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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. Tyrone’s best asset thus far has been his glove. Among 93 OF with at least 1,500 innings in the 2020s he comes in at +16 DRS (20th), +11.9 UZR (15th) and +13 OAA (20th). Assuming none of Frelick, Wiemer or Mitchell are moved in a bigger deal my best guess would be Taylor is traded with Perkins as the 5th OF.
  2. That 38-38 record against teams over .500 is also 7th best in MLB. Phillies are just ahead of us at 39-37.
  3. Runs Scored per Game Started… Peralta (5.2) Houser (5.1) Rea (4.7) MLB Average (4.7) Burnes (4.5) Woodruff (4.5) Miley (4.0) Teheran (2.8)
  4. @Joseph Zarr clearly spent the late season off day with the white coats in the Brewers Posting Lab further fine tuning his already considerable skillz. Impressive effort, mon frere.
  5. @patrickgpe came up with acute title for this thread. I don’t think I’m being obtuse when I say that’s just not right.
  6. There are 293 players with at least 250 PAs this year. Bader’s 1.4 WAR puts him in a twelve way tie for 142nd place (on the high end) or 153rd place (on the low end), literally smack dab in the middle of the sample. Below average offense plus above average CF defense = an average-ish player. Players that have actually sucked badly this year would be guys like Jurickson Profar (-1.9 WAR), Enrique Hernandez (-1.5 WAR), Jean Segura (-1.3 WAR), Harold Castro (-1.2 WAR), Eric Haase (-1.2 WAR), Nick Maton (-1.1 WAR), Jose Abreu (-1.0 WAR), Winker (-0.8 WAR), etc
  7. The odds I saw were Cubs (-130) Brewers (+110). Chicago has considerably more bettors, so I’d imagine the casinos’ takes were quite good tonight.
  8. The Brewers won a game against the Braves in 2021. The Dodgers only beat them twice in the NLCS, and lost three games where they scored two runs each. The Astros also only beat them twice in the WS and scored four runs total in their four losses, getting shut out twice just like we did in the NLDS. The Braves made two of the best offenses in baseball that year look pretty listless in short postseason series. I guess the Brewers were swept 2-0 by the Dodgers in 2020, but that was kind of a listless year in general.
  9. At the very least his combo of defense, speed and a 136 wRC+ vs LHP gives him a really nice floor as a 4th OF. At the same time, the power potential gives him a higher ceiling than either of Mitchell or Frelick for me. Just going to be a matter of figuring out how to get there with more consistency. Obvious fix to this internet commenter would be to just take a deep breath…simplify the set up/load…just kinda calm things down in general…provide the natural power a solid consistent base to explode from.
  10. Here’s how things have shifted for the non ATL/LAD teams over the last couple weeks as we head into the Cubs series, same format as post above… PHI (93.9% | 87.9%) MIL (97.0% | 75.5%) CHI (65.4% | 61.8%) SFG (46.0% | 58.1%) ARI (56.2% | 27.4%) MIA (17.5% | 35.0%) CIN (21.0% | 17.4%) SDP (2.7% | 36.0%) Interesting to see the divergence on some of the teams even with only five weeks left to go. As a whole the FanGraphs percentages in column one feel a little more on the nose to me, especially with regards to the Brewers, DBacks, Marlins and Padres odds. As it pertains to NLC division odds specifically they have it… MIL (83.6% | 54.6%) CHI (15.4% | 39.6%) CIN (1.0% | 5.7%) Feel like the FG odds are closer here too. Cubs essentially need to go 5-1 head to head in order to close the gap and that seems a lot closer to a 15.4% chance than a 39.6% one.
  11. He had a 94 wRC+ before going 2-5 today with 2 RBI and a run scored. He’s also been pretty clutch with his +0.75 WPA ranking 4th on the team entering the game. Either way, with bottom three in MLB production from DH (80 wRC+) and RF (69 wRC+) this year, mediocrity is a significant upgrade.
  12. Taylor Floyd has an 8.06 ERA | 6.30 FIP with 5.61 BB9 and 1.75 HR9 in 25 IP for the Twins AA affiliate. That’s who we traded for Megill.
  13. Nick Merkel (1 H | 2 K) and Tanner Shears (1 BB | 1 K) throw scoreless frames to close out the 9-4 TRats win.
  14. Eduarqui goes deep after JGJ and Metzinger singled to give the TRats an 8-4 lead bottom of six.
  15. Nashville gonna need at least three runs top of nine to keep this ballgame going. Jones, Devanney, Winker (on base seven times combined today) due up with Black and Hiura hoping to get a chance to cash them in.
  16. And a Robert Moore walk/steal followed by a Brock Wilken single gets Wisco the lead.
  17. Looks like EBJ came around to score on some combo of stolen base, wild pitch, catcher throwing error to tie it up.
  18. Dylan O’Rae doubled and walked, Jadher Areinamo singled twice, Jace Avina doubled, three guys got plunked and that was about all she wrote for the Carolina offense today.
  19. Sounds picked up another pair of runs top of five via Jones single, Devanney single, Winker walk, Hiura single. But alas, gave them back bottom six. Tied 4-4 top of seven.
  20. Nashville picked up a pair of runs top of three with four consecutive walks of Jones, Devanney, Winker and Black followed by a run scoring GIDP by Hiura. Gave em right back in the bottom half though, currently 2-2 middle of four.
  21. Don’t forget the Yankees, shelled out $520M for Judge and Rodon just to have their worst season in 30 years. Of the 19 teams with a higher OD payroll than the Brewers on Cot’s, only 5 have a better record. The Phillies (+$124M) and Blue Jays (+$91M) have needed to spend considerably more than the Brewers just to keep pace. The Mets (+$212M), Yankees (+$159M), Padres (+$130M), Angels (+$93M), White Sox (+$62M), Cardinals (+$58M) and even the Rockies (+53M) outspent the Brewers by fifty to two hundred plus million on opening day and won’t even be cracking .500.
  22. Brewers offense by month… April (18-10) 94 wRC+ | 4,57 R/G May (11-16) 79 wRC+ | 3.41 R/G June (14-13) 80 wRC+ | 4.11 R/G July (14-11) 99 wRC+ | 4.52 R/G August (15-7) 95 wRC+ | 5.45 R/G
  23. Yeah, thought it hit the knob from the sound/bounce.
  24. Believe it is speed out of the hand.
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