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JCREW

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Everything posted by JCREW

  1. JCREW
    I think there's is correlation between hitting the ball to center field and high BABIP. But not in this case which is weird. As for Clark, I love him as a prospect. Can't teach those OBP skills at that age. Obvious swing-and-miss problems, but I'm optimistic he'll turn the corner there. I get that but is the writer pointing out that Cody Bellinger was an outlier too and therefore Trent might be good like him? The outlier exists in one variable only, hits to center. That’s awesome if its hard contact, but terrible if, like someone else said, he’s hitting weak grounders to second. That’s where the eye test comes into play. I’d also like to know who some of the other players are who have such high center field percentages.
  2. JCREW
    Teams are privately held and don't require published financials. Forbes has made estimates of team revenues, I've also seen that player salaries have steadily averaged 56% across all teams. I doubt anyone has any specific numbers on other expenses though. I for one would be extremely interested in seeing what team financials look like. Right. I'm aware they are privately held. I was just wondering if anything ever got shared during the last CBA negotiations or something like that. I suppose it would be pretty counter-intuitive for a team to let anyone see how much money they were withholding from the players or extorting from the fans. (Italicized is half sarcastic)
  3. JCREW
    Anybody have thoughts on the Trent Grisham write-up in the FanGraphs All-KATOH Team? https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-2018-all-katoh-team/ I'm not sure what to make of the extreme outlier data. It makes me kind of excited that he might be something special. (Also, mods, how about a name change on the thread title)
  4. JCREW
    Does anyone know if there are published figures of teams' revenues and expenses? If not are there estimates out there? I would really like to see what sort of expenses teams have beyond personnel costs.
  5. JCREW
    I think you value chicken salad more highly than I do.
  6. JCREW
    So is there a different word that you use to describe the Kershaws and Klubers of the game?
  7. JCREW
    Gosh, both options make me sick to my stomach to be honest. I'd prefer Salazar to both of those options.
  8. JCREW
    One of the best 30 pitchers in MLB.
  9. JCREW
    I'd bet on lower teens for Lynn and Cobb.
  10. JCREW
    MLBTradeRumors had Darvish at 6 years $160MM. He actually got 6/126. The actual deal was 79% of their prediction. I can't imagine Arrieta getting higher AAV than Darvish. So could the brewers get Arrieta for 4/80MM? I'd be surprisingly happy about that, I think.
  11. JCREW
    Steamer projects Cobb to be a few tenths of a WAR better than Woody and Chacin. It projects Lynn to be a few tenths worse than those two. So in that model, our rotation would be Davies Anderson Cobb Woodruff Chacin and later in the year Nelson Davies Anderson Cobb Woodruff Steamer actually projects Jaime Garcia as the guy to get after Yu and Arrietta.
  12. JCREW
    Thanks. Very insightful. It seems like a lot hangs on the GMs’ valuations of the Kipnis contract and the competition (or lack thereof) of teams trying to get Santana.
  13. JCREW
    I don’t see the Indians’ side in a vacuum. They would lose a 2-3 WAR pitcher and a 1-2 WAR 2B and gain a 2-3 WAR outfielder. They would save a bunch of money on Kipnis that could be used to add a free agent SP or 2B. Also, Mejia can play some 3B starts allowing Ramirez to play more at 2B. So they’d have an upgraded OF, money to spend, and more spots for Mejia to play. I can see that being attractive to them.
  14. JCREW
    MadThinker, You seem to have a foot in MKE and a foot in CLE. How does the average Indians fan react to something like Santana and Ponce for Kipnis and Salazar?
  15. JCREW
    A number of times in this thread and others, people have said things along the lines of, "This thing didn't happen yet, so you were lying about having inside information." I'd be upset too if someone accused me of lying when the more probable situation is market factors and GM valuations shifted. To HighHeat19: The internet is not private and gets snarky and mean quickly. Thank you for the info. I wish it would keep coming, but at some point publicity and snark were bound to happen, so please don't be too hurt. To his detractors: Please don't call someone a liar when there are more plausible options than falsehood. Please don't call hard work nothing.
  16. JCREW
    Thanks for the info. Good reads. If I was an O’s fan, I would be a bit upset about Schoop skipping out, but I would be even more upset about Buck throwing him under the bus. I don’t think that a preseason presser is an acceptable time to slam a player like that. Something vague would be far better IMhO.
  17. JCREW
    I’d prefer 9 PM Eastern. Better yet 9 o’clock tiny weird Canadian province time
  18. JCREW
    Yes, that would be the definition of collusion. And how does having one of the league's most marketable stars sitting on the sidelines because of a "wink, nod" agreement benefit the game? I get the argument that the players are making a lot of money, but should the players make peanuts while owners rake in millions upon millions in revenue every year, while justifying raising the costs of tickets, concessions and merchandise by blaming rising player salaries? There's a thread on this in the Major Leagues section of the forum, so I'll just say this one thing... The players signed/extended the CBA right as market valuations of older free agents began to change. So while it hurts, they signed up for/are stuck with a few more years of this. The best thing for players to do would be fight for the fans. Tell their owners that if they are going to keep down salaries, then they should also keep down prices for the fans. That would plausibly give the players public opinion leverage when the next CBA comes up. If I'm Darvish, I'm probably waiting until the fifth day of spring training or until one of the other big three signs. He has no good reason to give an owner a bargain unless some other force makes it look like he's going to lose money. As much as I want the market to start moving, it's really not Yu's fault that the market is stuck. He just happens to be the clear cream of the crop in a year with few suitors.
  19. JCREW
    The more I think about all of Archer, Bundy, and Stroman, it just doesn't make sense for those teams to want Santana. They don't need a player who is going to be in or near FA right when their windows are opening.
  20. JCREW
    The way rumors about a big ask for Archer have been going, I have a hard time seeing TBR taking that package for Archer, let alone giving up Archer and Adames.
  21. JCREW
    I’m guessing that a lot of mid to small market teams and their fans feel this way. As it becomes obvious that a players aged 25-29 are the game’s peak performers, it just becomes hard to go all in and pay somebody for past performance that will almost certainly not be repeated. I don’t think there’s collusion. There’s just Fangraphs.
  22. JCREW
    If Stearns says anything but what he said, he lose leverage with other teams and the faith of his players. Its Haudricourt’s job to ask. It’s Stearns’ job to remain cryptic.
  23. JCREW
    I think you have the beginnings of something there but a couple of issues. Mejia's prospect value is in the neighborhood of Brinson (possibly a little higher due to position value). So you suggest Mejia & a lottery ticket (of some sort) is worth only Santana & Luis Ortiz? Cleveland would likely say the return is too light. Also I don't think Ortiz would interest them & adding another CLE piece to Mejia (going to Marlins) pushes it further out of balance. Could the Marlins be sold on Mejia & 1 piece from MKE for JT? I think so (depending on that other piece). I realize ANY inclusion of Burnes or Woodruff would not work so let's look at other possibilities. Marlins get: Mejia & Jorge Lopez Indians get: Santana & Freddy Peralta Brewers get: JT Thoughts? Hah! I was actually going to come back on and edit my post to make both the lottery tix come from Milwaukee. I think Realmuto is probably the most valuable piece in this whole trade. The balance of the trade would probably get hammered out based on the win-now needs of MKe and CLE and the prospect valuations of MIA.
  24. JCREW
    I’ll bite... Marlins get Mejia and a lottery ticket from each of MKe and CLE Cleveland gets Santana and Ortiz Brewers get Realmuto
  25. JCREW
    Additionally, it's been said that Stearns is a KATOH guy. Jake Bauers has a pretty solid KATOH projection.
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