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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    It might be a future goal, but I'm not sure how realistic it is at this point. Ashby's professional inning totals by year... 2018: 57.2 IP 2019: 126.0 IP 2020: N/A 2021: 95.0 IP 2022: 107.1 IP 2023: 7.0 IP 2024: 112.1 IP 2025: 66.2 IP He's just never had a chance to get in a groove and build innings on account of injury and to a lesser extent his command issues preventing him from working deep in games. They probably wouldn't want Ashby to throw more than 120 IP next year, which would maybe set him up for a "full" year of 150 to 160 IP in 2027 and then two seasons of ready to go full bore no kids gloves for his team option years in 2028/29. There's also the issue that Ashby has been two different pitchers based on his role... As starter (110.1 IP) 107 K+ | 127 BB+ | 132 HR+ 101 AVG+ | 88 LOB+ | 132 GB+ 118 ERA- | 113 FIP- As reliever (116.1 IP) 137 K+ | 100 BB+ | 39 HR+ 89 AVG+ | 110 LOB+ | 143 GB+ 65 ERA- | 62 FIP-
  2. sveumrules
    StatCast says he has saved two runs in center, which places him 17th of 26 CF with at least 500 innings this year. DRS thinks he has cost the Brewers five runs in center, which also comes in at 17th place on their leaderboard. Either way, both are perfectly competent for a 21 year old with only half a season of games in CF.
  3. sveumrules
    I know this post is about Clemente the person, but the similarity between his era adjusted career rate components and what Chourio has done to this point is pretty interesting... Roberto (129 wRC+) 73 BB+ | 92 K+ | 121 AVG+ | 119 ISO+ Jackson (119 wRC+) 71 BB+ | 92 K+ | 112 AVG+ | 126 ISO+ Walk and strikeout rates about as close as you can get, little more average for Clemente, little more power for Chourio. But of course, Clemente kind of had two different careers, taking until age 25 in 1960 before breaking out... 55-59 Roberto (88 wRC+) 44 BB+ | 88 K+ | 105 AVG+ | 75 ISO+ 60-72 Roberto (143 wRC+) 83 BB+ | 93 K+ | 126 AVG+ | 135 ISO+ Crazy thing is that Clemente isn't the only inner circle stone cold legend ballplayer & human being that Chourio compares somewhat favorably to. Here is another... Age 20-21 Jackson (119 wRC+) 71 BB+ | 92 K+ | 112 AVG+ | 126 ISO+ Age 20-21 ?????? (127 wRC+) 70 BB+ | 84 K+ | 111 AVG+ | 131 ISO+ ?????? = Henry Aaron.
  4. sveumrules
    StatCast thinks Ortiz has saved ten runs so far, 5th most in MLB among 31 shortstops with at least 500 innings this year.
  5. sveumrules
    The Brewers lost their first nine Saturday games this year with an overall record of 30 W - 28 L entering their 10th Saturday game. I said something along the lines of them being a 99 win team the other six days of the week though. At that point I probably would have been pretty happy if someone told me we’d finish all 162 with the 91 wins we already have today.
  6. sveumrules
    Right, because the left handed hitting Seigler was spelling Durbin at 3B against certain RHP pitchers with select arm angles. Jack Stern wrote a great article about it earlier this week.
  7. sveumrules
    With his 3.1 scoreless IP (1 H | 0 BB | 4 K) last night Bob Gas is up to 29.1 IP of 54 ERA- | 60 FIP- with Nashville now. For reference here is how some of the other big league Brewers hurlers performed during their AAA time this year... Yoho (45.1 IP) 22 ERA- | 56 FIP- Misio (63.1 IP) 47 ERA- | 73 FIP- McGee (45.2 IP) 82 ERA- | 78 FIP- Tobias (59.2 IP) 83 ERA- | 81 FIP- Logan (77.2 IP) 79 ERA- | 83 FIP- Woody (25.1 IP) 78 ERA- | 83 FIP-
  8. sveumrules
    Seigler got his first start on July 2nd and appeared in 34 games (17 starts with a 13 W - 4 L team record) accumulating 73 PA of 50 wRC+ before being optioned to the minors. Over that same time frame Monasterio has appeared in 38 games (20 starts with a 12 W - 8 L team record) accumulating 84 PA of 150 wRC+ and remaining with the team. So Monasterio has gotten more consistent playing time, been better as an individual, but it didn't really result in the team winning more. Seigler got slightly less PT, played way worse, yet the team performed better when he got his starts. How can one guy be 50% below average as a hitter and the team do better when he starts than it does when the guy who is 50% above average starts? Because one spot at the bottom of the lineup is about the 11th to 13th most important thing in any game after the eight spots above it, the starting pitcher, the closer, and maybe a couple other pitchers along the way too. Ortiz will have more chances in the field than Monasterio will have at the plate is another reason why Murphy continues to choose defense over offense at the SS spot.
  9. sveumrules
    Brewers are 17 W - 7 L on Sundays this year for a .708 W%. The other six days of the week they have gone 74 W - 51 L for a .592 W%. The "Sunday Lineup" has been pretty good.
  10. sveumrules
    Marte at 281/381/511 (145 wRC+) should have the inside track on silver slugger over Turang at 289/356/445 (125 wRC+). Brice's only real advantage is playing time with with 100 extra PA, but Ketel has seven more HR in his 100 fewer PA and a .229 ISO compared to a .159 ISO for Brice-o. Turang is under Arby control through 2029, so if he does price his way out of Milwaukee it will probably mean he's had three or four more really good years in the interim. I'll take that.
  11. sveumrules
    Would guess Pratt will be the full time SS at Nashville next year with Made behind him as the full time SS at Biloxi. Unless Jesus really pushes the issue shouldn't be much of a logjam until we are going into the 2027 season with both of them potentially ready for MLB action.
  12. sveumrules
    If I didn’t know any better I’d say Wichrowski gave up that leadoff single bottom two just to set up the Pratt to Made to Burke 6-4-3 double play. Records the third out of the frame via K.
  13. sveumrules
    After posting -13 DRS and -16 FRV over 2,833 innings with the White Sox from 2021-25, Vaughn has maybe flipped the script on his defense with the Brewers too at +1 DRS | +2 FRV in a still pretty small sample of 426 innings. For reference Hoskins was -7 DRS | -8 FRV over 4,195 innings with the Phillies, but has also been a little better with the Brewers at -1 DRS | -2 FRV over 1,445 innings. I'd probably give the edge to Vaughn at this point for having better recent results and being five years younger, but he was worse than Hoskins by the metrics before getting here so it's probably not a very big difference either way.
  14. sveumrules
    Whoops, yeah typo. Numbers quoted are since July 6th.
  15. sveumrules
    Yeah, looks like 11 W - 4 L since August 22nd is tied with SF for best record over that stretch. Wyatt Langford (67 PA of 172 wRC+), Josh Jung (60 PA of 153 wRC+), Joc Pederson (42 PA of 144 wRC+) and Adolis Garcia (40 PA of 186 wRC+) have been doing most of the big damage for them during that stretch.
  16. sveumrules
    Remember when the old joke was that teams would call up any random lefty just to face the Brewers and pick up an easy win? Brewers are an MLB best 28 W - 15 L versus LHP this year. They are also an MLB best 43 W - 29 L on the road. What's that you say, the Rangers are over .500? The Brewers 51 W - 38 L mark against teams over .500 is tied for the best in MLB. They are only sixth with a 25 W - 17 L inter-league record though, so no guarantees.
  17. sveumrules
    Full season TEX is #1 with a 3.48 ERA and MIL is #2 with a 3.59 ERA. Starting April 1st after the Brewers spotted the rest of MLB four games just for the fun of it, MIL is #1 with a 3.36 ERA and TEX is #2 with a 3.46 ERA. Move that arbitrary start point up to July 6th (Woodruff's 1st start) and the Brewers are 1st with a 3.29 ERA while TEX drops to 5th with a 3.83 ERA. On the other side of the ball, Brewers are #2 at 5.11 runs scored per game on the year, while Rangers are 21st at 4.26 R/G.
  18. sveumrules
    Yup. Gasser dealing in AAA too (24.2 IP of 56 ERA- | 64 FIP-) could be another one.
  19. sveumrules
    Yesterday was the 100th game pitched by the five current members of the rotation. Peralta (18 W - 11 L), Priester (19 W - 7 L), Quintana (15 W - 7 L), Misio (8 W - 4 L), and Woodruff (9 W - 2 L) have combined for a pretty nice 69 W - 31 L team record in those 100 games.
  20. sveumrules
    Blake has the 2nd most games & PA in the system this year just behind Lara. Would probably mash in the hitter friendly AFL environs (especially if the BLX power surge carries over) but could also see the Brewers prioritizing players who didn’t play as much during the season.
  21. sveumrules
    The bullpen is hardly weary today. Neither Rodriguez nor Yoho have even pitched since being recalled. Payamps hasn’t pitched in two days.
  22. sveumrules
    If they hold on to win this game the Brewers will improve to 8 W - 4 L in Misio’s 12 starts this year. Getting bent out of shape about his IP total (when every out he records establishes a new career high) is seriously missing the forest for the trees.
  23. sveumrules
    Brewers 23 W - 11 L record since August 1st is still the best in MLB.
  24. sveumrules
    Batting average will always matter (it’s counted twice in OPS after all as the foundation of both OBP/SLG), but it’s just one slice of the pie (as opposed to being considered the majority of the pie like it was before Moneyball). Anyone saying batting average doesn’t matter at all is just as off base as everyone that overvalued it for so long. Believe that Luis Arraez is a free agent this year so we’ll have a perfect test case for how much MLB clubs value someone who only hits singles (and never walks, or hits for power, or plays good defense, or runs the bases particularly well).
  25. sveumrules
    “There isn’t a target date,” Murphy said. “We just feel like with our roster the way it is right now, he’s a first baseman and a DH. We have both of those potions right now and we have the opposite-handed, the left-handed, hitter for pinch-hit situations. So to thread the needle, we still feel like we need a little more time.”
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