Trevor Megill trade value

[liveforoctober]

I'm not necessarily wanting to deal him obviously.. but I'm just pondering. Couple questions for you all who follow values closer than myself...

What will his arbitration number look like after a full season as the closer?

What would he bring back in terms of value at the trade deadline?

Do we trust Ashby, Mis(?!), and Uribe to finish games if we were to deal him?

[wallus]

Baseball Trade Values has Megill listed at 11.7. If that is true, you could get a good player. 

I think after trading Hader at the deadline a couple of seasons ago, I don't know if they do it if we are still in contention. 

[BrewLongma34]

Yah, but Megill isn’t Hader.  Knowing that we have Uribe and others.  If you can get a 3B of value or even a lottery ticket SS…I’d do it in a heart beat.  

[brewmann04]

If offered a hitter do it 

[jay87shot]

I would be OK with trading MeGill if the value is right. Last year the Padres gave up a top 100 prospect and 2 other solid prospects for Jason Adam, I would probably say that is about right as an overpay for Megill. It would be great if we could make that a SS or 3B return.

With Uribe, Ashby, Yoho, and others (Mears, Koenig) we can survive losing Megill. If the price isn't right I would trade home before Freddy or one of the top 6-7 prospects.

 

[Jopal78]

15 hours ago, jay87shot said:

I would be OK with trading MeGill if the value is right. Last year the Padres gave up a top 100 prospect and 2 other solid prospects for Jason Adam, I would probably say that is about right as an overpay for Megill. It would be great if we could make that a SS or 3B return.

With Uribe, Ashby, Yoho, and others (Mears, Koenig) we can survive losing Megill. If the price isn't right I would trade home before Freddy or one of the top 6-7 prospects.

 

Why would they trade Megill? Just to do it? He’s is not eligible for free agency until 2028. Thus, the Brewers would expect significant talent in a trade involving a long term piece from their major league roster.
 

At the same time, Megill’s command has been  really spotty in 2025 (I don’t think there is another “closer” in the majors with a KK:BB ratio of less than 2:1), which would likely diminish other team’s interest in trading significant talent to get him now.

And Yoho? You saw his repertoire the first time around which he couldn’t land for strikes and didn’t fool major league hitters? The Brewers acquired and called up Zastryzny and Easton McGee when they had bullpen needs after demoting Yoho. I think that’s as solid of a message of where he stands in 2025. 
 

 

[liveforoctober]

3 hours ago, Jopal78 said:

Why would they trade Megill? Just to do it? He’s is not eligible for free agency until 2028. Thus, the Brewers would expect significant talent in a trade involving a long term piece from their major league roster.
 

At the same time, Megill’s command has been  really spotty in 2025 (I don’t think there is another “closer” in the majors with a KK:BB ratio of less than 2:1), which would likely diminish other team’s interest in trading significant talent to get him now.

And Yoho? You saw his repertoire the first time around which he couldn’t land for strikes and didn’t fool major league hitters? The Brewers acquired and called up Zastryzny and Easton McGee when they had bullpen needs after demoting Yoho. I think that’s as solid of a message of where he stands in 2025. 
 

 

I don't think you do unless you get a great offer, but with the fickle nature of relievers and Megill's unconventional ascension into the closer's role, the Brewers were able to "create" a reliever with closer value out of thin air with him and as we watched with Payamps this year ... he could lose all of his value in 6 weeks time if things go south. 

Always a guessing game, as he could be a great reliever for a million more years ... but in my very uneducated opinion he feels like a guy who is at peak value right now ... and if the Brewers can get a top 100 guy for him ... gosh I'd have a hard time saying no.

[jay87shot]

8 hours ago, Jopal78 said:

Why would they trade Megill? Just to do it? He’s is not eligible for free agency until 2028. Thus, the Brewers would expect significant talent in a trade involving a long term piece from their major league roster.
 

At the same time, Megill’s command has been  really spotty in 2025 (I don’t think there is another “closer” in the majors with a KK:BB ratio of less than 2:1), which would likely diminish other team’s interest in trading significant talent to get him now.

And Yoho? You saw his repertoire the first time around which he couldn’t land for strikes and didn’t fool major league hitters? The Brewers acquired and called up Zastryzny and Easton McGee when they had bullpen needs after demoting Yoho. I think that’s as solid of a message of where he stands in 2025. 
 

 

Because it might be the best way to get a SS/3B or maybe some would feel like he is at peek value and will never be better. He has been good and again I wouldn't give him away but for an overpay it should be considered. A reliever, especially a closer is always like 3 bad outings away from imploding there trade value. 

I still love Yoho, I am not saying he is a take over the closer role tomorrow guy but he has an ERA under 1 in AAA. The stuff movement is top notch, I think if Megill did get traded he would come up and could be a guy later in the year to take big innings be it the 7th or 8th and be in the conversation to close next year.

As for Rob Z and McGee, that is always how our team operates trying to add arms for free-ish (Rob Z.) or steal a couple innings for an option to reduce the overworked pen (McGee).

[TURBO]

1 hour ago, jay87shot said:

Because it might be the best way to get a SS/3B or maybe some would feel like he is at peek value and will never be better. He has been good and again I wouldn't give him away but for an overpay it should be considered. A reliever, especially a closer is always like 3 bad outings away from imploding there trade value. 

I still love Yoho, I am not saying he is a take over the closer role tomorrow guy but he has an ERA under 1 in AAA. The stuff movement is top notch, I think if Megill did get traded he would come up and could be a guy later in the year to take big innings be it the 7th or 8th and be in the conversation to close next year.

As for Rob Z and McGee, that is always how our team operates trying to add arms for free-ish (Rob Z.) or steal a couple innings for an option to reduce the overworked pen (McGee).

If Megill leaves, I think Uribe is our closer for the next couple of years, not Yoho.

[Jopal78]

12 hours ago, jay87shot said:

Because it might be the best way to get a SS/3B or maybe some would feel like he is at peek value and will never be better. He has been good and again I wouldn't give him away but for an overpay it should be considered. A reliever, especially a closer is always like 3 bad outings away from imploding there trade value. 

I still love Yoho, I am not saying he is a take over the closer role tomorrow guy but he has an ERA under 1 in AAA. The stuff movement is top notch, I think if Megill did get traded he would come up and could be a guy later in the year to take big innings be it the 7th or 8th and be in the conversation to close next year.

As for Rob Z and McGee, that is always how our team operates trying to add arms for free-ish (Rob Z.) or steal a couple innings for an option to reduce the overworked pen (McGee).

I understand your thought process. The real question is what team is going to give up a premium piece for Megill? He is the “closer” in Milwaukee but the relief ace on their staff is Uribe. Besides strikeouts, by any other metric you want to use Megill is the Brewers’ 3rd or 4th best reliever. He might be at “peak value” but it does not mean there would be intense demand to acquire him via trade.  
 

Yoho might get another chance this year depending on the circumstances but he’s giving off Ethan Small vibes right now (nothing left to prove in AAA yet incapable of getting MLB hitters out consistently), it’s a big assumption to assume he would come up and continue where  he left off in AAA.
 

 

 

[MattK]

Regarding Yoho.  It seemed his issue in the majors was getting behind in the count as his stuff is more stuff to chase than throw in-zone, and the major league hitters were not as susceptible to that as AAA.  My personal thought is they are waiting/working with him to throw more in-zone strikes in AAA before they retry him in the majors. 
And it isn't like they don't have a bunch of other pitchers who have already also pitched in the majors working in AAA to need to race Yoho back up.  Peguero has been great in Nashville, where it seems he is throwing more strikes (sorta the same issue as Yoho with the big movement of his stuff).  Plus he AND Payamps AND Hudson have already had success in the majors and tweaking some in AAA may get them back to that level, whereas Yoho has not had that success already in the majors to fall back on if he struggles on a 2nd visit.

[jay87shot]

Yoho has had 1 bad outing, that is in no way is that a definitive on what he is going to be. He will need to adjust to the bigs as better hitters learn to lay off of pitches better. I think his command has been good enough that he just needs to learn what counts and what type of hitters he needs to throw more strikes to early and who will chase his elite movement. We saw that a lot with Devin that that guys who could lay off the changeup gave him issues.

[Playing Catch]

I would set Megill's trade value as whatever the Brewers gave up for Mears last season (Yujanyer Herrera and Bradley Blalock). It's possible there are other considerations other than MLB service time, but Mears and Megill are pretty similar in that regard.

 

[endaround]

1 hour ago, Playing Catch said:

I would set Megill's trade value as whatever the Brewers gave up for Mears last season (Yujanyer Herrera and Bradley Blalock). It's possible there are other considerations other than MLB service time, but Mears and Megill are pretty similar in that regard.

 

Mears had one more year before FA and was 27 versus a 31 year old Megill. 

[wiguy94]

13 minutes ago, endaround said:

Mears had one more year before FA and was 27 versus a 31 year old Megill. 

Mears also had zero track record of success in MLB. It was all stuff/underlying metrics that made Mears valuable while Megill has multiple seasons of success.