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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. Looks like Hall had a decent start from the box anyway… 6.0 IP | 1 R | 2 each H, BB, HBP | 4 K
  2. Sweep of Cleveland improves the Brewers MLB best inter-league record to 29 W - 14 L.
  3. 438 innings in LF he is +5 DRS and -1 FRV. 453 innings in RF he is +9 DRS and +7 FRV. Among 93 OF with at least 500 innings this year his +14 DRS is 3rd and his +6 FRV tied for 16th. SABR Defensive Index which is used for Gold Glove purposes has him the top RF in the MLB at +7.9.
  4. Good observation. Currently on pace for the first season since 2014 where there is no 100 Win team. There was a pretty decent article on the topic at Yahoo the other day that looked at some possible reasons why like injuries, new balanced schedule, and team building philosophies.
  5. Had the same thought sequence last night when I was flipping to LAD/STL on commercials. Like, what kind of world are we living in where I’m hoping the Cardinals win a game in mid-August? FanGraphs has our chances of losing the division at 3.2% but out chances of securing the bye at 20.9% so for the next two days it’s Go Cards, I guess.
  6. Today presents as the toughest game in the series from a pitching standpoint. Bibee leads Guardians SP in virtually every category at 127.1 IP | 84 ERA- | 82 FIP- | 118 K+ | 72 BB+ | 94 AVG+ | 87 WHIP+ with Cleveland going 18 W - 5 L in his 23 starts. Three Headed Bullpen Monster of Clase / Gaddis / Smith hasn't pitched since Tuesday either so they should all be fresh and ready to go too. Also wanted to check back in on how the Brewers have continued to bounce back strong after their respective three game losing streaks so far this year... started at 10 W - 3 L (0 W - 3 L) 7 W - 2 L (0 W - 3 L) 3 W - 0 L (0 W - 3 L) 16 W - 9 L (0 W - 3 L) 8 W - 4 L (0 W - 3 L) 8 W - 2 L (0 W - 3 L) 2 W - 1 L (0 W - 3 L) 13 W - 7 L (0 W - 3 L) 3 W - 0 L Following their two italicized mini swoons of 3 W - 6 L from 0427 to 0506 and 2 W - 7 L from 0704 to 0713 they responded with their two longest extended winning stretches since the beginning of the season in bold. That's some pretty impressive resilience from a team with the second youngest position player group in MLB per BRef, a rotation that doesn't pitch enough innings, and an overworked bullpen of castoffs without their all world closer until three weeks ago.
  7. Tonight was Kwan’s 31st game with 5 AB, it was only the second of those 31 games in which he failed to record a hit.
  8. Looking at how the Brewers have performed post-ASB I think their ideal lineup would be something like this... Chourio (101 PA | 178 wRC+) Contreras (104 PA | 157 wRC+) Mitchell (76 PA | 98 wRC+) Adames (101 PA | 132 wRC+) Hoskins (87 PA | 130 wRC+) Sanchez (36 PA | 167 wRC+) Frelick (81 PA | 45 wRC+) Ortiz (94 PA | 65 wRC+) Turang (89 PA | 28 wRC+) Chourio is fast and the best player on the team give him the most PAs, Contreras is the best all around hitter, Mitchell is the best lefty at the moment so he gets third to break up all the righties, Adames/Hoskins are your best regular run producers, El Gary fits the same mold in a smaller sample, after that its the struggle bunch so just went LRL to split the lefties. Monasterio (21 PA | 147 wRC+) and Haase (20 PA | 169 wRC+) have both performed the small handful of times their names have been called, I'd be calling Andruw a little more often for sure given recent performance of Joey/Brice, keep Sanchez DH only and use Haase behind the dish for Contreras off days. Bauers (52 PA | 88 wRC+) has been Bauers. Zooming out a bit here is the league average wRC+ at each batting order spot for each of 2022, 2023 and 2024 so far (with the Brewers wRC+ and league rank this year in parentheses at the end)... Batting 1st 103, 111, 106 (90 | 22nd) Batting 2nd 115, 114, 114 (107 | 18th) Batting 3rd 116, 111, 118 (139 | 7th) Batting 4th 109, 108, 106 (125 | 6th) Batting 5th 98, 103, 103 (93 | 22nd) Batting 6th 96, 94, 93 (80 | 23rd) Batting 7th 90, 89, 95 (119 | 3rd) Batting 8th 87, 86, 84 (107 | 6th) Batting 9th 81, 81, 75 (99 | 1st) So leadoff, #5 and #6 have been the weak spots this year for the Brewers. Number two has been below average by lineup position but still above average overall. #3, #4 and the bottom three spots have been where most of their big gains have come from.
  9. For sure. Among 160 relievers with at least 40 IP so far this year their Big Three have some pretty impressive rankings... Emmanuel Clase 16 ERA- (1st) | 51 FIP- (5th) | +4.80 WPA (1st) Hunter Gaddis 35 ERA- (5th) | 59 FIP- (13th) | +2.26 WPA (14th) Cade Smith 50 ERA- (18th) | 37 FIP- (1st) | +1.96 WPA (18th) That's three no doubt Top 20 relievers by performance this year with a fourth (Tim Herrin) paling somewhat by comparison despite a still pretty dang impressive 55 ERA- | 72 FIP- | +0.94 WPA.
  10. CLE is 7-6 vs DET and only 5-5 vs the White Sox. KCR and MIN are the two teams that got the biggest ALC boost both going 12-1 against the Sox.
  11. Two most impactful bullpens in MLB going at it…CLE (+11.24 WPA) MIL (+9.85 WPA) then a big ol gap down to ATL (+4.89 WPA) in third. Guardians relievers also sport the best peripherals in MLB (79 FIP-) versus the Brewers being closer to average (98 FIP-) in that regard. For all the consternation there’s been about a Brewers rotation that has put up a 99 ERA- (14th) and 8.1 rWAR (17th), Cleveland has really pushed the envelope on how bad a contenders starting pitchers can be with a 112 ERA- (25th) and 5.3 rWAR (24th). Both teams hitters have excelled with RISP - CLE (125 wRC+ | 5th) MIL (124 wRC+ | 6th) - but the Brewers have had a couple hundred extra such plate appearances at 1,303 (2nd) versus 1,100 (20th) for the Guardians. Should be a fun series between two pretty evenly matched organizations, heck going all the way back to 2017 they are only one win apart at 642 for MIL (6th) versus 641 for CLE (7th).
  12. Probably the same thing lots of people say when looking at the Brewers roster… Who are these bleeping guys ?!?!?
  13. Dodgers are way more aggressive in the zone for sure at 71.1 Z-Swing% (5th) versus the Brewers at 65.6% (30th). The Brewers selectivity leads to them making a smidge more contact in the zone though with an 85.9 Z-Contact% versus the Dodgers at 84.7%.
  14. Walk rate LAD 9.8% MIL 9.6% Strikeout rate LAD 21.9% MIL 22.9% Chase rate MIL 28.5% LAD 29.1% Contact rate MIL 78.1% LAD 77.0% Swinging Strike rate MIL 9.8% LAD 10.8% All the approach numbers under the hood are pretty close too, the Brewers even have a small edge when it comes to not chasing pitches and making contact.
  15. Coming into the game the Brewers were scoring 0.11 runs per game fewer than the Dodgers (4.83 vs 4.94), you may need to recalibrate what constitutes a AAA lineup.
  16. Hall of Famers - 4 Triple AAAers - 6
  17. Dodgers can't afford to make mistakes like that & hope to win when they are up against a team as good as the Brewers.
  18. What were your expectations for Sal? He was billed as a guy with a good plate approach (121 BB+ | 72 K+) and hit tool (104 AVG+) , no power (52 ISO+), good wheels (22 SB | 3 CS), and good defense (+12 DRS | +10 OAA). He's pretty much been exactly as advertised.
  19. Brewers are 12 W - 6 L in their eighteen previous games homering twice this year. They are 13 W - 0 L when homering three or more times.
  20. In addition to the aforementioned Lara bomb, Jadher Areinamo notched a trio of singles and Jheremy Vargas filled up the box with a single, double, stolen bag and two RBI. Tyler Bryant made it five for five on scoreless appearances since joining Wisco adding two more strikeouts to his ledger in a perfect ninth inning. He has only been credited with earned runs in one of his 14 appearances since joining the Brewers org out of the Independent ranks.
  21. Brewers are 7 W - 0 L following a three game losing streak so far this year. Would be pretty awesome to keep that streak alive tonight. Also thought it was interesting that last night was only their 7th blowout loss (5+ run deficit) according to BRef, fewest in the league by a decent margin... CLE (11) KCR (12) SEA (12) ATL (13) LAD (14) BAL (14) MIN (14) PHI (15) SDP (15) NYY (16) NYM (17) HOU (18)
  22. Taylor Clarke surrendered two runs bottom one, but Patrick Dorrian got them both back with a two run blast top of two to even to the score at 2 to 2.
  23. Mentions two TJs in this article when he committed to Arkansas as a transfer before signing. This one mentions two as well with a little more detail...Yoho had a pretty clean bill of health in high school. Then his first Tommy John surgery coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic shutdown, making for a difficult rehabilitation. “Then I had poor ramp-ups for pitching while also (playing a position),” says Yoho.
  24. Yoho has already had two TJs and is a recent convert to full time pitching. With only 40 IP last year and 45 so far this year it would take him two or three years minimum to build up the innings needed to be a starter.
  25. Guessing Hall is back within 20 days to not burn his final option year?
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