Brewers - Arizona Fall League

[UpandIn]

12 hours ago, ARobsBrewCrew said:

I don’t want to say that I wholly disagree with you, but I wholly disagree with you.  If anything, his repertoire points to more value as a starter and that his stuff can be more effective throughout a start rather than in short stints.  While I would still disagree, if you were making the same comments about Misiorowski, I could see where you are coming from.  Typically, if you want the makings of a high-leverage reliever, you would seek a fastball that reaches (or at least threatens) triple-digits.  Obviously, that’s not always the case but I digress.  Henderson has the stuff, the repertoire, and the demeanor to be a bulldog starting pitcher.  There are really no signs to suggest otherwise at this point.

I mean, I've never seen him pitch, so I was just going off his diminutive stature and that his velocity plays up in shorter stints as high as 95...with the thought being he's got a plus pitch per scouting reports(his Change). 

But if you've seen the guy pitch, I'll take your word for it. 

[Jim Goulart]

Tuesday 11/1:

Glendale wins 4-0. Unfortunately, no Brewers pitched

Box / Game Log

The only Milwaukee prospect to see action was Zavier Warren, and in a nice surprise, played third base. Warren singled and drove in a run with a sacrifice fly, so at 1-for-3, another productive day.

Currently the video archive of this game sits at the "Live Stream" page - Peoria at Glendale. Some prior games discussed in this thread can be found on the site's archive page, where this game will be shifted to at some point.

Next game is Wednesday night.

***

Batting Statistics: Zavier Warren, Je'Von Ward, Jeferson Quero, Tyler Black

Pitching Statistics: Russell Smith, Abner Uribe, Ryan Middendorf, Luis Contreras; yet to pitch, RHP Logan Henderson

[Jim Goulart]

All via Baseball America:

 

[Jim Goulart]

Good look here at Ryan Middendorf's motion and movement -

 

[Jim Goulart]

Wednesday 11/2:

Glendale loses 2-1. 

Box / Game Log

RHP Ryan Middendorf pitched scoreless ball over the 6th and 7th innings, allowing two singles and hitting one batter. Middendorf is sporting a sweet 1.08 WHIP despite walking five and plunking five in 12 innings. He has struck out 16 batters.

Rare rough day for Zavier Warren, back at first base, 0-for-4 with three K's.

Catcher Jeferson Quero was 0-for-3 with a K and committed his 4th error in 12 games. His throwing error did not cost his team a run.

Currently the video archive of this game sits at the "Live Stream" page - Glendale at Surprise. Some prior games discussed in this thread can be found on the site's archive page, where this game will be shifted to at some point.

Next game is Thursday afternoon.

***

Batting Statistics: Zavier Warren, Je'Von Ward, Jeferson Quero, Tyler Black

Pitching Statistics: Russell Smith, Abner Uribe, Ryan Middendorf, Luis Contreras; yet to pitch, RHP Logan Henderson

[Jim Goulart]

Thursday 11/3:

Glendale gets crushed 12-4. 

Box / Game Log

Good news first?

RHP Abner Uribe tossed a scoreless 6th (though Abner doesn't really "toss", does he?). He fanned two. One runner reached on a ground ball single.

The fifth start of the fall for LHP Russell Smith began well enough with a 1-2-3 1st. But the next inning began HR-walk-single-single, and eventually all four runners came around to score, though one was unearned.

In the 3rd inning, Smith allowed a walk and single to the first two batters. Coming back to the mound after a 20-minute rain delay, Smith retired three in a row. Final line - 3 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 1 K, 1 HR.

RHP Luis Contreras followed Smith, and it didn't go well. Contreras gave up five runs in the 4th, allowing two doubles, three singles and two walks (not in that order). It's all at the game log link. 36 pitches and day done.

The only Crew position player was LF Je'Von Ward, 1-for-3, BB, RBI, two K's. You can see Ward's 11-game output at the Batting Statistics page below.

Currently the video archive of this game sits at the "Live Stream" page - Surprise at Glendale. Some prior games discussed in this thread can be found on the site's archive page, where this game will be shifted to at some point.

Next game is Friday night.

***

Batting Statistics: Zavier Warren, Je'Von Ward, Jeferson Quero, Tyler Black

Pitching Statistics: Russell Smith, Abner Uribe, Ryan Middendorf, Luis Contreras; yet to pitch, RHP Logan Henderson

[nate82]

Quero, Uribe and Warren make it to the All Star roster.

https://www.mlb.com/arizona-fall-league/fall-stars-game/national-league-roster?adobe_mc=TS%3D1667585317|MCMID%3D17426725515882183655597566382457388986|MCORGID%3DA65F776A5245B01B0A490D44@AdobeOrg&rsid=mlbios.at.bat.new.implementation&partnerId=mlbapp-ios_referral

 

[Brewcrew82]

I am so excited to see Abner Uribe in spring training. He could really help return this bullpen to dominance post-Josh Hader. 

[Jim Goulart]

Friday 11/4:

Glendale wins 6-1, now 12-13 overall. 

Box / Game Log

We'll just call this the Je'Von Ward game.

Top-notch article here - great to see the video interview and get caught up on Ward's status after such an unfortunate set of injury absences.

 

 

Elsewhere, 1B Zavier Warren was 0-for-2, but scored a run, as he walked three times. Warren's OBP is .476 through 20 games. Warren has walked 19 times and fanned only 13 in 63 AB's.

Jeferson Quero was the DH in this one, 0-for-4 with three K's.

No Brewers pitchers Friday.

Currently the video archive of this game sits at the "Live Stream" page - Glendale at Scottsdale. Some prior games discussed in this thread can be found on the site's archive page, where this game will be shifted to at some point.

The AFL is off on Saturday leading into Sunday's "Fall Star Game". Warren, Quero, and RHP Abner Uribe made the squad.

If the Astros win the World Series Saturday, the Fall Star Game will air on MLB Network at 3:00 PM Central Sunday. If the Phillies force a Game 7, then the game from Arizona will solely stream live on MLB.com.

***

Batting Statistics: Zavier Warren, Je'Von Ward, Jeferson Quero, Tyler Black

Pitching Statistics: Russell Smith, Abner Uribe, Ryan Middendorf, Luis Contreras; yet to pitch, RHP Logan Henderson

[UpandIn]

On 11/4/2022 at 1:16 PM, Brewcrew82 said:

I am so excited to see Abner Uribe in spring training. He could really help return this bullpen to dominance post-Josh Hader. 

Edit-Got a little excited about the Brewers bullpen and what I want to see it look like. The only real relevant part of this post is....yes!

 

Yes...I feel like this is the part of the team that...even despite of the loss of Hader, is the area that's gotten progressively worse the last few years. Really since Knebel left/got hurt. 

I'd be alright running it back with this team, bringing in the rookies and then just adding two power relievers and then hoping you get Uribe and Ecerg or whomever to develop. 

Robert Suarez 2/16 3rd year TO Mutual 2.5 buyout. 
Guarantee 2/18.5
Rafael Montero 1/5 with(he's had a breakout year and he's got good velocity but it's just one year...I might go up to 1/8)
I know we're not going to do this and I half want to see Jose Abreu signed instead, but I'd also like to just stock this bullpen and THEN if you get Uribe or anyone else break out, it just takes a strength and makes it that much better. You'd be kinda taking a piece of that 2018 team and then the 2021 team and trying to get the best out of both. 

Suarez gives you a CL/SU option, Montero can give you a dominant middle reliever. Really shorten the games to 5-6 innings...which would be HUGE on days Peralta/Ashby/Houser/Lauer throw as you wouldn't need to ask them to do too much. You wouldn't try and wring antoher inning out of them. 

Williams
Suarez
Montero
Bush
Strezlecki
Cousins
Milner
Boxberger


You'd have opening day rotation of Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta, Lauer, Ashby, Houser
Uribe, Ecreg, Gasser, Gott(though he may be out of options, so swap him and Strez if so). Small could also certainly work his way in there. 

And maybe you start Ashby in AAA next year. Let him work on his pitches in game situations. Skipped AA and only 63IP in AAA. Give him some confidence and then bring him up and he really could step into that early Hader multi-inning role. I think it's lost on people, this dude was touching 99 this year and that slider is filthy. He just needs to learn to pitch a bit. He gets crushed in 0-0 counts and 0-2 counts(which...no pitcher should get hit hard then). 

[ARobsBrewCrew]

5 hours ago, UpandIn said:

Edit-Got a little excited about the Brewers bullpen and what I want to see it look like. The only real relevant part of this post is....yes!

 

Yes...I feel like this is the part of the team that...even despite of the loss of Hader, is the area that's gotten progressively worse the last few years. Really since Knebel left/got hurt. 

I'd be alright running it back with this team, bringing in the rookies and then just adding two power relievers and then hoping you get Uribe and Ecerg or whomever to develop. 

Robert Suarez 2/16 3rd year TO Mutual 2.5 buyout. 
Guarantee 2/18.5
Rafael Montero 1/5 with(he's had a breakout year and he's got good velocity but it's just one year...I might go up to 1/8)
I know we're not going to do this and I half want to see Jose Abreu signed instead, but I'd also like to just stock this bullpen and THEN if you get Uribe or anyone else break out, it just takes a strength and makes it that much better. You'd be kinda taking a piece of that 2018 team and then the 2021 team and trying to get the best out of both. 

Suarez gives you a CL/SU option, Montero can give you a dominant middle reliever. Really shorten the games to 5-6 innings...which would be HUGE on days Peralta/Ashby/Houser/Lauer throw as you wouldn't need to ask them to do too much. You wouldn't try and wring antoher inning out of them. 

Williams
Suarez
Montero
Bush
Strezlecki
Cousins
Milner
Boxberger


You'd have opening day rotation of Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta, Lauer, Ashby, Houser
Uribe, Ecreg, Gasser, Gott(though he may be out of options, so swap him and Strez if so). Small could also certainly work his way in there. 

And maybe you start Ashby in AAA next year. Let him work on his pitches in game situations. Skipped AA and only 63IP in AAA. Give him some confidence and then bring him up and he really could step into that early Hader multi-inning role. I think it's lost on people, this dude was touching 99 this year and that slider is filthy. He just needs to learn to pitch a bit. He gets crushed in 0-0 counts and 0-2 counts(which...no pitcher should get hit hard then). 

Maybe I’m in the minority, I really have no idea, but I don’t see any way in which the Brewers aim to build off of last year in terms of competing for a World Series.  From everything I have seen, the trend is downward for the current Major League group.  I highly doubt a full rebuild is in the future, or necessary for that reason with the amount of talent in the organization that, in reality, is not far away from making an impact.  However, with contracts running out of time, the amount of talent in the organization that could only be accentuated by selling a few pieces, the hard reality of likelihood for regression in some currently on the roster, etc., I honestly see a much better overall, vastly different roster in two years.  One more season of waiting seems very worth having the deepest farm system and one of the best, young MLB rosters from top to bottom in the league with the young talent that COULD be brought in. Not to mention the fact that “prospects” aren’t the only valuable return that the club could get from selling.  Surely some highly-touted young players that are already making an impact would be available if the Brewers did decide to flip some off of the current roster.  Very tough call and I don’t know, maybe I’m way off, but just my opinion. (Notice how I didn’t mention any names because I don’t want start a riot ?)

[UpandIn]

6 hours ago, ARobsBrewCrew said:

Maybe I’m in the minority, I really have no idea, but I don’t see any way in which the Brewers aim to build off of last year in terms of competing for a World Series.  From everything I have seen, the trend is downward for the current Major League group.  I highly doubt a full rebuild is in the future, or necessary for that reason with the amount of talent in the organization that, in reality, is not far away from making an impact.  However, with contracts running out of time, the amount of talent in the organization that could only be accentuated by selling a few pieces, the hard reality of likelihood for regression in some currently on the roster, etc., I honestly see a much better overall, vastly different roster in two years.  One more season of waiting seems very worth having the deepest farm system and one of the best, young MLB rosters from top to bottom in the league with the young talent that COULD be brought in. Not to mention the fact that “prospects” aren’t the only valuable return that the club could get from selling.  Surely some highly-touted young players that are already making an impact would be available if the Brewers did decide to flip some off of the current roster.  Very tough call and I don’t know, maybe I’m way off, but just my opinion. (Notice how I didn’t mention any names because I don’t want start a riot ?)

Yeah...but when you talk about regression without naming any names, it make the conversation a bit more difficult to have. 

They're bringing back pretty much their whole roster, they've got guys like Peralta, Houser, Woodruff who missed time last year. 

Frelick, Mitchell, Turang, Ruiz who should contribute next year(I think Wiemer is a guy who COULD, but he's also a guy who I think will take a little longer). 

Unless you're saying AFTER next year when it is more likely they start to trade players, I don't really get why you'd see a regression coming. Unless it's Devin Williams and people can tell me I'm irrational on that one all they'd like, I understand the underlying metrics don't support it, I just don't trust him). 

Projected IF
Adames, Urias, Turang, Tellez, Jace(hopefully), Brosseau.

I don't see much area for regression. Adames could very easily hit for less power, but I'd also expect a better BA/OBP just as we saw last year when his BABIP normalized. 
Turang from Wong could certainly constitute a regression offensively. Not likely to defensively. 
Urias-I don't really know, he's just a solid player. He was supposed to be a better hitter, that hasn't materialized, but I don't see a regression. 
Tellez? He's hasn't been good enough for a big regression to make a big difference. He hits for power and little else. The shift should help his numbers(while accounting for the fact that it'll help every LHed hitters). 

 

OF/DH-This is where I see a significant improvement. 
Yelich-The guy hits the ball hard and he hits it on the ground. Limited shift, he should hit better. If he actually puts time into training and working on his body and his core like Braun did(without taking steroids and then blaming the nice man of not liking a certain type of person) he just might get back. Either way, the walks should continue, and there may not be a LHed hitter who projects to benefit from the shift MORE than Yelly. 

Frelick/Ruiz>Yelich in LF
Mitchell/Ruiz>Cain/Taylor/Davis in CF
Renfroe=Renfroe(and Joey Wiemer at least offers the potential for a boost and if he falls flat, then he won't be in there for long. 

DH-Yelich>Than a rotating day off for players. May help him to just hone on on his ABs.

 

SPing-Burnes/Woody/Peralta/Ashby/Lauer/Houser
Always the chance for regression just due to injury, but I don't see a reason why you'd expect it. 

BP-
They were already bad. And again, if you mean Williams, I agree. 
I also think Bush getting his FB up could make him a dominant reliever. 

Don't know what this group will look like, so it's hard to say if there will be regression. 

Regression is always possible in Baseball(or any sport). But I don't see any reason to expect it going into this season. 

Feels like this was the year we dealt with the regression and the injuries. 

 

I don't disagree that trading now may yield the best long term results, but this might be our best chance at fielding a WS type roster in 40 years. So you have to balance that. 

[Jim Goulart]

Let's see if we can get this thread back to Fall League posts, thanks - yes, I realize this tangent is related to Abner Uribe's fall season performance to date.

 

[Jim Goulart]

From this article detailing how each organization's prospects did in the Fall Star Game -

Brewers
Righty Abner Uribe boasts serious heat, which was on display when he reached triple digits coming out of the bullpen in the sixth inning. He permitted a hit and a walk but did not allow a run, fanning two. Jeferson Quero, the Brewers' No. 7 prospect, entered the game behind the dish as a defensive replacement in the sixth. He popped out to short in the bottom half of the frame before leading off the ninth with a single to left. Zavier Warren replaced Noelvi Marte at third in the sixth and grounded out to first in his lone at-bat.

 

[Jim Goulart]

Tuesday 11/8:

Glendale rolls 9-3. Season ends Thursday, two games remain.

Box / Game Log

Up 9-0 entering the bottom of the 9th, RHP Ryan Middendorf figured he had the night off. But a faltering reliever allowed three runs, including four walks, so Middendorf was brought in with two runners on to get the game's final out. He did so on a fly out to the lone batter he faced.

Zavier Warren, playing third base and batting 5th, was 0-for-4 but drove in a run on a sacrifice fly (K'd twice, which is rare).

Je'Von Ward made a 5th inning entrance in a designated hitter swap. Ward would get three plate appearances, 0-for-2 with two K's, a walk and run scored.

Catcher Jeferson Quero was 1-for-3 with a walk and run scored. No baserunners attempted to steal, partly a byproduct of the score (Glendale broke it open with six runs in the 5th).

Currently the video archive of this game sits at the "Live Stream" page - Glendale at Peoria. Some prior games discussed in this thread can be found on the site's archive page, where this game will be shifted to at some point.

Next game is Wednesday afternoon.

***

Batting Statistics: Zavier Warren, Je'Von Ward, Jeferson Quero, Tyler Black

Pitching Statistics: Russell Smith, Abner Uribe, Ryan Middendorf, Luis Contreras; yet to pitch, RHP Logan Henderson

[Jim Goulart]

Wednesday 11/9:

Glendale wins 10-4, taking the lead with a seven-run 8th.

Box / Game Log

Zavier Warren, playing first base and batting 5th, was 0-for-4 with a walk, scored a run (one K)

Currently the video archive of this game sits at the "Live Stream" page - Glendale at Mesa. Some prior games discussed in this thread can be found on the site's archive page, where this game will be shifted to at some point.

Season finale is Thursday afternoon for the 14-13 Desert Dogs.

***

Batting Statistics: Zavier Warren, Je'Von Ward, Jeferson Quero, Tyler Black

Pitching Statistics: Russell Smith, Abner Uribe, Ryan Middendorf, Luis Contreras; yet to pitch, RHP Logan Henderson

[Joseph Zarr]

Just wanted to quick piggy-back on Jim's incredibly helpful output during this entire AFL period:

Glendale wins their season finale 5-2 and close out their AFL 'regular' season 15-13 overall.

Box Score / Game Log

LHP Russ Smith closed out his brief AFL season going 5 IP/ 6 H/ 3 BB/ 6 K/ 1 HR/ 2 ER (men on base continues to be a problem - tho, the result here and the 6 punchouts obviously favorable)

OF Je'Von Ward grabs his 4th SB in a 1-for-2 showing at the dish

INF Zavier Warren finishes his season playing 2B (!!) going 0-for-1 with 2 BB

C Jeferson Quero ends his work going 1-for-2 (2B); defensively, he was 1-for-3 in the CS department

***

Batting Statistics: Zavier Warren, Je'Von Ward, Jeferson Quero, Tyler Black

Pitching Statistics: Russell Smith, Abner Uribe, Ryan Middendorf, Luis Contreras; and never actually pitched but surely enjoyed the weather, RHP Logan Henderson

 

[Joseph Zarr]

AND, let's dive deeper. There's a an AFL Post-Season. And, our Glendale Dogs are showing quite the bite so far!

 

Glendale Dogs Howling into AFL Postseason

Quote

The Desert Dogs, trailing 2-0, flipped the script in the sixth inning. After Brewers prospect Je’Von Ward singled to lead off the inning and stole second base, his organization-mate Jeferson Quero, Milwaukee’s No. 7 prospect, doubled to right field to set up two men in scoring position with no outs.

“He’s just a guy who seems to have a knack for hits late in games and got another one today,” Jirschele said of the 20-year-old backstop. “He’s been a staple for us behind the plate, runs the pitching staff really well, can catch and throw, so he’s going to be a fun one to watch in the future.”

 

**Above mentioned (quoted) Quero double - scoring Ward - included in article. Another beautiful oppo laser.

[Joseph Zarr]

Glendale Scores Late AGAIN ensuring their place in Saturday's (11/12) Championship Game with a 6-3 victory over Peoria in the Play-In Game

Box Score / Game Log

What a late season run these dogs are on! 

The only Brewers field player making an appearance here was Zavier Warren - playing his vintage 3B role and batting in the 5-Hole. He went 0-for-3 with a BB and 2 K. He has cooled off a bit of late - but given his torrid pace since July, this is hardly surprising or disappointing.

BUT, let's again tout the highly impressive work of (soon to be protected from Rule 5, surely?!?) RHP Abner Uribe:

2 IP, 2 BB, 0H, 5 K, 1 S

Yet to concede an earned run in the AFL ?

***

Championship Game write-up: HERE

Saturday, 11/12 8PM EST - game will be televised live via MLB.tv and the MLB Network

If you've been following the AFL, Glendale will face the Surprise Saguaros (19-10 - overall AFL Leaders). Surprise owns the AFL season series edge over Glendale 5-1. As they say, however, "...on any given Saturday". Or, something like that.

I will say, given my ongoing overall indifference toward 'Top Prospects' Lists (ergo, MLB Pipeline et al), it is quite something an over-emphasis on these relatively meaningless lists would fail to mention Abner Uribe as a 'player to watch'. I digress. Tune in and enjoy!

[markedman5]

Middendorf gets the start

[Joseph Zarr]

6 minutes ago, markedman5 said:

Middendorf gets the start

LOVE this. They've got the 'bullpen game' horses in that Desert Dogs Pen. This is a huge opportunity for Ryan. Let's hope he can rise to the occasion.

[UpandIn]

On 11/7/2022 at 4:54 AM, Mass Haas said:

From this article detailing how each organization's prospects did in the Fall Star Game -

Brewers
Righty Abner Uribe boasts serious heat, which was on display when he reached triple digits coming out of the bullpen in the sixth inning. He permitted a hit and a walk but did not allow a run, fanning two. Jeferson Quero, the Brewers' No. 7 prospect, entered the game behind the dish as a defensive replacement in the sixth. He popped out to short in the bottom half of the frame before leading off the ninth with a single to left. Zavier Warren replaced Noelvi Marte at third in the sixth and grounded out to first in his lone at-bat.

 

THAT is his 100 MPH fastball? What is the spin rate on that fastball? That's got some pretty impressive movement. A little arm side run and sinking action. 

Huh...I've been excited just reading and following the results mostly, but watching how easy that ball comes out and how it moves, it's got me that much more excited for his future. 

[Joseph Zarr]

Game on, Gents. We are live on MLB Network. Glendale batting first.

[Joseph Zarr]

Middendorf getting absolutely butchered by some highly questionable defense from his teammates. Ugly classic Minor League stuff early. I won't get into details. Watching the game. LOL.

[Joseph Zarr]

WHAT a tone setting first inning from Middendorf. His guys were botching routine infield plays, mis-communicating on routine foul pop-ups. The bases get juiced. What does he do? Guns down two straight guys with punch outs. I love this young man's game. His K:BB ratio continues to impress. I don't know if a single batter touched his zany low 90's fastball - so much movement. He has a couple versions - it might dip from that low arm slot. It might rise with high spin. On to the 2nd. Still 0-0. Warren playing 3B.