Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

sveumrules

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,618

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    206

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

News

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    I dunno, the first player that popped to mind as a comp for me was somebody that signed with a small market… Edman (2578 PAs) 263/317/408 (99 wRC+) 59 HR | 112 SB / 17 CS 6.3 BB% | 16.6 K% +24.0 BSR | +49.1 DEF LoCain 2013-17 (2672 PAs) 291/345/423 (108 wRC+) 49 HR | 110 SB / 24 CS 6.8 BB% | 18.3 K% +20.7 BSR | +55.1 DEF Pretty close across the board. Lorenzo was a better hitter entering FA but Edman is two years younger, can play SS/2B in addition to CF, and still didn’t beat the 5/80 Cain got all the way back in 2018.
  2. sveumrules
    Of the four guys you mentioned only Black has ever made a Top 100 list coming in between #46 and #70 depending on the source, and he has backtracked since those rankings. Of the four guys traded for Yelich Monte Harrison (#49 to #71) and Isan Diaz (#59 to #93) were in the same general range as Black plus there was also Lewis Brinson who was made eight different Too 100 lists between #12 and #18 before being dealt. Those packages aren’t really similar at all.
  3. sveumrules
    Edman is a “utility man”, sure, but his 16.0 WAR since debuting in 2019 is 47th in MLB over that stretch. Even discounting 2019 with the juiced ball he’s still at 3.3 WAR/600 PAs for the rest of his career. If he can maintain that pace over the next five years, heck even if he just notches 10 WAR. he’ll still be a steal for the Dodgers even before the deferrals push down his CBT hit.
  4. sveumrules
    Edman already had a $9.5M salary on the books for 2025, so $64.5M in new money over the additional four years (before all the accounting tricks).
  5. sveumrules
    The Bears last winning season was in 2018.. They’ve finished 3rd or 4th in five of the six years since with one Wildcard in an 8-8 year as their “high” point. The Brewers have won the 6th most games in MLB since 2018 with four Division wins (and zero losing full seasons) in there. The Bears are way more like the Pirates than the Brewers of late.
  6. sveumrules
    Teel sounds like more of a bat first lefty option who has struggled to control the running game a bit at AA/AAA with 100 SB / 25 CS (20.0 CS%) over 690 innings. Quero would be a perfect complement as the defensively tooled up - 51 SB / 27 CS (34.6 CS%) in 622 innings at AA - righty hitting option.
  7. sveumrules
    Steamer projects Casas for 124 wRC+ | 2.5 WAR next year which is a Top Ten projection at 1B for them. That’s right in line with the projections for guys like Alonso (125 wRC+ | 2.6 WAR) and Walker (119 wRC+ | 2.5 WAR) who are about to bank in free agency except Casas is only 25 and will be making significantly less money over the next four years under team control. Before graduating he had appeared on eleven different BA/MLB/BPro Top 100 lists peaking as high as two Top Twenty placements at #19 and #16. I wouldn’t personally do Henderson and Black for him because his defense at 1B is so bad he should probably be a DH only already, but if the Red Sox do put him on the market I’d guess they land a better haul than that anyway. Given the Red Sox catching situation, Connor Wong had a nice 110 wRC+ but a not so nice -14 DRS | -10 FRV | -11.5 FRM, my guess is any productive talks would have to start with Quero.
  8. sveumrules
    Yelich and Contreras are already going to eat into a large portion of the DH at bats. Last year they combined for 60 games in the DH spot, and with Yelich coming off injury that number is likely to be quite a bit higher in 2025, especially if the idea is to give Contreras more games there as well so he doesn't wear down. If we estimate 65 games for Yelich at DH and another 35 for Contreras, that leaves 224 games to be split between Hoskins and whoever else at 1B/DH. I would guess Goldy is going to want to go somewhere with a clearer path to regular playing time.
  9. sveumrules
    Blake Snell's first year in MLB was 2016. With 1,096 career IP he is one of only 41 pitchers to throw at least 1,000 innings since then. Now of course you got 2020 in there gumming up the works somewhat when it comes to comparing against past workloads, but let's just give it to these modern day pitchers as kind of an extra credit as it were. So if we look at the eight full seasons prior to 2016 (2008-15), there were 71 pitchers to throw at least 1,000 IP. Move it back to the eight full seasons prior to that (2000-07) and there were 83 hurlers who clocked at least 1,000 IP. At this rate I'd probably put the over under on "pitchers to throw at least 1,000 IP from 2025-32" somewhere around two dozen.
  10. sveumrules
    Problem was that they played at the Celtics on an a B2B, at Memphis (6th in netRTG), and two super tight games against the scorching Cavs which was more or less four automatic losses in their first seven games and bloodthirsty haters took the opportunity to pounce. Throw in another at New York on a B2B plus a second Celtics game and six of the Bucks nine losses on the season to this point are perfectly reasonable. Sure, there were two ugly losses in there against the Bulls and Nets in the 2nd and 3rd games of the season too, but since they subbed AJax into the starting lineup and the schedule has evened out a bit they've been a completely different team by both the numbers and eye test.
  11. sveumrules
    Yeah, it was only 35 IP but Duplantier shoved to the tune of a 3.15 FIP | 3.57 ERA during his Dodgers stint to end the season, mostly in the PCL. Oliva opened his career with 1,215 PAs of 120 wRC+ between A-AA from 2017-19, but got derailed at the pandemic and followed with 923 PAs of an underwhelming 91 wRC+ in AAA from 2021-23, before bouncing back to the tune of a 138 wRC+ with 37 SB / 3 CS over 248 PAs back down in AA last year. Maybe it was just a small sample of man amongst boy type stuff, but I’d imagine the Brewers saw something(s) they liked on the scouting side too.
  12. sveumrules
    Yeah, Rengifo is absolutely brutal afield... 2B (2,460 inn.) -9 DRS | -12 FRV 3B (850 inn.) +1 DRS | -8 FRV SS (625 inn.) -5 DRS | -9 FRV Would imagine that disqualifies him for consideration in the Brewers run prevention scheme.
  13. sveumrules
    One reason might just be to do right by the player. Instead of adding him to the 40 Man and then dealing him to whichever team offered the best marginal return, Carlos and his agent can decide for themselves which landing spot gives him the best chance at an MLB future.
  14. sveumrules
    Three more turnovers and only ten points allowed for the mediocre D today.
  15. sveumrules
    Last time we saw Khris he put up 24.7 PPG | 9.2 RPG | 4.7 APG on 48% shooting in the playoffs while playing eleven minutes per game over his season average. He's always had an old man's game that wasn't overly reliant on athleticism so I'm fine with them slow rolling him back in hopes it increases his chances of being healthy and ready to go come playoff time.
  16. sveumrules
    Some team level stats from their recent turnaround... First Ten Games (2 W - 8 L) 110.6 oRTG (19th) 115.7 dRTG (22nd) -5.1 netRTG (22nd) Last Seven Games (6 W - 1 L) 115.4 oRTG (9th) 108.1 dRTG (8th) +7.3 netRTG (6th)
  17. sveumrules
    Giannis has looked much more confident from the midrange in the early going this year. Obviously small sample but he is shooting 53.8% from 10 to 16 feet versus a 36.7% career average at that distance. From 16 feet out to the three point line he is at 49.1% so far compared to 36.8% for his career at that range. Has also upped his attempts big time here from 7.2% of his FGAs last year to 16.0% so far this year.
  18. sveumrules
    Crazy idea definitely. Profar played zero innings at 2B last year, one inning in 2023, zero in 2022, 59 in 2021 and 138 in 2020. The last time he got regular playing time at 2B waz in 2019 when he put up -20 DRS | -5 FRV over 1,024 innings. He’s been brutal in LF the last two years too at -19 DRS | -18 FRV.
  19. sveumrules
    Bucks improve to 2 W - 0 L in the Emirates Cup with their win tonight over last year’s arch nemesis Pacers squad. If they can pull off the B2B against the Hornets that would put them on the precipice of .500 heading into their third Emirates Cup game in Miami on TUE.
  20. sveumrules
    From MLBTR… “The Athletic’s Britt Ghiroli reports that 18 teams expressed interest in signing Rodriguez. That sheds light on why the Braves needed to offer him a 40-man spot to sweeten the deal.”
  21. sveumrules
    It's interesting to consider what the future of Ohtani could look like. For as amazing as he's been he hasn't double peaked yet... 2021 (8.9 tWAR) 3.9 pWAR | 5.0 hWAR 2022 (9.8 tWAR) 6.2 pWAR | 3.6 hWAR 2023 (10.3 tWAR) 3.8 pWAR | 6.5 hWAR 2024 (9.1 tWAR) 0.0 pWAR | 9.1 hWAR Over his four prime MLB seasons his worst as a batter has coincided with his best as a pitcher (2022) and vice versa (2024). He could conceivably approach a 15 WAR season if he double peaked. One thing holding him back from cracking nine WAR as hitter again is I would guess he runs less in future seasons once he's back to pitching and he got essentially a whole extra win on the bases this year (+9.8 BsR) compared to a combined +7.0 BsR from 2017-23. So the big question is how much might he be able to pitch moving forward? From ages 18 to 21 in Japan he put up 80, 155, 162 and 140 IP for a total of 537 innings. From ages 22 to 25 between Japan and the USA he threw 79 combined innings around his first TJ and other injuries. From ages 26 to 28 he came in with 428 IP (50th over that stretch) with an 82 AVG+ (3rd) | 138 K%+ (4th) | 67 ERA- (4th) | 75 FIP- (9th) | 13.9 rWAR (6th) | 10.9 fWAR (11th) before the second TJ. My best guess for his thirties would be another couple two tree years as a starter before maybe transitioning into a closer role to try and extend his lifespan as a pitcher.
  22. sveumrules
    For whatever it is or isn’t worth StatCast park factors has Citizens Bank ever so slightly more HR friendly than AmFam at 115 to 114 so he likely wouldn’t get much of a stadium boost coming to MKE.
  23. sveumrules
    I hope so. Guess, if anyone was going to troll the MOY vote it would be KLaw.
  24. sveumrules
    Patrick Wisdom and Keston Hiura is a pretty fun comparison. Among 425 players with at least 1,000 PAs since Patrtick's debut in 2018 they come in at a 163 K%+ (Wisdom) and a 160 K%+ (Hiura) which are the 3rd and 6th highest marks in the sample. They both strike out at epic rates, so why does Wisdom have an extra 389 PAs for his career and a whopping 895 more PAs than Hiura since 2021? For one, Patrick walks more (103 to 81 on BB%+) and hit for way more power when he does connect (154 to 121 on ISO+). For two, as bad as Wisdom in the field with a combined -16 DRS over 2,863 innings at 3B/1B/OF for his career, Keston comes in at -17 DRS in only 1,237 innings at 2B.
  25. sveumrules
    Looked up the votes and it was…drumroll please…Keith Law.
×
×
  • Create New...