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PeaveyFury

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Everything posted by PeaveyFury

  1. PeaveyFury
    Like four or five runs and maybe one win at the most. People overvalue the 15-19 errors that a first baseman makes. Seriously, they just don't get the error chances and the impact is at the beginning of the diamond most of the time. From earlier in the thread: Fangraphs had him at -7.8 runs on defense and +23.9 on offense. in 2007 he was -7.3 runs on defense and +49 on offense. In 2008 he was worth $12.1M in 07 it was 20.8M. I've seen other defensive metrics that had him closer to -12 or so. So roughly 1 or maybe 2 losses from his fielding.
  2. PeaveyFury
    I'm wondering if they're setting us up, like a couple years ago when it looked like the VP was evil and it ended up being President Logan.) Yeah, that's what I'm figuring as well.
  3. PeaveyFury
    Paying for autos LOL. Save your money and go to spring training and get them for FREE In the grand scheme of things, wouldn't you actually be paying considerably MORE when you factor in the cost of the trip?
  4. PeaveyFury
    Definitely happy for Jim that he gets to return home. I had always wondered if this would happen if a Braves job opened up. Best wishes to Jim going forward, hopefully for him the Braves are on an upswing so he doesn't have to go through rebuilding again. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Have there been any mentions at all of any of the possible candidates to take the job?
  5. PeaveyFury
    I think the difference is 25 man vs 40 man. If you take the total of the salary page, it has 38 players. Take off 13 salaries at $400,000 and that subtracts $5.2 million. But the Brewers still have to pay those players regardless....
  6. PeaveyFury
    How do you arrive at the $81M amount? ...I checked my numbers by what is listed on this site and I agree (except for a little different number on Kendall) http://www.brewerfan.net/ViewTeamSalary.do?teamId=1 Are you using the 40 man roster or the 25 man roster? Maybe you are assuming more cost for the utility players? The current salary according to that link is 66.4 million, +8 million for Fielder, 3.8 million for Hart, and 2.8 million for weeks = 81 million on the nose. Am I missing something?
  7. PeaveyFury
    Still, you cant plan on an injury. It would be a blow for any team to invest money and draft picks in players if the players get hurt and cant play. Absolutely. But the impact to some teams like the Brewers or Royals or Nationals would be huge, while to a team like the Cubs or Yankees, it's very minimal. If you're trying to rebuild a team, giving draft picks with the goal of getting more draft picks in a year is a huge risk. Especially considering that you're not only counting on them not to get hurt or stink in 09, but you're banking that some team is willing to give up picks for them next year when they're not willing to give them up this offseason.
  8. PeaveyFury
    Yep, there's always that huge issue of potential injury or ineffectiveness, essentially nullifying the compensation. It'd actually be a blow to a rebuilding team to give up a 2nd or 3rd and then not get anything back if Cruz gets banged up later in the year.
  9. PeaveyFury
    So if Fielder, Weeks and Hart were to all get the number they requested in a worst case scenario (which almost surely will not actually happen), the payroll would be right around 81 million. Not a heck of a lot left to bring in another pitcher if they're set on having the payroll near 80 million.
  10. PeaveyFury
    Go to Woodman's on some weekend and watch people try and figure out the self-checkout lanes. Wow.
  11. PeaveyFury
    Additionally, tolerance, be it due to opponent processes and practice, or just genes, plays a big role. I was actually wondering that when reading this thread earlier today. A heavy drinker on a regular basis might get to the point where .08 is virtually sober, I'd think.
  12. PeaveyFury
    Dunn has said that he won't play 1st Was this a recent statement by Dunn? Otherwise, I can't hardly believe it was discussed as a possibility here for 12 thread pages before it was brought up.
  13. PeaveyFury
    Sheets could sign a one year deal for $12m any time That's more your opinion than a factual statement. It seems like there's serious doubt as to whether a team would be willing to give that much money or their draft pick at this point.
  14. PeaveyFury
    Precisely my point. Then I guess I'm not following your point- are you saying that the Brewers shouldn't be trading prospects to make a July push ever?
  15. PeaveyFury
    You don't like Ben Sheets on a personal level. It does indeed seem eerily personal....
  16. PeaveyFury
    I would hope that Melvin is taking notes on how to be a GM in the MLB. Have tons of money and throw it around like mad?
  17. PeaveyFury
    From number one organizational prospect to a different organization in less than two years. http://msn.foxsports.com/...s-trade-CF-Pie-to-Orioles
  18. PeaveyFury
    He gave this team almost the same amount of innings that Suppan did, and won less games. But the innings he gave were much higher quality. That's a huge distinction that you're choosing to ignore. Most of Sheets value came from the 1st half numbers That's because his first half was so great, not because his second half was poor or anything like that.
  19. PeaveyFury
    Based on his salary he was not earning what he was being paid for. He should have had numbers slightly less than what CC was putting up. Sheets was paid to be a very good pitcher, and in 2008, he was a very good pitcher. He was exceptional in the first half, and very good in the second half.
  20. PeaveyFury
    how does the team get over hump making rental player deals? Well, one issue here is that you're assuming that they're acquiring rental players. Peavy would almost surely be available, and would be under contract for several more years. Roy Halladay (as you mentioned)is likely to be available if the Jays are out of contention as they almost surely will be by July, and would be here for 1.5 years, to name a couple of options. But as to why guys like this are the ones that you need to trade for to get over the hump, those are really the only types available to acquire during the season. It'd be great to acquire a guy like Morrow or Marcum, but cheap, young pitching under contract for several seasons are the type of player that an out-of-contention team is trying to acquire, not trade away.
  21. PeaveyFury
    We're talking about (very roughly) substituting maybe a whole season of Gallardo for about 60% of Sabathia and 75% of Sheets. But there's also nothing keeping the Brewers from acquiring a Sabathia-type pitcher in July again either if they're in contention, FWIW. Really, if the Brewers do re-sign sheets somehow, I think that the staff as a whole is better heading into 09 than in 08, as the bullpen is probably somewhat better and we at least know what we have with McClung at this point as well.
  22. PeaveyFury
    For a guy getting paid like a top pitcher he was not performing like one. His 2nd half ERA was still well above average, and as you yourself pointed out, his innings pitched in the 2nd half were still the 3rd most on the team, even with his injury situation. He performed just fine in the 2nd half based on the numbers you chose to show us there.
  23. PeaveyFury
    In my assessment, it's worse, especially in terms of the rotation, so I find it hard to be optimistic about the playoffs. (A winning record? Yeah, I think so.) But the thing is, the only real difference is a lack of Sheets at this point. Really, if they acquire one more solid starter, they're right where they were last year to start the season.
  24. PeaveyFury
    Saying that because Inman isn't in the Padres top 10 makes it a good trade is like trading your AIG stock in 2005 for a stick of gum was a good move because today the stock is worthless. I think that's blatantly over-simplified. Trading Inman when they did might have reflected that their own scouts had unfavorable projections on him and wanted to move him before a decline. We have no idea if there were warning signs to the organization. If you're determined to use your AIG analogy, it might be more akin to trading your AIG stock back in August because your analysis predicted issues ahead. I guarantee you there will be heat at some point. Heat about what? Sabathia performed as brilliantly as anyone could possibly have predicted. You think that fans a year or so from now are going to care at all about LaPorta or Brantley in Cleveland, or that ordinary fans will even remember that we traded them? And you can't really say that 'CC bailed him out' and say that who we gave to get CC will cause him heat at the same time... either CC was a brilliant acquisition that saved the season (as you claim in your first sentence), or he'll take heat for acquiring him. Which one is it?
  25. PeaveyFury
    understood, but surely arrangements can be made so that the players have the opportunity to keep them, right? Why would they want to keep a minor league jersey?
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