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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Woodruff’s $17.5M guarantee is spread out over two seasons (and three calendar years) so it’s only an $8.75M AAV.
  2. sveumrules
    Man, tough year for Bobby. First his house gets broken into and his ring gets stolen, then I believe I heard his personal absence for those games was to deal with the loss of his grandmother who practically raised him, and now this. Guess the good news is he should be pretty fresh and ready to rock for the playoffs.
  3. sveumrules
    This discussion is already taking place here…
  4. sveumrules
    & many in the fanbase have spent a decent amount of time since 2020 dreaming up impossible trade scenarios to dump Yelich on top of it.
  5. sveumrules
    If he isn't placed on the 40 Man roster by the end of the year he will be a minor league free agent again. If he does make it onto the 40 Man the Brewers would have the standard three option years and six years of team control.
  6. sveumrules
    ACL is the lowest league stateside so would imagine Jadyn starts there. As a undrafted player he’ll have to flat out rake to approach any kind of prospect status. Believe the profile is cross your fingers and pray he has some of the family hitting talent because he is short with limited physical projection and unlikely to be a plus defender anywhere. Maybe a way too early somewhat realistic best case scenario is something like Willie Calhoun?
  7. sveumrules
    All eight of Hudson's appearances in AAA last year came out of the bullpen and he never faced more than six batters in an outing. It does not appear that sending him to AAA last season was a long term plan to make him into a starter.
  8. sveumrules
    You don't need to extend Turnag to prevent him from walking early, he is still under team control for five more seasons at discounted rates through Arbitration.
  9. sveumrules
    Yeah, Peralta can be dominating for stretches, but he is what he is at this point. Staying healthy for 170 IP with an ERA around 10% better than league average like he has the last two years is probably the best we can hope for. Durbin could be dominating on the bases maybe? Hoskins can dominate for a couple weeks at a time if he gets hot. Haase is a fine backup catcher, but neither he nor Bauers have approached anything resembling what I would term as "dominance" since years ago in AA. A more accurate title would probably be something like "Freddy Peralta, 3 Players Who Could Be Varying Degrees Of Useful in 2025 For The Crew, and Jake Bauers"
  10. sveumrules
    Turang and Ortiz have potential upside remaining over what they’ve already shown in MLB. Dunn has hardly played and Durbin hasn’t played at all. They’re all still kids or young guys relative to their individual MLB timelines. If 22 is the cutoff there were only eight young guys or kids that were qualified hitters last year, That definition might be a tad restrictive.
  11. sveumrules
    It’s the same lineup that won the NL Central by ten games last year. Adames is gone, but that’s not ten wins out the door. Yelich, Mitchell and Hoskins all have upside over last year with potentially better health. Could get a full season of the Chourio we saw over the final four months last year. If he takes another step from there he could cover most of Willy’s lost WAR by himself Turang. Ortiz, and Frelick are all at the point on the aging curve where they could see improvement over last year. Contreras is the best catcher in the game already, but still has upside if he can dial in his approach for more contact in the air. Black and Durbin have had minor league success, just need exposure to MLB pitching to see who they are (or aren’t). Perkins is one of the best 4th OF in the game, could probably start for some teams in CF. Haase is a perfectly cromulent backup C with Quero waiting in the wings. I feel really good about twelve of the thirteen position player spots personally.
  12. sveumrules
    Will definitely be interesting to see how much infield Sal plays this spring. As for Turner, I think Black has first crack at the backup 1B sometimes DH role. After being letdown by so many old DH/1B only types over the years maybe they’re finally over it. Maybe Turner’s never wanted to come here to begin with.
  13. sveumrules
    Nashville needs a SS too and the only other option is Freddy Zamora. Guess the Brewers are hoping Vinny goes unclaimed and accepts his assignment at the end of spring training. If Murphy and the FO consider Frelick to be IF capable they could option both of Monasterio and Dunn keeping Vinny around as the 13th man.
  14. sveumrules
    Bummer, guess the good news with the timing of the surgery is he should be good to go for most of next season if all goes well in recovery.
  15. sveumrules
    Not sure how much of a catcher Seigler really is at this point. Didn’t catch at all in 2024 and during 28 games behind the dish at AA in 2023 he surrendered 54 SB vs only 9 CS. Maybe he gets a couple games a week backing up Alfaro if they slow roll Quero to start the year, but a 14.3 CS% at AA plus a year off from catching could equal chaos on the bases in Nashville.
  16. sveumrules
    The Cubs finished ten games back and the Reds were sixteen games behind us last year, they needed to make moves to have any chance of closing those sizable gaps. Nobody thought the Brewers were comfortably on top of the Central entering 2021, 2023 or 2024 either but they won the division by a combined 24 games in those three seasons. Maybe part of the problem in the playoffs this decade has been that the Brewers won the division too easily and lost their edge heading into the postseason after clinching with a week plus to spare. When they made it to G7 of the NLCS in 2018 they had momentum from fighting through the end of the regular season and winning Game 163.
  17. sveumrules
    This is where I’m at too. Everyday that goes by without an infield addition is that much more of a sign that the org is way higher on Durbin than many of the posters here. And that’s probably because his projections (and upside) are better than DeJong’s. Here’s the ranges for the eight different projections on each of their player pages at FanGraphs… Durbin wRC+ (80 to 95) WAR (0.6 to 1.3) DeJong wRC+ (75 to 85) WAR (0.3 to 1.3) ZiPS 80th percentile for DeJong is 101 OPS+ | 2.0 WAR versus 107 OPS+ | 2.2 WAR for Caleb. Personally, I’m excited to see what Caleb’s got. Baseball is supposed to be fun and what is more fun than a 5’6” speed demon contact machine? Something else to note about Durbin’s projections are that his highest combined BsR/DEF is +2.6. Don’t have to squint too hard to see him topping that by almost a win if he ends up getting 400+ PAs. If they were to add a still out there free agent I think I might prefer Brendan Rodgers to DeJong since he hits lefties way better and has more favorable projection ranges… Rodgers wRC+ (87 to 107 wRC+) WAR (0.8 to 1.5 WAR)
  18. sveumrules
    Batting average is kind of passé. but among 170 players with at least 1,500 PAs since 2021 DeJong comes in a not so nice 169th at .203. His 6.6% walk rate isn't quite as deplorable at 134th, but the combination of the two gives him a .268 OBP which is dead last in the sample by ten points. Out of 266 players with at least 300 PAs vs LHP since 2021 his 68 wRC+ is 256th.
  19. sveumrules
    What grades did the Tobias Myers, Bryan Hudson, and Jared Koenig transactions get? They ended up chipping in something like seven or eight wins last year.
  20. sveumrules
    We knew it was almost certainly going to be a one transaction offseason, and it has turned out to be a one transaction offseason. When expectation lines up with reality that’s a C for me.
  21. sveumrules
    Bregman didn’t sign with the Cubs.
  22. sveumrules
    Ding ding. Given their massive revenue advantage, there is little doubt the Ricketts are pocketing more cash annually than Attanassio. Ricketts own 95% of the team plus 25% of the network and a bunch of real estate adjacent to Wrigley. How much revenue is that compared to Mark A owning 40% of the Brewers? I’m not sure there is anyway for us internet posters to know the definitive dollar amount, but I’d imagine it eclipses the $80M or so that separates the teams respective payrolls pretty easily.
  23. sveumrules
    The rest of the division was mediocre - all winning between 76 and 83 games. It wasn’t like the Brewers were beating up on actual horrible teams like CHW (41 W), COL (61 W), MIA (62 W), LAA (63 W), OAK (69 W) or WAS (71 W) to pad their win total. Due to not having any truly horrible teams (and the Brewers going 31 W - 15 L against the AL) the NL Central ended up with the 3rd most wins in 2024… NLW (421 W) ALE (420 W) NLC (412 W) NLE (406 W) ALC (387 W) ALW (383 W)
  24. sveumrules
    Bucks are two games up on the #7 seed (Heat/Hawks tied at .500) and six point five games up on the #10 seed (Bulls). Giannis missing two three weeks might push them closer to the play in, but the odds of them dropping out completely are pretty slim. The season outlook is almost entirely dependent on the playoffs for me. Giannis getting hurt now, when he'll miss fewer games on account of the All Star break and should be able to return for the last month / 20 games or so before the playoffs, is about as ideal as it gets from a timeline perspective.
  25. sveumrules
    If they assign one or both of Bitonti and Adamczewski to Wisco there should be room for both of Made and Peña at Carolina. But yeah, would be tricky having all four in Carolina unless you want to start trying Bitonti in RF, Made/Peña in CF, or Adamczewski in LF for a game or two a week.
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