Brewcrew82
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Everything posted by Brewcrew82
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Spring Training 2024 is here and we need a thread. Behold this crazy extension from Mis!
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40 man is full right now. I would imagine that is the holdup, as they need a corresponding move. Otherwise, something had to have come up in the physical.
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I’d rather get a comp pick.
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The chances of that barring injury are close to nil. He’s going to pitch for this team and cover some innings for a team that needs those innings.
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The key is it's only for two weeks..... The projections see all these guys having ERAs well under 5. https://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=SP
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1) Houser has only one year of control remaining. Otherwise, he would've been a FA this offseason, in which case we wouldn't have gotten anything for him... 2) I don't quite know what you're talking about with Taylor having more value than Houser. This shows the opposite....https://www.baseballtradevalues.com/trade-simulator 3) It's still value and is even more valuable to a small market franchise such as the Brewers that cannot afford to spend tens of millions on mediocre starters like many teams did this winter in FA. You should look up the story of Junior Caminero. Rays ended up getting a top 5 prospect in all of baseball for someone with "miniscule value". Not that the Brewers pulled off something similar with Coleman Crow or are likely to if/when they trade Gasser, but you still don't just sacrifice value because a guy isn't a Burnes or a Woodruff. 4) Finally, filling innings for two weeks while Gasser is in AAA is pretty straightforward actually: Peralta, Miley, Junis, Hall, Rea, Ross....
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Okay, 4-5 starter. Doesn't make a difference to me. The point remains: it is, quite possible, that the Brewers think they can get more from Gasser than that. There's a reason the Brewers were fine trading Hader despite getting a .5 season of Rogers, Lamet (who they immediately DFA'd), and Ruiz (who they proceeded to trade in the offseason). Even if we don't keep him and he's only a 4-5 starter, that's still trade value like with Houser that we can use to get value in return... Conversely, what's the cost of holding him down for a couple weeks....Pretty much zero.
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First of all, maybe the Brewers think he can be more than a 5 starter....BA has Gasser as a top 100 prospect for a reason. We're also talking about a mere couple of weeks here to gain an extra year of control, which is quite valuable (particularly so for a small market franchise), despite you trying to pretend otherwise.
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It's important to remember that occurred in a SSS, and while Frelick was still dealing with the lingering effects of a thumb injury. The very sort of injury that saps players of their power His 13% BB rate is more important imo when considering his leadoff potential.
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Will the Brewers sign Woody?
Brewcrew82 replied to eddiemathews's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I trust the Brewers here as they know his medical sheet better than anyone. -
Here's Gasser's 3 year ZIPS projection, which is actually pretty conservative in terms of IP. It's not Burnes or Woodruff level, but it's incredibly valuable for a SM team like the Brewers.
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Have you seen the going cost for effective starting pitching in the FA market this year? 7 years of even a back end starter may not be gold, but it's like silver.
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Might want to take a look at the offensive environment in the international league last year... I don't think Gasser is going to make the OD roster simply due to service time manipulation, but there's no reason to not have him starting many games for the team this year. The projections have him at Adrian Houser-level production in his rookie season.
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I'd trade Contreras, but not until Quero has started sharing catching duties with him and proven he is up to the task. Could happen this season. Next season a more likely proposition. Which brings us to the 2025-2026 offseason where Contreras will have 2 years of control left. That's a nice sweet spot.
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How is being arguably the best pitcher in the international league not "beating on the door" for Gasser? Rodriguez, I'll give you. But Gasser is 24 going on 25 and ready for a starting spot.
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Jackson ChourioJacob MisiorowskiJeferson QueroTyler BlackJoey OrtizDL HallBrock WilkenRobert GasserJosh KnothCarlos F RodriguezLuis LaraYophery RodriguezCooper PrattJorge QuintanaEric BitontiMike BoeveEric Brown JrLuke AdamsLogan HendersonOliver Dunn
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They traded some decent prospects for Bauers, and we could use a left handed power hitter in the lineup. He hasn’t shown it yet in the majors, but he changed his swing and had some nice peripherals last year that they’re betting on. I personally don’t see how he doesn’t make the OD roster. With Gasser, it’s as simple as 1) he’s not on the 40 man and 2) they gain an extra year of control by holding him down the first couple weeks or so.
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It’s a Brewers discussion forum, and this clip came out yesterday. First time he publicly acknowledged why he refused to pitch outside of the 9th, and he blamed the Brewers.
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I think the team is a bit terrified by his peripheral numbers. If Yelich is indeed going to be playing mostly OF, he’s going to be crowded out in terms of ABs, with Yelich, Chourio, and Frelick all taking precedence before him. And then Wiemer has the advantage of being able to play for Frelick or Yelich against LHP. A trade or working out his swing issues in everyday ABs in AAA is the way to go until an injury arises or one of the other OFs underperforms.
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AAA or traded.
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My best guess based on how this regime operates: C: Contreras, Sanchez IF: Hoskins, Adames, Turang, Ortiz, Monasterio, Bauers OF: Yelich, Chourio, Frelick, Wiemer, Perkins SP: Peralta, Miley, Junis, Rea, Hall RP: Williams, Uribe, Payamps, Megill, Milner, Peguero, Wilson, Ross vs RHP: 1) Yelich LF 2) Contreras C 3) Hoskins 1B 4) Adames SS 5) Bauers DH 6) Frelick RF 7) Chourio CF 8) Ortiz 3B 9) Turang 2B vs. LHP: 1) Yelich LF 2) Contreras DH 3) Hoskins 1B 4) Sanchez C 5) Adames SS 6) Chourio CF 7) Ortiz 3B 8) Monasterio 2B 9) Wiemer RF
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Publicly confirming what we've all known for a while.... I get it, but it's a bad look imo. And it ended up costing us a couple of wins off the top of my head. At the same time, I don't think the Brewers come off clean here either the way they went about it. But it's mostly the system being screwed up. Hopefully DL Hall doesn't come across this clip if he ever does end up moving back to the pen.
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Except this is not really true... Frelick vs. LHP (2021): 1.054 OPS, Frelick vs RHP (2021): .840 OPS Frelick vs. LHP (2022): .865 OPS, Frelick vs RHP (2022): .890 OPS Frelick vs. LHP (2023): .612 OPS, Frelick vs LHP (2023): .722 OPS Mitchell vs. LHP (2021): .732 OPS, Mitchell vs RHP (2021): .817 OPS Mitchell vs. LHP (2022): .768 OPS, Mitchell vs. RHP (2022): .847 OPS As you can see, Mitchell is the one with the more dramatic splits in his minor league career. Frelick's career OPS against LHP is north of .800. Mitchell's is well below that. I'm not going to pretend his 9 total MLB ABs against LHP is any sort of meaningful sample size despite the .967 OPS. Frelick showed more dramatic splits last year, but it's also important to keep in mind that he was injured for a good chunk of the season. I'd put more money on Frelick being able to hit LHP than Mitchell, especially with Mitchell's unsustainable BABIP and 35%+ K rate.
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I only used 2023 numbers for guys being platooned as there’s no projections available for splits. Otherwise, I went with projections. I agree Yelich isn’t being platooned but I think he should. Frelick had relatively nice numbers in the minors against LHP.
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Just putting this here.... Frelick LF (projected 103 wRC+) Contreras C (projected 120 wRC+) Yelich/Sanchez DH (CY 139 wRC+ vs. RHP 2023, GS 162 wRC+ vs LHP 2023) Hoskins 1B (projected 115 wRC+) Adames SS (projected 103 wRC+) Black/Monasterio 3B (TB projected 104 wRC+; AM 118 wRC+ vs. LHP 2023) Chourio CF (projected 93 wRC+) Mitchell/Wiemer RF (GM 117 wRC+ vs. RHP 2022-2023; JW 115 wRC+ vs. LHP 2023)] Ortiz 2B (projected 100 wRC+)
