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biedergb

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Everything posted by biedergb

  1. Frelick, Mitchell Wiemer, and Chourio all have the speed and defensive ability to handle center. Who has a stronger arm? Long term that is who could go to RF. It could be Wiemer if his bat improves. But otherwise Chourio or Frelick. I would think Frelick or Mitchell man CF for a bit as Chourio adjusts to MLB level. And then Chourio takes over CF at some point, and ultimately Yelich will have a LF/DH role, to give less stress on his back I would think Yelich is more behind being everyday LF, as I bet he enjoys playing outfield. DH has to be very hard since you sit and only get up to hit, so mentally a different approach to the game then being in the field on a regular basis.
  2. Yeah. Even 3-5 “first” round selections is great to have the picks, but the money associated would allow a lot of creativity and allow to try to go after a tougher to sign picks. ‘This year, only 4 picks in the top 100, is nice, but not likely as much a haul as last year. But with building success in international market, and hopefully earning more picks to keep the prospect pipeline going. Definitely exciting.
  3. He is a solid top 5 round draft selection. Can hit well and could be a productive MLB player. Not what you hope as a 2nd rounder, but factor in the fact that his selection and signing helped land Bitonti and Pratt, this makes a lot of sense. Would not have expected him to fall past 3rd/4th round in draft so using his pick on Pratt and trying to get or equal value later may not have yielded the same results. hopefully a Tyler Black (lite) draft pick with solid hit, later emerging power and ability to find some place to field on the diamond.
  4. Great interview. It’s always interesting to see how guys get to where they are, but this is such a unique path. Injured for his two seasons in college that bracketed the Covid 2020 shutdown season. yeah his arm was low mileage. But coming off 2 injuries and only 11 IP, had to think a scout liked something in his arsenal to take a flier. And he is still young. Hopefully he has a healthy season, and continues on his momentum from last year. Does anyone have a scouting report on his pitches? Or a link to an article?
  5. While the pitching depths have been a little depleted, and restocking started the past 1-2 years. They do have some waves of pitching prospects, with three high end prospects near the top (Misio, CRod, Gasser), and then some arms in the A level that are a mix of non drafted players and international signees. Then in the draft a few College/JuCo arms, and some high schoolers. I see Knoth and Letson (HS picks) going very slow. Build up arm strength, and get the consistency etc worked on. Then see if the others (Woodward, Birchard) can move up quickly, and probably restock some arms in this years draft again.
  6. What a great interview with Brenton Del Chiaro. His passion, positivity is amazing, and the way he can communicate how he embraces both the old school (mechanism and production) and the new school (chase rates, exit velo) of the coaching/evaluation/development side was so interesting to hear. He seems to have a very clear, consistent message. He sounds like a great communicator if you hear him speak, and you can clearly get what he is trying to say. "You be you" approach will be interesting to watch. For those who didn't watch the interview, the organization is essentially not messing with hitting mechanics (don't know if that applies to pitching since Brenton did not discuss that side). The argument is that players are successful to that point for a reason, and if you change it you can mess with the success. So don't make a change unless you know you can revert back is what he preached. And he also empowers the players to make changes on their own, rather than talk them into (or force them into) changes. Could be a big boon to the system, or could be a big flop. Time will tell, but the lack of great development of hitters over the past decade or so speaks to the need for organizational change. Oh yeah and the insights into some players like Joey Wiemer, Jackson Chourio, and even Luis Lara was pretty cool to hear. I am even more hopeful for these guys after hearing what he had to say.
  7. I agree that the ownership has invested into the team and yes the casual fan won't see this, only the fact we won't pay Hader or Burnes, and can't sign Hoskins etc. And I absolutely agree, that this is the type of things the small market team NEEDS to do to stay competitive. Draft well, invest into international signings, and develop the young talent. That will make millions in return on investment by keeping the costs associated with fielding a better team down. But, in the short term view while they did spend in 2018-2019 (and spend big by historical standards), the big league team has plateaued in terms of MLB player investment, while the big spenders have just lapped the small market teams. That is not Mark A to fix, but they do get a lot more money from revenue sharing and if the team is truly competitive in the next year or two with a young cheaper core, they will absolutely have to put some of that money into FA signings or re-signing their own talent.
  8. Agree. Ranking lists are pure speculation. Some lists also want to stand out, as they can't all be the same. And results have been erratic in the past. Have a guy that most believe is top 10 overall is great, but some have faded in the past, some succeeded. For example, the 2018 MLB top 100 had Ohtani, Acuna and Vlad Jr. Then Eloy and Gleyber who are good but maybe not top 10. Then Victor Robles, Forrest Whitley and Nick Senzel, while Burnes was 69 and Woodruff was 96. Of note Bauers, Bukaskas and Jahmai Jones were also on the top 100 list. I think I am more concerned about how Chourio does in the bigs. If he can hold his own and improve, I'm super happy. If he becomes an all-star level CF, then I'm ecstatic.
  9. That would be interesting. I do like how the Rangel signing with the Brewers is known as Kobe - maybe to distinguish himself from the other?? They are both listed as from Venezuela, so that is possible.
  10. Anyone know of a quick way to find the MLB prospect videos for Brewer prospects? The videos like this that are prospect profiles, not the highlights videos. They used to be easy to find on MLB.com Prospect ranking page, but now they have so many in season highlights it is harder to scan through?
  11. Interesting, as Baseball America has him signing with the Rangers
  12. I do like the position player depth in the minors. At 1B - we have Black, Wilken E. Martinez and Adams. Middle IF - Turang, Zamora, Brown Jr,, Boeve, Baez, Pratt 3B - Wilken, Boeve, Bitonti, Pratt So like 10-12 players for the IF position at multiple levels. If 3-4 can become regulars that is great to go along with the OF depth.
  13. Wow. Flashbacks. I remember the BF.net top prospect lists. I also remember that 2014 list and thinking that the top 10 mid season was pretty good. Oof It just goes to show that prospect evaluation is subjective and that “predictions are hard; especially about the future.”
  14. I thought Baez as a SS was already over - didn't he play 3B and 2B toward the end of the season? Also - did I imagine it, or was there some discussion of moving him to OF? (Maybe do to glut of middle IF?) either way, his bat will carry him, and if he continues to hit as he moves up the minors, he will find a position. Pratt - way too early to tell, but his draft comparison was Gunnar Henderson IIRC, and that portends to a favorable chance of being a SS long term. But he could also move later, but it will be 2-3 years to sort out. Good problems to have - having multiple players are multiple positions who carry a prospect title, with some reasonable chance of being a MLB player. Very deep prospect pool right now, as well as the high end talent. Probably need to find another pitcher or 2, and another SS and another impact bat in the minors (via trade, 2024 draft) to keep this as a top 10 organization for prospects over the next year given the likely graduation of Chourio, Quero, Black and Gasser in 2024.
  15. Does that impact the bonus pool? They will get the bonus pool for a 17th overall pick, and not the original slot (20), correct?
  16. I think the challenge with Woodruff is that there is no guarantee he returns to form. ‘The Brewers are unlikely to make a commitment to someone who will remain a question mark. Another team with more tolerance for risk will sign him to that type of contract, but the Brewers can not. Sadly.
  17. This team is not valuing some prospects very well. For an average bullpen arm (who did poorly on top of it) they sent prospect Reece Olson, who could have been a 2024 rotation option. Ditto in 2022 with Antoine Kelly who could be a high leverage RP, granted for a bigger piece, who in retrospect failed miserably with this club. Now a utility player for Jace Alina. This FO has not missed badly on prospects traded, but has missed some which is normal and acceptable, but sometimes the return is very low, and I don’t understand moving on from a prospect who has serious value in some corners (Avina and Kelly in particular) when the value of the return is low, or sadly underperformed. If the team is going through a mini rebuild, then keep players who are on top 20-30 prospect lists.
  18. I think the writing has been on the wall. The team will go through a mini rebuilding process. Maximize assets they have, lower costs. Counsell probably knew/saw this. I think the team likely builds around what they have in pitching (Peralta, Ashby, plus Gasser and maybe Junk or McKendy). Add a low end arm or likely 2 to add depth. The expectation from my perspective is that this will resemble the 2017 squad more. And hopefully the prospects pan out and 2025-2026 can rival our 2018-2019 years. This time with Yelich as the “Braun veteran”. Again our next few seasons will hopefully be more offensively driven, and we will have to see if any pitchers develop, but I’m not expecting to see a return to 2021 in house pitching production as that is rare. I wouldn’t be surprised if it was more of a bullpen building off-season.
  19. Right. I was stating that there is a completely subjective side to valuing the prospects. Brown has struggled some offensively and Boeve hasn’t been tested. So because he hasn’t had that cold spell I give him more on potential, and his pedigree is strong too being a high round pick. I will not argue that the Black comparison is anything more that recency bias, and that will factor into my equation, and the comparison was more as hit first players who need a defensive home. Brown has the defense and his hit tool is good, but don’t see much power. Biases are always a factor - just like myself and others have been upgrading pitching prospects given the track history in 2019-2021. But no the lack of high end pitching prospects success (Small as one example only) I am downgrading it some. Accurate- absolutely not. But prospect voting is as much bias, and extrapolation, and now analytics as well.
  20. Does anyone know if there has been a write up Corneille in prior write ups? interesting prospect that admittedly I don’t know much about.
  21. EBJ vs Boeve: I think it comes down to how you evaluate prospects. Defense and a defensive home plays a role, but give me tools or a hitting prowess over arm/defense only. I rank Boeve higher because of potential hitting, and some biases (hoping for a Black type of progress). Brown seems like an athlete with good defense but never seen the offensive abilities so far.
  22. This would have been fringe too 10 players in past years given age/potential/production/pedigree combo The farm is much deeper with more tools (speed or hit or defense) then in other years. plus look at the number of teenagers that will make up top 20, with really no prospect over 22-23 yo.
  23. Trade Burnes. And start to build around Frelick, Black, Chourio. If 2023 team couldn’t do much, next year is now far less likely without Woodruff. Still not enough offense to compete with 2024 clubs where offense is back in vogue.
  24. Cursed franchise. 2011 - lost NLCS to a team with crazy momentum. One of the best Brewers teams. 2017 - first playoff birth in sight and lose pitching ace on a freak base hit. 2018 - Chris Taylor freak catch saves game 7 for dodgers. Ugh best offense, elite bullpen. If only the SP from 2020-2021 were not learning to pitch but full fledged SP by this time. 2019 - MVP Yelich breaks kneecap. Grisham error holy curses! 2020 - pandemic 2021 - every hitter goes cold at the same time. One solid hitter in this line up changes everything. 2022 - stearns decides to plan exit strategy and submarines team by dealing Hader 2023 - loss another ace in woodruff ugh.
  25. Jackson Chourio Top 3 prospect in baseball. Fairly consistent all year, and had a monster July.Jeferson Quero Injuries slowed him down, but 20 year old catcher with MLB caliber defense and good hitting at AA. High end prospect.Tyler Black Top hitter all year. Consistent, and got better with moving up the chain. Impressive year!Robert Gasser Consistent - got better as the year progressed. Will be a MLB pitcher, should be a mid to back end rotation arm.Jacob Misiorowski Amazing helium rise. Arm fatigue derailed the end of the season. Struggles against AA raise some question. A good '24 puts him in the top 20 overall prospect list. A poor season sees him as an elite reliever in the future.Brock Wilken Worthy of the first round selection. Held his own in AA months after a CWS run.Carlos F Rodriguez The most consistent arm all year long. Another rotation piece for the future. Had great splits that were not much change pre and post "tacked" ball.Cooper Pratt Excellent debut. Was 2nd/3rd round talent, possible future SS. Lots of potential.Luis Lara Not quite Chourio, but did have an impressive rise like him. Could be at AA by the end of next year. High end hitting, needs power to be top 5 talent in the system.Luke Adams So impressive at A ball as a 19 year old. Most don't hit like he did. Defense a question long term, but power and hitting are so good at such a young age.Mike Boeve Played really well in lower levels, but injury cut season short. Hitting is not a question and he showed some power at the Complex league.Yophery Rodriguez Phenomenal debut for such a young player. Should be State side next year and could be another aggressive move up the minors if he can hold his own.Logan Henderson What a great season. Ace of the Carolina team. But at 21 he should be dominating, need to see him succeed in A+ or AA to rank in the top 10.Dylan O'Rae Spark plug, speed, hitting. Needs a defensive home, but looks like he was a solid draft pick out of nowhere.Eric Bitonti Power and hitting should be for real. Josh Knoth Lots of potential. Hopeful for a strong debut. Will be on the list as a top draft pick, but cannot be in top 10 until he demonstrates success in the minors. Poorly based on potential alone.Eric Brown Jr What a lost season. Defense is great. Hoping he can find his hitting in Fall League or next season.Jadher Areinamo Among the talented teenages in Carolina. Was consistent hitting, power could come as he hit a bunch of 2Bs.Daniel Guilarte Mid season was a borderline top 10-15, but inconsistent in second half dealing with an injury I think.Juan Baez Him or Mendez. Solid list to have these two at 20, as in years past they would be top 15 based upon potential. If Mendez gets back on track he is top 15. Baez can hit, and could move up quickly Based upon age and potential, but this year could factor in the actual results since it was deep enough. Other years would have top picks (Brown, Zamora, Moore) or recent draftees/IFA (DiTurri, Letson, Nadal) given the potential. But so many young players with impressive seasons. The top 6 is legitimately good.
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