sveumrules

Love those mechanics. Looks like pretty standard stuff, then he does that little fake leg kick thing and everything just explodes from there.

Love those mechanics. Looks like pretty standard stuff, then he does that little fake leg kick thing and everything just explodes from there.

"Compounding the issue, Wong was replaced by Pedro Severino, the third catcher on the club. If you're going to pinch-hit in the five-hole in a high leverage situation, your backup to your backup catcher shouldn't be part of the plan. If that is how they "drew it up," then the Brewers will need a lot of help from luck and randomness to make a postseason run." Wong has a 365 OPS vs LHP this year, and a devilish 666 OPS vs LHP over the last three seasons. Severino has a 639 OPS vs LHP this year (only 17 PAs) and a 769 OPS vs LHP over the last three seasons. Third catcher or not, Severino has a better track record vs LHP than Wong. The only two "needle mover" bats on the market got dealt to the Padres in the same trade. Mancini isn't a clear upgrade over Tellez/McCutchen, Benintendi isn't a CF. Drury would have been fine depth, but Brosseau has a 134 OPS+ in that role already, kind of hard to improve on that from your backup IF. Would I have preferred for Stearns & company to upgrade the offense? Of course. But I also understand that based on how the market shook out there was limited opportunity to do so & the best they realistically could have done was an Escobar type move that increases the depth, but doesn't really impact the top end at all. Even the Padres, who acquired the two best hitters on the market in Soto & Bell, will be "needing a lot of luck to score enough runs against the best teams in the league." Their most bullish post-deadline World Series odds of 9.6% at FanGraphs (only 2% on 538 and 5.1% on PECOTA) are still solidly behind the Dodgers (15.8%), Mets (14.0%), Braves (12.0%) in the NL and the Astros (15.1%) and Yankees (11.0%) in the AL.

Bell’s three run HR in the 7th provides the winning run for WAS tonight. Crew now four games up on STL.

Bell’s three run HR in the 7th provides the winning run for WAS tonight. Crew now four games up on STL.

Bell makes perfect sense, DH vs RHP (129 wRC+ vs RHP since 2021) compared to 88 wRC+ vs RHP for McCutchen over the same time frame. And then 1B vs LHP (128 wRC+ vs LHP since 2021) compared to 90 wRC+ vs LHP for Rowdy since 2021. Agree that I wouldn't go higher than Valerio as a headliner though.

Bell makes perfect sense, DH vs RHP (129 wRC+ vs RHP since 2021) compared to 88 wRC+ vs RHP for McCutchen over the same time frame. And then 1B vs LHP (128 wRC+ vs LHP since 2021) compared to 90 wRC+ vs LHP for Rowdy since 2021. Agree that I wouldn't go higher than Valerio as a headliner though.

Was just thinking who the highest ranked prospects I’d be willing to trade for Benny are & Valerio/Hiura is what I came up with too.

Congrats to Ashby & the Brewers’ scouting/coaching/development staff. Bummer about Jace, that he’s been our best position player by BRef WAR so far pretty much says it all about the offense. Cot’s has Burnes listed as a free agent after 2024 though?

Jones upside is tantalizing, but seems like the Brewers have kind of shied away from the boom/bust guys in the first round since Ray. Hiura was always at least supposed to hit even if he never figured out defense and then Turang, Small, Mitchell and Frelick have been more high floor with a chance to pop if something clicks kind of guys.

Reading through the FanGraphs scouting reports of guys in our range & with full admission that I know absolutely nothing, some of my personal favorites &/or guys that sound like they kind of have Brewer-y profiles to me are #23 Tyler Locklear (1B), #29 Connor Hjerpe (P), #31 Parker Messick (P), #36 John Kasevich (3B), #41 Malcolm Moore (C/1B), #45 Dylan Beavers (RF), #48 Cade Doughty (3B), #66 Tanner Schobel (SS), #84 Ivan Melendez (1B), #87 Jake Madden (P), #95 Hayden Dunhurst (C), #98 Carter Young (SS), #106 Tyler Cleveland (P), #107 Spencer Giesting (P), #111 Jackson Cox (P), #117 Alan Roden (1B), #124 Andrew Taylor (P) and #125 Jurrangelo Cijntje (P).

Awesome that they are giving Low a shot to try the two way thing out. Hopefully he can keep the early success going. As frustrating as Mitchell's fits & starts are, I'm holding out hope for the long run that he maybe takes a similar path to DBacks CF prospect Corbin Carroll, who after being drafted 16th overall in 2019 only played in 49 games from 2019 to 2021 on account of injury/pandemic, but has gone on to post a 315/434/635 line this year to justify his draft slot/prospect hype.

FanGraphs posted their latest 2022 Draft Board with scouting reports for over 100 players… https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2022-mlb-draft/summary?sort=-1,1&type=0&pg=0&pageitems=10000000000000

Thanks for the clarification, Mass. Think that makes Ramon a more realistic option for sure then. Has mashed LHP for a 916 OPS this year & 828 OPS for his career.

Thanks for the clarification, Mass. Think that makes Ramon a more realistic option for sure then. Has mashed LHP for a 916 OPS this year & 828 OPS for his career.

Problem is none of these guys are really CF. Even Reynolds is -11 DRS | -6.8 UZR out there since last year. Laureno would be postseason ineligible I assume. Benintendi could be interesting, but it’s a lot easier to hit singles at Kaufman than at AmFam & his LHP splits aren’t encouraging, 655 OPS this year & 708 career. I wouldn’t want to give up anybody in the top dozen or so prospects for that dice roll. Michael Taylor seems more Stearns-y out of the KC outfielders having breakout/fluke (you decide which) seasons. Legit CF defense at +7 DRS this year & +48 career. Not much, but a lil better vs LHP 686 this year & 728 career. Has an extra year of team control though so Royals might not be motivated to deal. Bell for 1B/DH would be the true get as he’s crushing everything this year with a 163 OPS+ overall and 871 OPS vs LHP, but he’s also the best rental bat so bidding could get steep. Mancini wouldn’t be a bad consolation prize & seems like the best mix of need vs acquisition cost to me out of the guys likely to be dealt.

Problem is none of these guys are really CF. Even Reynolds is -11 DRS | -6.8 UZR out there since last year. Laureno would be postseason ineligible I assume. Benintendi could be interesting, but it’s a lot easier to hit singles at Kaufman than at AmFam & his LHP splits aren’t encouraging, 655 OPS this year & 708 career. I wouldn’t want to give up anybody in the top dozen or so prospects for that dice roll. Michael Taylor seems more Stearns-y out of the KC outfielders having breakout/fluke (you decide which) seasons. Legit CF defense at +7 DRS this year & +48 career. Not much, but a lil better vs LHP 686 this year & 728 career. Has an extra year of team control though so Royals might not be motivated to deal. Bell for 1B/DH would be the true get as he’s crushing everything this year with a 163 OPS+ overall and 871 OPS vs LHP, but he’s also the best rental bat so bidding could get steep. Mancini wouldn’t be a bad consolation prize & seems like the best mix of need vs acquisition cost to me out of the guys likely to be dealt.

Hendry seems like a good lead off option given what we can discern about his approach from BB/K numbers. Among the Carolina teens… Hendry 45 BB / 48 K / 265 PAs Quero 24 BB / 45 K / 245 PAs Chourio 15 BB / 65 K / 219 PAs Hedbert 14 BB / 86 K / 256 PAs Garcia 11 BB / 96 K / 285 PAs Obviously age is a huge factor, but that 30% K rate for Jackson was one thing keeping him behind Wiemer on my rankings, for now anyway. Those BB/K rates for Hedbert & Garcia are downright scary though. Definitely need to make strides there if either is going to really tap into their potential. Good news is they all have plenty of time on their side.

Hendry seems like a good lead off option given what we can discern about his approach from BB/K numbers. Among the Carolina teens… Hendry 45 BB / 48 K / 265 PAs Quero 24 BB / 45 K / 245 PAs Chourio 15 BB / 65 K / 219 PAs Hedbert 14 BB / 86 K / 256 PAs Garcia 11 BB / 96 K / 285 PAs Obviously age is a huge factor, but that 30% K rate for Jackson was one thing keeping him behind Wiemer on my rankings, for now anyway. Those BB/K rates for Hedbert & Garcia are downright scary though. Definitely need to make strides there if either is going to really tap into their potential. Good news is they all have plenty of time on their side.

It had been the first part of June for years, but they switched it to coincide with the All Star Break last year I believe.

Sometimes I wonder how some of these Brewers fans who get all hot & bothered on the internet over a couple close losses to the Cubbies in the early going of what looks like a 5th consecutive playoff season managed to make it through 1993-2004 (when only the Tigers & two expansion teams won fewer games than the Brewers) without their heads exploding.

Sometimes I wonder how some of these Brewers fans who get all hot & bothered on the internet over a couple close losses to the Cubbies in the early going of what looks like a 5th consecutive playoff season managed to make it through 1993-2004 (when only the Tigers & two expansion teams won fewer games than the Brewers) without their heads exploding.

College pitching is the obvious choice given the current composition of the system, which means it will likely be another hit/run/defense college CF ? Of the guys mentioned though Hjerpe (big K numbers in a major conference) and DeLauter (guy that falls on draft day) seem to fit the recent Stearns & company 1st round MO.

College pitching is the obvious choice given the current composition of the system, which means it will likely be another hit/run/defense college CF ? Of the guys mentioned though Hjerpe (big K numbers in a major conference) and DeLauter (guy that falls on draft day) seem to fit the recent Stearns & company 1st round MO.

Crazy thing about the Phils is all their big money FA deals (Wheeler, Harper, Realmuto) have gone well for the most part...and they still have just been hanging around .500 for like five years now. As far as thins offseasons big ticket items, Castellanos (117 OPS+, -8 DRS, 0.2 WAR) and Schwarber (106 OPS+, -2 DRS, 0.3 WAR) haven't quite hit enough to offset their brutal defense so far, accounting for almost half of the Phillies MLB worst -22 DRS to start the season.