Brewcrew82
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Everything posted by Brewcrew82
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I think the team is a bit terrified by his peripheral numbers. If Yelich is indeed going to be playing mostly OF, he’s going to be crowded out in terms of ABs, with Yelich, Chourio, and Frelick all taking precedence before him. And then Wiemer has the advantage of being able to play for Frelick or Yelich against LHP. A trade or working out his swing issues in everyday ABs in AAA is the way to go until an injury arises or one of the other OFs underperforms.
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AAA or traded.
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My best guess based on how this regime operates: C: Contreras, Sanchez IF: Hoskins, Adames, Turang, Ortiz, Monasterio, Bauers OF: Yelich, Chourio, Frelick, Wiemer, Perkins SP: Peralta, Miley, Junis, Rea, Hall RP: Williams, Uribe, Payamps, Megill, Milner, Peguero, Wilson, Ross vs RHP: 1) Yelich LF 2) Contreras C 3) Hoskins 1B 4) Adames SS 5) Bauers DH 6) Frelick RF 7) Chourio CF 8) Ortiz 3B 9) Turang 2B vs. LHP: 1) Yelich LF 2) Contreras DH 3) Hoskins 1B 4) Sanchez C 5) Adames SS 6) Chourio CF 7) Ortiz 3B 8) Monasterio 2B 9) Wiemer RF
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Publicly confirming what we've all known for a while.... I get it, but it's a bad look imo. And it ended up costing us a couple of wins off the top of my head. At the same time, I don't think the Brewers come off clean here either the way they went about it. But it's mostly the system being screwed up. Hopefully DL Hall doesn't come across this clip if he ever does end up moving back to the pen.
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Except this is not really true... Frelick vs. LHP (2021): 1.054 OPS, Frelick vs RHP (2021): .840 OPS Frelick vs. LHP (2022): .865 OPS, Frelick vs RHP (2022): .890 OPS Frelick vs. LHP (2023): .612 OPS, Frelick vs LHP (2023): .722 OPS Mitchell vs. LHP (2021): .732 OPS, Mitchell vs RHP (2021): .817 OPS Mitchell vs. LHP (2022): .768 OPS, Mitchell vs. RHP (2022): .847 OPS As you can see, Mitchell is the one with the more dramatic splits in his minor league career. Frelick's career OPS against LHP is north of .800. Mitchell's is well below that. I'm not going to pretend his 9 total MLB ABs against LHP is any sort of meaningful sample size despite the .967 OPS. Frelick showed more dramatic splits last year, but it's also important to keep in mind that he was injured for a good chunk of the season. I'd put more money on Frelick being able to hit LHP than Mitchell, especially with Mitchell's unsustainable BABIP and 35%+ K rate.
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I only used 2023 numbers for guys being platooned as there’s no projections available for splits. Otherwise, I went with projections. I agree Yelich isn’t being platooned but I think he should. Frelick had relatively nice numbers in the minors against LHP.
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Just putting this here.... Frelick LF (projected 103 wRC+) Contreras C (projected 120 wRC+) Yelich/Sanchez DH (CY 139 wRC+ vs. RHP 2023, GS 162 wRC+ vs LHP 2023) Hoskins 1B (projected 115 wRC+) Adames SS (projected 103 wRC+) Black/Monasterio 3B (TB projected 104 wRC+; AM 118 wRC+ vs. LHP 2023) Chourio CF (projected 93 wRC+) Mitchell/Wiemer RF (GM 117 wRC+ vs. RHP 2022-2023; JW 115 wRC+ vs. LHP 2023)] Ortiz 2B (projected 100 wRC+)
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Gotta feel like an OF for a pitcher trade is coming. No way they're going to stash multiple of those guys in AAA. Mitchell for Cabrera, maybe?
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More gaslighting. And as I've said, I criticized the Hader trade when it was made just off the top of my head.
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It's the usual suspects. Or should I say suspect. Just waiting on Jeffrey Leonhard now...
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Lol. You know that's not true. I criticized the Hader trade when it was made, for example. And he put up a 2.4 bWAR last year. That's worth more than $7 million. lol
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Of course you would criticize this signing. Sanchez had a 111 wRC+ last year and .342 xwOBA.
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What does JD Martinez do for our pitching staff? We absolutely needed another arm after the Burnes trade. Martinez last year: 1.9 bWAR. Sanchez and Junis last year: 3.2 bWAR.
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Love it. Arnold and co. can keep zigging and zagging away for all I'm concerned. These moves cost zero in terms of prospects and long-term financial flexibility.
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I don't see it happening, especially with Sanchez on a one year deal. You would be relying on a rookie catcher just as the Brewers' new competitive window really starts to open up. I think they'll trade Contreras eventually, but not this year or even next year. This move is about filling the DH position and adding power to the lineup after last year's mostly punchless lineup.
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You know what "World Series teams" need even more than the Coby Mayo's of the world? 1) High level SS play....We have Adames now, yes, but we won't after the season.... 2) Elite "stuff" arms. Yeah, we gave one up in Burnes, but we just gained 6 years of control with another one in Hall. You demand and hold out for Mayo in this trade (who has an appreciably higher surplus value btw), and you get neither of these things and are most likely having to add in additional pieces like Gasser, etc. We got both of them in one trade. And already have a guy who's one year, maybe less, from being a Coby Mayo in Wilken. I respectfully disagree with the premise of this article.
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- corbin burnes
- joey ortiz
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Fangraphs sees a dog fight for the division, with the Cardinals, Cubs, and Brewers having greater than 15% odds and the Reds not too far behind. https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds
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Their direction was pretty clearly broadcast with the Burnes trade, and the signing of Chourio to a 10 year extension. They want to be competitive now, which is why they signed Hoskins, but they're most focused on opening up a World Series window with Chourio and co.
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Nice. Finished 17th in Stuff+ last season. Though, a large part of that was due to the slider. Regardless, not bad depth to have.
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After doing some further reflection on the trade, I think this guy might be a pretty apt comparison for Ortiz. https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/p/penaje02.shtml Both glove first college prospects who were late bloomers with the bat and who were able to make top 100 lists by the end of their minor league careers. Neither has elite pop, but they’re both above average for the position. OPS’s and wRC+ hovering around the league average mark, with the gloves making them around 3/4 WAR players. Definitely an outcome I’d be happy with.
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If we hold onto Adames, I think Ortiz’s value to this year’s team is being a much safer (and quite frankly, better) bat than Turang at 2B while providing the same elite defense. As for 3B, they absolutely need to give Black the opportunity there, with Ortiz and Wilken being the fallback options. No way is Adames moving to 3B in the absence of a contract extension.
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- dl hall
- joey ortiz
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I really don’t think it’s going to happen but I’d ultimately be fine with it if that’s the direction they decided to go in. I wouldn’t stop watching the Brewers or anything like that. At the same time, he’s also brought a lot of his issues upon himself, and I’m not going to pretend he’s this upstanding citizen or something. I’d cheer for him to help my favorite team win ballgames, but that’s about it.
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I severely doubt Bauer's getting signed by anyone at this point.
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I would not like Frasso as he just had surgery.
