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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    Fangraphs for whatever reason (I don't understand it) has the Brewers with the toughest remaining strength of schedule by opponent projected win % (.508) which is probably why they are projecting 31-29 the rest of the way.
  2. wiguy94
    Hardin is definitely not a sinker baller. He does throw three fastball types but the sinker is the worst of his three fastballs. He's best known for his flat approach angle FB. I'd comp him to more like a poor man's Bryan Woo or Joe Ryan.
  3. wiguy94
    The underlying numbers definitely favor someone like Drohan over guys like Lauer and Myers. 2021 Lauer - 94 FIP-, 100 xFIP-, 4.24 SIERA 2024 Myers - 96 FIP-, 98 xFIP-, 3.99 SIERA 2026 Drohan - 72 FIP-, 87 xFIP-, 3.66 SIERA (specifically as a SP - 84 FIP-, 94 xFIP-,
  4. wiguy94
    I don't know about record but Brewers ERA with Gary catching is right there next to their ERA with Contreras catching
  5. wiguy94
    Yeah Chourio appears to still not know how to jump at the wall getting stuffed by it again today.
  6. wiguy94
    Adams, Williams, Wagoner, and Manfredi feel like the priority adds right now and if I had to guess, I'd guess that one or two of them gets moved at the deadline this year.
  7. wiguy94
    No chance to grab that one today. There's a pretty sizable gap like (8ft) between the fence and the wall behind the fence and that one hit the wall behind the fence.
  8. wiguy94
    Mets were owed one after Collins cheapie walkoff HR into it last year
  9. wiguy94
    1, Adrian Morejon - Would love to push Ashby down the leverage list and Morejon is a stud 2. Clay Holmes - Vet groundballer who I think can eat innings for us and has a long history as a RP so will be comfortable being shifted to the pen in the playoffs. I think he's very likely to decline his player option so you don't need to worry about next year 3. Lane Thomas - RHH who hits LHP really well. Would like another bat who can hit LHP.
  10. wiguy94
    Dinges getting promoted to AA per Mayo
  11. wiguy94
    Yes but that wasn’t even close to catchable
  12. wiguy94
    That’s now 14 of 19 games this month the Brewers have given up the first run. That’s not ideal.
  13. wiguy94
    Also with Payne he’s obviously very athletic and twitchy but I’ve always thought he’s looked very tightly wound and a bit stiff. I wonder if scouts see something like that as well and view it as a negative.
  14. wiguy94
    Norris had side video of Lovera and Matos hitting HR on his Twitter account and I liked Lovera’s swing better than Matos
  15. wiguy94
    Looks like Hartshorn makes way better swing decisions than Payne as well. The fact Payne has any Top 100 hype with how bad his hit tool is impressive in its own right. His speed and raw power are impressing enough for people to overlook what is currently a very poor hit tool.
  16. wiguy94
    Hartshorn has way less swing and miss than Payne.
  17. wiguy94
    Safe to say this is not remotely how I saw that play. Turang nearly got to that ball despite basically stopping. If he doesn’t slow down that’s a routine play for him.
  18. wiguy94
    Brewers are 20-12 since June 16th but they really need the big guys at the top of the order to start picking up the slack. 1-4 in the order during that stretch have an 86 wRC+ which is 28th in MLB 5-9 in the order during that stretch have a 120 wRC+ which is 3rd in MLB Turang is the only guy among the top of the order guys with a wRC+ over 100 in that time at 109. Contreras is at 90. Chourio is at 83. Yelich is at 73. These are the players that are supposed to be carrying our lineup and they've been getting carried by the bottom half of our order for over a month.
  19. wiguy94
    Also not sure it means anything but Sproat has been way better with Sanchez catching him than Contreras.
  20. wiguy94
    It's possible though with Freddy his extension has been trending down for years. His extension was best before he kind of really filled out. Like his extension peaked at 7.3ft in 2020 and has trended down basically every year since then to now 6.5ft.
  21. wiguy94
    I'm not so sure. The swing and miss and k-rate both regressing substantially in combo with the extension falling off once again is pretty concerning. One of the reasons he was so effective was his ability to generate extension from a small frame to create such a low release point creating a vertical approach angle that was really difficult to square up. His extension being way down makes his profile a lot less interesting.
  22. wiguy94
    The Brewers are $129,100 over slot through the Ebel, Strosnider, Jones, Garcia, Oshinskie, Tom, Mora, and Gaines signings. Counting the 5% overage the Brewers still have $962,545 left to spend with Knaak and Hill still needing to be signed in rounds 1-10.
  23. wiguy94
    Woodruff entering this year was at 7.161 years of service time so after this year he will need 1 year and 11 days of service time to hit that 10 year mark.
  24. wiguy94
    Maybe I'm wrong but I don't think professional athletes are weighing convenience when it comes who they let operate on their body.
  25. wiguy94
    That's on the pitching side not the hitting side. Baseball-reference derives pitching WAR through runs allowed while fangraphs derives pitching WAR through FIP. The position player side typically has gaps because baseball-reference weights defense much more heavily than fangraphs does and they use different measurements to evaluate defense. Baseball-reference uses DRS and fangraphs uses OAA/FRV. For reference this is Caleb Durbin's value by b-ref and fangraphs this year B-ref - -2 runs batting, +2 runs baserunning, +9 runs fielding, +2 runs positional adjustment which is 11 runs above average plus 12 runs adjusting from average to replacement. That leaves him 23 runs better than replacement for 2.3 bWAR Fangraphs - -4 runs batting, +1.9 runs baserunning, +3.6 runs fielding, +1.3 runs positionally, they have +1.7 run adjustment to league average then plus 10.4 runs adjusting from average to replacement. That leaves him 14.9 runs better than replacement for 1.5 fWAR. So Durbin has 0.8 more bWAR than fWAR and defensively baseball reference has him 6.1 runs better than fangaphs does defensively so 75% of the gap between the two comes from defensive value. This is why Turang had a huge gap between bWAR and fWAR in 2024. DRS viewed him as +22 and FRV viewed him as +5. Bref viewed his defense as worth 27 runs and fangraphs as worth 5.6 runs which is how one ends up with 4.8 bWAR and 2.6 fWAR.
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