he ever does end up moving back to the pen.
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Except this is not really true... Frelick vs. LHP (2021): 1.054 OPS, Frelick vs RHP (2021): .840 OPS Frelick vs. LHP (2022): .865 OPS, Frelick vs RHP (2022): .890 OPS Frelick vs. LHP (2023): .612 OPS, Frelick vs LHP (2023): .722 OPS Mitchell vs. LHP (2021): .732 OPS, Mitchell vs RHP (2021): .817 OPS Mitchell vs. LHP (2022): .768 OPS, Mitchell vs. RHP (2022): .847 OPS As you can see, Mitchell is the one with the more dramatic splits in his minor league career. Frelick's career OPS against LHP is north of .800. Mitchell's is well below that. I'm not going to pretend his 9 total MLB ABs against LHP is any sort of meaningful sample size despite the .967 OPS. Frelick showed more dramatic splits last year, but it's also important to keep in mind that he was injured for a good chunk of the season. I'd put more money on Frelick being able to hit LHP than Mitchell, especially with Mitchell's unsustainable BABIP and 35%+ K rate.
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I only used 2023 numbers for guys being platooned as there’s no projections available for splits. Otherwise, I went with projections. I agree Yelich isn’t being platooned but I think he should. Frelick had relatively nice numbers in the minors against LHP.
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Just putting this here.... Frelick LF (projected 103 wRC+) Contreras C (projected 120 wRC+) Yelich/Sanchez DH (CY 139 wRC+ vs. RHP 2023, GS 162 wRC+ vs LHP 2023) Hoskins 1B (projected 115 wRC+) Adames SS (projected 103 wRC+) Black/Monasterio 3B (TB projected 104 wRC+; AM 118 wRC+ vs. LHP 2023) Chourio CF (projected 93 wRC+) Mitchell/Wiemer RF (GM 117 wRC+ vs. RHP 2022-2023; JW 115 wRC+ vs. LHP 2023)] Ortiz 2B (projected 100 wRC+)
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Gotta feel like an OF for a pitcher trade is coming. No way they're going to stash multiple of those guys in AAA. Mitchell for Cabrera, maybe?
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More gaslighting. And as I've said, I criticized the Hader trade when it was made just off the top of my head.
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It's the usual suspects. Or should I say suspect. Just waiting on Jeffrey Leonhard now...
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Lol. You know that's not true. I criticized the Hader trade when it was made, for example. And he put up a 2.4 bWAR last year. That's worth more than $7 million. lol
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Of course you would criticize this signing. Sanchez had a 111 wRC+ last year and .342 xwOBA.
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What does JD Martinez do for our pitching staff? We absolutely needed another arm after the Burnes trade. Martinez last year: 1.9 bWAR. Sanchez and Junis last year: 3.2 bWAR.
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Love it. Arnold and co. can keep zigging and zagging away for all I'm concerned. These moves cost zero in terms of prospects and long-term financial flexibility.
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I don't see it happening, especially with Sanchez on a one year deal. You would be relying on a rookie catcher just as the Brewers' new competitive window really starts to open up. I think they'll trade Contreras eventually, but not this year or even next year. This move is about filling the DH position and adding power to the lineup after last year's mostly punchless lineup.
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You know what "World Series teams" need even more than the Coby Mayo's of the world? 1) High level SS play....We have Adames now, yes, but we won't after the season.... 2) Elite "stuff" arms. Yeah, we gave one up in Burnes, but we just gained 6 years of control with another one in Hall. You demand and hold out for Mayo in this trade (who has an appreciably higher surplus value btw), and you get neither of these things and are most likely having to add in additional pieces like Gasser, etc. We got both of them in one trade. And already have a guy who's one year, maybe less, from being a Coby Mayo in Wilken. I respectfully disagree with the premise of this article.
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- corbin burnes
- joey ortiz
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Fangraphs sees a dog fight for the division, with the Cardinals, Cubs, and Brewers having greater than 15% odds and the Reds not too far behind. https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
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Their direction was pretty clearly broadcast with the Burnes trade, and the signing of Chourio to a 10 year extension. They want to be competitive now, which is why they signed Hoskins, but they're most focused on opening up a World Series window with Chourio and co.
