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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Fitzpatrick works out of a bases loaded one out jam to put up his fourth scoreless frame (59 pitches) with 3 H | 2 BB | 1 HBP | 2 K.
  2. sveumrules
    Yeah, there’s a bunch of guys on the ten teams (fourteen if you count the other NL Central teams) that are all within a few games of .500 that could be nice pick ups. Hopefully the mess sorts itself out some in the seven weeks leading up to the deadline.
  3. sveumrules
    Great AB by Chourio (and the ump).
  4. sveumrules
    Yeah, Kerry Carpenter (129 wRC+ | 3.7 WAR over 735 PAs since 2022) and Riley Greene (111 wRC+ | 4.6 WAR over 1,102 PAs since 2022) have been their only real hits on the position player side and Carpenter is out with a lumbar spine stress fracture. #1 overall pick Spencer Torkleson was supposed to be a guy but has a 91 wRC+ and -0.3 WAR for his career and was just sent down to AAA, resulting in Keston Hiura’s release.
  5. sveumrules
    I’d prefer if Wilson was a long man, that’s his ideal role, but circumstance has dictated otherwise. Hard for me to complain too much about him putting up a 3.09 ERA over 43.2 IP in the nine games he was the “starter” prior to today. He’s been put in a tough position and done his job and then some even if the ERA has been lucky or smoke & mirrors or Brewers FIP beating wizardry or whatever one wants to chalk it up to. He’d only have one run today if Turang took the out at first.
  6. sveumrules
    Found this blurb on the FanGraphs 2019 prospect list where Tarik was in the Others Prospects Of Note section… Skubal was hurt for his junior year at Seattle University and looked good in bullpens before the draft but nobody would meet his ask. He went back to school and was very wild, then dominated in pro ball after signing by throwing about 80% fastballs. He’s a ground-up rebuild who had third round stuff at his best in college. One year later on their 2020 Tigers list he has moved up to #4 with this to say… Skubal was rehabbing from Tommy John during his junior year at Seattle University and only managed to throw a few bullpen sessions in front of scouts before the 2017 draft. Scouts liked what they saw, but not enough to meet a price tag that was up around $1 million according to sources. Skubal went back to school and was horrendous early in the year before he slowly began to throw more and more strikes. Now 29 teams and their evaluators are cursing themselves for either failing to notice that upward trend throughout the 2018 spring, or for noticing but lacking conviction in the draft room. There are some folks in baseball who have Skubal right up in the same tier with Mize and Manning. He has a dominant fastball, equal parts velocity, ride, and tough-to-square angle.
  7. sveumrules
    Hudson (+2.18 WPA), Koenig (+1.07 WPA) and even Paredes (+0.78 WPA) have been impactful out of nowhere acquisitions for sure. Those three guys have more WPA than 27 teams entire bullpens have produced. ZiPS projected Turang (1.4 WAR) and Ortiz (1.6 WAR) for three combined wins, they’re currently at 4.3 WAR and counting. Perkins has taken his opportunity and ran with it, already topping his preseason ZiPS by half a win. His acquisition thread is looking more and more like a BF all timer. Wilson (83 ERA- | 127 FIP-) and Rea (88 ERA- | 115 FIP-) keeping alive the rich Brewers tradition of marginal pitchers majorly beating their FIPs has been fun to watch. Brewers are 13-8 in games “started” by the pair. So that’s like four wins from nondescript bullpen pickups, an extra couple wins from young position player breakouts, and if you assume the Brewers shouldn’t be much more than a .500 team with Wilson/Rea starting that’s another two tree wins there. Obviously there’s a lot of quick and dirty math going on, but that accounts for something like eight or nine of the team’s current twelve games over .500.
  8. sveumrules
    Scanning through the pitch usage leaderboards it looks like out of 355 pitchers with at least 20 IP this year there are 68 pitchers who throw a sinker and cutter at least 10% each. If you raise the usage threshold to 15% each it drops down to 37 pitchers. Wilson (34.1% cut | 30.8% sink), Rea (24.5% cut | 28.5% sink) and Koenig (23.3% cut | 58.8% sink) all clear either threshold and Gasser (9.3% cut | 27.1% sink) just misses the lower one.
  9. sveumrules
    Reds in 2nd, Pirates in 3rd, Cardinals and Cubs tied for last place. Glorious sight even if only for a day.
  10. sveumrules
    Here I was feeling fancy because I just put a new tip eraser on my #2 pencil.
  11. sveumrules
    I agree, that’s why I posted it in the Optimism Thread.
  12. sveumrules
    Hoskins has a 128 wRC+. Sure his 0.3 WAR is held back by being a slow DH/1B, but the Brewers are getting what they paid for in the box and I’d imagine they’d gladly pay him $18M next year if he finishes the year out healthy and hitting like he has. Miley is a sunk cost this year, yes, but in 2018/23 they got 5.5 rWAR for a total of $7M so I think they still came out pretty far ahead in the aggregate. Sanchez has been underwhelming as. DH, but in his 49 PA as a backup catcher he has a 142 wRC+ and he’s also posted a 167 wRC+ in his nine pinch hit PAs. He’s being paid like a bench player and has performed in that capacity. Wong turned in 4.9 fWAR | 6.4 bWAR for $18M before being dealt, that was an excellent value signing. Lorenzo pretty much earned his whole contract in 2018, but even with the down years at the end came in at 8.5 fWAR | 13.8 bWAR for $64 million after opting out in 2020 so that deal was still even money at worst.
  13. sveumrules
    Yeah, thought they’d go with Rob Zastryzny first if they called up somebody that needed to be added to the 40 man since he has the shinier stats…2.45 ERA | 2.69 FIP | 35.7 K%. Looks like Rob has only gone more than 1.0 IP in 3 of his 23 appearances so far this year so maybe Meeker got the nod due to being more capable of soaking up multiple innings. Always thought James had it in him though. Found this note in a minor league game thread after seeing him at Wisco in August 2022… Meeker: doesn’t have that plus plus stuff on the mound, but he just competes and gets outs in tough spots. Don’t think he’ll ever be a high leverage MLB guy, but do believe he will keep moving up & get to the show in the next couple years which would be a major success in & of itself for an Indy ball sign.
  14. sveumrules
    After eight scoreless innings from Tobias Myers last night the Brewers rotation has a 3.99 ERA this year. League average ERA for a starting pitcher is 4.01 this year.
  15. sveumrules
    Fedde is 23rd in IP (74.1), 34th in ERA- (83), 26th in FIP- (85), 25th in rWAR (1.8) and 21st in fWAR (1.6) so far this year. Freddy is 54th in IP (67.1), 51st in ERA- (93), 27th in FIP- (86), 38th in rWAR (1.4) and 29th in fWAR (1.4) so far this year. At least then we’d have two “bottom of the rotation” guys instead of only one.
  16. sveumrules
    Guess I just don’t see the Marlins or White Sox being too intrigued by any package for Luzardo, Crochet or Robert that doesn’t start with two of Misio, Quero and Black. Neither team looks to be competitive anytime soon so not sure they’d have much interest in guys like Frelick, Uribe, Mitchell, Wiemer or Dunn who’s service time is already ticking.
  17. sveumrules
    Just an ugly Wisco box. I guess Luke Adams was 1 for 2 with a 2B, BB and HBP. Jesus Chrinos hit his 4th bomb of the year accounting for the only run. Aaron Rund went 3 IP | 1 ER | 4 H | 1 BB | 4 K out of the pen.
  18. sveumrules
    Yeah. Was also at a 129 wRC+ with 10 SB / 1 CS and a 15.4 BB% at the time of publication, all while being over a year and a half younger than the average player in the Carolina League. I mean, sure I’d love it if he hit for a little more power over his first couple months off the complex, but hard for me to see how his performance has been “mediocre”.
  19. sveumrules
    Ten…or the same number Old Hoss Radbourn had after the first two weeks of the 1884 season.
  20. sveumrules
    Taylor Clarke added three more scoreless frames to his ledger before surrendering a solo shot in the fourth. Guessing he’ll come back out for the fifth with 70 pitches so far.
  21. sveumrules
    Mudcats have added three more runs here top of five on a Reidy Mercado bunt single (wild pitch), Filippo Di Turi walk (Mercado steal), Yophery Rodriguez triple, Cooper Pratt single sequence.
  22. sveumrules
    There are 122 players with at least 250 PAs in the outfield since the start of last year. Despite only ranking 98th with 358 PAs and 89th with a 90 wRC+, Perkins 2.0 WAR comes in at 53rd making his production comfortably starter level. His +15 DRS / +13 OAA each rank 7th among OF over that stretch.
  23. sveumrules
    Believe Clarke’s been getting stretched out to start, nine scoreless over his last three outings (two starts) and on the hill again starting tonight. Guessing they are saving him for future rotation reinforcements at some point.
  24. sveumrules
    Carolina has jumped out to a 3-1 lead through three. A trio of singles from Filippo Di Turi, Cooper Pratt and Daniel Guilarte plated a run top of one. Other two runs came top of three on solo shots from Reidy Mercado and Pratt. Josh Knoth surrendered a run bottom of one on three singles but has settled in to put up a pair of scoreless frames since.
  25. sveumrules
    Obviously super early, but Luis Pena acquitting himself well so far for DSL Brewers One. Went 2 for 4 today with 3 steals to run his season total to 6 stolen bags in only three games. Linbel Jimenez (19yo RHP listed at 6'5" and 198 lbs) also had a nice outing stranding a pair of inherited runners in the first inning and finishing up with 3.1 IP | 1 UER | 0 H | 1 BB | 2 K.
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