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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    93 and 118 career PAs are already tiny samples. If you want to get minuscule and look at 2024 only it’s… Turang (20 PA) 235/350/294 (94 wRC+) Monasterio (13 PA) 182/308/455 (118 wRC+)
  2. sveumrules
    Turang career vs LHP (93 PA) 198/293/210 (48 wRC+) Monasterio career vs LHP (106 PA) 278/377/400 (118 wRC+) Brice isn't going to play every inning of every game, so best to give him an occasional rest when there is a lefty on the mound.
  3. sveumrules
    Weird series of moves. Would rather see Wiemer play everyday in AAA and give whatever sporadic 5th OF ABs happen to come up to Roller. No issue with the Vieira DFA, but kinda surprised at Blalock getting the aggressive promotion. Will be interesting to see how his usage shakes out. Last pitched 05/15 in Biloxi so should be ready to go for multi inning bullpen stints or maybe they'll start him on Wednesday to push Freddy back to the Red Sox series and get a couple extra days rest.
  4. sveumrules
    Pretty rare for deals of any consequence to go down in May, June or July until the last week or so before the deadline. The Adames trade was May 21st back in 2021 but there were kind of extenuating circumstances there with Wander Franco waiting in the wings to take over SS. I'd love it if Arnold could pull an out of the blue early blockbuster for a SP, but I'm definitely not counting on it. As it stands, I think Bob Gas (11 IP | 1 ER so far) is going to be the big addition to the rotation for May and beyond.
  5. sveumrules
    By dealing prospects at the deadline?
  6. sveumrules
    First 12 Games with Yelich 135 wRC+ | 6.33 R/G Next 23 Games w/o Yelich 102 wRC+ | 4.22 R/G Last 11 Games with Yelich 132 wRC+ | 5.64 R/G Last year's Braves came in at 125 wRC+ and 5.85 R/G, so I would still expect some regression from the numbers the Brewers have posted over the 23 games with Yelich active, but even during the 23 games he was out of the lineup they still performed at essentially a league average level so I would estimate the floor for this team as being considerably higher than the 92 wRC+ they posted last year. Even if they hit to a 100 wRC+ the rest of the way out from here, the +37.0 batting runs they have already banked this season entering today would represent about a ten win improvement over the -61.2 batting runs they posted last year.
  7. sveumrules
    On the one hand - Yeli has missed half the season so far, Mitchell has missed the whole season, Chourio/Sal/Perkins have struggled with the bats, Wiemer regressed and got hurt, Jake Bauers has played nine games in the OF - sounds pretty dire on the surface. On the other hand - their 105 wRC+ as a group is 9th in MLB among OF, their +2.9 BsR is 3rd and their +2 OAA is tied for 8th - add it all up and the Brewers 2.2 OF WAR comes in 9th despite issues with health and/or productivity at the plate pretty much across the board. My guess right now would be that Perkins gets optioned when Mitchell is ready to come back so the Brewers can maintain their depth as odds are Blake will be needed subsequently for some reason or another. If Garrett stays healthy through the end of the season and/or Sal & Jackson show progress at the plate I could see an OF (likely Perkins) moved in the offseason, but things are probably still too tenuous currently to make a deal in season.
  8. sveumrules
    Ortiz 2024: 1.4 WAR Burnes 2024: 1.6 rWAR
  9. sveumrules
    Small sample of only 20 PA, but in the six games since Jackson’s reset he has hit 278/350/444 (129 wRC+) with a 10.0 BB% and 20.0 K%.
  10. sveumrules
    We should note that the relief corps has done a solid job this season (an ERA of 3.77), which is 13th in the majors. But that’s not exactly lights out like in 2023, While the raw ERA isn’t overly impressive, Brewers relievers are currently 3rd in MLB at +3.73 WPA and second in MLB with 2.5 rWAR. Their 49 “shutdown” appearances are tied for 6th most while their 18 “meltdown” appearances are 3rd fewest. Or for more of an old school flair, their 17 Wins are most in MLB while their 5 Losses are tied for 2nd fewest. All five of Hudson (17 ERA- | 59 FIP- | +1.56 WPA), Megill (38 ERA- | 71 FIP- | +1.09 WPA), Milner (41 ERA- | 88 FIP- | +0.71 WPA), Koenig (77 ERA- | 106 FIP- | 0.44 WPA) and Peguero (77 ERA- | 56 FIP- | +0.43 WPA) have been effective in terms of run prevention, peripherals and leverage. Payamps has been unscored on in 13 of his 16 appearances. The three clunkers tanked his rate stats (126 ERA- | 106 FIP-), but he’s still been a slight positive contextually at +0.12 WPA. White and Vieira are nothing special but both are fine to mop up low leverage innings as needed. I’d leave Misio in the Biloxi rotation for now to stack innings and hope he makes some gains with his command before a possible August or September call up.
  11. sveumrules
    People keep saying this, but it hasn’t happened yet. I think a more likely scenario is that Bauer does not pitch in MLB this year (or maybe ever again) because he is blacklisted and none of the 30 teams will want to be the one to break ranks.
  12. sveumrules
    No doubt Chourio and Gasser (& Ortiz) graduating will be a hit in the rankings, but I think Misio, Quero, Black, Wilken is still a pretty strong top 4. Boeve (198 wRC+) is probably the closest thing to a breakout hitter but it feels like all of Di Turi (182 wRC+), Adams (142 wRC+), Bitonti (132 wRC+), Barrios (128 wRC+), Guilarte (120 wRC+), Yophery (119 wRC+), Pratt (118 wRC+), O’Rae (117 wRC+), Baez (110 wRC+) and Lara (96 wRC+) have at least held their own to varying degrees among guys that have gotten some recent attention. Then there’s Clarke (159 wRC+), Carlos Rodriguez OF (148 wRC+), EMJ (145 wRC+), Hicklen (139 wRC+), Yhoswar (127 wRC+), Collins (122 wRC+), Eduarqui (122 wRC+) and Kay-Lan (121 wRC+) who have their various warts but have at least come out of the gates performing strong. I’d say the only real “dud” so far this year is EBJ, but injuries have definitely been a factor there.
  13. sveumrules
    Yo soy Osbriel Mogollon
  14. sveumrules
    Jadher Areinamo’s pre-swing histrionics make Joey Wiemer look like Paul Molitor.
  15. sveumrules
    This might not be a popular comp, but my immediate first impression upon watching Yujanyer Herrera (as a Venezuelan thicc-boi wearing #38) is something akin to Carlos Zambrano.
  16. sveumrules
    Red Sox are currently sitting at .500, 4th in the ALE, with eleven teams ahead of them by FanGraphs playoff odds. Not really well positioned to be aggressive buyers.
  17. sveumrules
    Looking at the schedule the only real advantageous opportunities to "call him up" and serve his suspension before September would maybe be around the All Star Game (three days shorthanded on either side with a big rest in between) or there is a quick stretch with two off days on August 1st and 5th so you could call him up and only be shorthanded for four games in six days.
  18. sveumrules
    Over the nine games since this thread was posted the Brewers have posted a 147 wRC+ (2nd in MLB) and scored 56 runs (1st in MLB). Not sure if that was the intended effect, but it worked anyway.
  19. sveumrules
    Hudson’s 24.1 IP rank 8th among relievers this year, Vieria’s 20.2 IP rank 32nd, Milner’s 19.1 IP rank 56th, Peguero’s 18.0 IP rank 82nd. Koenig’s 16.1 IP rank 137th. Two of the three best relievers on the team have thrown zero (Williams) and 10.2 IP (Megill) so far. Hudson’s the only reliever with any kind of real workload concern at this point and even then he’s been pretty carefully rested… 0331: 3.0 IP (four days off) 0405: 1.1 IP (two days off) 0408: 1.0 IP (no days off) 0409: 0.1 IP (three days off) 0413: 1.0 IP (no days off) 0414: 0.1 IP (two days off) 0417: 2.1 IP (three days off) 0421: 2.1 IP (two days off) 0424: 1.2 IP (one day off) 0426: 1.0 IP (two days off) 0429: 2.0 IP (one day off) 05/01: 1.0 IP (two days off) 0504: 2.0 IP (three days off) 0508: 2.0 IP (two days off) 0511: 1.0 0 IP (two days off) 0514: 2.0 IP So that’s zero days off (x2, only threw 0.1 IP each time), one day off (x2, only threw 1.0 IP each time), two days off (x7), three days off (x3) and four days off (x1).
  20. sveumrules
    It’s been two weeks now since the Yankees poundings. Since then Brewers batters have posted a 119 wRC+ (5th) and have scored 81 runs (4th). Brewers pitchers have posted a 3.41 ERA (11th) since then, which is a slight improvement over the 3.46 ERA they posted prior to the two NYY blowouts.
  21. sveumrules
    Carlos Rodriguez (the outfielder) might be the best single prospect that illustrates how much the depth of the system has improved over the last few years. Back before the pandemic and as recently as 2022 when he put up a 114 wRC+ at Wisco before a season ending injury he would get some votes in the teens and back end of BF Top 20. Now he’s posting a 134 wRC+ at Biloxi (before today’s 3-3) and probably won’t get a single vote.
  22. sveumrules
    Zero Club is HOPPING today... Enoli Paredes 1.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 3 K James Meeker 2.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K Tobias Myers 2.0 IP | 2 H | 0 BB | 2 K Kevin Herget 1.0 IP | 2 H | 0 BB | 1 K Darrell Thompson 1.0 IP | 0 H | 2 BB | 0 K Tate Kuehner 4.0 IP | 3 H | 2 BB | 3 K Chase Costello 1.0 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K Aidan Maldonado 2.1 IP | 0 H | 2 BB | 4 K
  23. sveumrules
    One of the issues with getting rid of Vieira is that the only two relief arms performing at a high level in Nashville - Enoli Paredes (1.02 ERA | 1.58 FIP) and Rob Zastryzny (1.65 ERA | 1.66 FIP) - are both out of options too.
  24. sveumrules
    Brewers First 25 Games 3.46 ERA | 86 ERA- (two games giving up 15 runs to Yankees) Last 15 Games Before Today 3.50 ERA | 87 ERA-
  25. sveumrules
    AI-Generated 26th Man. Was a new feature in the last CBA.
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