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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    Yeah averaging 6 IP a start his last 5 starts with 4 of 5 going 6 innings. I'd like it a bit more if he wasn't averaging 3 runs against in that 5 start stretch but hard to complain about that from a back of the rotation starter.
  2. wiguy94
    Yeah I think the Brewers offense is very opportunistic which is why they have been able to outproduce their wRC+ in terms of offensive output. When a pitcher is struggling to throw strikes they can quickly pour on runs in a big inning but when a pitcher isn't giving up free passes they struggle. Sugano is legit a really bad pitcher and he's dicing up our lineup.
  3. wiguy94
    I do think it's funny how much everyone (me included) seems to focus on pitching at the deadline when our offense is a much bigger concern for the playoffs than the pitching.
  4. wiguy94
    Grant Hill signed for $200K. That's $64,100 under slot and leaves the Brewers $65,000 over slot through the Ebel, Strosnider, Jones, Garcia, Oshinski, Hill, Tom, Mora, and Gaines signings. Counting the 5% overage the Brewers still have $762,545 left to spend. Knaak is the only round 1-10 guy left to sign. The only round 11-20 picks that haven't signed are Hart, Bell, Maiorana, and Havard. The other round 11-20 picks all signed for $150K or lower so nothing counts against the bonus pool.
  5. wiguy94
    No they will. Pipeline's update didn't include draft prospects. They typically just waited to update until post deadline but that was unpopular because the lists weren't accurate at the deadline so now they do a pre-deadline update. Post deadline they will add the draft prospects.
  6. wiguy94
    Steve keeps making duplicate threads for threads that have already been made
  7. wiguy94
    Putting it simply with Peralta the four years his FB performed best by both xwOBA and RV/100 were the four years his release height was under 5.10ft from 2020 to 2023. When the release height increased in 2024 his fastball lost a ton of its effectiveness.
  8. wiguy94
    This is wrong. He threw 103 innings last season.
  9. wiguy94
    I think this is ignoring that Freddy’s FB consistently was getting worse the more and more he reduced his extension. Freddy had a great VAA because he got so much extension down the mound so he was releasing the ball from a much lower slot than you’d expect for a guy his size/arm angle. Freddy’s extension is down almost an entire foot this year compared to its peak.
  10. wiguy94
    Yes he has a mutual option but if that option is declined he still has another year of arb.
  11. wiguy94
    If the Brewers trade for Skubal they won't need him to pitch like CC did. The 2008 Brewers were in a race for the WC down to the end of the season. This year they have a 7 game lead in the division and a 11.5 game lead over the first team out. They would just need Skubal to go every 5th/6th game and be ready for the playoffs. They wouldn't need him to start on 3/4 days rest all September.
  12. wiguy94
    I don't think that's sarcasm at all. The Brewers seem to be very good at acquiring post-hype guys or late bloomers and turning them into valuable big league arms. 2026 - Harrison, Drohan 2025 - Priester, Patrick
  13. wiguy94
    5 more after this year
  14. wiguy94
    Yeah the durability is the big question with him not just from an innings perspective but his leash in game is typically shorter in terms of pitch count than other pitchers. Throwing out his start in Kansas City this year where he was the 27th man and more of an opener than a starter, he's had 12 GS, 61.2 IP. That's pretty much 5 IP/start but he's not a five and dive type guy from an efficiency standpoint. He's averaged 15.60 pitches per inning in his career. A guy that efficient should be averaging more like 6 innings a start but the Brewers haven't let him go deep into games.
  15. wiguy94
    He's only seen one team two times in his career in Washington. One time last year and one time this year. The start this year was the best start of his career by fangraphs game score going 6 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 8 SO and Washington has one of the best offenses in MLB this year. I'd say if there's anything misleading about his numbers it's that he's largely been a 5 inning guy in his career so he hasn't been asked much to face an order a third time and he has been more HR prone the second time through an order.
  16. wiguy94
    Henderson threw 103 innings last year.
  17. wiguy94
    I do really like Detmers but one question I have with him is how well is he going to hold up this year down the stretch considering he pitched exclusively out of the bullpen last year and only threw 63 innings. He threw 165 innings in 2024 so it's not like he's never been fully stretched out before but specifically for this season is he going to stay effective for a 180 inning workload plus postseason pitching?
  18. wiguy94
    In Ryan's MLB debut season he was a year older than Henderson is now and had such bad feel for his secondaries that he threw his then 91mph FB almost 70% of the time. He's certainly come a long way since then obviously so him doing that then doesn't matter to who he is now. I just think it offers some perspective because Henderson is so much further along than Ryan was when Ryan was Henderson's age. I agree Henderson hasn't shown great feel for glove side pitches because he's a very natural pronator though I don't think I'd characterize him as a two pitch pitcher anymore. He's throwing his cutter 21% of the time this year and 31% to RHH. The biggest issue with Henderson is most definitely durability and if he's traded I'd imagine it's entirely because the Brewers don't view him as a guy who can give you a starer's workload year in and year out.
  19. wiguy94
    I find this interesting because Henderson in his MLB career has a 73 ERA-, 70 FIP-, 70 xFIP-. Joe Ryan is having the best season of his career and has an 82 ERA-, 85 FIP-, 85 xFIP-. Obviously Henderson has durability concerns but I view Henderson's 90th percentile outcome as a much better pitcher than Joey Ryan.
  20. wiguy94
    Chattanooga has a couple old friends on their pitching staff. Adamczewski's HR earlier in this series was off Taylor Floyd (yes the PTBNL in the Megill trade) and Nate Peterson is pitching today.
  21. wiguy94
    I think this is very clear when it comes to pitchers. The Red Sox are an objectively good pitching development org with one of the best rotations in baseball this year. I think in some ways you could argue they are better at developing pitchers than the Brewers but they are a very one size fits all org and guys like Harrison and Priester didn't mesh well with them. They come to Milwaukee and they have both talked about the Brewers just letting them be themselves and they really took off.
  22. wiguy94
    You can see the pretty clear chasm when it comes to our hitting and pitching prospect talent according to fangraphs rankings. We have 10 45 FV or better position prospects compared to only 4 on the pitching side. Overall we have the second best farm well behind Tampa Bay who are number one. We are in a second tier I'd say with LAD and MIN. https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/farm-system-rankings
  23. wiguy94
    The ACL season is officially over with a 9-4 loss today. Their season unfortunately ended with a whimper. They were 23-20 heading into June 30th and then proceeded to end the year going 3-14. Probably not a coincidence that Frias was promoted to Wilson on 6/23 and Martinez on 7/3.
  24. wiguy94
    The average joe knew a lot of their recent moves were laughably bad the second it was announced. Mason Miller trade, Yu Darvish extension, Machado extension, Bogaerts contract, heck I'll even take it a step further that the Juan Soto trade was bad though I don't think the average joe would have thought that. It's honestly funny looking back at how much better they would be right now if Preller had just done nothing but draft and develop the last few years.
  25. wiguy94
    Just need to clarify he also said ceiling is 20 HR lower than Caminero. He said Caminero is a 50 HR ceiling guy and Matos is a 30 HR ceiling guy. Basically just said he think their swings/frames are similar. Matos is nowhere near as toolsed up as Caminero was coming out of the DSL.
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