Nationals (Irvin) vs Brewers (Rea): 7/14/24, 1:10pm

[rickh150]

Huge DP. For our sanity.

 

[82brewcrew82]

gorgeous double play.

[Sixtolezcano]

Time to DFA Milner pleeease.

[edfunderburk]

5 minutes ago, LaprilOne said:

Hoby ro ro

He’s due a change of scenery with other pitchers getting healthy

[rickh150]

Just now, edfunderburk said:

He’s due a change of scenery with other pitchers getting healthy

Has an option left… will likely be used.

[wiguy94]

1 minute ago, rickh150 said:

Has an option left… will likely be used.

Nah he just recently passed 5 years service time. He'd have to accept an option.

[wiguy94]

Seriously Milner is probably the unluckiest pitcher in the MLB these last 6 weeks. BABIP north of .450 against him despite hitters having below league average Avg. EV and hard hit %. 

 

Today these 4 batted balls cost him a run.

102.9 EV, -2 LA
72.3 EV, -59 LA
93.3 EV, -8 LA
89.4 EV, 28 LA

I feel like if you put those 4 batted balls into a simulation that you'd have a run scored less than 5% of the time.

[Sixtolezcano]

2 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

Nah he just recently passed 5 years service time. He'd have to accept an option.

DFA, DFA, DFA……

[duewizard]

1 hour ago, jason21nl said:

And instantly give up a run.  I need the Star break as much as these guys do.  Im so sick of their play 

Rea went 5.2 2ER. Literally what else do you want? A shutout every game?

[Jopal78]

11 minutes ago, LaprilOne said:

Hoby ro ro

Clock struck 12 midnight on Milner. He’s is back to being the guy he was before the Brewers got him. Not much use for a guy who’s a soft tosser who plays in traffic, even if he’s a lefty

[jason21nl]

Adames is so maddening.  Hell of a game from him today 

[edfunderburk]

Cards lose to Cubs

[jason21nl]

1 minute ago, duewizard said:

Rea went 5.2 2ER. Literally what else do you want? A shutout every game?

I’d like them not to give up runs immediately after getting runs.  Which they seem to have done a lot lately.  He ended up pitching great.  Happy for that

[LouisEly]

1 minute ago, jason21nl said:

I’d like them not to give up runs immediately after getting runs.  Which they seem to have done a lot lately.  He ended up pitching great.  Happy for that

Does it really make a difference whether it happens the next half inning or 3 innings later?

[edfunderburk]

3 minutes ago, Jopal78 said:

Clock struck 12 midnight on Milner. He’s is back to being the guy he was before the Brewers got him. Not much use for a guy who’s a soft tosser who plays in traffic, even if he’s a lefty

Hall should be healthy after the break to take his roster spot

[RightFieldCoder]

Just now, jason21nl said:

I’d like them not to give up runs immediately after getting runs. 

Yeah, the Nats have given up runs twice after they scored runs. It's a problem.

Both teams have done it. It doesn't seem to matter when the runs are given back, as long as you allow less runs than you score by the end of nine innings.

[wiguy94]

Personally think DFA'ing Milner would be a silly decision when he's not even pitching bad. All of his peripherals are still really good. Through today there are 178 RP with 30+ IP, here are Milner's ranks.

120 ERA- (156th)

87 FIP- (82nd)

80 xFIP- (30th)

3.21 SIERA (55th)

3.18 xERA (58th)

50.8% GB-rate (38th)

.314 BABIP (132nd)

So the only stats that he's below average in are ERA- and BABIP. All of his peripherals are really strong. Maybe they shop him at the deadline with a bit of a bullpen logjam, but just throwing him away for nothing because he's had horrible BABIP luck would be pretty silly.

[jason21nl]

5 minutes ago, LouisEly said:

Does it really make a difference whether it happens the next half inning or 3 innings later?

Yes.  Shut down innings matter 

[duewizard]

6 minutes ago, edfunderburk said:

Hall should be healthy after the break to take his roster spot

It will likely be Kuhnel's spot that Hall takes. Once Ross comes back though... Payamps and Milner have 2 weeks to get it together

[Sixtolezcano]

1 minute ago, duewizard said:

It will likely be Kuhnel's spot that Hall takes. Once Ross comes back though... Payamps and Milner have 2 weeks to get it together

What do ya want, Payamps struck out the side in the 9th.

[Nola Beery]

I'm just glad we won.  

[duewizard]

8 minutes ago, Sixtolezcano said:

What do ya want, Payamps struck out the side in the 9th.

Yes he did! Hopefully he gets it going. I loved him last year but he has seriously struggled this season. I would hate to see him go but its the reality of baseball

[LouisEly]

9 minutes ago, duewizard said:

Once Ross comes back though... Payamps and Milner have 2 weeks to get it together

This is a legitimate question.  Who else do you remove?

Starters: Peralta, Rea, Civale, Myers

Relievers: Megill, Hudson, Payamps, Peguero, Milner, Junis, Wilson

Assuming Kuhnel and Zastryzny are the first to go when Devin Williams and one of Hall/Ross comes back, who is the third to go when the other of Hall/Ross comes back?

[willie key]

Yay

[wiguy94]

1 minute ago, LouisEly said:

This is a legitimate question.  Who else do you remove?

Starters: Peralta, Rea, Civale, Myers

Relievers: Megill, Hudson, Payamps, Peguero, Milner, Junis, Wilson

Assuming Kuhnel and Zastryzny are the first to go when Devin Williams and one of Hall/Ross comes back, who is the third to go when the other of Hall/Ross comes back?

Also need to clear a spot for Koenig. I'm a big Milner guy, but I'd definitely see if you could trade him for anything. Zastryzny hasn't had a ton of MLB success, but I'd try and keep him. He's totally changed up his pitch mix this year and he was dominant in AAA and has been good in his limited sample in the MLB with strong peripherals. 

So for me DFA Kuhnel, trade Milner, DFA Payamps or option Peguero depending on who is pitching better. Although let's be real there will probably be an injury so things work out easier. I'm really not sold on DL Hall coming back and impacting the MLB roster this season. He has not been good during his AAA rehab assignment.