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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    This team. Just wow.
  2. sveumrules
    and the DS & the CS & the WS.
  3. sveumrules
    Scoring nine runs after being down eight zip is more than a little life.
  4. sveumrules
    You are double counting the signing bonus. It is already included with the eight million figure.
  5. sveumrules
    Nixon’s deal was $18M for three years with only $6.5M guaranteed.
  6. sveumrules
    TENTH three game losing streak of the season, that means 44.77% of the team’s losses have come while streaking… start 10-3 (0-3) 7-2 (0-3) 3-0 (0-3) 16-9 (0-3) 8-4 (0-3) 8-2 (0-3) 2-1 (0-3) 13-7 (0-3) 14-5 (0-3) 7-4 (0-3) ??? RESILIENCE has been the big word this year with zero four game losing streaks and only one series sweep despite all those three gamers. Bouncing back again today and starting to build some momentum towards October would be ideal.
  7. sveumrules
    The Brewers 3.49 ERA over the last four months of the season is first in the NL. The Mets (3.93, 7th in NL) and especially the Diamondbacks (4.69 ERA, 13th in the NL) have been considerably worse. I'm seeing SDP at 64 W - 42 L with the best winning percentage in the NL over the last four months, though ARI (64 W - 43 L), NYM (64 W - 44 L) are right behind them before MIL (61 W - 47 L) shows up. The two best teams - LAD (60 W - 45 L) and PHI (58 W - 48 L) - have been the worst teams among the likely NL playoff clubs over the last four months. It's about as wide open as its ever been.
  8. sveumrules
    Pratt only got 95 PAs at Wisco and didn't exactly set the MWL ablaze with a 221/258/442 (94 wRC+) triple slash paired with a 4.2 BB% and 25.3 K%. Not sure I would personally be in any rush to open him at Biloxi straight away. Let him have some success in A+ before sending him to the wolves in AA.
  9. sveumrules
    People said the same thing about this year but replace Williams and Adames with Burnes and Woodruff. There is also no guarantee they trade Devin on a reasonable one year deal, they could choose to take the production and comp pick like they are lined up to do with Adames this year. Even if Williams is dealt, the bullpen managed an 80 ERA- (4th) and +8.87 WPA (2nd) in the 104 games before his first appearance of the season.
  10. sveumrules
    Cooper Pratt just hit a two run bomb to get Biloxi on the board top of eight.
  11. sveumrules
    Mitch White’s late season run continues as he gave up Jordan Westburg double and Ramon Urias RBI single to open the game but nothing thereafter for a nice 7 IP | 1 ER | 5 H | 1 BB | 8 K line. Nashville picked up three runs in the fourth with a Wes Clarke walk followed by a quartet of singles from Francisco Mejia, Owen Miller, Noah Campbell & Freddy Zamora, then a sac fly from Carlos Rodriguez the outfielder. Sounds then scored two more in the seventh after Brewer Hicklen walked and Wes Clarke went 405 feet deep.
  12. sveumrules
    Out of 243 pitchers in the International League with at least 40 IP, Herget came in at… 2.46 FIP (2nd) | 2.27 ERA (8th) | 3.23 xFIP (3rd) | 5.36 K to BB ratio (4th) | 32.4 K% (15th) | 6.0 BB% (13th) | 0.38 HR9 (6th) | 0.94 WHIP (2nd) Have to imagine in an organization with a less stacked bullpen he would’ve gotten more of an MLB look than the 8.2 low leverage IP over two brief call ups in May/June he’s gotten so far with the Brewers this year. Believe he is mostly four seam / cutter with the change up as the out pitch.
  13. sveumrules
    Yup. Expand to 32 equals two leagues with four divisions of four teams each. Four division winners get in and they'll probably bump it to three Wild Cards so only the #1 seed gets the bye. Essentially the NFL postseason format.
  14. sveumrules
    Not sure of an easy way to track that info down without going through individual game logs. Kind of a crude measure, but through June 30 the Brewers had 405 runs scored and 86 home runs, 4.71 R/HR. Since July 1st it’s 331 runs scored and 85 home runs, 3.89 R/HR. Based on that it would appear your impression is correct & they have become more HR reliant recently compared to earlier in the year. For some context here are the full season ratios of the NL contenders… MIL (4.30 R/HR) 736 R / 171 HR ARI (4.24 R/HR) 840 R / 198 HR SDP (4.03 R/HR) 726 R / 180 HR PHI (3.99 R/HR) 739 R / 185 HR NYM (3.74 R/HR) 740 R / 198 HR LAD (3.63 R/HR) 788 R / 217 HR ATL (3.36 R/HR) 668 R / 199 HR With that context the Brewers performance since July 1st (3.89 R/HR) would be closer to the middle of the pack.
  15. sveumrules
    I have no control over the results of Brewers games, so I will accept and be ok with whatever happens. What recourse exists for someone who would not be ok with it?
  16. sveumrules
    Adams has run low BABIPs (.292 and .280) at both his A ball stops the last two years. Pretty sure he has a very uppercut swing that results in a lot of easy flyball outs, so it might be something sticky in his profile. Luke's 18.7 BB% was a big part of his OBP, but he also got beaned 40 times in the regular season so that element is likely to come down pretty drastically as he moves up the ladder.
  17. sveumrules
    Not a Twins fan personally, but if I were I probably wouldn't have had much faith in my team whose record is pretty much entirely propped up by a 12 W - 1 L record against the worst team ever.
  18. sveumrules
    I consider myself more of a rapscallion.
  19. sveumrules
    Here is a little check-your-own work that Ben Clemens did back in September of 2021 on the FG Playoff Odds... How Well Do Our Playoff Odds Work?
  20. sveumrules
    My guess would be... Ca: Haase 1B: Bauers 2B: Collins 3B: Monasterio SS: Ortiz LF: Frelick CF: Perkins RF: Mitchell DH: El Gary
  21. sveumrules
    Checking the Brewers game logs on BRef it looks like they are 23 W - 27 L when they don't HR. If I counted right the other NL contenders are at... SDP (20 W - 29 L) NYM (16 W - 28 L) PHI (16 W - 29 L) LAD (15 W - 32 L) ATL (16 W - 35 L) ARI (14 W- 34 L)
  22. sveumrules
    I'd say what we've seen from Mitchell so far this year (about a 5 WAR/600 PAs pace) is pretty close to his realistic upside if he can stay healthy for an extended stretch. 2022-23 (141 PAs) 9.2 BB% | 38.3 K% 278/343/452 (119 wRC+) .441 BABIP | .175 ISO 2024 (194 PAs) 11.9 BB% | 30.9 K% 260/352/467 (129 wRC+) .365 BABIP | .207 ISO Walk rate and ISO both up, K rate and BABIP still high but at more work-with-able levels.
  23. sveumrules
    Six pitchers in the Brewers system with at least 30 IP and an xFIP under 3.00 this year are... Yoho (1.90), KC Hunt (2.32), Sam Gardner (2.44), Yorman Galindez (2.75), Shane Smith (2.89) and Chase Costello (2.92).
  24. sveumrules
    Awesome breakdown on how the Brewers completely flipped the script on Frankie’s season. Frankie Reds 85 K%+ | 120 HR9+ | 104 AVG+ | 115 ERA- | 114 FIP- Frankie Brewers 128 K%+ | 95 HR9+ | 84 AVG+ | 86 ERA- | 86 FIP- I believe I typed something along the lines of “Dear Chris Hook, Good Luck” in the initial trade thread, but it turns out minimal luck was required on account of good design.
  25. sveumrules
    For the first four months it was CLE (61) and ATL (71) on ERA- and CLE (+11.02) on WPA. Since August 1st its DET (65) and LAA (68) on ERA- and PHI (+4.27) on WPA. CLE bullpen has come down a little to "only" a 77 ERA- (6th) and +3.63 WPA (4th) since August 1st.
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