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adambr2

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Everything posted by adambr2

  1. adambr2
    As fortunate as we got with the last extension, as Gomez is outperforming that by a long shot, it certainly won't happen again, particularly under Boras. So our options are to ride out the last 2 years here with Gomez, try to make a run, and take the comp pick when we lose him, much like we did with Prince. If it doesn't look like that's going to happen, it would be a shame to lose him for just the comp pick, and it wouldn't hurt to explore a trade while there's still time to do so. Or, is an extension a possibility? What's the magic number for a Gomez extension this time around? $20M/year?
  2. adambr2
    Maybe I'm misunderstanding what you're saying, but why would we trade for Papelbon in July/August if we were selling? Doesn't make much sense to me.
  3. adambr2
    The Brewers just aren't a very good match for Papelbon because of the no trade clause. Papelbon will insist that his $13M vesting option for 2016 be guaranteed. And it doesn't make any sense for the Phillies from their standpoint to eat part of a salary that they can get out of anyway if they keep him. So if the Brewers want the Phillies to eat $8M of the remaining $26M, the Phillies won't look at it like they're eating 8M of 26M, they'll look at it like they're eating 8M of 13M. Not a very good deal for them unless they get a really good prospect in return which is where the deal just doesn't make sense for is. I'll be really disappointed if we give up someone like Coulter to make that happen.
  4. adambr2
    Spending a year or two in Milwaukee seems to be becoming a rite of passage for every aging potential HOF closer: (Gagne, Hoffman, K-Rod, Papelbon)
  5. adambr2
    This reminds me of the comments when Mike Trout signed last year for 1 year and 1M. Although just off the top of my head, doesn't 7.4M seem pretty cheap for 2nd year arby cost for a player the caliber of Strasburg?
  6. adambr2
    Yay.
  7. adambr2
    Last season the 1st hitter had 743 PA for the Brewers. The 8th hitter had 614. Do you really want to pinch hit Segura for every single other hitter in the lineup 18 times each? Would you rather have the only hitter who doesn't strike out on our team besides Lucroy hit eighth the entire season and see a fastball one in every ten pitches? I like your calculation to make your point, but now calculate how much the current-leadoff scenario strikes out in there.... I don't want a guy who reaches base less than 29% of the time receiving the most AB's on the team, regardless of how often he does or doesn't strike out.
  8. adambr2
    I haven't seen it mentioned, but trading Jorge De La Rosa for Tony Graffanino was a pretty bad deal. De La Rosa hasn't turned into an ace, but when healthy he's been a solid middle of the rotation guy for the Rockies for years -- probably better than that when you consider the ballpark effects at Coors. Far too much to give up years of a cost controlled good starter for a rental of an aging platoon stop gap at 3rd.
  9. adambr2
    The trading of Carlos Lee was pretty baffling. Not that we traded him, but what we got back. A 1 1/2 year rental of a veteran closer, a short-term platoon partner for Geoff Jenkins, and a guy who is a decent journeyman corner OFer/1B. Nothing that we acquired was still on the team for our playoff push 2 years later, other than 27 AB's from Nix, and at a time when the youth movement was starting to come to fruition for us I was puzzled that we were unable, or unwilling, to seek long-term prospects for Lee instead of veterans.
  10. adambr2
    If all of the above occurs I will be cool with Melvin. I believe 5 of 6 numbers is still a cool $1 million which would really come in handy for me these days.
  11. adambr2
    I think you are really stretching things there. You don't think perhaps that one extra player in 2011 would have put us over the top? We were awfully close as it was and if we had an extra bullpen arm or an OF other than Kotsay it could have made the difference? I would like to think if DM was dealing with the Giants payroll he would have found a way to improve that team in a couple areas. Granted extra money in the budget doesn't mean you always make wise decisions but at least you have some more flexibility and you can take more chances. We did have an extra OF other than Kotsay in the NLCS. Two of them, actually. Roenicke just had them both on the bench while the rangeless Mark Kotsay let a ball drop in front of him in CF and led to a 4 run inning.
  12. adambr2
    Solid talent? Macha's 2009 rotation featured Gallardo, Suppan, Dave Bush, Braden Looper, and Manny Parra. RR has been fortunate to receive some pretty solid pitching staffs. He'd never sniff 80 wins with that one. They had Braun and Fielder, but overall the lineup was no more talented than what we have now.
  13. adambr2
    I am Brewers 2015 manager? Sorry, I'm that guy.
  14. adambr2
    I kind of feel like this is a silly question, and I'm guessing the answer would be no, but I'm just throwing it out there. I notice the $14M option would be about the same as a qualifying offer, if I'm correct. Could the Brewers decline to exercise their portion of the option but then make a qualifying offer at about the same price to put themselves in line for draft compensation if Ramirez should choose to decline?
  15. adambr2
    Our hiring trend for managers is generally to hire the exact opposite of the previous one. So they're probably already making the Gibson jerseys.
  16. adambr2
    I'm sure the CBA probably covers this. Neither the Brewers, nor Ryan Braun, can just agree to reduce his salary by an arbitrary 20% as an agreement to avoid a breach of contract lawsuit. It would set a huge precedent that the MLBPA would be all over.
  17. adambr2
    I don't want to speak for others, but I don't think many would call it a "good" contract. Acceptable contract may be the right word. I plan to dig into the numbers soon, but it seems like .850 OPS is the new 1.00 OPS. And 20 HRs is the new 30 HRs. Just seems like HR, BA, lots of offensive numbers are way down from where they were a few years ago. Anyhow, as I said ina previous post on this thread, I think it's worth exploring restructuring Braun's contract to make it more team friendly. If that was an option, it would have definitely been one we explored with Jeff Suppan. With the exception of some performance based escalators, MLB contracts are 100% guaranteed. There isn't a penny of the $105M that we can get out of, and deferring it more to the future probably isn't an option as that's already been done.
  18. adambr2
    This is exactly how we have operated the last few years. We put together a .500 team and hope we avoid injuries and bad seasons, a player or two breakout, etc. It's a bad approach since luck tends balance out over 162 games. That's the sad thing, the breaks didn't even out this year. We got almost every break this year(scoring 3 runs on wild pitches, 2 runs on a strikeout, etc) and we still didn't make the playoffs. If you aren't going to do it this year, it's never going to happen. Not only that, but our biggest rivals suffered big injuries to major players, and we still couldn't take advantage. Between the first half struggles of the Pirates, and the big injuries to the Cardinals, the division was handed to us on a silver platter this year. We just refused to take it.
  19. adambr2
    +Infinity If I want to go watch the AA team, I'll move to Alabama. You can't just keep flipping prospects over and over and over and over and over and over and expect that voila, one day they'll all just pan out with talent to last for 10 years. I'm fine with the way the Brewers have done business over the past 10 years with the fiscal resources that they have had. I also don't believe that I as a fan, even if I were a season ticket holder, am owed a championship. I'm not owed anything for my loyalty as a fan. You also can't continue to use prospects as trade bait over and over again as we did often from 2007 on without ending up in a situation where you lose most of your top guys to either father time or free agency and end up with a team of aging high priced vets and a barren farm system. While I agree with you that we certainly aren't "owed" a championship, I do believe loyalty is a 2 way street. I'm not going to spend hundreds of dollars on gas, parking, tickets, concessions, and souvenirs without a competitive product on the field. Call it bandwagoning if you will but that's an expensive day and loyalty to my family comes before loyalty to the team. There are plenty of other cheaper things we can do to get away for a day.
  20. adambr2
    Lucroy, Gomez, Peralta, Fiers, Gennett, Davis. Will Smith I suppose. Sad to say, that is probably all I would protect at the major league level.
  21. adambr2
    Agreed. I don't think we're necessarily a sad franchise, but we're essentially in baseball purgatory. We put a good enough team out there to sell some tickets and sometimes make things interesting for awhile. Nothing more, nothing less. Every year, we find more cracks in the wall. Instead of tearing down the wall and building up a new one, we go out, buy some spackle, and plug the holes with it, only to find more holes the next year. At the end of the day I'm not sure that's a better position than a sad franchise that may not have any hope for the present but can tear down the wall and at least start somewhere.
  22. adambr2
    If you told me we would be here 10 years ago with all the promising talent we had I would be very disappointed to put it mildly. Expecting more than an NLCS appearance following the 2005 season after going 20 years without a playoff appearance just seems baffling to me. I guess it just makes my point that nobody is going to be happy ever. This is like saying that the Packers shouldn't have expected more than 1 NFC Championship Game appearance in the 90's after going through 20 years of losing football prior to that. The goal is to win a championship, not to appear in and lose a NLCS or ALCS once every few decades. I can identify with this. If you go back to 2007, when Braun was ROTY, Prince was coming into his own, Hardy looked like an MVP candidate, and Hall, Weeks, Hart, etc. looked like rising stars. The rotation featured Sheets in his prime at a time when Gallardo was starting to break into the league. The future looked extremely bright and it looked like everything was coming to fruition. I remember Bill and Brian sometime in 2007 or 2008 making the argument that the Brewers had overall the most talented 25 man roster in baseball. I think if you would have asked most fans at that time if they would be disappointed to learn that in 10 years they would be a franchise on the decline and would have made the playoffs twice and made an NLCS once without a World Series appearance, most would have been very disappointed.
  23. adambr2
    Since August 22nd, we have played 30 games. We have been shutout twice. We have been held to one run 7 times. We have been held to 2 runs 8 times. We have scored more than 4 runs three times (once in a loss.)
  24. adambr2
    This doesn't surprise me. Brenneman has always seemed to have something against the Crew. It seems like most of the rest of the divisional broadcast teams take plenty of open shots at Milwaukee without even needing an excuse. If anything the Cubs broadcasters might be the least objectionable of them all. We're pretty lucky to have BA and Rock. Even when they're saying something negative, they're not boneheads about it. I agree with 90% of this, but doesn't it seem like Rock has gotten really vocal about complaining about the strike zone this season? Of course, a lot of the time he's right.
  25. adambr2
    We won't find out much more this year, since RR has inexplicably relegated him back to the bench throughout this cold offensive stretch and handed the reins back to Overbay.
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