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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. Over the last month or so (Aug 15 through yesterday) Chourio is hitting 248/296/448 (93 wRC+), I'm not sure he'd be much of an upgrade over anybody at this point and all you'd be doing is adding him the 40 Man way earlier than needed. A more realistic option to replace Wiemer would probably be someone like Blake Perkins, who just played his first rebab game at AAA yesterday after missing the last month with injury.
  2. Yeah, the rotation is definitely peaking at the right time and has been pretty consistent outside of May despite the injuries and bouts of ineffectiveness they’ve faced… APR: 3.6 rWAR (5th) MAY: 0.5 rWAR (28th) JUN: 2.9 rWAR (8th) JUL: 2.4 rWAR (10th) AUG: 3.1 rWAR (8th) SEP: 2.8 rWAR (1st) Woody (since return on 08/06) 44.2 IP | 50 ERA- | 82 FIP- Freddy (first half) 92 IP | 107 ERA- | 104 FIP- Freddy (second half) 64.2 IP | 57 ERA- | 58 FIP- Corbin (first half) 107.1 IP | 89 ERA- | 96 FIP- Corbin (second half) 71.2 IP | 63 ERA- | 76 FIP-
  3. The biggest markets there are ARI (#11), SEA (#12), MIN (#15). Though with two teams each in NY, LA and CHI that pushes the raw ratings down a few spots. BAL (#28) and CIN (#36) are the 5th and 2nd smallest markets in MLB per Sports Media Watch. BAL and CIN have stockpiled young talent by being been among the worst teams In the last decade, yes, but SEA lost 90 games once (2019), MIN hasn’t lost 90 games since 2016, ARI flopped in 2021 (110 losses) but before that hadn’t lost 90 since 2016. Their performances have been more middling, like their market sizes.
  4. Not sure what his status is wrt minor league FA, but hopefully Lamar sticks around for 2024. Some of his throws linked throughout the season were just unreal stuff. Offensive profile has shades of Garrett Mitchell going on with the 34.9 K% and .406 BABIP, but the 13.7 BB% helps too and either way a 116 wRC+ in his return to affiliated ball has to be considered a success.
  5. Sounds go off for a 5-3 victory. Blake Perkins (1-3, 2B, BBx2), Jesse Winker (1-5, HR, BB), Darin Ruf (0-2, BBx2), Jahmai Jones (3-4, 2B, BB, SB), Cam Devanney (3-4, 2B, BB), Chris Roller (1-4, BB) and Brian Navarreto (0-3, BBx2) all reached multiple times. Evan McKendry finished up at 6 IP | 2 ER | 6 H | 1 BB | 5 K and JB Buskauskas finished with four strikeouts against only one hit over two scoreless frames.
  6. I’m not sure I’ve seen anyone all bought in on the offense, just some pointing out that it has measurably improved from earlier in the season.
  7. As long Wiemer is starting vs LHP (which he has been) he is a platoon guy. His 123 wRC+ vs LHP is 5th on the team. What three guys are you replacing Rowdy, Wiemer and Anderson with that you can guarantee better production from?
  8. Yeah, replacing three of the black holes in the lineup with Sal SantanCanha has had a pretty noticeable effect… thru 07/31 87 wRC+ | 4.15 R/G 9.5 BB% | 24.4 K% post 08/01 97 wRC+ | 5.53 R/G 10.0 BB% | 20.9 K%
  9. Wiemer is the platoon CF vs LHP. He can also be a defensive replacement and pinch run. Tellez can pinch hit vs RHP. Anderson provides flexibility with his ability to cover 3B or RF. The 12th, 13th and 14th players on most teams rosters are of limited usefulness…that’s why they’re the 12th, 13th and 14th players on the roster.
  10. The gap in analytics has definitely narrowed from 20+ years ago when the A's were the only team "moneyballing". It sure feels inevitable that the "new moneyball" is just going to be good old fashioned money, but at the same the #1 (NYM), #2 (NYY), #3 (SDP), and #6 (LAA) teams by Opening Day payroll are already out of the chase. #7 (TOR), #9 (TEX), #10 (SFG) and #11 (CHC) are only gonna have a couple postseason reps. #12 (BOS), #13 (CHW) and #14 (STL) all flopped relative to spending/market size/history. Meanwhile teams like BAL (#29), TBR (#28), CIN (#26), MIA (#23), ARI (#21), MKE (#20), SEA (#18) and MIN (#17) remain in the hunt to varying extents with bottom half payrolls lagging in most cases $100M+ behind the offseason champions.
  11. Brewers can't afford to tie up valuable payroll space plus give up some kind of prospect capital for a player that is constantly injured, even only $10M per year. Players like Bryant are the ones who skew the dollar per free agent WAR equations the wrong way, -0.2 WAR for $46M so far.
  12. Started off ice cold...102/185/102 (-11 wRC+) over his first 54 PA. Then started figuring out before getting injured...326/426/437 (148 wRC+) over his next 162 PA. Has since hit 250/360/403 (111 wRC+) over 86 PA after coming back from that injury. Putting those last two stretches together and removing the abysmal start comes out to 300/403/425 (135 wRC+) with a 12.5 BB% and 16.5 K%.
  13. Couldn't agree on compensation, or Stearns just wanted a year off to refresh before jumping into the new gig.
  14. All joking aside, from 2018 to 2022 the Brewers went 395-315, a .557 W%, 6th best in MLB. This year so far they are 80-63, a .559 W%, 6th best in MLB. I think we'll be fine.
  15. Still kind of confused why Stearns was such a hot commodity to begin with. All he ever did was luck himself into three aces and two elite closers then never assembled an offense to score any runs around them. Couldn't even draft a single hitter as good as Ryan Braun.
  16. First move will be acquiring (2024 NL Triple Crown Winner) Keston Hiura and installing him as the full time DH.
  17. Pitching is a lot like real estate. Location, location, location. Out of 268 SP with at least 10 IP this year Wicks has a 74 Stuff+, which ranks 259th. His 105 Location+ puts him in the Top 30 to 40 SPs though. Looks like he mixes it up pretty well to keep hitters off balance too with five different pitches he throws at least 7% of the time and a plus change up (35% usage) as his out pitch.
  18. The distribution is more important than the raw total. Only one inning over 20 pitches, and next to zero high stress pitches.
  19. Brewers are scoring too many runs.
  20. Adbert Alzolay to the 15 day DL with a forearm strain. Cubs will be without their closer for at least the next two weeks.
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