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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Among 596 pitchers with at least 200 IP in the minor leagues from 2021 to 2024, Meeker has some interesting ranks... 2.71 ERA (4th) | 39.7 Oppo% (5th highest) | 37.7 Pull% (5th lowest) | 1.13 WHIP (18th) | 6.5 HR/FB% (19th) | 3.52 FIP (21st) | 5.8 BB% (31st) | 0.62 HR9 (46th)
  2. sveumrules
    Way to go James Meeker. From Indy Ball to the Big Leagues.
  3. sveumrules
    I don't think that would be enough to win the bidding. Those guys are essentially just organizational depth pieces without a whole lot of upside. My best guess at a Fedde headliner would be one of Mike Boeve or Luis Lara.
  4. sveumrules
    Anyone remember what game it was that he sprained his finger or whatever it was? Just glancing at his game logs he was still at 359/434/553 (180 wRC+) over 196 PA through May 15th. Over his last 84 PA since then he is at 215/262/329 for a not so nice 69 wRC+.
  5. sveumrules
    Doesn’t look like Murray mentioned that Crochet’s current 69.2 IP represent a career high. His highest IP total before this was 65.0 as a junior at Tennessee in 2019. I’d let another team pay a steep prospect price to try and figure out how to get him to the postseason this year without blowing out his arm for the rest of his team control years.
  6. sveumrules
    Interesting stuff. As long as Burnes stays healthy and posts good run prevention numbers for a playoff team it will be hard to consider his walk year anything but a success. As it stands now he’s well positioned for a Top 5 finish in AL CYA voting. Will be curious though to see how something like his K rate declining from a 153 K%+ in 2021 down to a 122 K%+ in 2022 then down to a 115 K%+ last year and now down to a 107 K%+ this year will impact the largesse of his pending FA deal. Boras will be shooting for Cole money (9/324), or Strasburg (9/245) at minimum, but could see teams thinking more in line with Aaron Nola (7/172) if they view Burnes as increasingly being more reliant on contact management than being an elite strikeout guy.
  7. sveumrules
    Hayden Robinson struck out the first batter of the 9th before giving up a double and being relieved by Dencer Geraldo who got a fly out and ground out to secure the 9-1 victory for AZ Crew.
  8. sveumrules
    Speaking of perfect innings, looks like Bo Bowman went three up three down three strikeouts for Biloxi tonight. Craig Yoho struck out four to go along with two walks and a single that scored the Manfred Man over 1.2 IP. Justin Yeager recorded all four of his outs via K working around a triple that scored the Manfred Man.
  9. sveumrules
    Zona Crew has added four more runs and now lead the mighty Dodgers 9-1 through seven. Adamczewski (have fun typing that one on the regular link reporters) added a second double to his ledger. Bitonti is 2 for 3 with two walks and a stolen bag so far. Old friend Felix Valerio 1 for 2 with a double, two walks and a HBP Gery Holguin 1 for 2 with a double, sac fly, HBP and four RBI. Hayden Robinson has struck out four through two perfect relief frames.
  10. sveumrules
    There are currently seven teams scoring 4.80 R/G or greater, here is how their run scoring has varied using the splits available on BRef... Baltimore (5.10 R/G) 0-2: 13 (21.7%) 3-5: 22 (36.7%) 6+: 25 (41.7%) Cleveland (5.10 R/G) 0-2: 12 (20.0%) 3-5: 22 (36.7%) 6+: 26 (43.3%) Philadelphia (5.08 R/G) 0-2: 13 (20.6%) 3-5: 29 (46.0%) 6+: 21 (33.3%) New York Yanks (4.97 R/G) 0-2: 16 (25.4%) 3-5: 23 (36.5%) 6+: 24 (38.1%) Milwaukee (4.94 R/G) 0-2: 14 (22.6%) 3-5: 23 (37.1%) 6+: 35 (40.3%) Kansas City (4.87 R/G) 0-2: 16 (25.8%) 3-5: 24 (37.1%) 6+: 22 (35.5%) LA Dodgers (4.81 R/G) 0-2: 14 (22.2%) 3-5: 26 (41.3%) 6+: 23 (36.5%) Even among top offenses, the Phillies 46.0% of games scoring 3-5 runs is far and away ahead of second place (Dodgers at 41.3%). The other five top run scoring offenses are grouped together between 36.5% and 38.7% for 3-5 run games, so the Phillies are an outlier unto themselves (4.7% gap) then the Dodgers (2.6% gap) then everyone else. The Padres have been the most average-est offense by run scoring matching league average at 4.32 R/G, and their distribution actually exhibits the feast or famine dumbbell shape you are referring to... San Diego (4.32 R/G) 0-2: 25 (38.4%) 3-5: 16 (24.6%) 6+: 24 (36.9%)
  11. sveumrules
    DSL Brewers Two also prevailed by a 7-3 score. Jorge Quintana (2 for 5, 2B) and Jose Anderson (2 for 5, HR) had multiple hits with an extra baser each. Christopher Peralta put up the shiniest pitching line at 3.1 IP | 1 ER | 4 H | 1 BB | 4 K.
  12. sveumrules
    Wenderlyn King with 4.2 scoreless IP of 3 H | 0 BB | 6 K mound work in the DSL Brewers One 9-2 victory. Joandrew Pena came in for the aforementioned Jesus Made and went 2 for 4 with a 2B, HR and three RBI.
  13. sveumrules
    So you hated the way Counsell handled the bullpen because of the way he used one guy over two months during a season we ran away with the division largely because of the bullpen’s historic performance? What about how he used the other 134 relievers over his seven year tenure where the Brewers bullpen put up an MLB best +41.55 Win Probability Added?
  14. sveumrules
    Turang has started 6 of 14 games vs LHP this year. He also appeared in 5 of the 8 games he didn’t start vs LHP. He isn’t being platooned, just getting occasional rest in less favorable match ups. Turang’s 30 PAs vs LHP are 8th on the team. His “platoon” partner Monasterio has 23 PA vs LHP.
  15. sveumrules
    I would guess talks for Crochet start at Misio/Quero, especially this far out from the deadline. Black/Wiemer might be enough to get them listening on Fedde.
  16. sveumrules
    I wasn't trying to make it seem like Ashby had suddenly become good again. That was the whole reason I included words as caveats in addition to the splits. If you'd rather move the arbitrary line back two games, Ashby's last four appearances (21.2 IP of 4.57 ERA | 3.31 FIP) are still a notable improvement over the 22.0 IP of 9.00 ERA | 7.22 FIP he had posted prior to that.
  17. sveumrules
    Right, that start was much more similar to his first six starts than his last two that's why I drew the line at 7/2. If he had three starts in a row with good results than I would have drawn the line there instead. I was just noting the recent change in results, acknowledging the tininess of the sample and throwing a bunch of qualifiers on there as a way of saying "but it's probably nothing though".
  18. sveumrules
    How is it cherry picking to point out that he got better results in his last two starts, all while noting the tininess of the sample and throwing a bunch of soft qualifiers in there like "maybe" or "some modicum"?
  19. sveumrules
    Ashby (first 7 AAA starts) 31.1 IP | 41 H | 31 ER | 32 BB | 3 HBP | 7 WP | 35 K Ashby (last 2 AAA starts) 12.1 IP | 7 H | 2 ER | 6 BB | 0 HBP | 0 WP | 8 K Obviously a tiny sample, but looks like Ashby maybe found some modicum of control over his last two starts.
  20. sveumrules
    Good call, just glanced at the top of the rookie leaderboards and he isn't quite up there yet with the lower IP. Looks like the local sports book has it +100 Imanaga | +200 Skenes | +650 Yamamoto | +1000 Ortiz at the moment. (Odds provided for entertainment purposes only. Don't Gamble.)
  21. sveumrules
    Ortiz is currently at 155 wRC+ | 2.0 WAR. Next best position player is Michael Busch at 124 wRC+ | 1.1 WAR. Imanaga (2.4 rWAR), Gavin Stone (1.9 rWAR) and Yamamoto (1.5 rWAR) are probably Joey’s closest competition at this point. Then there’s that Bryan Hudson dude (+1.77 WPA) kind of flying under the radar too.
  22. sveumrules
    Awesome to see the coaching and development staff getting good results out of so many less heralded guys. Obviously this kind of performance is expected out of Misio and C-Rod as higher picks that have already climbed to the upper levels, but seeing guys like Patrick (marginal trade), Smith (undrafted), Kuehner (7th round senior sign), Robinson (14th round high schooler), and Cornielle/Hernandez (low bonus international signings) thriving is always a little extra enjoyable.
  23. sveumrules
    How “bad” the Yelich extension has been is often quite overstated to begin with. His worst year (2021) was the last year of the original Marlins extension, so he only got $14M for that 1.4 WAR. The big money ($26M) kicked in for 2022 when he put up 2.1 WAR. Last year that $26M bought 3.8 WAR, this year Yelich is on pace for something like 6-7 WAR. Since the second extension kicked in Yelich has notched 7.6 WAR for about $61.5M, or $8.1M per win. If he stays healthy and keeps pace it will be closer to $7.5M per win by the end of the season for the first three years of the extension. Average returns for players at the top of the pay scale is closer to $10M per win, so Yelich is on the right side of the ledger. All the fears about his albatross contract holding back the Brewers from being competitive have yet to come to fruition.
  24. sveumrules
    Luzardo has been a Marlin since 2021 though… Home (230 IP) 3.76 ERA | 3.53 FIP Road (158 IP) 4.39 ERA | 3.90 FIP Kind of interesting that they have seemingly tilted his starts towards being at home compared to their other regular SPs over that stretch with their home | road IP splits… Alcantara 309 | 310 Lopez 152 | 130 Garrett 150 | 155 Rogers 149 | 160 Cabrera 111 | 108
  25. sveumrules
    The Phillies have one of the deepest lineups in baseball (plus Castellanos). I’m fine with the “starters” going twice through the order then handing it over to the bullpen with the 2nd highest WPA in MLB this year. That is the formula. Trying to get 6-7 IP out of Rea/Wilson versus the Phils is just asking to get bombed.
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