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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    You are conflating external evaluations with fan opinion. Of course fans were upset to lose Kelly, he is a talented arm with potential they'd been following for years through the minors. But there is a big difference between being a relief prospect who gets traded because his 40 man deadline is coming up and the team doesn't think he is worth the spot yet (Kelly's situation) and a CF prospect who has been ranked among the very best prospects in the game (Chourio's situation).
  2. sveumrules
    Renfroe is getting paid 12 million (through arbitration, not as a free agent) because he has put up 2.4 WAR and 2.7 WAR the last two full seasons. That's the type of production the Angels were hoping to trade for. Joc Pederson got 19 million on the QO because he posted a 145 OPS+ last year. The Giants were paying for something hopefully closer to that than 114 OPS+ he has delivered so far this year. Why didn't you mention Kevin Kiermaier (2.9 WAR for $9M) or Jeimer Candelario (2.9 WAR for $5M) on the other end of the spectrum who both actually signed one year FA deals?
  3. sveumrules
    No, just old fashioned ones. 5.080 service time and $8.25M salary. If you consider projections advanced stats, Winker is projected between 105-112 wRC+ rest of season vs a 98 wRC+ projection on Hiura's page. Urias has a 60 wRC+ in Nashville currently to go along with projections between 95-103 wRC+.
  4. sveumrules
    DSL Brewers 1 couldn't get it done though falling 3-2 to the Braves. Yannic Walther (1-2, 2B, 2xBB) and Luiyin Alastre (1-2, HR, BB) had the box highlights on offense while Eric Prado went 4 IP | 1 ER | 2 H | 1 BB | 2 K to raise his season ERA to 1.04 while Jose Meneses followed with 3 IP | 0 ER | 1 H | 4 BB | 3 K to drop his season ERA to 1.82.
  5. sveumrules
    DSL Brewers 2 win 7-2 over the Guardians with Filippo Di Turi (2-4, 2B, 3B), Demetrio Nadal (1-2, HR, BB, SB, SF) and Freider Rojas (1-1, 2xBB) leading the offense. Best outing of the year for Melvin Hernandez at 5 IP | 0 ER | 4 H | 1 BB | 6 K.
  6. sveumrules
    This is pretty much where I'm at. My only real hope for the season is for Love to make it through mostly unscathed. Beyond that I'm just excited to see something "new", whatever that may be,
  7. sveumrules
    Offense has been coming around a little lately... First 19 Games (14-5): 103 wRC+ Next 49 Games (20-29): 79 wRC+ Last 29 Games (20-9): 92 wRC+ That 92 wRC+ doesn't include today's game, but it does go to show with even something resembling an average offense like we had to start the year and have been getting closer to approximating over the last month of so this is a very dangerous team.
  8. sveumrules
    They're already on a pretty absurd run, 20-9 since the six game losing streak middle of June. I guess it could have maybe been a game or two more absurd-er, sure, but it's the most wins in MLB over that stretch already.
  9. sveumrules
    Yeah, but they'd be 11-0 in their last ten with Hiura instead of Winker.
  10. sveumrules
    Brewers are now 20-9 (best record in MLB) since that six game losing streak in the middle of June.
  11. sveumrules
    I don’t think their identity this year is that far off from other Brewers teams during the competitive Stearns era… Starting Pitchers 2017-22: 75.4 rWAR (5th) 2023: 7.6 rWAR (12th) Bullpen 2017-22: +24.12 WPA (6th) 2023: +6.68 WPA (1st) Defense 2017-22: +189 DRS (4th) 2023: +31 DRS (3rd) Position Players 2017-22: 101 wRC+ (14th) 2023: 88 wRC+ (25th) Defense right where it normally is, bullpen even more dominant than usual, SP down a bit but still viable even with Woodruff, Peralta and Lauer all hurt or underperforming. Obviously the offense has stunk it up, but the good news is it hasn’t cost us 1st place yet. Context free batting runs has it costing them about five wins (-53.9), while WPA thinks it’s more like a couple two tree (-2.69).
  12. sveumrules
    2021 Starters Burnes (6.3 rWAR) Woodruff (6.3 rWAR) Peralta (4.5 rWAR) Lauer (2.8 rWAR) Houser (2.5 rWAR) 2022 Starters Burnes (5.3 rWAR) Woodruff (3.9 rWAR) Peralta (2.0 rWAR) Lauer (2.6 rWAR) Houser (-0.4 rWAR) It truly was a once in a generation starting pitching staff, because they dropped off from 22.4 rWAR in 2021 down to 13.4 rWAR in 2022. Those nine lost wins were a much bigger blow to the Brewers playoff hopes than trading Hader, who had been blowing up for two months before the deadline and didn’t find it again for another month after.
  13. sveumrules
    Looks like @Jim French Stepstool and @Playing Catch joined you putting him at the end of the top ten and there were a couple elevens too. The plate discipline (63 BB vs 71 K in 322 career PA) and wheels (33 SB vs 8 CS career) are shades of Tyler Black in a larger body. Obviously still young for his league and the 142 wRC+ is excellent, but the thing holding him back for me personally are the inconsistent batted ball results this year. I ended up putting him at #18, but I’ve got everyone from #12 onward in pretty much the same tier so I can see the case for having him higher.
  14. sveumrules
    Yujanyer Herrera with his best outing of the year too at 5 IP | 0 ER | 2 H | 2 BB | 7 K.
  15. sveumrules
    So Tiers Something Like This... 01 Jackson Chourio Score: 835 02 Jeferson Quero Score: 773 03 Jacob Misiorowski Score: 744 04 Sal Frelick Score: 706 05 Tyler Black Score: 677 06 Robert Gasser Score: 526 07 Brock Wilken Score: 497 08 Abner Uribe Score: 478 09 Carlos F Rodriguez Score: 453 10 Luis Lara Score: 422 11 Eric Brown Jr Score: 391 12 Cooper Pratt Score: 360 13 Josh Knoth Score: 350 14 Eric Bitonti Score: 200 15 Mike Boeve Score: 194 16 Robert Moore Score: 173 17 Daniel Guilarte Score: 153 18 Luke Adams Score: 134 19 Justin Jarvis Score: 132 20 Yophery Rodriguez Score: 113
  16. sveumrules
    Good a place as any to note that wRC+ for minor leaguers is only league adjusted and not park adjusted, from my understanding.
  17. sveumrules
    Yeah, still only at a 106 wRC+ in 97 PAs post-injury versus a 155 wRC+ in his 134 PAs pre-injury.
  18. sveumrules
    Jackson ChourioJacob MisiorowskiJeferson QueroTyler BlackSal FrelickRobert GasserCarlos F RodriguezAbner UribeLuis LaraBrock WilkenEric Brown JrDaniel GuilarteYophery RodriguezJosh KnothJustin JarvisLogan HendersonFreddy ZamoraLuke AdamsDylan O'RaeFilippo Di Turi
  19. sveumrules
    2017-19 (Jesus/Thames era) Brewers 1B posted a 123 wRC+ (8th) and 9.4 WAR (7th).
  20. sveumrules
    Cutch started 49 games in the OF last year, not even a third much less half and it was only that many because Cain was out of shape and quit. His 360 PAs at DH made him the 9th most regular DH in all of MLB for 2022.
  21. sveumrules
    Wander Franco (best player on best team in AL) is currently +3500 for AL MVP at Poto. *this post for informational purposes only sveumrules has no affiliation with any gambling services
  22. sveumrules
    Except the Brewers don’t view the DH that way. They’ve primarily used bat first/only players in the role. Of the 1,082 DH PAs since last year the distribution is Cutch (360), Yelich (190), Winker (169), Hiura (96), Tellez (78), Contreras (43), Renfroe (29), Voit (26), Ruf (24) is everyone with at least 20 DH PA since last year.
  23. sveumrules
    Yup. That, with a little of Moreno’s insistence on being obstinate mixed in.
  24. sveumrules
    I agree in theory, but it isn’t so easy in practice. Toro is on the 40 man, Devanney and Dorrian are minor league FAs the Brewers would likely prefer to retain given their emphasis on maintaining organizational depth. Black is still a work in progress in the field too. Easier to give him reps as the everyday 3B in Biloxi than juggling things around in Nashville.
  25. sveumrules
    Yeah, think the scouting reports on his defense are that he has all the actions for SS, just maybe not the arm so likely to end up plus at 2B. Haven't voted in the poll yet, have my top 9 pretty set and am going back & forth between Wilken and EBJ for #10. Think I like EBJ’s whole package more, but it’s also a profile that is a little more prevalent throughout the system, so will prolly give the edge to Brock since his power profile is more scarce on the farm. Similar situation to Mitchell, Frelick, Wiemer and Ruiz last year where they were all probably in the same general range of value, but I put Wiemer at the top of the tier as the only one with power in the profile.
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