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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. Brewers had 36 games vs RH starters before Dunn was sent down. Ortiz started at 3B for 20 of those games. I agree that Dunn was playing too much, but it was never a straight platoon.
  2. Brewers 3.5 game lead in the NLC is their largest margin of the season so far.
  3. Yeah, there is definitely some grey area there, and also with the Manfred Man. I always thought assigning all the earned runs to the pitcher who put the runners on base was overly simplistic, but them’s the rules. Seems more equitable to charge De Los Santos with 1.25 ER for allowing the runners to reach 3rd (0.75 runs) and 2nd (0.50 runs) in the first place and then the other 0.75 ER to Nova for allowing them to score.
  4. Yeah, best bet is the ASB, short handed for two days on either side. Also have off days Aug 1st and 5th, so could call him up July 31st which would be one day short handed (off day) three days short handed (off day). After that it’s probably expanded rosters in September.
  5. Agreed on Guilarte, though believe Barrios was #21 so probably just a few points separating them. For me Barrios was an easy call over Guilarte since the org thought he deserved the higher placement & was performing better at the time of voting - still is with Guilarte at 101 wRC+ and a concerning 28.9 K% versus Barrios at 119 wRC+ and an encouraging 10.0 K% entering tonight. Depending on when the next voting is there could be a lot of competition for just one spot opening naturally with Gasser the only pending graduate. If it’s after the deadline that could potentially open some spots up too. I had my “top younger guys tier” at #7 through #10 with Yophery, Lara, Pratt, Knoth. Would probably slot Fillipo between Lara and Pratt if we re-voted today.
  6. You get a Zero…and you get a Zero…and you get a Zero…but not everyone gets a Zero, that’s what makes the Zero Club so exclusive. Jose Nova (ACL) 1.1 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K Aidan Maldonado (A) 2.1 IP | 2 H | 2 BB | 4 K Bayden Root (A) 1.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K Aaron Rund (A+) 2.0 IP | 2 H | 2 BB | 1 K Craig Yoho (A+) 1.0 IP | 0 H | 1 BB | 2 K Yerlin Rodriguez (A+) 1.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K Russell Smith (AA) 3.0 IP | 0 H | 3 BB | 1 K Justin Yeager (AA) 1.0 IP | 3 H | 0 BB | 2 K James Meeker (AAA) 1.1 IP | 1 H | 1 BB | 2 K Abner Uribe (AAA) 1.1 IP | 1 H | 1 BB | 0 K
  7. Cardinals staying hot as they’ve scored four runs here bottom of eight to take a 7-4 lead over the Cubs.
  8. Yorman Galindez strong through four scoreless with 2 H | 2 BB | 6 K on 78 pitches. See if he gets one more inning with a 4-0 lead and the 8-9-1 hitters due up in the fifth.
  9. Please step away from the velvet rope, admittance for Zero Club members only… Hayden Robinson (ACL) 3.0 IP | 2 H | 2 BB | 3 K Isaiah Jackson (ACL) 1.0 IP | 0 H | 3 BB | 2 K Jeferson Figueroa (A) 3.0 IP | 1 H | 0 BB | 7 K Stiven Cruz (A+) 1.0 IP | 0 H | 1 BB | 0 K Nick Merkel (AA) 2.2 IP | 0 H | 1 BB | 1 K Taylor Clarke (AAA) 2.0 IP | 1 H | 0 BB | 1 K Kevin Herget (AAA) 1.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K
  10. They flashed up on the screen that the Red Sox team ERA of 2.69 was the lowest in franchise history through 50 games. Kutter Crawford was rocking an even shinier 2.17 ERA on his own personal ledger entering the game. Then they flashed up on the screen that the six earned runs the Brewers got off Crawford were the most allowed by a Red Sox starting pitcher all season.
  11. Among 156 International League pitchers with at least 20 IP, Enoli comes in at... 1.76 FIP (2nd to Paul Skenes) | 1.31 ERA (7th) | 41.5 K% (2nd to Paul Skenes) | 19.6 SwStr% (1st) | .153 Avg Against (5th) | 56.8 GB% (7th) | 8.1 LD% (1st)
  12. This evening's members of the exclusive Zero Club... Anfernny Reyes (ACL) 3.0 IP | 2 H | 0 BB | 4 K (*one unearned run*) Dikember Sanchez (ACL) 1.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 2 K Blake Whiting (A) 2.0 IP | 1 H | 0 BB | 1 K Bayden Root (A) 1.0 IP | 1 H | 1 BB | 1 K Bo Bowman (AA) 3.1 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 3 K Sam Gardner (AA) 3.0 IP | 0 H | 1 BB | 3 K Harold Chirino (AAA) 1.0 IP | 0 H | 1 BB | 0 K Rob Zastryzny (AAA) 1.0 IP | 1 H | 0 BB | 1 K DL Hall (AAA) 1.0 IP | 0 H | 1 BB | 1 K Evan McKendry (AAA) 2.0 IP | 1 H | 1 BB | 1 K Janson Junk (AAA) 2.1 IP | 2 H | 2 BB | 2 K
  13. Yeah, Payamps had one blowup outing on April 3rd (4 ER in 0.1 IP). His other 12 appearances over the first five weeks covered 11.1 IP scoreless. He then had two outings before and after coming off the bereavement list where he gave up 4 ER over 1.1 IP. Since then he has 3.1 perfect frames with 5 K / 0 BB. That the bullpen has managed a +3.86 Win Probability Added (2nd in MLB) without Devin, plus Payamps and Uribe struggling, is pretty remarkable considering those were three of their four high leverage arms to close last season along with Megill (who also has missed a couple weeks this year).
  14. Haha, that was definitely my favorite nugget when comparing the numbers.
  15. Brewers offense is currently tied with the Phillies for 4th in MLB with a 115 wRC+ so far this year. Their 4.98 R/G is currently 3rd in MLB. For more contextual numbers they are 4th in PAs with RISP so they are putting a lot of pressure on pitchers and have batted to a 141 wRC+ (2nd in MLB) in those RISP situations. Sure, it sucks they got shutout yesterday, but it’s been way more boom than bust up to this point. The best run of recent Brewers offense I could think of off the top of my head was the 2nd half of 2018 when Yelich went nuclear. Brewers position players posted a 114 wRC+ over those 65 games.
  16. Bryce Harper has a .913 career OPS in MLB and .941 in the minors. Brice Turang has a .642 career OPS in MLB and .740 in the minors. Both are left handed hitters named Bryice, but the similarities pretty much end there.
  17. Halfway to the All Star Break seems like a good time as any to see which teams have done the most (or the least) to improve their postseason chances through the first 30% or so of the season. Format is Team | preseason FanGraphs Playoff Odds | today FanGraphs Playoff Odds | difference. NATIONAL LEAGUE BIG GAINERS PHI: 54.6% | 98.5% | +43.9% MIL: 30.0% | 67.9% | +37.9% CHC: 41.3% | 62.4% | +21.1% ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE SDP: 41.6% | 53.3% | +11.7% LAD: 93.3% | 99.5% | +6.2% ATL: 98.3% | 98.7% | +0.4% WAS: 0.2% | 0.4% | +0.2% COL: 0.0% | 0.0% | +/- 0.0% PIT: 16.2% | 12.1% | -4.1% BIG FALLERS NYM: 29.9% | 17.0% | -12.9% SFG: 43.4% | 28.5% | -14.9% CIN: 23.1% | 8.0% | -15.1% ARI: 51.2% | 33.8% | -17.4% MIA: 28.8% | 0.3% | -28.5% STL: 48.2% | 19.6% | -28.6% AMERICAN LEAGUE BIG GAINERS KCR: 13.0% | 57.7% | +44.7% BAL: 52.8% | 87.8% | +35.0% CLE: 33.4% | 62.4% | +29.0% NYY: 72.0% | 96.4% | +26.4% ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE SEA: 60.1% | 67.6% | +7.5% CHW: 0.5% | 0.0% | -0.5% OAK: 2.5% | 0.2% | -2.3% BOS: 22.9% | 19.3% | -3.6% MIN: 65.3% | 56.8% | -8.5% DET: 28.1% | 18.1% | -10.0% BIG FALLERS TEX: 37.9% | 23.6% | -14.3% LAA: 16.8% | 1.8% | -15.0% TBR: 59.6% | 37.9% | -21.7% TOR: 49.0% | 18.0% | -31.0% HOU: 85.9% | 52.5% | -33.4%
  18. Crochet definitely has the kind of stuff to start a playoff game. I’d guess the Sox will be asking for something like a Cease package with Garrett having more team control left, but less of a track record. And track record is the main issue, his IP totals going back to college are… 2018 (63.2 IP) 2019 (65.0 IP) 2020 (9.1 IP) 2021 (54.1 IP) 2022 (0.0 IP) 2023 (25.0 IP) 2024 (57.2 IP already) It’d probably be irresponsible to throw him much more than 100 IP this year given his past workloads, and you’d likely still need to limit him to around 140-150 IP next year to build him up gradually towards hopefully handling a full 30 GS/180 IP for his final two seasons before FA.
  19. Cots has Berrios down at 4/84 remaining after this year - $18M each in 25/26 then $24M each in 27/28. There’s no way I’d want to tie up that much payroll space (and give up a big prospect outlay) for a guy who is sporting a 4.87 xERA and 4.63 FIP under the hood of his 2.98 ERA to start the season and as recently as 2022 looked completely cooked at 5.23 ERA / 5.11 xERA / 4.55 FIP,
  20. Nashville scored one bottom first via Tyler Black HBP/steal and Isaac Collins single, then scored another bottom two on a Brewer Hicklen bomb. Oliver Dunn has started bottom three with a single trying to break the 2-2 tie.
  21. Manuel Rodriguez with a decent start at 5 IP | 2 ER | 5 H | 0 BB | 3 K. See if he comes out for the 6th with a pretty efficient 66 pitches. And a Daniel Guilarte single/steal followed by a Yophery Rodriguez bomb has just evened the score at two apiece bottom of five.
  22. Eduarqui Fernandez double, Dylan O’Rae single and Jadher Areinamo sac fly finally got the TRats on the board top of six. Unfortunately Manfredi ran into some tough luck bottom of four when he compounded Tayden Hall and Luke Adams errors with a three run bomb. Patricio Aquino has followed up by working around a pair of hits and a walk to post two scoreless so far.
  23. Jacob Misiorowski Highest upside in the system.Robert Gasser Helping the MLB rotation now.Tyler Black Good 1B/DH insurance policy.Jeferson Quero Contender for #1 if not for injury.Brock Wilken Love how much power he generates from such a simple set up.Mike Boeve Can't imagine too many guys have two different minor league stops with .500 batting averages.Yophery Rodriguez Highest upside of the hitters yet to reach AA.Luis Lara Holding his own as one of only three teenage hitters in the Midwest League.Cooper Pratt Solid start to full season ball.Josh Knoth Stuff has lived up to the billing.Eric Brown Jr I still believe.Carlos F Rodriguez Put together his two best starts of the year (11 IP | 2 ER | 15 K | 2 BB) leading up to voting, hopefully a sign he is starting to figure things out at the AAA level.Bradley Blalock Getting good results in his first exposure to AA.Tyler Woessner Dominated AA, but got bombed in his first two AAA starts.Logan Henderson Just needs to stay healthy and stack innings the rest of the summer.Gregory Barrios Hot start at A+ has pushed him to the top of the second tier of hitters yet to reach AA for me.Luke Adams Intriguing mix of OBP, power and speed (low batting average notwithstanding)Dylan O'Rae Just keeps on getting on base and stealing bags.Juan Baez Just keeps on hitting (and getting caught stealing bags)Craig Yoho YO-HO!! YO-HO!! YO-HO!!
  24. Drew Smyly with three perfect rehab innings against the TRats. Mark Manredi was cruising through two before running into trouble and surrendering three runs in the third. With Smyly lifted Jadher Areinamo and Gregory Barrios have notched back to back one out singles here top of four, but a Luke Adams 6-4-3 ends things just like that.
  25. What are you trying to make those numbers do?
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