Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

wiguy94

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,796

  • Joined

  • Days Won

    98

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

News

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    Awesome article @Matthew Trueblood that I somehow missed.
  2. wiguy94
    Groin feels better with him not doing the full split stretched anymore haha.
  3. wiguy94
    I doubt his value is anywhere near Chapman and Sewald. Milner has great numbers, but he's not a high leverage reliever. He's more a middle relief guy. His value would be closer to to like Andrew Chafin last year.
  4. wiguy94
    So many people have said this but it really cannot be said enough. The lineup just looks so much better when Yelich is hitting 3rd.
  5. wiguy94
    https://www.wralsportsfan.com/wilson-breaks-ground-on-new-mudcats-baseball-stadium/21422355/
  6. wiguy94
    WPA approves
  7. wiguy94
    Surprise, surprise Brewers dominating the Cards and Sixtolexcano's two comments in the game thread are both negative.
  8. wiguy94
    Even if Brewers offered, I don't think it would happen. One of the reporters asked him about an extension and it seemed pretty clear to me that he's going to test FA eventually.
  9. wiguy94
    15 days for a pitcher so even worse. I agree though that he should stay up. Herget can be optioned and Vieira can get phantom IL'd.
  10. wiguy94
    Jake Bauers wRC+ on the year after that HR is 100! Crazy to believe he's now a league average hitter.
  11. wiguy94
    I do think Bauers would have gotten a lot less hate if he was consistently hitting in the 8 spot like today instead of 3rd/4th.
  12. wiguy94
    I'm absolutely loving Contreras gameplan so far. Donovan had a really good cut against a 1st pitch FB on the first pitch of the game and Contreras has had Myers mixing up his pitches so well since then.
  13. wiguy94
    100%.
  14. wiguy94
    This is a direct quote from you "His ground ball rate is substantially higher than last year, he's topping the hell out of the baseball and his launch angle is halved" You literally mentioned his launch angle being significantly lower as a negative point towards his contact quality. His line drive % is the exact same as last year. He's traded off weak fly balls/pop ups for mostly positive LA ground balls. 2023 - 29 of his 99 batted balls had a LA of 33 or higher and 33 of his 99 batted balls had a negative LA. That's 62 of his 99 batted balls hit with really poor LA. 62% of his batted balls. 2024 - 8 of his 74 batted balls have a LA of 33 or higher and 28 of his 74 batted balls have a negative LA. That's 36 of his 74 batted balls hit with really poor LA. 49% of his batted balls. Yes Blake Perkins LA is down mostly because he's not hitting a bunch of worthless lazy fly balls like last year. Yes his ground ball % is up this year but a significant portion of that increase is positive LA grounders. His overall contact quality has improved and the 64 point xwOBACON increase shows that. Yes he's topping the baseball more, but he hasn't sacrificed good contact in that process as his solid contact is marginally up and his barrel rate is significantly up. Looking at raw LA and raw GB% and saying his contact he's worse is just not how it works.
  15. wiguy94
    In 2023, 33% of Perkins batted balls had a negative launch angle. In 2024 37% of Perkins batted balls have a negative launch angle. Yes Perkins ground ball % is significantly up this year, but most of those added ground balls are positive launch angle ground balls which carry significantly higher success rates than the negative LA ones. Perkins also isn't hitting fewer line drives. He's hitting fewer lazy fly balls and more ground balls. That's not a bad tradeoff and that's why his xwOBACON has improved.
  16. wiguy94
    Hitting the baseball on the ground isn't bad. Like you realize that ground balls have a higher average batting average than fly balls right so citing the batting average is pretty strange. Nobody said Perkins start of the year was sustainable. You're the only one who is saying Perkins small samples are indicative of future success with his bad luck. His quality contact is up. That can't be argued. Trading out weak contact for hard ground balls isn't quality of contact drop off. It's clear you really just don't understand this side of baseball. Perkins lowering his launch angle wasn't a bad thing. He doesn't have the power to pay off a heavy fly ball profile especially because he's not a big pull hitter (before this year that is). One size doesn't fit all so saying Perkins is a worse hitter because his LA has dropped is a fundamental misunderstanding modern analytics.
  17. wiguy94
    His overall contact quality is way up this season. From the comment you just quoted "xwOBACON - .312 to .376". That's a 64 point increase in xwOBACON. Nobody has said Perkins is going to be a 120 wRC+ hitter, but he's a much-improved hitter. His xwOBA would have him as a slightly above league average hitter. His DRC+ is up to 94 from 78 last year so that views him is a slightly below average hitter. Blake Perkins with his defense and a wRC+ near 100 is not a 4th OF. That's a starting CF.
  18. wiguy94
    More just correcting you for saying something inaccurate. Perkins quality has been a much better hitter so far this season than last and you're just looking at surface numbers which can fluctuate significantly in small sample due to batted ball good/bad luck. Here are some comparison of 2023 and 2024 Perkins. 2023 then 2024 numbers Barrel% - 5.1% to 9.5% Avg EV - 85.8 to 90.0 xBA - .194 to .238 xSLG - .302 to .384 xwOBA - .279 to .323 xwOBACON - .312 to .376 Hard hit % - 29.3% to 47.3% Perkins went 0-4 yesterday. Perkins had a 408ft flyout to CF that would have been a HR in 14 of 30 parks (wind was also blowing in slightly) and a 100.7 EV lineout to RF that had a .480 xBA. By your logic Perkins had a bad day at the plate because the wRC+ was bad when nobody would say Perkins had a bad day at the plate actually seeing the contact he made.
  19. wiguy94
    That's a very simplistic way to look at things also it's incredibly normal for high strikeout players to carry BABIP's that are much higher than their batting average. Benson - 41.1% K-rate, .190 AVG, .305 BABIP Cruz - 34.7% K-rate, .252 AVG, .363 BABIP Busch - 34.5% K-rate, .256 AVG, .342 BABIP Stanton - 33.8% K-rate, .228 AVG, .286 BABIP Julien - 33.8% K-rate, .204 AVG, .262 BABIP That's the 5 highest K-rates from qualified hitters. The average BABIP-AVG difference between the 5 is 86 points. Furthermore, of the 341 hitters with 50 PA this season Bauers' .448 xwOBACON is 46th in the MLB. When Bauers makes contact the contact is generally quality contact. His wOBACON is .432 so he's actually slightly underperformed his xwOBACON to this point.
  20. wiguy94
    Perkins had a .323 xWOBA in April and currently has a .321 xwOBA in May. He had some batted ball luck in April and the opposite in May. His peripherals on the year remain very solid especially when you consider he's the best defensive OF on the team by a considerable margin.
  21. wiguy94
    Perkins getting a well deserved day off. This is a strong lineup. Probably the best lineup we have seen this year although that OF defense is lacking.
  22. wiguy94
    Yes hitters production fluctuates. That's not a new phenomenon. You talking the lower end production and trying to push that this is who the offense really is pretty much comes down to you being a very open pessimist. The offense has been at worst above average this year. The season long xwOBA is .323 which is 13th in the MLB and 5 points above the .318 MLB average.
  23. wiguy94
    45 days but Ortiz isn't going to be optioned so it doesn't really matter.
  24. wiguy94
    Great thing that Manuel Rodriguez threw 7 innings last night because today has not gone to plan for the Mudcats. Letson-Rivero were likely piggybacking today. Instead Letson doesn't pitch because of the lengthy delay and Rivero doesn't even get an out.
  25. wiguy94
    Bayden Root just threw a pickoff attempt at 2B nearly to the wall in right center field lmao. I have never seen that before.
×
×
  • Create New...