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umphrey

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Everything posted by umphrey

  1. umphrey
    When we know that we actually have an OF surplus and not a collection of AAAA players and 4th OFs
  2. umphrey
    Montgomery and Snell aren’t really in the “can’t find a team, might need a short term deal” situation. More like “lots of teams want me, drive up the length of the contract and AAV as much as possible”.
  3. umphrey
    It's going to be a weird year. Freddy hopefully gets 160+ innings which is about his career high that he's hit once. Besides him, we have 9 other guys, not one of them likely to go much more than 100 innings, but all likely to get a number of starts. And I'm pretty sure a lot of innings will get filled by names not in the org right now.
  4. umphrey
    Kind of a weird one but we would have heard if he was back on the market I think so I'd guess one of the theories like they are waiting to make a roster move. Failed physical still possible but those usually get sorted pretty quick I think. Maybe they need to sign Woodruff and IL him?
  5. umphrey
    Hard to say but probably in the 2m to 8m range of guarantees. It's not nothing but it's barely some fringe money for sub replacement level player(s) over 2 years. I'll raise an eyebrow if it comes out at $15m+.
  6. umphrey
    There's really no way this is a contract that is so expensive that it will impact us in a significant way
  7. umphrey
    There are a couple guys on the roster that I'm looking at thinking maybe 2023 Julio Teheran season is a good guess. I'm hoping the MiLB and maybe a trade can make the SP group good. Ashby Gasser Mis Carlos Rodriguez. And if the playoffs are in our future run it like that 2019 (?) team and go bullpen games in the playoffs.
  8. umphrey
    Was not expecting Joey Ortiz to be so high on FG at 45. Kind of interesting, I checked the 2023 list and Ortiz was 66 and Turang was 65, they will now likely fight each other for playing time.
  9. umphrey
    They should try to do it. Woody won't get 3+ years anyway and if he's going to take a 2 year deal why not go back to the Brewers for best chance to rehab his case for a big deal 2 years from now. He might take a discount.
  10. umphrey
    With the OF it seems like an easy call to send Wiemer to AAA to start the year and revisit at the trade deadline. Some of the other guys like Haase and the fringe SPs I think they can cut or send to AAA with little to no consequence (not sure how all the contracts are written). 1B/DH they have a little bit of a crunch but if it means cutting Bauers I won't be too upset about it. If the OF is too lefty heavy I don't really care in April it's more of a June/July problem. If they want to trade one of the young OF I don't think now is the time anyway, wait until July or next winter. I'm less concerned about getting a big return (which won't be that big right now anyway) and more concerned with keeping the right ones.
  11. umphrey
    Mitchell / Frelick / Chourio / Wiemer are all just a “ride the hot bat” situation to me. I know Chourio has the contract now but if he could still potentially spend some time at AAA depending on how things go, and Wiemer is probably least likely to hit his way into an every day role, but they are all going to get a shot unless traded.
  12. umphrey
    A lot of what ifs there but I think his floor contract after a down year is in the neighborhood of 4/$80m and if we gave him a QO he would probably decline it or if he didn’t then we just keep him on another 1 year deal or even roll it into an extension. His defensive numbers prop him up and he would have a lot of perceived upside offensively based on career numbers and still being fairly young.
  13. umphrey
    I don’t think he’s going to command a big haul, wouldn’t mind just holding for a season and a comp pick
  14. umphrey
    It's pretty fair although I don't like the Wiemer for Groshans and Zubia part. Groshans looks like a pure 0 value piece and Zubia is interesting but not the guy I want to go out and get.
  15. umphrey
    👀 I thought most people considered Ortiz a straight upgrade over Turang, but I only skimmed his stats and write ups
  16. umphrey
    It didn’t help that Burnes is 100% unsignable. With Boras he’s a true rental, sometimes you can get more for a trade and sign. but overall I’m fine with it. It’s not the dream trade but 3 solid pieces in return is what we needed. Most sources I’ve read just call it a fair trade. The division rivals that are crapping on it are just thinking that it’s great they don’t have to face Burnes a few times next year, not thinking about infield or pitching depth for the next 6 years. With Burnes the only thing I was going to really crap on the Brewers for was if they held him too long and got nothing and they didn’t do that.
  17. umphrey
    I just look at the highest spending team and the lowest spending team and wonder what difference sounds good to me. The Mets spent almost 6x of the As last year, I think it’s too high. I would like to see it more like 3x. I don’t mind the big markets having an advantage, I think it helps the sport, but I wish they would tame it down a bit.
  18. umphrey
    Yeah I agree, if I were GM I would trade Burnes and Williams, either sign or trade Adames and just play for 2025. Play all the guys listed and if possible a 1B from trade. I’m tempted to even wedge Quero in there somewhere using a catcher for 1B/DH but maybe not the best idea.
  19. umphrey
    Yeah… I don’t feel good about the offense. Your lineup 2 thru 5 is pretty decent without being spectacular. Wish Adames could move down to 6 or something like that but it’s fine. The problem area is 6 to 9. Chourio and Black, I like the prospects and the potential, but I look at those 2 players and just only expect 1 of them to be a consistent producer in 2024. It’s just how it goes, good prospects often take a year or 2 to find heir MLB legs. Then 8 and 9, 2 of those players were complete disasters in 2023. Monasterio it looked like he was figured out in the 2nd half and Mitchell is Mitchell, didn’t play lasted year and prior to that he was a small sample guy with some red flag stats in his profile. Looking at those 4 guys listed in 8/9, I think I would guess 2 are serviceable and 2 are cringe level bad if that happens it’s not a terrible spot to be in but it kills any platoon advantage, depth and rest days I am a Frelick believer though, think he’ll do well.
  20. umphrey
    Luciano was forecasted as a future top 5 prospect for several years in the 2018 to 2022 time frame. He’s still riding that hype a little bit, but the hype was there because of talent, and the talent is still there, but the MiLB stats have been underwhelming. I could definitely see the giants trading him, he never really felt like their type of player honestly, but they will probably value him like a top 30 prospect and too valuable for Adames straight up. Hard to say for sure though, the amateur prospect lists can be very wrong on a guy like Luciano, could be that the real analysts have moved on from the hype already and we don’t realize it yet.
  21. umphrey
    Well he was pretty awful last year and I have no faith in our ability to rehabilitate struggling hitters 🤷‍♀️ I can’t tell if we’re trying to win next year though
  22. umphrey
    Ross is the hero we need but the one no one wanted 🤣
  23. umphrey
    Well I wasn’t trying to turn this into a Chourio bashing thread but he only had a 112 wRC+ in AA last year and I don’t buy into the notion of young guys always get better as they age quite as much as others do. So he felt like more of a top 10 or 20 MLB prospect to me as opposed to the top 2 or 3 most people call him. 112 wRC+ is kind of weak for the best prospect in baseball who didn’t really play in AAA.
  24. umphrey
    There has to be the Tyrone Taylor of pitching out there, some 30 year old that’s projected for 160 innings of 5.00 ERA or whatever and his team doesn’t really need him, give me that guy back in a trade for Tyrone Taylor. Not the most exciting path but the best one.
  25. umphrey
    Huge gamble and honestly I’ve been critical of Chourio in the past but screw it let’s roll the dice! Small market teams have to take chances to win World Series. If he’s a good defender in center field then the $10m/year won’t kill us anyway even if his bat goes full Hiura.
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