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SF70

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Everything posted by SF70

  1. SF70
    Nice to see him healthy and throwing. But the velo will tell the story of where he’s really at.
  2. SF70
    Of course. This FO isn’t going to give-away Adames.
  3. SF70
    It’s a no for me. I don’t like Cabrera’s injury history and poor command. Bad combination. Adames is important to the team’s success this year and I want his contract year performance & draft-pick. Trade Williams to add talent. Trade an OF to add talent. Trade a non-Williams reliever to add talent.
  4. SF70
    I think Gasser will definitely make the roster early season and if he doesn’t rotation, then pitches 2-4 innings stints out of the bullpen.
  5. SF70
    This team currently is deep with capable starters for OD— Peralta-Miley-Rae-Hall-Ross-Junis goes 6 deep for a few weeks to get past the extra ST year. Off days early season help as well with the team likely to keep the 5 rest day strategy. There is also Ashby & McKendry if the team has 2-3 starter injuries. Most evaluators I follow project Gasser a #4 starter with some saying he can be more than that. That is a player, even at age 25, that you want to have for 7 seasons, not 6.
  6. SF70
    I think the team will want to extend Quero and do it before he establishes himself as a big-leaguer like they did with Chourio. His combination of age (21-22), signing bonus (200K) and culture (family) should lead to another team-friendly deal. Keep them both for a season (‘25) and trade Contreras offseason post-‘25 season. His trajectory is to be a $60M surplus value trade asset, so, quite the return package ahead.
  7. SF70
    Drafts in ‘24 & ‘25 that approach the ‘23 class in strength will take this team’s system to an Orioles-level system and give us the best young Organizational talent in the NL, even more than Cincinnati. We already should have more pool money in the ‘24 class than Johnson and Co. have ever had. If we get picks for Adames & Hoskins and they sign for $50M+ that could get us near $16M in pool money for ‘25. This could get really interesting.
  8. SF70
    The team isn’t trading Adames, unless they get a return that crushes his contract year performance/pick/pool money/leadership ability, and that’s unlikely to happen.
  9. SF70
    Yes, the team needs to make room in the bullpen for a starter arm and 1 of Williams or Payamps needs to go. I prefer Williams, and for the reasons you’ve already given with special emphasis on potential injury. Payamps also could return a nice piece if teams deem the package for Williams too painful. The Yankees trade would be an outstanding one for this team and one if offered has to be taken.
  10. SF70
    An 85-90 wRC+ would make Turang a valuable contributor to a championship-type team because of his incredible defense at 2B. I don’t think that’s out of the realm of possibility, in fact I think it’s probable he improves in the box and gets to that level this season.
  11. SF70
    I would do that trade, but I think the Marlins would want Frelick instead, so no to that. Just hard to imagine any team wanting Mitchell after missing last year and with his injury history.
  12. SF70
    Well said. Lets also add getting the 34th pick and $2.6M in pool money we will use to add what will likely be more impact talent to the system. The 34th pick on its own is pretty close to a team’s 10th best prospect, depending on the system strength. But getting 3 of Baltimore’s top 10-type prospects if we include the pick is actually quite the haul.
  13. SF70
    Tod Johnson & co. Prior to his hiring the team had a decade of poor drafting and development, But after a slow start in ‘17 with the Hiura pick, and a poor ‘19 class, they have really hit their stride with good to great drafts since that have helped make the farm almost the equal of Baltimore, a team with numerous top 5 picks and massive pool monies. The changes Stearns started making to the hitting development department 3-4 years ago appears to be working with numerous prospects now making improvements in the box. After last year’s draft, we now have some power potential added with Wilken-Pratt-Bitonti, and potentially more coming with up to $30M in pool money and 6 of the top 40 picks in the next 2 drafts. I think it’s just as difficult to find a plus defender at SS that can hit the ball hard (Ortiz) as a power hitting bat (Mayo) that can hit in the MOTO.
  14. SF70
    Disagree with virtually every opinion in the article. Agree with the takes from the posters above so I won’t repeat, but I do take issue with the disparaging opinions on the teams recent drafts and hitting development. They aren’t the second best farm in baseball because of their pitching depth. Wilken could end up just as good of a power threat and he could actually be a 3B in the bigs.
  15. SF70
    They definitely have a direction and it’s up. They have tremendous depth with so many options, imo, they can upgrade weaknesses internally on the fly up to the deadline and will have the financial-flexibility to add any payroll they want to, to improve the team further. This years team can win the Central, and this will very likely be their worst team maybe thru the rest of this decade. Top 2 farm system, with a nice young core. Extra picks with ~$13M in pool money for this years draft, and if we QO Adames & Hoskins (and he opts out) 4 top 40 picks with ~$16M in pool money for the ‘25 draft. They have never had anything close to this type of ammo for Johnson & co., but yet they still have produced good to great drafts the last 4 years (reflected in the farm strength). Hopefully a future Quero extension will give us ~10 years of Chourio-Quero with that nice core and monster farm for at least 2-3 years past 2025, if not longer with this teams prospect-procurement systems. They have a direction and have had a direction since day 1 under this teams FO. Just sit back and continue to enjoy the ride.
  16. SF70
    Easy A grade Jake, even if Hall ends up part of the nastiest bullpen in baseball. Ortiz is the prize because of his incredible SS defense/bat combo. Easy 3 WAR floor with 5 WAR upside if he can eventually launch. This is the type of player (plus SS defense) the Brewers value, maybe as much or more than any team in baseball. Getting the draft-pick a year early helps strengthen the farm earlier and in turn helps the ‘26 team vs the ‘27 team.
  17. SF70
    1. Chourio 2. Quero And then everyone else. Quero is the perfect extension candidate for the same reasons Chourio was. Talent & age, but unlike Chourio, who signed for $1.9M, Quero only signed for 200K.
  18. SF70
    Lots of risk, but the upside is enormous. If all goes right, Misiorowski could be another Glasnow. Ashby a TOR starter, and Hall another TOR. But all 3 could also end up in the bullpen. Fortunatly, we have an elite PDS, and as such, at least with Mis & Hall, I’m expecting both to be closer to the former, if not reach their ceilings. Ashby’s shoulder injury could keep him from reaching his ceiling no matter how great our PDS. The FO has done a great job of adding starter talent to the farm in the last 2-3 years, with Gasser & CRod being safe bets to rotation, even if only having #3-5 starter potential. If Ashby can get his stuff all the way back eventually, this team could have a rotation to rival the Burnes-Woodruff-Peralta staff, only this time with great positional talent playing behind them.
  19. SF70
    Don’t think Adames gets moved. I think Adames’s performance for us in his contract year and knowing we can get a comp pick + 2.6M in pool money plus the fact the team wants to contend this year vs what we can get prospect-wise returned, when there are so few teams likely bidding for Adames leads me to conclude he stays.
  20. SF70
    I love Sheehan and think he’s a future TOR starter so I’d definitely trade Williams and Adames to acquire him, whether it your proposal or mine with international bonus money instead of Wroblewski returned.
  21. SF70
    Sheehan is worth the risk. Just a smidgen less ceiling than Bobby Miller. We’ll get a pretty decent lottery ticket with the international bonus money, so there is that.
  22. SF70
    Adames & Williams to the Dodgers for: Emmet Sheehan & 500K in international bonus money. Let’s get 6 years of a future TOR starter, and give Armstrong & co more money to do their thing.
  23. SF70
    The organization just fixed their 2 biggest needs — plus fielding SS, that can also hit & future playoff starter. Adding the comp pick to this years draft just gets even more talent added to a farm system that even after graduating Chourio-Black-Gasser, should remain among the top 5-8 systems in the game. Incredible time to be a Brewers fan.
  24. SF70
    Small has no value. Wilson not much, and Mitchell I believe, needs to get through a season relatively unscathed first before he’s valued by opponent clubs. Substitute Frelick for Mitchell and add Payamps and maybe DiPoto thinks hard about losing his starter depth.
  25. SF70
    Yeah, I suppose better late than never. Adley-Henderson should have been locked already, extending them now is going to cost a fortune— but worth it. The Orioles with a spending owner are a frightening team moving-forward.
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