Seeing that the injury likely has prevented him from throwing a pitch on a MLB mound for more than 12 months, that would perhaps be the worst move to try and make. He's going to get a marginal at best pay bump in arbitration, I'd rather they just see what Nelson can do when (hopefully not if??) he ever gets back to 100% health. It's still his throwing shoulder, not an ACL or ankle break or something that has nothing to do with the functionality of his arm, so even though he injured it while not throwing a baseball there has to be concern until he proves he's the same pitcher to justify any sort of longterm extension talk, IMO. I also think if his prognosis does look good for next season, his agent would advise Nelson not to take that kind of extension as it would control him at far below market price for an upper rotation starter through too much of his prime production years. If Nelson would sign a 5 year extension at that price, I'd be worried as a fan that his team knows he's likely damaged goods. Boy, I realize 30M doesn't buy what it used to but we better not ever be offering 5/30 to a pitcher who is damaged goods. Also don't necessarily agree that his agent would advise him to reject it. Or maybe he would, but Nelson doesn't have to listen. He might have concerns himself about how he will be long-term and jump at the chance to secure a lifetime changing amount of money like Chase Anderson did.