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sveumrules
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Everything posted by sveumrules
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Yup. Balls are clearly juiced & expectations should be adjusted accordingly. League Averages: HR/9 in 2018: 1.16 HR/9 in 2019: 1.36 (so far) HR/FB% in 2018: 12.7% HR/FB% in 2919: 14.9% (so far) Here are our league adjusted ERA-/FIP-/xFIP- marks during the Stearns era. 100 is average, lower is better: 2016: 97/104/107 2017: 91/97/99 2018: 91/97/99 2019: 105/100/97 What's interesting to me is that in each of the three previous seasons our FIP outperformed our xFIP & our ERA outperformed our FIP. Maybe it's a crazy coincidence, maybe DJ really had/has the magic dust, maybe it has something to with having plus defenders & a forward thinking front office, maybe it's a combination of none or some of those things. I won't pretend to know. This season it has been the exact opposite to this point. That gives me additional confidence that our ERA- will end the season closer to (or hopefully even lower than) our current xFIP- of 97 than it will to the 105 it is at momentarily.
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Brewers 2019 Splits: Men On Base: 115 wRC+ (6th in MLB) Men In ScoPo: 112 wRC+ (8th in MLB) As frustrating as it can be to not score (or even make contact against a top MLB closer) in certain situations, this team has, on the whole, performed well when they've had runners on base or in scoring position. -
Are they saying BOOOO or MOOOOSE?
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It's a combination of factors... The biggest one being in 2018 they played 163 games & threw 1461 IP, which is a much more reliable sample than the 67 games & 608 IP so far this year. As JosephC pointed out earlier & I've tracked at various points throughout the thread, their xFIP (which is a much better indicator of future results than ERA at this still early juncture of the season) is & has been fine for most of the season. It is actually slightly better than last year when adjusted for the increased run scoring environment, 99 xFIP- in 2018 vs 97 xFIP- so far this year. Other factors include different personnel (both on field & off field) plus just the good old fashioned random year to year variation of baseball.
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Breaking up a no hitter is generally a necessary first step towards winning the game. I guess a comedy of walks, hit by pitches & errors could always break out though.
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We started 8-2. Woah, awesome. Picking right back where we left off at the end of last season. Then we went 5-11 in our next 16. Uh oh, maybe we should start thinking about cashing in some guys at the deadline & start studying up on the 2020 draft class. Then just when were on the verge of falling below .500 we rattle off another 11-3 stretch to put us at 24-16 (almost a 100 win pace!) a quarter of the way into the season. Since then we've gone 14-13, with a relatively soft 24 game slate remaining until the ASB. We could go 13-11 over that stretch & it could probably still be viewed as a bad streak given the quality of competition. I guess ultimately what I think of this team is that they should finish the season within a couple two tree wins in either direction of 90 & that should hopefully be enough to make the postseason. From there, anything can happen.
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Ryan Pressly has been thee best reliever in baseball since Houston acquired him. Five (5!) earned runs in 53.2 IP. He makes a lot of guys look like that.
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Our record is so good because two dozen teams are even worse than us.
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Hopefully that's the bomb to set off Shaw's return to the 120 wRC+ guy he was the last two seasons.
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Oh yeah, well the brewers are rolling with a lineup with pitchers hitting in their 7 and 8 spots despite having the DH available! It’s still better than when we had to DH counsell that one year That has to be the worst DH in baseball history BRef does not list Craig ever appearing as a DH.
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Brewers Farmhands Traded - How Are They Doing?
sveumrules replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Looks like Yamamoto will make his big league debut on Wednesday. First he beats Kodi Medeiros in the 2014 Hawaii High School Baseball Playoffs & now he beats him to MLB. Congrats to Jordan. -
Christian Yelich Cycle Tracker... single double triple home run
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Christian Yelich Cycle Tracker... single double triple home run
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Nelson past the rehab stage when he said he throwing better than ever. I have no reason not to believe him. Do you have reason not to believe him now?
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2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
sveumrules replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I'll go with false. Last year on June 10 the five NL playoff teams would have been Washington, Atlanta, Milwaukee, Chicago & Arizona. -
No. Go away. Holy.... Is that why the site crashed again this morning?? 50% chance it was, 50% chance it wasn't.
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Eddie Sedar with another effective, aggressive send.
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Thanks for pulling all the strings (& dealing with all the associated hassles) behind the scenes, Brian.
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It appears as though the photo caption may have been provided by the Associated Press. Also, from what I understand of whats left of the newspaper industry, writers don't typically write their own headlines. Does the text of the avtual article also state Davies threw a complete game?
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2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
sveumrules replied to Eye Black's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Playoff Odds currently somewhere around... FG: 61% 538: 73% BRef: 85% -
The Dodgers are one of the richest & smartest teams in MLB. They have won their division six years in a row, this will be year seven. Over that time frame they have won 30 more games (& counting) than the second best team. They have won zero World Series in that time. Anything can happen in the playoffs.
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There are now six MLB pitchers who have surrendered more HR than Corbin this year & five more who have surrendered the same amount of HR as Corbin. I'd say that getting taken out of the rotation probably helped him slide down the list a bit. No doubt. That's why I thought there was no possible way he could still have given up the most HR in baseball. Turns out he hasn't. I guess the way I look at it is this... Has Burnes given up the most HR in baseball? No. Does Burnes have the highest HR/9 of any pitcher with at least 30 IP in 2019? Yes. Did 11 of those HR come in 4 starts against the Cardinals twice, Dodgers & Cubs at the beginning of the season? Yes. Did the other 3 HR he gave up as a reliever all come in one appearance with no HR surrendered in his other 10 relief appearances? Yes. Is Corbin's career HR/9 of 1.18 as a reliever more indicative of his true talent level & expected future results than his 5.61 HR/9 as a starter? I believe (& certainly hope) so.
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There are now six MLB pitchers who have surrendered more HR than Corbin this year & five more who have surrendered the same amount of HR as Corbin. some of ya'll are uber literal. Using objective information to dispel overly negative hyperbole is kind of my shtick.
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There are now six MLB pitchers who have surrendered more HR than Corbin this year & five more who have surrendered the same amount of HR as Corbin.
