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umphrey

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Everything posted by umphrey

  1. umphrey
    Huge gamble and honestly I’ve been critical of Chourio in the past but screw it let’s roll the dice! Small market teams have to take chances to win World Series. If he’s a good defender in center field then the $10m/year won’t kill us anyway even if his bat goes full Hiura.
  2. umphrey
    What? How is an agent going to stop a waiver claim? What possible leverage could he have?
  3. umphrey
    It looks like the consensus in the industry is every single meaningful player is going to get scooped up by a fringe playoff hopeful way before they get to MKE. Even an expensive player is a cheap rental in this deal and if you look at the fringe playoff teams like Miami they can certainly upgrade their 25th and 26th best players here.
  4. umphrey
    Fan graphs has some articles on it. It was the last day they could do this and let the players play in the playoffs.
  5. umphrey
    Freeman Oldson and Goldy are better, Bellinger Walker and Diaz are arguably having better seasons, I don't think you can argue Alonso higher than 4 and there is a reasonable argument to put him at 7, so calling him a fringe top 5 is probably appropriate.
  6. umphrey
    Taking names out of it I don’t think Alonso was worth a top 30 prospect and I think it would have been crazy to offer that. He’s not even a top 5 1B this year and yes 1.3 years is a rental. If he got traded it would have been for a prospect package, for example #75 overall and a couple top 300 guys.
  7. umphrey
    I feel like it’s hard to make these deals work unless we think we can sign him to a long term deal before he hits FA. I think that has happened a lot recently with these types of trades, especially with hitters.
  8. umphrey
    Monasterio had a pretty terrible August. I would be running something like a 50/50 platoon there. I hope Monasterio can have a good career but realistically odds are he's not a long term solution.
  9. umphrey
    This is where mediocre hitters come and play so bad they can’t get a MLB contract again
  10. umphrey
    Hiura is going to be playing in our minors well into his 30s, isn't he
  11. umphrey
    It sucks but a Burnes trade is 100% necessary. We can’t risk holding him until the deadline and he is hurt and walks in FA. Woodruff I think there are options. Trade if it’s available. Extension would be great depending on cost. Not the end of the world to hold him to the deadline and trade him then or get a comp pick.
  12. umphrey
    Turang never really hit in the minors, he was never projected to hit well in the majors, and he hasn't hit in the majors. I am always surprised when people want to move on from Adames and slot in Turang who likely has upside of being an average hitter and is projected below that. Not a good strategy to improve a bottom 5 offense. People are probably going to quote his AAA age 22 season when he has 108 wRC+ and that is ok I guess but we should expect that to drop significantly at MLB level. Wiemer and Frelick were more like 132 and 155 depending on how you look at it.
  13. umphrey
    I said most people because I knew there would be a small minority overly attached to a 19 year old with 190 PAs in single A. I don't want to derail this thread too much, my point was to put the shiny new toy in perspective by comparing him to guys in our system that we know with similar value.
  14. umphrey
    Hard to get excited about that. Not many people would have missed 14 or 16 if we traded them away.
  15. umphrey
    Their wRC+ is identical. Urias had about 60 PAs this year and Turang about 270. Urias is projected better and has 2 solid seasons under his belt. I am pretty confused why they gave Urias 60 PAs and gave up on him completely.
  16. umphrey
    Probably not a trade I would have made but Blalock is an interesting add. Wonder if they will use him as starter or reliever. I don’t know why they refused to play Urias at 2B. Turang isn’t hitting.
  17. umphrey
    Making room for Kolten Wong lol?
  18. umphrey
    Just the regular reminder that the non elite relievers are a crap shoot year to year. I don't care much about 5 years of control for strz. Doubtful he would last that long on the roster.
  19. umphrey
    He’s currently the 13th ranked DH and 71st overall.
  20. umphrey
    I don't know where the industry is on those guys right now. I could see Jimenez going for a back end top 100 guy and a throw in, or 3 prospects outside the top 100. Unless we are talking about a true premium player, I think the latter type of deal is more common, but fans want the best 1 prospect they can reasonably think of.
  21. umphrey
    I was down playing Jimenez value but you guys are taking it too far IMO. He’s only owed about $16m and you get him for 2 years worth of playoffs. He makes most teams better as a DH. The club options in his contract, I’m pricing them out assuming they don’t get picked up, but something could change and they are all upside no downside.
  22. umphrey
    If you look at the production other teams are getting out of their DH this year Eloy is more like top 10ish at his position, I don't know how you call that a star player.
  23. umphrey
    His team options are 16.5m and 18.5m. I don’t see how they give him much positive value. They probably won’t get picked up. By WAR it would look pretty unlikely, although I could see a team that would just be very interested in a 1 year deal. If you don’t trust WAR then I think Nelson Cruz is a good comp, he peaked at 15m annually. If he plays the outfield and is healthy and keeps hitting then that could change the math, a lot needs to go right for that to happen though.
  24. umphrey
    Eloy would be a big difference maker for the offense so I would give a solid offer for him. If he’s really DH only and 1.5 years of control left I probably don’t offer a top 5 and maybe protect Gasser due to franchise need though.
  25. umphrey
    I will be disappointed if he doesn't get a shot at MLB at bats this year. If I'm reading his stats right, K rate down to 24% this year, last time he spent awhile in AAA it was up above 33%. And last year he proved he can be effective at MLB level if used sparingly.
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