I don't see an extension making much sense for either side when it comes to Vaughn or the Brewers. He's already gotten double digit millions, and even if non-tendered he can still likely squeeze out a few more million somewhere else. So he isn't likely to do a steep discount, and there's no real defense or base running to help support the bat so if the end of year improvements don't stick even $10 million a year looks like wasted money really fast. I think there are plenty of reasons to believe he will be worth the salary, but we have too many reasonable options for 1st base after this year. If he has a big year I also don't think the 1 year big arby number is a problem either. So I put a trade at less than 50%. The other two though seem highly likely