sveumrules

Lillard and Haliburton both probably came back from injury too soon, especially considering the increased intensity of the playoffs. Tatum had more or less been the healthiest All NBA calibre player for his eight years in the league and had six deep playoff runs in there too, he was probably just due for something big. 12th among active players in postseason minutes, the 11 guys ahead of him have a combined 178 seasons in the league for an average of 16 seasons each.

Biloxi holds on for the 3-2 win. Six different Shuckers took the mound with five of them posting zeroes… Tate Kuehner 3 IP | 4 H | 3 BB | 5 K Zach Peek 2 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 2 K Brian Fitzpatrick 1 IP | 1 H | 0 BB | 2 K Bo Bowman 1 IP | 0 H | 0 BB | 0 K Will Childers 1 IP | 1 H | 0 BB | 1 K

Tobias Myers five scoreless with 4 H | 1 HBP | 6 K and Craig Yoho with a 3U3D (1K) eight pitch save are a couple nice sights in the Nashville box.

Yeah, if the Rockets wanted Giannis package would need to be more like Green, Amen and Jabari Smith Jr., plus #10 in this year's draft, and the 2027 firsts they are owed from Brooklyn and Phoenix. But it doesn't matter because Giannis doesn't have appear to have any real desire to leave MKE at the moment.

Haha, I was just checking in before I gotta do some stuff this afternoon, but hopefully a fruitful day for the affiliates (& the big league club too).

How about a Jadher Areinamo solo shot to get Wisco an early 1-0 lead.

Jayden Dubanewicz on for the fourth and puts up a 1-2-3 inning of his own. Reading between the GameDay lines it looks like Eric Bitonti had a bloop double on a “pop up to the SS”, went to third on a Filippo ground out, and scored the second Carolina run on a balk.

Ethan Dorchies retired his first five batters (four via K) before giving up a double + single = run, then getting the third out with another strikeout. Mudcats answered back bottom two with a Filippo Di Turi walk and Gery Holguin RBI triple. Dorchies back out for the third and goes 3U3D (1 K).

The tweet about him getting promoted to Nashville wasn’t from an official team source, so it was either bogus or it might have been slated to happen after Biloxi clinched then didn’t on account of the injury.

How about Josh Maciejewski doing his best mini-Misiorowski impression with four perfect innings (4 K) to start the Sounds game. He wasn’t quite perfect, but Abdiel Mendoza delivered three scoreless (2 H | 3 K) for Biloxi. Didn’t end up meaning much with Wisco only scoring one run, but Jesus Broca got his six outs facing only five batters going sac fly, 4-6-3 after coming into 1st & 3rd no out jam in the fifth then going 3U3D (1 K) in the sixth.

...but it didn't stop there. Pena stole second, advanced to third on a wild pitch, then Eric Bitonti walked to put runners on the corners before Jose Anderson hit a two RBI triple to make it a 5-1 advantage.

Jesus Made tripled home the second Carolina run here bottom of three and Luis Pena followed with an RBI single of his own to extend the Mudcats lead to 3-1.

Columbia got on the board first with a lead off triple and RBI groundout in the first, but Carolina answered back bottom two when Filippo Di Turi hit a solo shot for his 9th HR of the year. Only Bitonti and Freili Encarnacion with 10 apiece have more homers than Filippo in the Carolina League.

DSL Gold prevails 7-6 over DSL Blue to give each team matching 6 W - 8 L records. Some highlights include... DSL GOLD Jonathan Rangel (triple, two walks, three RBI, sac fly) Juan Martinez (triple, walk, two RBI) Wandy Cabrera (3.2 IP | 0 ER | 1 H | 1 BB | 1 HBP | 1 K) Fabian Reyes (1.0 IP | 0 ER | 0 H | 1 BB | 3 K) DSL BLUE Leonard Rijo (single, sac fly, stolen base, RBI) Brailyn Antunez (double, RBI) Yoneiker Lugo (double, home run, two RBI) Jhoanjel Saez (double, walk, RBI) Justin Lugo (1.0 IP | 0 ER | 0 H | 0 BB | 1 K)

FanGraphs offers custom date range leaderboards. The linked leaderboard above is from May 18th onward during which time the Brewers have gone 21 W - 10 L, 3rd best record in MLB. Yelich (117 PA | 170 wRC+), Collins (84 PA | 138 wRC+), Chourio (137 PA | 131 wRC+), Frelick (127 PA | 121 wRC+), and Durbin (110 PA | 113 wRC+) have been doing most of the heavy lifting. Contreras (124 PA | 102 wRC+) has been fine for a catcher but obviously below his typically high personal standard, Ortiz (101 PA | 88 wRC+) has still been below average but greatly improved from the 156 PA of 26 wRC+ he started the year with, Turang (129 PA | 82 wRC+) and Hoskins (116 PA | 80 wRC+) have been the only real drags among the regular position players during this recent run and even then Brice has still added some value with his legs and glove.

Durbin 0.5 WAR > Williams -0.5 rWAR Or if one prefers BRef… Durbin 1.0 WAR > Williams -0.3 WAR Caleb’s also been pretty clutch with his +0.98 win probability added tops among Brewers batters. Fielding metrics are nice to see too after the loud chorus of “not a third baseman” following his acquisition.

Yesterday marked Matt Arnold’s 400th game leading the Brewers front office and we all like round numbers so I thought it might be a nice time to see how the Brewers have fared in a few different categories under his leadership. Lets start with the offense. Since 2023 the Brewers 97 wRC+ ranks 18th, three percent below average. Their highest ranking in the batters box is a 9.6 BB% (3rd) while their lowest is a .146 ISO (25th). To walk that much with that little power is kind of impressive in its own right. But their best offensive asset happens when they leave the box with +36.0 BsR (1st) and 429 SB (3rd). This has helped them exceed the implications of their unimpressive wRC+ to score 1,849 runs (10th). Being fairly prolific with RISP at 4,038 PA (5th) of 114 wRC+ (3rd) for 1,340 RBI (4th) has surely helped too. When it comes to the pitchers and the things they exert the most direct control over - walks, strikeouts, and home runs - the Brewers have been right around average with a 99 FIP- and 35.9 fWAR (18th). But let’s bring those position players back for a second, their +125 DRS (2nd) and +91 FRV (1st) in the field has helped the pitchers limit hits (94 AVG+ | 1st), strand runners (105 LOB+ | 1st), and keep runs off the board (88 ERA- | 1st and 56.2 rWAR | 2nd) better than just about any other team in baseball. Put it all together, 10th in runs scored, 2nd in runs allowed, and the Brewers 226 W - 174 L record over Arnold’s first 400 games are the 4th most wins in MLB behind LAD (245), PHI (231), and ATL (227). Guess all that’s really left to do is make the playoffs again this year then win the whole dang thing for Ueck.

Going back to the start of the 2022 season there are 34 pitchers in MLB with at least 500 IP. Two of those pitchers are Joe Ryan (523 IP) and Freddy Peralta (505 IP). They do a lot of stuff the same. Strike guys out (Peralta 126 K+ | Ryan 121 K+), get a bunch of fly balls (Ryan 130 FB+ | Peralta 117 FB+), allow the fewest line drives (Ryan 88 LD+ | Peralta 89 LD+), throw a ton of four seamers (Ryan 55.2% | Peralta 54.1%), limit base runners (Ryan 83 WHIP+ | Peralta 87 WHIP+), give up more homers than average (Peralta 107 HR+ | Ryan 120 HR+). Biggest difference is walks. Ryan's nice 69 BB+ is 8th lowest, Peralta's 104 BB+ is 3rd highest. Where Freddy makes up for that somewhat is by being one of the very hardest pitchers to get a hit off of (85 AVG+) where Joe is still really good but not quite elite with a 92 AVG+. Put it all together and Freddy's got an 85 ERA- | 92 FIP- shaking out to 10.9 rWAR | 8.8 fWAR versus Joe having a 93 ERA- | 93 FIP- shaking out to 9.3 rWAR | 9.3 fWAR. The Brewers defense putting up +169 DRS (2nd) | +96 FRV (3rd) versus +8 DRS (17th) | -21 FRV (20th) for the Twins over that stretch is likely a factor in Freddy having the edge in ERA and runs allowed WAR.

Depending how things go, Cooper Pratt could be in the mix at SS as early as 2027. Ortiz bottomed out with a .170 average over his first 159 plate appearances this year, but has hit for a .243 average in his last 86 plate appearances. Last year he hit for a .239 average over 511 plate appearances.

Ask & ye shall receive. If I'm reading the league splits on BRef correctly, MLB as a whole hits 164/197/246 after finding themselves in an 0-2 count. The Brewers 621 plate appearances are 5th most in this split with their 171/208/250 triple slash adding up to a .458 OPS which is 9th "best" in the split. Chourio at 242/242/400 has done a decent job fighting back all things considered, Yelich at 080/138/147...not so much. On the pitching side the Brewers 624 plate appearances are also 5th most and they've gotten almost exactly average results with a 166/193/246 triple slash. Clicking one more time for fun, it looks like Freddy Peralta has had 82 PA after an 0-2 count with a 105/160/105 triple slash so far this year.

I think Gasser at seven makes sense. After the consensus Top Six guys he has the highest floor by virtue of already having 28 IP of 62 ERA- | 83 FIP- under his belt in MLB. Obviously the surgery and long layoff clouds things somewhat, but pretty easy to see him sliding back into the rotation and being able to provide something along the lines of Patrick or Priester quality innings.

The evolution of Wilken's monthly splits are pretty nuts... April (103 PA) 164/408/342 (139 wRC+) 26.2 BB% | 27.2 K% May (114 PA) 237/368/570 (173 wRC+) 17.5 BB% | 26.3 K% June (66 PA) 304/409/786 (241 wRC+) 15.2 BB% | 24.2 K% Crazy thing about June is that he's got his walk rate down to a much more tenable place, he's got the average over three hundred, the K rate is gradually diminishing, and still has only two singles in those 66 PA with nine doubles and six homers accounting for the rest of his 17 hits this month.

Jacob MisiorowskiJesus MadeLuis PenaLogan HendersonJeferson QueroCooper PrattMarco DingesLuke AdamsRobert GasserColeman CrowBishop LetsonBryce MeccageJosh KnothCraig YohoTyson HardinBraylon PayneJosh AdamczewskiErnesto MartinezBlake BurkeBjorn Johnson Easily a dozen legit options for this last spot, but went with Bjorn because his 2.21 FIP is currently 4th in the Brewers system behind Crow (1.75), Hardin (1.89), and Letson (2.14).

Was clicking around on some leaderboards, and noticed that a Dodgers prospect named Mike Sirota leads all of the minor leagues (minimum 200 PA) with a 194 wRC+. Thought that name sounded familiar, and it turns out he was traded by the Reds (along with the 41st pick in this year's draft) for Gavin Lux - who Cincy has played primarily at LF (29 games of -3 DRS | -4 FRV) and DH (24 games) so far this year.

It was the Rockies, so they might fall outside of the purview of "every other organization", but the main thing the Brewers did with Isaac was just identify him as an MLB calibre player and acquire him for nothing. Every team needs four outfielders minimum, so far this year there are 118 players with at least 80 PA in the outfield. Collins is tied between 39th and 44th with 1.0 WAR. From 2023-24 there were 110 players with at least 400 PA in the outfield, Blake Perkins 2.3 WAR tied him for 68th to 70th on that list. Of course the template was Tyrone Taylor, one of the few Melvin regime holdovers that made it through to the Stearns & Arnold years. From 2021-23 there were 109 players with at least 600 PA in the outfield with Tyrone notching 3.7 WAR, good for 57th. That's three different "fourth outfielders" the Brewers have gotten starter level production out of now, a big reason why their 37.2 WAR is 6th among all outfield units since 2021. They've done the same thing at catcher with their 33.7 WAR since 2018 topping all of MLB. Of course getting three All Star level seasons from Contreras and Grandal helped in there, but no one expected Manny Pina to chip in 5.5 WAR when he was picked up for an aging out of the league K-Rod. Omar Narvaez (5.1 WAR) was already an MLB player, but was acquired for nothing and the template for how the Brewers can help transform catcher's defensive chops. Victor Caratini had 1.3 WAR in 1,033 PA before joining the Brewers, then wracked 2.6 WAR in only 540 PA with Milwaukee. Infield hasn't been nearly as good with Jace Peterson (3.0 WAR over 630 PA from 2021-22) the only real backup we got starter level production out of, but they appear to be one of the better MLB organizations of late when it comes to maximizing bench production from catcher and outfield.