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SF70

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Everything posted by SF70

  1. SF70
    It’s not just Chourio-Frelick-Mitchell, let’s add Wiemer-TT to the trio. That’s 5 OF’s, not including Yelich. The performance of Chourio since the tacky balls were no more including the winter-league explosion has to have potentially sped-up the timeline of Chourio and the team already has multiple other talented OF ‘s they need to make room for. Guessing they hold their OF’s that have sell-low probabilities, which to me are all of them except TT. Based on the aforementioned information, filling the DH position with Jiminez doesn’t seem like a wise move.
  2. SF70
    This isn’t that hard. Burnes and Adames will only be traded if the team receives an offer that crushes the pick & ‘24 Burnes/Adames performance, including a big-league player that helps the team win in ‘24. This team has made it abundantly clear they have zero interest in a rebuild, which makes sense with the infrastructure, including farm system that they currently enjoy. They get a “godfather” deal or they hold and go win the central with them.
  3. SF70
    When Chourio is installed (hoping it’s OD) and if the team holds Mitchell-Frelick, I think Yelich’s days as a LF for this team will be reduced and his days as a DH will increase, probably substantially. A Jiminez trade handcuffs the team in a big way since he’s unplayable for an Arnold-led team anywhere in the field, and as a full-time DH will absolutely limit the teams options of moving Yelich there and giving the team the blazing fast and elite defensive OF of Frelick-Chourio-Mitchell.
  4. SF70
    Interesting rotation taking shape with that team. 36-36-35-34 are today’s ages of their starters. They really need to trade for Glasnow in their attempt to go for it 1 more year before they rebuild. Then they need to add starter depth and 3-4 bullpen arms. If they can accomplish that they could get their pitching to near average, maybe a smidgen above with some luck on the health front.
  5. SF70
    If the Pirates don’t overpay for Santana, I believe he’ll be back. I’m wanting him back, especially at $7-8M, which is probably what he gets.
  6. SF70
    Why not both?
  7. SF70
    No. All of our OF’s except TT should be held at this time. It’s sell low on all of them right now, so no reason to do that, unless the team has decided that one of them isn’t going to amount to anything, but guessing that it the case. Jiminez has nowhere to play on this years team. We have many more options for DH this year than even last year, including Tyler Black.
  8. SF70
    No thanks. DH needs saved for Yelich and others.
  9. SF70
    The Brewers would never move Peralta for the return you are proposing. Lee is a great prospect, but the pitchers are either kinda meh (Raya) or way too far away from the bigs (Soto). The combination of stuff, contract and control (3 years) make Peralta incredibly valuable and if the team did indeed decide to offer him around the league he would return a lot more than Lee-Soto-Raya.
  10. SF70
    I think Perdomo had TJ surgery late last year, so he’s likely to miss the year.
  11. SF70
    If indeed Burnes can return 2 big-league players plus 2 prospects then yes he will go, but I’m skeptical the team can get an offer like that. I think it more likely 1 big-leaguer plus prospects, which depending on the big-league piece (Sheehan?) the team still might go with. Fascinating offseason ahead.
  12. SF70
    Baseball America statcast farm system rankings— hitting. Underlying metrics via Hawkeye data from the minors: 1. LAD 2. NYY 3. Det. 4. Phil. 5. MKE “The Brewers are the third youngest organization. When factoring in age, the Brewers jump from 7th to 5th. The Brewers have a combination of young players with advanced plate skills and at least average exit velocity data.” For those of us that believe this teams farm system has tremendous young talent, namely teenage talent — confirmation of that here I believe thru statcast. This bodes well for future positional waves post-‘2026.
  13. SF70
    Against as well. Why take a chance with more pitcher injuries?
  14. SF70
    He stays, hopefully with an extension, but if not, for his contract year performance/ draft-pick/ pool money. Limited teams need shortstops, so there won’t be any bidding wars which will help keep the return down. So he stays and helps the team win another NL central title.
  15. SF70
    Yeah, I don’t see this team spending $12M+ for a starting pitcher. Maybe a Fedde for $5-7M? and only if Ashby is bullpenning to keep his workload down. I think they go with signing starters on minor-league deals for depth. If they sign a Fedde, Gasser can be the 6th starter. If they trade Burnes, they likely get a starter returned they can rotation immediately. CRod should be ready sometime around mid-season if needed.
  16. SF70
    I think it’s as simple as Mayo provides tremendous power of which the team can use big-time. Whether he plays 3B-1B or RF, his bat in the middle of the lineup for the next 6+ years would be fantastic. Wilken is at best 1.5 years away from touching MKE. The jury is still out on Black at 3B. I think long-term Black’s best position might be LF/CF, with this team—LF. Agree with you — theBrewers biggest weakness organizationally is SS. Adding Ortiz or Westburg would also be great. Also agree that trading RP to Baltimore makes the most sense. Elias doesn’t seem like the 1 year rental type GM to me. Payamps for 3 or Williams for 2 seems to be something he’d go for.
  17. SF70
    Agree Williams would cost more than Ortiz. I agree Baltimore needs bullpen help. With Bautista down until ‘25 they seem like the perfect team to trade Williams to. Williams for Mayo? Williams for Ortiz & Norby? Williams for Norby & Hall?
  18. SF70
    Love the Mitchell trade for the young starter to replace Burnes, and open-up playing-time on OD for Chourio. Like the Burnes trade to Baltimore for Mayo-Beavers-Bright. Elias seems like a GM who would want more than 1 year of control on anyone but he does have ridiculous IF depth organizationally and OF’s higher on the pecking order than Beavers so maybe this is one he just can’t say no too. Mayo is the exact type of player if I’m trading Burnes I want back — a player that can help the big-club early in the ‘24 season. I also might not make this trade unless I make the Woo trade as well, getting a rotational starter to replace Burnes in ‘24. Don’t like the Polanco-Turang trade. Hate Polano’s defense anywhere on the IF. Don’t want to trade Turang this early in his development. Bringing in Dunn gives me backup for if Turang comes into camp rail-thin again. Something tells me he’s been working-out like a man possessed this offseason to get stronger in an attempt to impact the baseball a little more and make adjustments in the box. Love the Severino & Santana signings. Nice job with the roster you put together. Traded Burnes without making the ‘24 team worse, which isn’t an easy thing to do, and the trades are to teams who realistically might actually want to make those trades.
  19. SF70
    I love the return on the Dodger trade but don’t think there’s any way the LAD trade both Sheehan and Pepiot for 2 total years of Burnes-Adames. Just not a Friedman-type of move. I think it’s going to be hard enough just getting the right return from that team trading 1 of Burnes-Adames. I also don’t think Baltimore trades a top 50 prospect in Ortiz for a non-Williams reliever. Payamps just doesn’t have that type of value. Now Williams to Baltimore sounds more like the right move. Lots of IF talent to choose from like a Mayo might be had there.
  20. SF70
    Yeah for me if I’m trading Burnes to the LAD I’m wanting Sheehan as the headliner. He’s better than Pepiot and would give MKE a #2/3 for the next 6 seasons. The LAD would never part with both of Pepiot-Sheehan, so Sheehan it should be. I’d even go with Vargas the 17 yr old SS as the 2nd piece and leave it at that, giving my farm as good a group of teenagers as there is in baseball. Im not trading Burnes to LA unless I get Sheehan. Period. I’ll keep him for his ‘24 performance and the pick otherwise. Sheehan replaces Burnes in the ‘24 rotation as well as any one player in baseball that I can think of that would be possible as a trade return.
  21. SF70
    Yeah the way Arnold & co value defender status in their players I just don’t see interest in Polanco.
  22. SF70
    Championship roster? You mean like the ‘23 Braves or Dodgers? This team can win the central in ‘24 as is and once in, have as good a chance as anyone because — baseball. 2 TOR starters, the best bullpen in baseball, Mitchell back, sophomore improvement, Chourio & Black = definite contender. I’m excited about 4 picks of the top 40ish and $14M in pool money in the ‘25 draft, and I think the team is as well if it means another central title.
  23. SF70
    The team likely believes they can win the central with Burnes-Adames. If they get a return that blows the comp pick/pool money AND Burnes potential Brewers performance out of the water, they likely take it. It would very likely have to include player/players ready to help the big-club in ‘24, imo, or they hold and give this team’s tremendous amateur draft department the pick and the money. Same with Adames.
  24. SF70
    I believe Rea signed for $3.5M plus the club option. Tremendous signing. Guessing Rea believes the MKE PDS can get another gear out of him this year like they did last year after coming from overseas.
  25. SF70
    No thanks on Manoah. Way too much risk. Out of shape, big loss of velo. Attitude is potentially another red flag.
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