BrewerFan
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Everything posted by BrewerFan
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Brother... what in the world are you talking about? They have... power hitters ALL over and at EVERY position of the minors. They have mower power in the minors, more HIGH level, top ranked power hitters since.. at least that ~2004 system that had Prince, Weeks, Hart and company... The difference here is they are 3-4 deep at those positions? 1B-Adams(2nd in AA in OPS behind teammate Wilken), Burke, Bitonti-HUGE power(leading the league in HRs). Ernesto Martinez.. Boeve may be more of a "slap hitter," but he's really just a hitter with average power. 2B-Pena, Murray, Adamczewski SS-Made, Pratt-Others, but who cares. Not quite slap hitters. 3B-Wilken-I think he's STILL leading AA in HRs and OPS and Adams was 2nd, Fischer the first rd pick who was a 1st rd pick because of his power, another 1st rd pick Ebel... picked because of his power. C-Qureo, certainly not a "slap hitter," but a defensive stud. Dinges... just a great pure hitter at this level, though the defense is a question...despite elite pop times. I missed so many, but saying that's what our farm system is... you should read up on our farm system a bit more man.
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I mean... when you just run up endless debt, that's going to happen. And then the next discussion is who is responsible for this... and the answer is of course everyone, but who is MORE responsible. then we may go to more recent policy decisions that are making that worse...and then it gets into politics and I do that enough elsewhere. If there's a side of the discussion you want to have beyond that or a solution or suggestion... I'm eager to hear it. The person I know who manages 1.5B is not a Crypto fan. So if you want to explain to me how that's a hedge against our fiat currency, I'd be interested in hearing your take on that. I did just buy a lot of ETH, but... I really did it without knowing why other than Tom Lee. That was the extent of my rationale. It was 2800 and I've seen people saying they think 15-20K in 18-20 months, so I pulled the trigger. Just the share of my investments that are speculative. That's what I consider crypto at this point. I also bought a little over 1BTC when it was not far off ATHs. That's about as big of a chunk as I feel comfortable leaving up to speculative investments(that and I own FUBO as I think it'll pop when Disney completes the takeover which is inevitable). It's hard for me to explain a rationale for investing in Crypto. I can read it's revenue, margins or any fundamentals. It's basically just this agreement or belief that.... we're all going to keep buying this. Gold has intrinsic value. We're just assigning value to Crypto, right? And I get we're assigning a LOT of value to it, but... that's been my issue hereto-now in any event.
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Oooh.... I took a spanking last night...(and the earnings reports did poorly🫢). Seriously though... SMCI... I know they're run poorly, but they're so cheap and expectations were so low...and George lived down to them again! Also, AMD... they actually had a good Quarter. I picked them up after liberation day, so ~84 to 180 to 165, I'll live. They at least have massive tailwinds for Q3 and Q4, so I'll hold. SMCI was sold last night before it dropped under 50. As soon as I saw the EPS and then margins which are 9%? For the demand they should be in? Anyway, both are getting beat up, but AMD had a lot of write offs as they haven't gotten their export license for China, BUT... they are still loading up on the MI300 for China(I think it's MI300). MI355 ramping and they're raising prices in Q3 due to demand and they have the MI400 coming out which compares favorably to the B200 for inference...kinda. The only concern is Trump talking about Semiconductor tariffs coming this week. That's... kinda baffling. May not make much sense to some to hold NVDA and AMD, but AI CapEx is expected to reach 1 TRILLION by 2028. If they would have had China sales for last Quarter, their growth would have been closer to 30% in DC revenue and... they'd be looking at 200 a share. Still have about 20X NVDA as AMD just due to the splits, but I like both. And of course AVGO slots in between the two.
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Of course it's partially because of the rookie class around him... if you had Paul Skenes, Jackson Merrill and Jackson Chourio(or Imanaga...and hell, even Ortiz had 3.1 WAR last year). But even in spite of a down class, as of right now, he should not be in the running. He should be 3rd or 4th on the team. He's obviously the most exciting, talented and , but that's not the criteria. This is obviously selfish. He seems like a great dude and I'm rooting for him to make about 30M less(or more if he career continues along anything close to this trajectory)... but I'm a Brewers fan first and...I want to see 6 more years of Mis in Milwaukee(At least).
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It's really kinda silly that Misi is the favorite at the moment. Or even runner up. Collins and Durbin should both easily clear him...at the moment. Baldwin should be the obvious favorite. I'd say the Brewers vote will split the field, but... it's like Durbin, Collins, Patrick, Logan Henderson may end up in the conversation. He's been as good as Misiorowski for conventional ROY criteria. Just being SUPER talented shouldn't win you the award. You had a guy last year who was 15-3 with a 2.91 ERA and he barely got any votes. Chourio puts up a 4WAR season and he doesn't get 1 first place vote. A rookie pitcher starts 7 games, throws really hard(and he's...really good) and he's gonna win it? And of course it'll only cost us, we won't get a pick. It feels like it shouldn't really matter. If you have a guy finish top 2... you get a pick. I guess all I can hope is that they ramp up the contract extension talks and... it cost us more down the line, but we still sign him for 8 years. I think with this pitcher development, his mentality and eagerness to learn and he's pretty fiery, they're goin to improve the command and he's going to be damn near unhittable.
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That AA team could be a LOT of fun next year. I know if didn't work out great in 2008, but I remember having LaPorta, Salome, Green, Brantley, Gamel, Taylor Green, LoCain, Nomar's brother(though Normah should have played in Milwaukee in stead of Bahston)...I think Maldanado was on that team... among others. So what's the AA team look like potentially? 1B-Burke 2B-Pena SS-Made 3B-Fischer C-Dinges LF-Adamscewski CF-Payne(by some point) RF-Bitonti DH-IDK, Adams, Boeve... neither since they'll be in AAA probably, but I'm kinda reaching after LF. Utility-Dickinson(maybe optimistic). I don't really care who or what they round it out with, there are going to be 5-6 guys at AAA like Pratt, Wilken, Boeve, Adams, Murray...and I suppose Quero starts in AAA again given this has been a bit of a lost-season after a completely lost-season. But I still think he's got a bright future. He's also still young for a well rounded catcher. Just has to get right and sting together a couple good months of health. We may reach a point where Quero and Dinges end up like Salome and Lucroy where the more touted catcher gets passed up for the most steady one.
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LOL...it really does. The Henderson's dropping Logan off in front of the guys! Momma Henderson- "Good lucky Honey! Love you! And make sure you tuck in your jersey!" Logan-"GAWD....stop it Mom, you're embarrassing me in front of Christian and Brandon! And get me some Ranch Sunflower Seeds before the game....I HATE those stupid plain ones." Papa Henderson- "Hey, don't talk to your Mother like that! Your Uniform would still be dirty if not for her."
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I actually said to my Dad he'll start through the Cubs series and he'll go on the IL with a Calf Strain or something. They won't say it's his arm or oblique because they won't want to scare people, but... something to just let him rest and get him ready for the stretch. BUT... he did take a good shot off the leg. If he's limping or something... that could impact everything. So maybe this is legit. Still hyper-cautious, but an actual bruised and sore leg? Either way, when people were "fine" with giving up Henderson for 2 months of Suarez... the few that were, how many other teams have the luxury of bringing up a guy like Henderson to fill in? Also, selfishly, I wouldn't be bothered if a couple other NL rookies REALLY start just getting hot and Mis slides down the ROY list!
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So you're alright with just winning in the regular season and never contending for a World Series? Sorry I have higher standards that you! I'd have traded Made and Pena for that Ship!
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Rate the brewers deadline.
BrewerFan replied to Scooterfletcher's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I'm annoyed with the Cortes/Quintana trade. Why the Brewers would trade Quintana, a kid that just turned 18, a kid that was the top prospect in the same class as Pena and Made, which I understand doesn't make him as good as either, but you got back who? A fast 28-year-old OFer who... hasn't done much. An above average starting pitcher wasn't enough for him(especially considering what the Padres throw around in trades). Quintana is exactly the type of prospect I don't like just throwing into a trade. He just turned 18 3 months ago, he's a switch hitting SS with a 50 overall grade. In all likelihood, he won't end up becoming an impact player, but if he were in HS, he'd barely be old for the Sr class and eligible for next years draft. I wonder if he had just played a HS season, what he'd have done? Bet he gets picked pretty highly. and he's still be pretty young for the class. You got a prospect who seems like a defensive OFer who is a AAAA player and you had to give him up? I'd guess Quintana was on his way to LowA with Made and Pena getting the move up here shortly. And it's not that I wouldn't want to trade Quintana, he was just valued as...what? Nothing. I'd have rather traded the Quintana who is starting for us, thrown Nestor into the rotation. I imagine we'd have been able to get another OFer in that deal. And then we paid for it. That seems insane. But, that said. -I'm counting the trades we've made this year. We made them "before the deadline." So-Priester-Also hated that trade at the time. Just found out he went to school with a friend of mine's sister. Irrespective of that, he's been throwing like a #2. A++ -Andrew Vaughn For the first week he came up, I said, "well, this rally is over." Zero faith. I thought he may run into a couple but hit .210 if he got hot. He's been a MVP caliber player if you extrapolate what he's done during the time he's been here, and the swings have been great. A+++++(two more pluses than Priester because we didn't have to give up the 33rd pick, a really good young CFer and a pitcher. Danny Jansen -I think he has a .770 OPS since June 1st. We gave up a guy who was blocked, but a nice player. Big time protection against Contreras getting hurt AND gives Contreras time off. Plus, Contreras just had a 5 hit game. .632./.650/1.211 and a 1.861 OP. I Mena, I'd like to see more walks. .632 BA and only a .650 OBP? Kinda weak. But, we gave up very little. So; B+ Shelby Miller+Jordan Montgomery I wanted a high leverage reliever to slot in ahead of Mears. I do not think that's what Miller is, but I think he is a good reliever. We only had to give up money in the form of Montgomery. I hope he hangs out in the Brewers clubhouse as I'd like to see him rehab with the Brewers and maybe sign a 1./10M deal next year. The Brewers liked him, he'd be a good lefty and I think he has good stuff and we all know TJ tends to add 1-3 MPH...generally 1-2, but I'm going to be optimistic. I would still prefer 3./60 and more likely 3./75 for Woody, he's a veteran leader, but it's not the place for that. Only took on money A- Would have liked Duran, that would have cost Henderson+a guy like Wilken+. If not Hendo and Quero. Too much. Cortes+Quintanta--- FFFFF Cortes should have been kept and we could have added any number of OFers for cheap Quintana has a big first half next year and he's knocking on the top 100. If nothing else, you got VERY little trade value for both players. I would hae thought either player was an overpay, we gave up both. F Overall, my priority was NOT giving up a big haul as despite what Twitter says, we're a EXTREMELY WELL run organization. A reason I like posting here, the posters get it. We ALL understand that Jesus Made could VERY easily play 40 games for the Brewers over 2 years and be so bad that he's DFAed or traded to a team that sees his prospect ranking and wants to try and rehab him. So he could be a huge bust. We all understand that risk is acceptable when you see the surplus value that you get in the ONE in 20 chance that he becomes an MVP candidate as a SHing SS. That's worth maybe 200M for the Brewers, more if you can sign him like chourio. So would I have loved Naylor at 1B/DH? Yes, O'Hearn? Sure. I REALLY would have loved Duran/Bautista/Helsley and the package the As gave up was great(not for Made). But the prices were prohibitive and while we didn't improve our chances and now a series vs the Pads may be a bit more difficult...and while Suarez didn't go for a ton, he DID go for roughly what I'd equate to Luke Adams/Brice Wlken, Letson and Knoth. Maybe more as Seattle may be one of the few teams with a deeper farm system. Just hope Hoskins can come back and hit for some pop. Chourio needs to get back and stay hot. Contreras getting hot would be HUGE and Logan Henderson and Shelby Miller to the pen makes that Pen so much tougher. Overall A- A for the players B-For not getting that final bat A for not overpaying with a future core player. -
That's... exactly what I'm thinking. I also think AMD ( as well as AVGO, SMCI, VRT) are going to see big returns also as will... but that's just because of the scope of the investment. Projected to be 1T a year by 2030). At 270B, AMD can get to 1T much easier than NVDA at ~4.5T(I know it dropped today, but when it hit it's ATH) will hit 13T. But... it does still have a massive runway. It's clearly the 1500 hundred pound Gorilla in the room... Nvidia really is just... an incredible story. And I think we did the right thing by allowing them to sell the H20 and...I'm hearing the B20 may be approved next year to China. Far better to keep China dependent on Nvidia, the Cuda platform. Better than Huawei developing GPUs that can compete for now. **I also read a story that there are at least 5 companies now specializing in fixing H100 GPUs or even the H200 NVL. Now if there is that type of demand in China for GPUs that were never legal to sell there... As for the Quantum stocks, I suspect they'll see 5-7 again, but there's plenty of time to get back in on those.
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Not May, but yeah, when we came out with tariffs at the highest level since 1922, higher than the Smoot-Hawley tariffs that caused the market to crash in less than 2 1/2 days of trading. I'm lucky, I've got a friend who manages over 1B for one of the largest investment firms in the Country, but even then, he said he had no idea how low things could go. Said he was holding personally, they'd been hedging in the fund before that so they didn't get hit as hard, but nobody knew what was going to happen with those... asinine tariffs. I mean, we still don't completely know as it takes years to work out a trade deal, so even the trade "deals" we're getting are just... broad outlines like we're trying to do with China... the one Country we ACTUALLY needed to deal with due to their trade practices, but the EU, Canada, Japan, Mexico? It was all nonsense. What Trump DID do... which I love as someone who's invested heavily in AI in my brokerage account, was lift export restrictions for Nvidia(and AMD) on Saudi Arabia, Qatar... and China. Not sure if that's good for the Country, but it's good for me. I bought QBTS and RGTI for I THINK 77 cents and RGTI for 1.50, but as I said... held for, IDK, 7-8 months and then when Google came out with their Quantum "breakthrough," and it went up, set that stop loss. It was +/-15-20% a day. Again, all speculative(and then I bought SLI, LAC, TTI and several others that were of little value). But when Jensen came out and said we were 20 years away from Quantum being viable and it tanked the sector, my stop losses triggered.] If I had any actual faith in it, I'd have held, but being as they were still operating at a loss and QBTS had just the one large client, I didn't hold. But, can't complain too bad. That was set up for my Sisters kids, so they got a nice head start and they're not even starting school yet. Moved it into SMH, TSM and AMZN. My biggest regret is spending years investing in rental properties and let my Roth sit in index funds. Oh, and Ethereum. That's one I'm investing in heavily right now. Hoping Tom Lee ends up being right about that one.
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Yeah... well, I did the Math. After I decided to sell the rental properties I owned a couple years ago, I was 5 trades in stocks that, 5 that I'd invested some money into... away from being a billionaire if I could go and live late '23 to '24 over again! No options. Hindsight often makes us feel stupid. For instance, I bought a few thousand shares of QBTS under 1 dollar. That was for my Nephew, Niece and Nephew(obviously not a 529, I don't like being limited to index funds). And it took off. But it was a speculative play, so I didn't want to risk it just going up on hype due to Google's announcements, I kept setting stop losses. It hit 5, I set it at 4, hit 8, set it at 6. Well, it triggered looong before it topped out at 20(I trigged before it topped out at 10.50 that first leg). In fairness, that wasn't really investing, it was gambling, so I should count it as a win, but I still kick myself for not buying more and holding it. I was pretty lucky though, I put most of what I made in NVDA. Irresponsible, but initially my plan was to wait until I figured out the capital gains... which because I didn't reinvest in another property, I had all that depreciation to repay. Anyway, when it came to "liberation day," I bought mostly AVGO, AMD and then added to AMZN(always add to AMZN... tomorrow I will be putting what cash I have into AMZN. They're STILL in their growing phase. As soon as they ease up a bit on the capex... they're going to grow even more than they have. They're guiding for ~180 BILLION next Quarter. They'll be at 1T in revenue within a couple years. Even this earnings report was strong... they beat expectations, just lower margins for AWS... and they lagged behind Azure and Google Coud which grew 32% and 39%. For the time being, that is good news for NVDA, but long-term, when they slow spending, it's going to take off. The "nobody ever got fired buying IBM," is going to turn into "nobody ever got fired buying AMZN."
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I don't think a team can trade more than 250K per trade in IFA bonus room... And I don't think you're getting back a pick and 1.5 in IFA bonus room for Wilken even if it was legal. But you also want to move Frelick to 3B... so you kinda march to the beat of our own Drummer Harold. You KNOW they're not moving Frelick to 3B at this point in the year. If this was ST, MAYBE. Murphy did talk about how shocked we'd be...before injuries hit. Not with the best record in the league. That'd be foolish.
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No, he's not. 1-Again, Suarez is a RENTAL. You do get that right? So he has a bad series and he's gone. Kwan is here for 4 post-season runs(OR 3 and they trade him in ~2 years and recoup some of their prospect capital). 2-Suarez strikes out a LOT. Led the league 3 times in the last 3-4 years before this year. What happens in the playoffs? You get more or LESS pitchers with high K rates? Kwan is another guy who doesn't strike out, has very good speed, is hitting for more(but not a ton) of power and is FAR more likely in a tight game to get a runner in than Suarez. The entire argument for Suarez is that despite the poor BA, OBP and only being a rental, he's a bigger upgrade than the Gold Glover who hits, gets on base at a much higher clip because...we're hoping Suarez can win a game with a HR. Kwan impacts the game in all facets positively. 3-You can also move Collins to 2B and Turang to SS, right? You still have VERY good defense with a GG OFer where as Suarez is a poor defender at 3B. Then just the facts based on their performance. Lets compare recent performance;
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Labor Discussion - Salary Cap, Local TV Sharing
BrewerFan replied to Austin Tatious's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
You're going to have to explain how you arrive at that for me. -
Labor Discussion - Salary Cap, Local TV Sharing
BrewerFan replied to Austin Tatious's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Yeah, the TV deals are a huge part of it. The TV deals are the reason the Packers got a check for 435 Million dollars on the first day of the league year. That covers them for the entire season. They can afford to pay their entire roster without doing anything else. As for where they rank outside of the TV money that everyone gets, it's just a guess as everyone keeps it quiet, but what I'm saying is the Packers wouldn't still be in Green Bay most likely without Rooney and Mara in particular agreeing on how the NFL was going to go forward. Revenue sharing and a salary cap. The reason the NFL was pushing them to move to Milwaukee in the 80s(when Milwaukee was a larger city and I would guess close to a top 15 market whereas now it's 30th or 31st). Manfred has made some statements that... infer he wants to keep moving toward something closer to the NFL's structure with TV deals. I don't know exactly how that'd look. I can't imagine how they could get close to what the NFL has, but even if more of the streaming goes through MLB, there's a pathway there to take a bigger chunk of the pie at least over the next 10-20 years and move toward something a BIT more equitable. I don't see a way MLB is ever going to be on a even playing field, but if they can get it where there's "only" a 150M dollar gap between the top payroll and the bottom, that'd be nice. That means a floor and a cap. -
Logan Henderson Ready for Bullpen Duty?
BrewerFan replied to rickh150's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I was kinda thinking about that. Even going the other way with it. Ashby starts and Misiorowski comes in. Look to get 3IP out of each. I'd imagine teams would still go with a LHed heavy lineup to start with, unsure when Mis would come in. The problem with that is it'd really stress your BP. So... I may even try and go through this stretch and then sit Misiorowski down for a couple starts. Maybe he gets a tight calf and needs a short DL trip. He's so nasty with that FB and his extension, it's just about being smart with him and not overworking him...which they're doing a good job at. -
Question of the week: name your trade candidate
BrewerFan replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I'm alright with "none" as an answer, but I'd REALLY like to add one more power arm to the Bullpen. Helsley would be great. I'd say Aroldis Chapman, but he no longer looks to be available. Michael Soroka would be a bit under the radar, but I think he fits best in the pen. And his numbers are a bit inflated due to one blow up(7ER 1IP vs Boston). But, the two best options would be Helsley and David Bednar. This is assuming they don't make a bigger deal with the Twins. (I'm already at a B for the Brewers trades...I don't care if it's the deadline or not, they made two trades...that I did not like at all at the time and brought back Vaughn and Quinn Priester. That's a helluva return in-season. Now they've added Danny Jansen to give Contreras some time off behind the plate and they made these moves without giving up much). -
Well... that's certainly true. Ernesto Martinez being penciled in as the heavy side of the platoon would NOT be a real encouraging prospect. He's 26 and in AAA and he's hitting .234/.356 with a paltry .375 SLG. That's really not hitting "very well," when he's on the field. That's a guy who draws walks. If we got rid of Bauers and go with a LHed 1B next year, it'd almost certainly be Black at this point. I feel like you get laser focused on these prospects and... just kinda push no matter how they progress. I'd gladly bring him back as a MiLB FA, but there's no reason to add him to the 40 man.
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Logan Henderson Ready for Bullpen Duty?
BrewerFan replied to rickh150's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I mean, you'll have Myers, Patrick stretched out(you may also have Cortes back in the rotation). Ashby and Hall can throw 45-50 pitches pretty easily. It's shaping up to a pretty good situation to handle the 19 games in 18 days(I believe that's what it is). Ashby...I'm thinking is going to be used both in late inning high leverage situations and in a multi inning role in the playoffs. I I still would like a reliever you can slot in ahead of Mears, but I'm not sure who that'd be. In either scenario, I think Henderson to the pen makes a LOT of sense. He's really pretty similar to Freddy Peralta as a young prospect. The FB, not having a full repertoire. Not sure his FB is as good as Peralta's when he came up, but he's got a better #2 pitch. It's a helluva luxury to have. -
Because of how the trade worked out? At the time of that trade, Schoop had been worth 2.4 WAR in 85 games. Suarez has been worth 3.4 in 105 games. Schoop was also coming off a much better year(6.1 WAR and 10 WAR the previous 2 years) and at the time of the trade, as a 2B, hit 17 HRs. So he also provided that power. Just as importantly, he was 26 years old, not 34. I think comparing Suarez to Schoop is a lot more accurate than comparing Henderson with Small or the list of pitchers you compared him to.
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You mean when the Brewers BEST players had just a year or two before Free Agency and we'd have ONE playoff appearance since 1982? Not pissed, but I WAS NOT a huge fan of the move. I wanted them to go out and trade for Greinke. I thought that was the smarter move. 4 years of team control vs a rental. But AGAIN, very-very different situation to what we have now. How much better are our chances? 1%? 2%? How much does a good starting pitcher you have for the better part of the next SEVEN years help your chances? But lets look at Caleb Durbin vs Suarez as everyone is just kinda taking it for granted this is a MASSIVE upgrade. And I'll agree, it's an upgrade... but how big of one. Pros-Hits for power. That's a big one, nobody is denying that. The 3R HR is king in the post-season. Cons-OPS is ~230 points lower away from AZ than it is in AZ, led the league in Ks 3 years, 27% K rate this year, BB rate in the bottom 15% in MLB, hits for a very low average, very poor OBP. He plays poor defense for a pitching staff that's extremely GB heavy. What usually happens in the post-season? Guys that strike out a lot in the regular season, they tend to strike out at a HIGHER rate in the post-season as teams aren't saving their BPs, they're bringing their SPers back in for a couple innings or throwing their high leverage relievers earlier in the game and for longer. ZERO question he'd be a good addition for the Brewers. That's not in doubt. The question is does he move the neddle enough to sacrifice 14, 21 years ofd team control of other young players? No, they really didn't, but you're comparing two VASTLY different sports. 1-We were desperate to keep Giannis. To use YOUR comparison, this would be like "selling their soul," back when Giannis was JUST at the start of his career(Giannis=Chourio). 2-The Brewers do not have the same concerns. Chourio is locked up for the next 8 years, Misiorowski the next 5 at least(though, they're talking about an extension, something I hope comes to fruition). And they have BIG TIME impact prospects in the minors working their way up and prospects at every level. The ONLY teams better set up for the next 4-5 years are teams like the Dodgers who can keep throwing 400M more a year at their payroll than the Brewers. 3- In the NBA, ONE player makes a HELLUVA lot bigger difference than ONE player in Baseball. It's not even remotely close. I'd ALSO say that the Bucks "sold their sold" for Dame far more than Jrue in a desperate attempt to fix the poor trades they'd already made. Bottom line, the Bucks were an OLD team and their window was closing. The Brewers are a YOUNG team and their window JUST opening this year. Well, he wasn't actually. He'd fallen because unlike Henderson who was both younger AND performed VERY well in AAA and in limited starts with the big league team, Ortiz was both older and back in AA and performing WORSE than he had the year prior. So he was descending where as Henderson was ASCENDING. That's why Ortiz was not the #62 prospect AT THE TIME of the trade. I don't recall if he'd fallen completely out of the top 100, but he regressed whereas Henderson leapt into the rankings due to his performance this year. Clearly two players who's arrows were pointing in VERY different directions. I'm a bit confused as to why you cite Suarez having a better year... though he is. Not sure how much you can count on him to continue to hit at this level when the last 5 years COMBINED he's put up a OPS of .754 and hasn't had a year over an .800 OPS and has mostly hit in AZ this year, but on top of that, you dismiss how much better Henderson has been than Ortiz in the year Ortiz was traded. It's also a far different situation. -The defense wasn't as important with the shifts. -Moose had at least been consistent. You knew what you were going to get. -Yelich had NOT signed an extension at that point. He had two years left, Cain was getting older but still performing well. Similar to 2011, the Brewers appeared to have a much smaller window. Of course, we actually traded Moose for Jorge Lopez, a pitcher who'd struggled badly at the Big League Level and Brett Phillips, a good defensive CFer. This would be more akin to a Carlos Rodriguez and a...Blake Perkins type deal(though Perkins is probably more valuable). Basically two spare parts as Lopez was 25 and Phillips was hitting ~.170 that year. Of course, it'll cost substantially more than that.
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Really? The SAME chances as Luis Ortiz or Ethan Small despite having a 60 grade FB and a 60 grade Change and already perfroming well... in an admittedly small sample size, but also dominating in the Minor Leagues? Then lets go the other way. Henderson has "just of a chance of being Taylor Jungmann, Tyler Thornburg Luis Ortiz or Ethan Small," as he does of being Corbin Burnes, Freddy Peralta, Brandon Woodruff OR a dominant reliever such as Josh Hader, Devin Williams, Abner Uribe, etc...etc... Why you're going back and citing VERY different pitchers from a time the Brewers notoriously struggled to develop pitching and randomly comparing guys who... really aren't comparable to Henderson is confusing to me. The guy he's ACTUALLY the most similar to is Freddy Peralta. Peralta came up throwing in the 93-95 range... like Henderson. It had that ride... like Henderson. But Peralta didnt' have a 2nd pitch like Henderson's change. Either way, the guy was dominant in 4 starts and he's performed at every level of the minors and you're bringing up Ethan Small? This is just an odd take. Especially when a guy has already shown he can dominate MLB pitching.

