nate82

He was just angrily saying sooory. Really impressive start by the Bucks so far without Middleton.

I think JD Martinez is going to have to take a deal somewhere around $10-12m for one year. I just don't see that big of a market for him. Josh Bell is a notorious one half is good and then the other is bad you just don't know which half it is going to be. Career by month: Career by half: By half and year: 2022 2021 2019 2018 2017 Conforto will probably get the most but definitely a 1-year prove it deal. With Joc Pederson the Brewers have tried previously but they didn't this past off season. Bellinger maybe done but I wouldn't mind him on a 1-year deal but no more than $8m.

Rumors of the Bucks being interested in Crowder. Will be hard to trade for him without creating a hole somewhere else. Would probably be Hill and Allen to offset the salary I think haven’t checked if that is what would be needed or not. Trading Allen would create a huge hole at SG.

The average attendance in Phoenix is about 7k. So in Milwaukee that is probably 3-4k a game on the high end will probably be something like 1-2k a game.

Affirm is at 2.5 APY but that is only available through their app. Capital one is at 2.3, Lendingclub 2.85, sofi 2.5, Marcus 2.35 and Ally 2.25. Just stay away from the traditional national banks and you should be fine. Might want to check on a local credit union.

That is a mega trade and I am not sure there is a realistic trade for that. That is nearly $150m in surplus value between Burnes and Adames. That is a lot to trade for and I think you are getting into the realm of not getting full value for each player. The Nationals should have gotten more back than what they did for Turner. If the Nationals would have traded Turner alone they would have received more. The problem for the Nationals was that Scherzer was going to block any deal unless it was a team he approved to and that list was really short. So the Nationals had to make the deal or lose Scherzer and only get a draft pick back. While the Brewers don't have the problem of Burnes or Adames rejecting a trade there is the problem where you are asking for a lot coming back from the Dodgers. I don't think a team would want to trade that many pieces for two players. If you are going to include someone with Burnes I think you include Urias to the deal instead of Adames. With Urias that would be about $110-115m in surplus value being traded which is an easier number to work with. You wouldn't have to include 5+ players coming back to make that deal happen. I just don't see the Dodgers emptying the farm to trade for both Adames and Burnes. The Dodgers have some bullpen holes to fix along with deciding on their starting rotation for next year. I think Adames is definitely a fit for the Dodgers but that all depends on how they see Lux. Is Lux there everyday SS or is he better at 2B? If the Dodgers don't resign Turner I think they will look else where and won't sign one of the other SS's in FA. So a trade for Adames would be something I could see the Dodgers being interested in. This is still a team being ran by Friedman so I wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't even go after any of the FA SS's and instead goes after a SS like Adames in a trade. This is the same Dodgers team that decided to trade for Turner because they didn't want to pay a premium at SS for Seager.

Nice strawman arguments. I work in the financial industry and it is completely cut throat and far more than the baseball industry. We use a lot of free information to proof and validate our data. Thinking MLB execs are not going to do this also is just asinine. Regardless if the site is wrong or right it is another data point to verify your information. Is your model right or is it wrong. Since other teams can’t see another teams valuation process a free one is just as good to compare your data points. Why is this so hard for you to understand?

I don't think you have ever worked with data before or used third party applications to proof your work. It is ok if you don't understand this. From banks to tech giants like Google they all use third party applications to proof their work. If they buy the third party application it is no longer a good audit tool to proof your work and is more than likely going to be your new model if you are going to buy it. The teams already have a system and they will probably just be using the site to check if their results against what someone else is doing. Hey it is free why pay for something when you can just use it for free?

You are giving Vazquez $7.5m where he just barely outperformed Caratini? I mean sure if your goal is to set money on fire that is a good way to do it. Jose Abreu at $18m is also an overpay you may only get 100 games out of him and he is getting older. I like Abreu but no thanks at that price. Suter at $3m while removing Renfroe is a dumb idea. Suter pitched nearly all of his games in low leverage situations and that is way too much to pay someone to pitch low leverage situations. There are far better options in the minors than Suter to pitch those innings at a lower cost. Adding Benintendi wouldn't fix anything as he would either be batting lead off or batting second. That means you either have Yelich batting 2nd or Yelich batting 3rd or you have Adames batting 3rd or Adames batting 2nd. Take your poison pill how you want it but adding Benintendi would be a bad idea especially if you are replacing him with Renfroe. You basically just lost a power hitter in Renfroe who is probably your best #5 hitter. You effectively make the team worse by replacing Renfroe with Benintendi. Having Mitchell, Feliciano, Frelick and Turang all on the team is not going to happen. That is way too many rookies on the team. I don't see this team finishing better than this years team the way you have it constructed. At best I think your team finishes with the same record or worse. The bullpen actually looks worse so props on doing that.

Probably because the Blackhawks suck which sucks being a Blackhawks fan. Hopefully they trade Kane this year even if he doesn't want to be traded. The Blackhawks are just one ugly mess right now.

I think Chapman will do better in a smaller media market. But the warning flags are there and that is why I thought $10m would be a good gamble and it is only one year. If it works out great you have a really strong bullpen if not then the Brewers are back to a somewhat questionable bullpen. I think moving Williams to the 7th or 8th inning role would be better for him. Having Robertson and Chapman as the 8th and 9th inning guys would be better. I was thinking about flipping Laureano for more prospects but that maybe a deal during spring training. Would prefer another SS on the team as this roster would be pretty scarce if Turang or Adames go down with an injury. Getting Rodriguez and Holliday is the key here. You can either put Rodriguez in AAA to start and then bring him in midway through the season in the bullpen. Either way you have three young starters now in AAA (Small, Gasser and Rodriguez) to pick from if someone goes down with an injury. I really like Frelick but that would be three rookies on the team taking up major PA's. That is a lot of risk It is about what he is going to get this offseason. He got $5.1 from the Cubs this offseason and he had a really good year this year. This is the 2nd year in a row now where I wanted the Brewers to get Robertson. He would have been really good for the Brewers this year. I think he only signed with the Cubs this year as they gave him the closer role which helped him for this offseason to get a bigger payday. I think $6m is close enough to what he will get. Also it is really only a 1-year deal for Robertson with the buyout at $4m which is what the Brewers would do. I just did a 3-year deal to backdate the money and have a higher buyout in year two which is just about half of what Robertson would make. It would be beneficial for Robertson also to have that year two buyout as he could get a bigger payday in free agency that year. The $4m buyout plus whatever he could sign for probably something around $5m or more depending on how well he pitches in '23.

Trades: 1. Urias and Houser to the Giants for Bart, Murphy and Swiney 2. Burnes to the Orioles for Rodriguez, Holliday and McDermott 3. Taylor and Hiura to the Athletics for Puk, Irvin, Laureano and Kemp. This is a pure salary dump for the A's including Laureano and Kemp. FA Signings/Extensions: Josh Bell 2-years $22m ($12m player option for '24). Aroldis Chapman 1-year $10m David Robertson 3-years $24m (team option for '24 with a buyout of $4m and a player option for '25 at $10m) Willy Adames 6-years $110m (back loaded contract) Brandon Woodruff 6-years $140m (back loaded contract) Victor Caratini 2-years $4.5m ('24 is a player option at $3m) The '24 rotation could possibly be Woodruff, Peralta, Ashby, Lauer, Rodriguez/Gasser/Small/Irvin. Gasser and Rodriguez should get some time with the Brewers in '23 to get their feet wet a bit. Rodriguez is ready to go and could take a bullpen spot from Strzelecki or Cousins if needed. C: Joey Bart ($0.70M) 1B: Josh Bell ($10.0M) 2B: Jace Peterson ($2.5M) 3B: Willy Adames ($18.3M) SS: Brice Turang ($0.7M) LF: Christian Yelich ($22.00M) CF: Garrett Mitchell ($0.70M) RF: Hunter Renfroe ($11.0M) DH: Rowdy Tellez ($5.5M) 4th OF: Ramon Laureano ($3.6M) Utility: Mike Brosseau ($1.00M) Utility: Tony Kemp ($3.9M) Backup C: Victor Caratini ($1.5M) SP1: Brandon Woodruff ($18.00M) SP2: Freddy Peralta ($3.5M) SP3: Eric Lauer ($5.0M) SP4: Aaron Ashby ($1.2M) SP5: Cole Irvin ($0.7M) RP: David Robertson ($6.0M) RP: Jake Cousins ($.70M) RP: A.J. Puk ($0.70M) RP: Peter Strzelecki ($0.70M) RP: Hoby Milner ($1.00M) RP: Devin Williams ($4.00M) RP: Aroldis Chapman ($10.0M) Payroll is 2.18% over budget

Yelich numbers are right and I don’t believe they have updated the numbers recently. The values go up and down based on contract and performance. Yelich is so far negative because of his contract, no trade clause and performance. It would take a lot to erase those barriers for a trade so yeah you are going to have to give up a lot just to trade him. It is also why the Brewers can’t just dump him in a trade. You would get nothing back. Burnes will probably get a higher value once they update their values again. Taylor should decrease a bit and Wiemer looks about right also. Lauer’s value should increase some and Houser’s will drop mostly because of the injury and performance.

Methane should be less harmful in the long run than diesel and also should be less expensive and shouldn't hurt the environment as much as drilling for oil. There is a lot of methane that can be extracted in the US. The goal is to have as many options as there can be. I think semi-trucks would be the first ones to convert. Convert about 20% of the long haul semi-trucks to methane or another cleaner burning source and the environment will be better off. The economy will still need to move goods around and while trains would be a better option it would take a lot of money to restructure all of the rail in the US to be electric like most of Europe and Japan. There hasn't even been an estimate for this yet it will probably be in the 100's of billions of dollars. I think California is just about to finish or has finished its electric rail and that cost about $5b and I think that is just for commuter train. The real benefit isn't in a commuter train it is in freight. Some estimates have freight trains if the US could convert to electric would be something like saving $94b over a few decades. I am not sold on that figure and if it only saves $94b that is a huge cost to take under. I think a conservative estimate would be something like $500b to fully convert all of the US railway to electric. That would include creating new power plants to help cover this new electrical demand. So that amount could increase even more but this would be the chance to add some more nuclear facilities. We are already spending way to much why not just go all in and redo all of the railways in the US and add a few new nuclear facilities while we are at it. There are a lot of programs that can be gutted to do this and only increase the budget by a small amount. Basically just stop spending 2x as much as Russia and China combined on the military and that should cover this. Also just stop sending money to other countries either through aid or military equipment.

You are getting consumerism and capitalism mixed up. Capitalism has nothing to do with "what consumers wanted". That is consumerism it is basically the definition of consumerism. Well obviously everyone wants to get cheap oil no one wants expensive oil. It is not that no one wants to invest in more drilling or refinement it is that it is very prohibitive to do so. All of the large banks in the US will not finance any company for more drilling or refinement. The large banks won't fund any alternative fossil fuels which includes methane and other natural gas. Methane and other natural gasses would be a better option over diesel. This would then replace the heavy machinery and long distance semi-trucks. The US financial industry and government is stuck in this green energy for everything but they can't see one inch past their noses due to only seeing one way to get to an outcome. Also forget nuclear which at least one country is doing that correctly in France. The US already outpaces nearly every country in green energy (solar and wind). If you look at France's energy production you will see the majority of it comes from nuclear and the rest from everything else. France actually has a rather low solar and wind output. I don't believe we will be it is just replacing one problem with another. The kicking the can down the road a bit further. The batteries will have a shelf life on them and once that shelf life is hit what do you do with the batteries? Car accidents are still really high in the US. What happens to the batteries when they are damaged? You have to replace those batteries along with the car. While the batteries can be recycled only about 5% can be fully recycled which feels like a real waste. The process to recycle the batteries is also extremely hard. Getting 5% back in recycling sounds like you are going to create more pollution than you will be saving. It also looks to be very costly to recycle these batteries which means there won't be many companies doing this as the benefit will just not be there. That means these factories will be over seas where environmental standards will be very relaxed. Probably India, Pakistan or Venezuela sound like perfect homes for these recycling plants to operate. There are basically no environmental protections in these countries. I am going to assume these batteries are going to be buried somewhere or thrown into the ocean. Any benefit that will be gained from going to EV is going to be destroyed by the batteries that the EV's run on. I am not sure why people hate having more than one option to solve a problem. Having a mixture of cars, trucks and other vehicles running on a mixture of different things will help the environment out more. Methane and hydrogen need to be looked into more in powering vehicles but both get very little attention. It is just EV's or nothing when it should be a combination of all these options. Just like in investing it is never a good idea to place everything into one thing spread it out and you will decrease your risk.

The oil would actually have to get here which has been a problem with Venezuela. Lots and lots of leaks. If you are an environmentalist you would rather have the oil extracted here than in Venezuela. Basically if there is a leak in Venezuela it doesn’t get repaired it just leaks. As long as there is some oil coming in they are not going to shut it down. Venezuela is basically an environmental disaster at this point.

I will go with 3rd in the East and they will at least make the ECF. They have a Finals team just need to stay healthy.

The $4 gas prices were nice while they lasted. Should see an increase at the pump around December with OPEC now deciding to cut production. Probably will see gas prices around $5-6 as an average starting in December. The Fed is definitely going to have to rethink its rate hike if oil goes north of $110 a barrel.

The bring everyone mostly back but pay a lot for bullpen and fill holes scenario. Mark A would have to open up his wallet a lot for this to happen and I don't think many of these moves are realistic. But I am bored so...... Free Agent signings: David Robertson 2-years $19m Aroldis Chapman 1-year $10m Michael Fulmer 3-years $16m Nolan Arenado 5-years $165m Christian Vazquez 3-years $27m Dansby Swanson 6-years $140m Jace Peterson 3-years $11m Trades: Urias to Mariners for Berroa (RHP), Clase (OF) and Perez Jr. (1B). Adames to Dodgers for Stone (RHP), Bruns (LHP) and Leonard (SS) Hiura and Small to the A's for Puk and Brown Taylor Position players: 1B: Tellez, Brown and Brosseau 2B: Turang and Peterson SS: Swanson and Turang 3B: Arenado, Brosseau and Peterson OF: Yelich, Renfroe, Brown, Mitchell and Frelick C : Vazquez and Caratini Lineup: 1. Yelich (DH) 2. Swanson (SS) 3. Arenado (3B) 4. Tellez (1B) 5. Renfroe (RF) 6. Frelick (LF) 7. Vazquez (C) 8. Mitchell (CF) 9. Turang (SS) Rotation: Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta, Lauer and Houser/Gasser (when ready) Bullpen: Robertson, Chapman, Fulmer, Puk, Williams, Milner and Cousins/Strzeleki Like I said some of these are probably not realistic and I don't see the Brewers spending anywhere close to what I have put down. I just did this for fun if money wasn't an issue. Lots of money spent and since it is the Brewers they go 62-100.

Not much really at that price it would be hard to move him. At $10m and there not being all that much demand for 2B I think the Brewers would have to take on some of the salary to be able to move him for a decent return. Maybe to the Phillies or Angels. The Dodgers would also be a possibility. There are not that many AL teams in need of a 2B the Phillies and Dodgers would probably only be interested if they move on from Segura and T. Turner. I wouldn't be surprised if the Dodgers insisted on the Brewers taking back J. Turner and a prospect to even out the salary difference. The Brewers would be taking on an extra $6m with Turner but I don't think the prospect would be anything more than a lottery ticket.

I believe he had an opt out clause. It was a really late one but he had one I believe.

I believe he had an opt out clause. It was a really late one but he had one I believe.

There have been some really bad metal bands lately. Tyler Childers is a really good country singer and his music isn’t really your typical or pop-country that is played on the radio.

No it would be a waste of a trade. Even if the Dodgers would be interested I would rather just keep Yelich and live with the contract. Better to get full value for Adames than half or even lower value.

You won’t get a top 15 if you add Yelich to the deal. You may have to add money to the deal to get the deal near even. Would have to look at the numbers again but Yelich has been a -100m+ valued player. Adames has been about $30-40m valued player. So Adames excess value won’t even cover Yelich’s negative value. You would have to include Burnes to get a 5-10 ranked player from the Dodgers or pay a significant portion of Yelich’s contract.