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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Nice deal for Arizona. Gurriel balances out their LH OFs and Moreno looks like a stud. Seems like a lot give up for someone who derives most of their value from RF defense.
  2. sveumrules
    There is so much turnover in the scouting/development department (the Brewers were literally among the worst in all of MLB before they started overhauling things once Mark A bought the team and that process continued further once Stearns & company got here) that I'm not sure how big of a developmental indictment some of these guys actually are. Another thing to consider is that developing catchers is literally the hardest thing to do, so every team's top prospect lists are likely similar rife with "failures". The most informative thing I think with regards to future expectations would be that despite whatever developmental shortcoming they may have had, since Stearns and company have gotten here Brewers catchers rank 3rd in WAR among all MLB clubs. Outside of the one year of Yaz, most of that WAR came from players that came up through the system (Lucroy/Maldonado) or were targeted by Stearns & company in trade (Pina/Narvaez). Between Contreras on the MLB side and Quero in the pipeline, I think the catching situation is probably the best its been organizationally since Lucroy/Maldonado were coming up.
  3. sveumrules
    Winker has -39 DRS and -22.7 UZR (-9.3 UZR/150) in 3445 career OF innings. Hart had -5 DRS and -14.6 UZR (-3.2 UZR/150) in 6767 career OF innings. Winker can be and has been much worse than Hart. During the Stearns era Brewers OF have ranked 6th in DRS (+91), 3rd in UZR (+73.9) and 6th in OAA (+43). I don't see them running Winker out onto the grass anymore than they absolutely have to.
  4. sveumrules
    MLBTR reporting the Giants are re-allocating some of their freed up Correa cash to Taylor Rogers (3/33) and Michael Conforto (2/36). Couple of opportunistic agents right there.
  5. sveumrules
    Cardinals seem too sanctimonious, but they could use an Ace(hole) so who knows. Cubs ownership and Bauer appear to think similarly in certain regards, could be a match. Funniest/scariest comment I saw was “Steve Cohen wakes up in a cold sweat”
  6. sveumrules
    Yeah, definitely not a lawyer over here, but this kind of feels like a middle ground ruling. Could have upheld the suspension through 2023 (LAD/MLB preferred outcome) or could have ruled LAD owed him for all of 2022 too, which would probably have additional luxury tax implications as well.
  7. sveumrules
    One time I was hanging out with a bunch of realists, but there was one who was keeping it exceedingly real. That individual was the realest realist.
  8. sveumrules
    MLBTR write up indicates this ruling puts the Dodgers about $1M shy of the luxury tax for 2023. Guess we’ll really see how serious they are about resetting their tax payer status now.
  9. sveumrules
    Because he has a 128 wRC+ vs LHP over the last two years which is better than what Rowdy at 1B or Winker at DH or either of Frelick/Mitchell are likely to post in the OF.
  10. sveumrules
    DH wasn't really rotated last year. At least not very evenly, or when compared to other teams. McCutchen's 82 games / 360 PAs at DH made him the 9th most "regular" DH in all of MLB. Only other guys over 10 games/ 40 PAs at DH were Yelich (35 / 153) and Keston (25 / 96). Winker is a much worse fielder than McCutchen so I would expect his split will be more heavily tilted towards DH than McCutchen was.
  11. sveumrules
    There are 77 OF with at least 3,000 innings since 2017. Winker ranks 74th in DRS (-39), 75th in UZR (-22.7) and 73rd in OAA (-31). Given the emphasis placed on run prevention by the front office I don't think Winker will see too much time on the grass.
  12. sveumrules
    The year before he hit them at 262/293/383. The year before that he hit them at 204/245/367. The year before that he hit them at 231/280/321. The year before that he hit them at 179/240/289. No thanks on Hosmer,
  13. sveumrules
    Read 'em & weep...
  14. sveumrules
    Wouldn't be surprised if the Brewers were in on Myers around that price range. May have just been a case of picking the Reds because there is a clearer path to playing time.
  15. sveumrules
    Mitchell posted a 63 wRC+ at AA in 2021. He still needed to prove he was a viable MLB option entering 2022. He was also hurt and did not play from 5/14 to 7/6. I’d say those factors had more to do with when he was called up than any kind of service time shenanigans. Turang has more PAs at AAA (779) than Mitchell has in his entire minor league career (557).
  16. sveumrules
    Looks like Feliciano was claimed by the Tigers. Thanks for everything, Mario. We'll always have May 1st, 2021.
  17. sveumrules
    Right, and at this point Cohen appears to be the only MLB owner willing to take this approach. If the other 29 ownership groups followed suit, the Brewers would still lag behind because MA's personal wealth (much like the Brewers TV contract and market share) is at the bottom of the league.
  18. sveumrules
    Attanasio doesn't own 100% of the Brewers. He has other shareholders to answer to. He also has considerably less personal wealth to draw from than Cohen or the Twins owners.
  19. sveumrules
    This is essentially what happened in 2021 when Burnes (6.2), Woodruff (6.3), Peralta (4.5), Houser (2.8) and Lauer (2.8) combined for 22.6 rWAR and the Brewers won 95 games. Throw a breakout year from Ashby in there instead of what we got from Brett Anderson and you’re getting pretty close to 100 wins. Those same five only combined for 13.1 rWAR last year though and the Brewers dropped to 86 wins.
  20. sveumrules
    Non-tax playing clubs currently receive half of the luxury tax money after the first 13 million… “The Commissioner's Office then redistributes this money in a standard manner. The first $13 million will be used to defray clubs' funding obligations under the MLB Players Benefits Agreements. Of the remaining sum, 50% of the remaining proceeds collected for each Contract Year, with accrued interest, will be used to fund player compensation as described in the MLB Players Benefits Plan Agreements and the other 50% shall be distributed to clubs that did not exceed the Base Tax Threshold in that Contract Year.”
  21. sveumrules
    Players are Wil Myers & Tyrone Taylor. Clicking on the tweet, it appears the good doctors additional context is that Myers isn’t an upgrade over Taylor. Don’t think anyone wants Wil to replace Tyrone though, it would be to play him alongside TT against LHP (128 wRC+ for Myers over 240 PA from 2021-22) in place of Rowdy at 1B, Winker at DH or one of Frelick/Mitchell in RF while Taylor is in CF.
  22. sveumrules
    Cohen doesn’t care about money, no one is getting held up. If they decide to salary dump Escobar they’ll get a nondescript low level prospect.
  23. sveumrules
    New deal is slightly lower AAV. 13/350 = 26.92 12/315 = 26.25
  24. sveumrules
    It’s a lot easier to provide value as a speedy contact hitting CF than it is to do the same thing in LF where the offensive bar is much higher. If the Brewers wanted to deal Frelick, but other teams view him as more of a LF, that will lower his valuation vs being a legit no doubt CF. As it relates to the Brewers it’s not really that big of a deal. Even on the slim chance all of the OF prospects turn out & none are dealt, somebody’s gotta play LF. That something like (LF) Frelick (CF) Chourio (RF) Wiemer (4OF) Mitchell (DH/5OF) Yelich is even a remote possibility for OD of 2024 is pretty fun to think about.
  25. sveumrules
    Yeah, for a team like the Brewers, I take spending zero (or close to it) on free agency as a sign of organizational health. It means they are developing enough players to fill out the majority of the roster through graduation or trades. By my count there are 17 players on their Cots page that are either in Arby or on pre-FA extensions that will make something like 75 million dollars this year. Between that and the Yelich contract there isn’t much left to spend on FA, though I do still think they’ll find enough in the seat cushions to sign a free agent (or maybe even two) before spring training rolls around.
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