BrewerFan
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Everything posted by BrewerFan
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Yeah, I'm guessing he was kidding as there's obviously a huge correlation between the Packers and Rodgers. This impacts the Packers in SOOO many ways, both quantifiable and in ways you can't quantify.
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This is a good rule. I completely missed this part the first time because...it really is tough to read such a long rant without paragraphs. It's not being some grammar nazi either, it's just...not easy to read. I have no clue how he appears "desperate," because he DIDN'T overthrow his best starter and best reliever(I suppose you could argue Burnes isn't the best starter. I wouldn't, but some have expressed they'd prefer Woody in a game 1 or 7).
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No. -He didn't "throw away history," because he didn't have his ace go ~125 pitches in a 0-0 game that STILL wouldn't have been over. -He didn't throw away history because they didn't try a squeeze play. -He didn't throw away history because he didn't have his closer try and go 2 innings. MAYBE you do some of these things if it's the post-season. But with a 4 game lead on Sept 10th, this is foolish IMO. Also, I don't think he refused to bunt. I think it was more him counting on Monasterio to put the ball in play and NOT hit into a DP. I'd guess the odds were higher of scoring there that way as opposed to a squeeze(or it sounds like you're calling for a safety squeeze).
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The Colts are asking for your first born+ 3 picks. They don't seem serious about trading Taylor. But that would be an incredible backfield.
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His hitting has, but he had a throw from the OF that came in at 94 MPH earlier this year. And it's entirely possible I'm fixating on his throwing arm more than necessary(it's looked real bad the last couple months) and making a jump to his back, I don't know. As for the NTC, yes, he has that. He's also 10/5 by now, so even without it he could block any trade. So it'd have to be somewhere he wanted to go and the most obvious places would be out West. And again, I said this in another thread, but I don't believe players demand No Trade Clauses just because they want to stay somewhere, but so they can control where they go and have some leverage. Perhaps it'd be picking up his option year. I don't know. When I first suggested it, he was still ascending and playing if not his best Baseball, close to it. But places like perhaps...LAA, LAD, SD, SF, AZ, Col, Seattle, etc...maybe he'd have interest. Maybe he does really want to finish his career in Milwaukee and it's completely a moot point. I don't know.
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Game 1: Packers @ Da Bears - Sunday, September 10th 3:25 PM
BrewerFan replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Other Sports
Agree on pretty much everything. I think Musgraves will be fine, but he did not look good tracking the ball. I think it's just a little rust. If we remember he played just 2 games last year. Reed looks awesome. I love the way he goes and attacks the ball, how comfortable he looks. With Fields...I really don't know if he's the problem as he's just never been able to sit back there and go through his reads. We saw even Rodgers struggle, dropping his eyes and bailing out a bit earlier than he needed to when his OL was struggling. Love and Fields are in just polar opposite situations and yesterday made that contrast so stark. That's as generous as I can be with Fields. That I think he's capable, he's just in a terrible situation. If anyone remembers his performance vs the Bears as a rookie, or more accurately the Bears playcalling and OL struggles. Fields was just abused that game. That's part of the risk of playing a young QB behind an OL that's poorly constructed and running plays that take time to develop. I think it hurts their growth and creates bad habits. I don't see Fields outgrowing those the way the Bears are currently constructed. Now it looks like they're going to have 2 very high picks in an outstanding draft. I think the contrast makes the Packers look that much smarter for drafting and developing a QB and then making damn sure they've got an OL around him. The Packers were even playing with 6 OL yesterday with Walker getting snaps. They were that determined to make sure Love had time to throw the ball. Also, so awesome to see Bakh jumping over the pile and getting up to the 2nd level on run plays or there was one where he was beaten early and the thing that's made him great is his ability and balance to recover and he was blocking while kinda bending backward and he provided Love just that extra maybe .3 seconds to get the ball out without being hit. There's certainly some schadenfreude directed towards the Bears fans over Fields performance, but I honestly still can't tell after 2 years and a game if it's Fields or if it's just the talent around him. And that is about the biggest indictment on the Bears you could give. They STILL haven't been able to build around him. Roschon Johnson, Moore, Kmet, Mooney and Wright are great places to start and I was a huge fan of Johnson coming out and hated the Bears got him, but the rest of that OL is absolute trash. -
Game 1: Packers @ Da Bears - Sunday, September 10th 3:25 PM
BrewerFan replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Other Sports
I'll just reiterate what I said in the other thread. I think he's playing out of place. He's better playing NT. Playing DE is negating the physical advantages he has over Centers. I think if you just flipped him and Slaton, he would play much better. As it stands, he's only occupying blockers at DE. At NT, he was abusing Centers with his first step and getting into the backfield. I think the reputation was well earned, he's just not living up to it in the role he currently plays. On the TD run where it looked like he was on skates, that was a clear false start on Wright. He had a clear half of a step before the ball was snapped. I don't think there's any chance that Wright is going to get inside of Clark without that. I went back and replayed it a few times(I can't find the clip, but it's so clear). But I agree, he's pretty much just "meh," at this point. He's eating up blockers and he's not generally getting moved(Darnell Wright does look like a HR pick for the Bears) at the moment, but he's not the player he once was. -
Love was about 3 missed throws away from having a truly amazing type of game. That throw to Musgrave obviously. One where you're not sure who was at fault, but I'd like to see Love put a little more on that, but Musgrave struggled tracking the ball yesterday(1st year, 1st game vs Chicago, give him a bit of a mulligan). He threw that ball late and inside to Reed on the out route. I don't recall if that was 3rd down(I believe it was). The deep ball to Toure was another one. Was that a poor job tracking or was that a missed throw? There were 2 "bad" throws. One to Doubs running that in route. Love really stepped into it(little Favre-esque) and fired it way over his head. Might have been a good thing as he was leading Doubs right into Edmunds. One of those things we took for granted with Rodgers, he VERY seldom put his WRers in harms way with his throws. And then the one to Reed when they initially threw the flag for Jackson going up around the head. And then just a couple early on where he wasn't perfect. The ball to Jones early that was low, that quick hitch to Doubs that Doubs had to turn around and reach back for. He really benefitted from Aaron Jones and some creative play calling(especially on that throw back screen). But man, the way he came back after those missed opportunities was encouraging. It's definitely WAY too early to know what you have in him. Hopefully adding Watson will create more big play opportunities. I'm sure moving forward you'll see more teams sending pressure if they can't create it as Love was able to just sit in the pocket and go through his reads...a couple times it seemed like he literally went from his 1st read to his 4th or 5th. That calm and composure was awesome to see. It's important to not get too carried away, but it's also important to recognize that he doesn't need to be Aaron Rodgers. It's such an unattainable standard(particularly for a regular season game in good conditions). With all the hype though, all the pressure of replacing Rodgers and the nerves I'd imagine accompany that, he was outstanding. He's just got zero patience. He doesn't allow the play to develop and can't seem to read blocks. I really don't know where rookie AJ Dillon went(limited carries, but still very good) or Yr 2 AJ Dillon went. Yes, predictability was an issue. I also hate when they lineup under shotgun in obvious rushing downs and run that inside zone. You're telling the DL exactly where you're going with the ball. But his problems go far past that. I have very little doubt Wilson would be better with the ball in his hands right now. I really believe at some point this year he's going to come in and have a very big game and play a significant role. If you don't feel comfortable with him in pass pro however, it's gonna be tough to give him meaningful snaps. Taylor IMO is just another version of Dillon. He's a bigger back, strong, he runs forward, he's usually just giving you what the play is blocked for though. He's not adding value. Aaron Jones is the most indispensable piece of the offense and I understand even more now why they were willing to trade for AND pay Taylor ~15M a year. Despite Dillon's struggles, this offense is set up so well for a young QB, but if you added another back like Taylor, a big physical back who's a HR threat with this OL and the receiving threats, who knows what this offense could look like.
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That's always going to be a part of a DL's job in a 2 gap system like we play. But you pay guys like Clark top dollar because you expect more from them. You expect penetration and for him to reset the LOS. I just do not think Clark should be playing DE as a 3 tech. He's a solid player there...not a special player and they're paying him to be elite. I think this version of Kenny Clark is ...not easily replaceable, but he's not longer an elite player. That said, it's much easier to block Clark when you get a full half of a step as an OL before the ball is snapped as Darnell Wright did on the late TD where they highlighted him blocking Clark. I'm not sure how the refs miss that as it happened multiple times(they finally called one).
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I don't know if it needs to be for a couple weeks, but I think sitting him for a while is a good idea. 10 days? This is why I suggested IF possible trading him this off-season. He's a really good player, but he's had back issues since he was in his early-mid 20s...not that I want to get back into that or that it's likely to happen, but you're just always going to be dealing with this risk with Yelich. He looked great earlier this year just using quantifiable metrics. Sprint speed and his arm strength looked better. It feels like that's just kinda regressed as the year has gone on(even when he was still hitting well). Could just be that he's in a simple slump and they want to give him time off, but if it is his back flaring up, then yeah, put him on the 10 day. We've got OFers to cover for him in the meantime.
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Game 1: Packers @ Da Bears - Sunday, September 10th 3:25 PM
BrewerFan replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Other Sports
This is true...we don't actually know what Fields is...if we're being honest, I don't really think Love would have looked great if you flipped them. BUT, I really want the Bears to stick it out one more year with Fields. The MOST Bears move possible would be to go into a draft with Caleb Williams, Drake Maye and then a couple other guys who by the end of the year could make this a really loaded QB class...and keep trying to build around Fields until they decide after '24 they need a new QB. They do look like they hit on Darnell Wright(though he had about 5 false starts, only 1 of which were called). On the left side, I think Braxton Jones would be our 4th LT. Maybe 5th and I'm not even including Tom. -
Upcoming Brewers milestones & noteworthy things
BrewerFan replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I gotta cop to being a Cubs fan as a kid. They were in the NL...it seemed harmless. They hated the White Sox...we hated the White Sox...I was young, naïve. I only seek forgiveness now! I never really thought about rooting for another team, BUT if I had to the Braves would probably be up on my list. If...they moved, and I don't think they will, but, IF, I wonder what percent of the fan base would root for the Nashville Brewers or the SA Brewers? -
This is true. I am kicking myself for how I handled this investment early on. I took all the income from the property for majority of the time I owned it into paying off the mortgage when I'd have done SO much better putting that into almost any other investment.
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Well it's so no so much retaining the title as the Title company will hold it until they finish the sale. They'd pushed back a big on us being able to take the property back in the event they didn't make the property tax payments. 2 years of them not making the payments and now I owe...well over six figures in property taxes, interests and penalties...and that's at the current valuation and without the increase coming this year as they're going up in the City I'm in, they'll obviously be going up after the sale, plus interest and penalties and I could have to pay 200K or more. So both of those things were important. I'm gonna need him to walk me through it and reassure me that it would be an easily enforceable contract. I'll just use hypothetical round numbers. Would you rather take 1.7M in cash right now, capital gains on purchase price of...~750K Or take a sales price of 2M split in two payments, half now, half in 3 years with that interest rate? And right now I'm thinking if I just took the cash now, half to my old man, the other half to me, put say half of THAT in a Vanguard 500 Index Fund or even split that up into Vanguard, the other half into Bonds(Whatever, something relatively safe and then re-assess or even use it to pay off the mortgage I currently have that I haven't paid off because I've been more interested in paying off the investment properties with 5 year adjustable rates vs my home which is at a very low price) and then the other half...I'm pretty interested in the water rights again, so divide that up between American Water rights and a couple other companies that invest in Water Rights. California Water Works maybe? Also...what about the principle of investing in water rights? Does anyone have issue with that? It feels slimy to me. It ALSO feels like a place where...I could see in 15 years if it's going the way some are predicting, the Gov't stepping in and almost nationalizing those. Especially if it really is the new oil and people start price gouging. I don't know, it seems like a good investment from a purely financial point of view, but again, it feels strange you could take the most important thing to life and then potentially gouge people on that. Anyway, I'm just getting ready to drive up to Minneapolis for the next couple days, so I won't be on here probably, but I'm definitely interested to hear any feed back on that meandering post where I kinda go in and out of lucidity! I've already had a Twain like stream of consciousness way of writing...sans the wit and...ability.
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Ok, "more" velocity that what though? As @Robocallerpointed out, STUFF is infinitely more important than pitching well in the DSL. Ok...you wanna go the other way now? Suter is 6 years older, and he's not and has never been more than a nice left handed specialist. The "Next Josh Hader's" that are seemingly never ending(but also never the guy who throws a 101 MPH sinker that throws a sinker like a Devin Williams Changeup). Putting these guys in a group with Misiorowski, Gasser or Rodriguez is wildly unfair to the these kids and...frankly just silly. I like reading his articles, but...he ruins it with the hyperbole. And I'm like...the most hyperbolic human EVER!
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Game 1: Packers @ Da Bears - Sunday, September 10th 3:25 PM
BrewerFan replied to CheezWizHed's topic in Other Sports
Just so disappointing that Watson is out for this game. I don't think Chicago was ever going to play a lot of man, they're going back to their Tampa2 scheme(which explains Edmunds, but not Edwards signing). Reed and Musgraves should be big in this game, but I think if the Packers are going to win, it'll be more on the backs of Jones and Dillon. -
It is actually brilliant, but he'd have gotten crushed if he'd have done this. "4th and 25 with Patrick Mahomes and you don't even try!" That'd be the talking point(unless it worked, then he'd be a genius). I supposed Reid has enough good will built up.
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That was the main motivation behind investing at the time. Also, the market wasn't exactly something I trusted at that point(though in retrospect putting the money in a simple indext fund would have been much better, but investing is easy 10+ years later). I think I'm just getting a bit neurotic about it now and thinking what to do next. I've seen people suggest that people are overdeveloping, and commercial real estate is in another bubble(much smaller bubble). That seems counter-intuitive though with interest rates going up making home-buying much more difficult for many at the moment. I think I'll probably sit down and talk to my lawyer and then a financial advisor again and just try and make sure this contract is nice and tight. I'm of the impression that the title being held by a title company is kinda my safeguard, but I guess the whole point of a scam is there are points you overlook. I appreciate the replies though.
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Yes, I have. I'm having my Attorney write up the contract and it's going to be pretty tight. My Title Company holds the Title. They have to stay up to date on Property Taxes, I can hold an insurance policy on it in the event there's any problems with renovations. I don't trust the bank-at all. Obviously they don't like seller financing. The realtor I've got a good relationship with(he's also a property manager and manages a couple other properties). That IS my concern though. Getting bogged down in BS if they just stop paying the property taxes and then I've gotta to to court. That's the type of headache I don't want. Well, we have gotten quite a few offers on the property sight unseen. There are two offers. There is a cash offer that's below the original and then the financing offer that I'm definitely charging them for(other than just the interest payments). The price went up with the 2 financing offers. A 2 year and the final sales price was over 10% original asking and 3 years it's up about 12.5%. I'm not concerned with regaining ownership of the property or with having to sue them. My concerns are more; -Can I make more by investing now rather than waiting -If they run out of financing...I don't want to be cold, but that's the best case for me. I get it back after they've renovated at least part of the property and they've already paid for half. -It eliminates the option for me to re-invest in another property and avoid the capital gains(for right now).
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That's kinda the sweet spot for me. If they start renovations and they can't afford to continue them, I'd gladly take that property back. They're not going to tear down the building down, so even if they've done 15 units and haven't completed the rest, I'm fine with that. I'll still be able to finish up and then sell on my own. And the location really works out well because it's near so many things, the College, Hospital, we won't have trouble with people living there through construction.
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Yorman Galindez 5IP 1H and 2BB 9Ks today. Won't be 21 until around when Pitchers and Catchers report, throwing 94. Seems like a really interesting young prospect.
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- yorman galindez
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Fair enough. It reminds me a bit of that Bengals-Packers game when the Packers came out after back to back NFCCG appearances and in the midst of a 3rd straight 13 win season. It was just a sloppy, ugly game, but it felt like a turning point for Cincy. They went on to beat the Lions the next week, then just destroy the Ravens. It's entirely possible I'm making way too much out of it and it's confirmation bias. Hell, I hope it is.
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I'd really appreciate a little advice from someone a bit more financially literate than me. I purchased a rental property in 2009. I'd inhereited some money(not a ton, but enough to put 12.5% down with my Father putting 12.5% down) I put my life savings into it. I'd planned to keep for a long time as a retirement investment, but I was made a good offer, and I invested in this with my Father and I'd like him to be able to go and I don't know, just buy a stupid new truck, whatever. Here's the issue. They came in with a cash offer, meeting my asking price(which I threw out there without thinking it'd be met). During the walk through(all offers were made over the phone before they saw it), they determined they wanted to replace the AC units, completely renovate the "suites," which...is a generous terms, but whatever. Something about the Garages(glorified storage spaces). Point is, they wanted to put quite a bit of money into it. So the offer has now become 50% up front, 3 year period with 6.75% interest payments, and then the final the other 50% in 3 years(or a significantly lower price in cash). If they fail to make any payments, it reverts back to us. It's a small private equity start up, so I don't really understand why they want to purchase this property to invest. It's in a good location. 4 miles from a Hospital, 5 from a College, 4 from the Freeway. Neither my Banker nor my Realtor believe this is the right way to go, that I should take the cash offer, but I'm thinking if they need seller financing...they MAY not be able to repay the 2nd half of the loan in 3 years. In the meantime, if they can or can't, I'm going to be making a decent amount on interest payments. In total, doing it this way, I end up coming out enough ahead that I feel like it's worth it. So can someone explain why my Banker and Realtor would be advising against it? It feels like it's because the Realtor makes less up front from the sale(and with a case sale, I'm not going to immediately reinvest into another property as I'd initially planned). My second, I have no plans of spending any of this. I'm gonna keep my 2015 Impala. So I keep hearing "Water is the next oil." I don't love the idea of investing in water rights in principle, but if people are going to, they're going to. I'm entirely ignorant about crypto and I don't really trust the volatility. I'd appreciate any thoughts on both. I have 2 weeks to officially accept or back out and if someone understands water rights and what companies to invest in, it'd be great to hear from you!
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I think the blowouts just stand out more. They've been some outstanding B1G Title Games. The Badgers vs PSU when they came back and beat them 42-39. MSU knocking off OSU in a tight battle. But the answer is obviously TV money...and with the two top teams playing, not just East vs West, it's going to be that much bigger. Mich vs OsU could play. One of the biggest rivalries in sports. Hopefully Fickell is able to build on what he did at Cincy and take the Badgers on step further so they're in there and competitive. That bye is going to be a massive advantage. So no, it's not necessary with all the changes, but given that they'll never give up the TV money it generates, at least it looks like it'll be a lot more fun in the future. I'd also say it's similar to the SEC Championship the past several years. It didn't really need to be played, but it was fun to watch.
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The Lions are definitely a physical team. Sewell falling to them kinda marked a change in how that team was building. Taking an OT at 7 when you've already got an elite LT was smart. But that's not why the Lions beat them. The Packers dominated the ball and time of possession, they just repeatedly failed to convert on short yardage, generally via the passing game. The INT to Hutchinson, 5 turnovers in the 2 games including a rare 3INT game by Rodgers. They Lions also just simply had nothing to lose in those games. The final dagger in the Packers playoff hopes, a quick toss and then a lateral to Swift was the perfect example of that. The 2nd game was more of the same, the passing game just not coming through, specifically on 3rd/4th down. The Packers have become a more physical team under LaFleur and Gutekunst. That's been the priority of this team. Gary, Jenkins, Van Ness, Wyatt, Slaton, Walker, Tom, Watson, Kraft, Musgraves. I don't know exactly what they'll look like and I don't care about preseason scores, but they play with an edge. From Heath and the WRers run blocking, to Van Ness relentlessly attacking, Enagbare making the few starters and backups he saw look foolish, a very physical backfield with Dillon, Wilson and while Jones is short, he's one of the hardest runners in the league. The only thing I think was soft about this team was the coach of the defense. Barry was certainly soft until MLF repeatedly had to publicly talk about playing more aggressive.

