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Posted

Early runs and a little add on. A couple more runs in the 7th would have saved a few points on the BP, but at least Megill avoided any drama. 

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Note: If I raise something as a POSSIBILITY that does not mean that I EXPECT it to happen.
Posted
7 minutes ago, Underachiever said:

Brewers need to lose the next two so my August prediction of 17-12 is correct. Fingers crossed!

I assume you mean that your fingers are crossed because you’re lying, not because you are hoping it will happen. 
 

The former is fingers crossed behind your back. 

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Note: If I raise something as a POSSIBILITY that does not mean that I EXPECT it to happen.
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Posted
13 minutes ago, Bulldogboy said:

Brewers were looking to deal Megill in the spring. Can't imagine this team without him.

In fairness, he struggled and had health questions towards the end last year, then came out struggling again this year before putting together a great season. 

Posted

I got a pretty big kick out of Luis Lara tonite. He's shown once again how the athleticism & instincts allow him to make plays, despite him needing mucho polish. Really looking forward to seeing him lock down his OF responsibilities after hundreds & hundreds of reps cuz he mostly gets the job done now w/o them. Then there's the two hits w/RISP, and for my money if you can ever credit someone with a 'good AB' while striking out with the bases loaded, the one in the bottom of the 8th just might qualify.

Drohan battled on a night where he wasn't very good. And if trying to get a 3rd inning out of Patrick was a mistake, then it's one I would've made too. I was hoping for three from him when he entered the game. The leadoff walk probably ticked me off more than the HR.

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Posted
Just now, Jim French Stepstool said:

I got a pretty big kick out of Luis Lara tonite. He's shown once again how the athleticism & instincts allow him to make plays, despite him needing mucho polish. Really looking forward to seeing him lock down his OF responsibilities after hundreds & hundreds of reps cuz he mostly gets the job done now w/o them. Then there's the two hits w/RISP, and for my money if you can ever credit someone with a 'good AB' while striking out with the bases loaded, the one in the bottom of the 8th just might qualify.

Drohan battled on a night where he wasn't very good. And if trying to get a 3rd inning out of Patrick was a mistake, then it's one I would've made too. I was hoping for three from him when he entered the game. The leadoff walk probably ticked me off more than the HR.

Feel like an AB where you chase ball four two straight pitches in a 3-2 count cannot be considered a good AB

Posted
13 minutes ago, Underachiever said:

Brewers need to lose the next two so my August prediction of 17-12 is correct. Fingers crossed!

Heretic!

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Questions are a burden.   And answers a prison for one's self.

Posted
12 minutes ago, willie key said:

Megill is good 

Quite a nice situation with him right now. He hasn't been used much lately, and when he has he's had some outings like tonite----first two outs on four pitches.

'Pen is lined up nicely with Uribe & Romero both on the cusp of returning.

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Posted
1 minute ago, edfunderburk said:

In his first three MLB seasons, Jackson Chourio has the same amount of 20 home run seasons as Christian Yelich has in 14 seasons

Also missed the first month of this season....

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Posted
9 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

Feel like an AB where you chase ball four two straight pitches in a 3-2 count cannot be considered a good AB

I focused more on the fact that he took it full after going 0-2. He didn't quite recognize ball four on the 3-2 check swing & went too far. All things considered I'd lean more toward 'good' than 'bad' when categorizing the AB.

I'll grade it tougher when he's 24.

Posted
7 minutes ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

I focused more on the fact that he took it full after going 0-2. He didn't quite recognize ball four on the 3-2 check swing & went too far. All things considered I'd lean more toward 'good' than 'bad' when categorizing the AB.

I'll grade it tougher when he's 24.

He had one nice foul off on the backdoor sweeper that barely clipped the top of zone but I don't think the takes to get to 3 balls were all that difficult. Two changeups that were well below the zone and a FB that was way above the zone. I think to consider that anywhere near a good AB you'd have to be grading with a huge curve. I wouldn't say it was a bad AB but outside of the fouled off sweeper in the 1-2 count I think it was a pretty meh AB. 

Posted
14 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

He had one nice foul off on the backdoor sweeper that barely clipped the top of zone but I don't think the takes to get to 3 balls were all that difficult. Two changeups that were well below the zone and a FB that was way above the zone. I think to consider that anywhere near a good AB you'd have to be grading with a huge curve. I wouldn't say it was a bad AB but outside of the fouled off sweeper in the 1-2 count I think it was a pretty meh AB. 

Fair enough. I'm putting a little more stock on the takes than you are given the moment, the fact he's still not 22 & that Junis probably isn't the easiest AB for a youngster--he's not what you'd call conventional. IMO those were easier takes if he's, say, leading off the inning.

He's shown he's capable of more so I suppose I'd back off 'good' but still go somewhere north of 'meh'.

Posted

Through the first 26 games when the Brewers were sitting at 13 W - 13 L the relievers had some of the following ranks among MLB bullpens...

8 L (3rd most) | 109 AVG+ (27th) | -1.50 WPA (25th) | 95 LOB+ (19th) | 102 ERA- (16th) | 88 FIP- (7th)

Over the 109 games since then and before tonight the relievers have these rankings among MLB bullpens...

11 L (fewest) | 87 AVG+ (1st) | +8.58 WPA (2nd) | 106 LOB+ (2nd) | 73 ERA- (3rd) | 84 FIP- (2nd)

Put it all together and in 2024 the bullpen had +13.14 WPA (2nd), in 2025 it was +5.03 WPA (10th), so far this year it is +7.08 WPA (2nd), and in total from 2024 through 2026 they are at +25.25 WPA (2nd) from their relievers.

CLE relievers are first with +28.35 WPA over that stretch while the Braves bullpen is third at +19.59 WPA. 

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Posted
41 minutes ago, sveumrules said:

Through the first 26 games when the Brewers were sitting at 13 W - 13 L the relievers had some of the following ranks among MLB bullpens...

8 L (3rd most) | 109 AVG+ (27th) | -1.50 WPA (25th) | 95 LOB+ (19th) | 102 ERA- (16th) | 88 FIP- (7th)

Over the 109 games since then and before tonight the relievers have these rankings among MLB bullpens...

11 L (fewest) | 87 AVG+ (1st) | +8.58 WPA (2nd) | 106 LOB+ (2nd) | 73 ERA- (3rd) | 84 FIP- (2nd)

Put it all together and in 2024 the bullpen had +13.14 WPA (2nd), in 2025 it was +5.03 WPA (10th), so far this year it is +7.08 WPA (2nd), and in total from 2024 through 2026 they are at +25.25 WPA (2nd) from their relievers.

CLE relievers are first with +28.35 WPA over that stretch while the Braves bullpen is third at +19.59 WPA. 

Is this cherry picking because it doesn’t consider the whole season? 😀

Do the bullpen losses include losses by normal starters who entered in the second or third inning after openers? I think there were a couple of those in April. 

Note: If I raise something as a POSSIBILITY that does not mean that I EXPECT it to happen.

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