Jarren Duran

[landoc88]

Brewers need to be targeting him to be the everyday center fielder in Milwaukee. I like Garrett Mitchell but he can't stay healthy and Blake Perkins isn't a every day starter. Jarren fixes the outfield and also brings blazing speed. Just imagine an outfield of Jackson Chourio, Jarren Duran, and Sal Frelick 

 

Another reason to trade for Jarren is hes under club control through 2028 and only making 3.5 million next year. 

[Scooterfletcher]

It would seem a Duran for Peralta headlined deal is screaming to be had almost as loudly as a Burnes to the Orioles fit two years ago.  

[jay87shot]

It will be interesting to see how the pitcher market shakes out. There are quite a few free agent options and potential trade options. I would think there would need to be a bidding war on Freddy for the price to get where we would move him. 

Duran would be a perfect LF for our team. I wonder if there would be a deal for Duran that would not include Freddy. 

[SF70]

14 hours ago, Scooterfletcher said:

It would seem a Duran for Peralta headlined deal is screaming to be had almost as loudly as a Burnes to the Orioles fit two years ago.  

Not seeing the Brewers give up what it would take to acquire Duran (a lot) especially with his $7.7M arby salary for this year. ~$12M next year and 18-$20M in his final year likely making him a 1 or 2 year player for this team. 
 

 

[TURBO]

Duran has already been discussed in another thread.

He just had a down year, so maybe he's a possibility since Boston is going to have a crowded OF with many options.  Duran could be the odd man out if they can get a decent trade package for him.

[jay87shot]

25 minutes ago, TURBO said:

Duran has already been discussed in another thread.

He just had a down year, so maybe he's a possibility since Boston is going to have a crowded OF with many options.  Duran could be the odd man out if they can get a decent trade package for him.

Duran had a 4.7 WAR, it was down from his monster 2024 (8.7 WAR) but I wouldnt called it a down year. I agree Duran could be the odd man out or at least the best piece they have to add pitching or MI help. 

[TURBO]

1 hour ago, jay87shot said:

Duran had a 4.7 WAR, it was down from his monster 2024 (8.7 WAR) but I wouldnt called it a down year. I agree Duran could be the odd man out or at least the best piece they have to add pitching or MI help. 

Duran played primarily in LF in 2025.

Duran's numbers weren't that great this past season.  In fact, his stat line was down in almost every category.

Worse in hits, homers, doubles, runs, stolen bases, OBP, OPS, and slugging.  Batting average took a major hit down to .256 from .285 the year before.  Also, he struck out more with fewer at bats than 2024.  2025 he struck out 27%, 2024 he struck out 23%.  

Be nice to get a guy in the OF that has 30 HR potential, and I don't think Duran is that guy hitting only 16 in 2025.

[Madhawk23]

I threw out a potential trade proposal for Duran in the Freddy Peralta thread.  Here's the link:

https://brewerfanatic.com/forums/topic/46268-what-could-freddy-peralta-fetch-in-a-trade/?&_rid=3996#findComment-1713856

[wiguy94]

Duran isn't really a CF. More of a corner OF. Don't really see the fit for the Brewers there. His offensive profile is aided by playing half his games at Fenway. Loves shooting flyballs the opposite way for XBH off the Green Monster. Plus he's going to get really expensive in Arb 4 in 2027. 

[TURBO]

USA Today’s Bob Nightengale reports that “it would be a huge surprise” if Jarren Duran is with the Red Sox “come spring training.”

 

The Red Sox have a full outfield with Roman Anthony, Ceddanne Rafaela, and Wilyer Abreu. They also have Jhostynxon García and Kristian Campbell at Triple-A, so the 29-year-old Duran certainly seems like the odd man out. Nightengale reports that “the Red Sox believe that they need an upgrade over Duran, and that he needs a fresh start.” His name seems likely to come up in rumors all offseason as the Red Sox look to acquire an impact starting pitcher.

 

Source: USA Today

[KCBrewerfan34]

Wouldn’t this guy be a good add? Bat him up top so Chourio and Yeli can bat 3rd and 4th?? 

[wibadgers23]

Freddy for Duran makes way too much sense which means it probably won't happen.

[Madhawk23]

I threw this out earlier this offseason, but curious as to who would say no to this trade:

Brewers get Duran and Connelly Early

Red Sox get Freddy and Megill

wouldn't this deal make a ton of sense for both sides? Do Sox say no due to Freddy’s lack of team control? They would have a full year though to try to extend him if they wished.

[wiguy94]

29 minutes ago, Madhawk23 said:

I threw this out earlier this offseason, but curious as to who would say no to this trade:

Brewers get Duran and Connelly Early

Red Sox get Freddy and Megill

wouldn't this deal make a ton of sense for both sides? Do Sox say no due to Freddy’s lack of team control? They would have a full year though to try to extend him if they wished.

I think Boston pretty easily says no to this. They would be getting 1 year of Freddy and 2 years of Megill for 3 years of Duran and 6 years of Early a borderline Top 100 prospect.

[Madhawk23]

13 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

I think Boston pretty easily says no to this. They would be getting 1 year of Freddy and 2 years of Megill for 3 years of Duran and 6 years of Early a borderline Top 100 prospect.

Yeah, I’m guessing you’re probably right.

[TURBO]

36 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

I think Boston pretty easily says no to this. They would be getting 1 year of Freddy and 2 years of Megill for 3 years of Duran and 6 years of Early a borderline Top 100 prospect.

Well, I think you are right, but it depends on how badly they think they need a frontline starter and a bonafied closer (but didn't they just sign Chapman to be their closer) to add to their squad.  My guess is, if they agreed to something like this, it would also include a top 30 prospect from us to round it out...

[wiguy94]

22 minutes ago, TURBO said:

Well, I think you are right, but it depends on how badly they think they need a frontline starter and a bonafied closer (but didn't they just sign Chapman to be their closer) to add to their squad.  My guess is, if they agreed to something like this, it would also include a top 30 prospect from us to round it out...

They have Crochet and Chapman both of whom are much better than Freddy and Megill.

[Jopal78]

11 hours ago, Madhawk23 said:

I threw this out earlier this offseason, but curious as to who would say no to this trade:

Brewers get Duran and Connelly Early

Red Sox get Freddy and Megill

wouldn't this deal make a ton of sense for both sides? Do Sox say no due to Freddy’s lack of team control? They would have a full year though to try to extend him if they wished.

Neither team would do that trade.

Duran had a bWAR of 4.7. Peralta had a bWAR of 5.5 in 2025. 
 

Under this scenario, Boston isn’t going to trade 3 future seasons of Duran plus a top pitching prospect for 32 starts from Peralta and Trevor Megill.
 

They wouldn’t  do it straight up Peralta for Duran and most likely wouldn’t agree to Peralta AND Megill for JUST Duran. 

 

For the Brewers, Peralta is their best trade chip this offseason, they’re not likely going to cash it in for an already well paid OFer because , it doesn’t move the team forward subtracting from the pitching to add an OFer where they’re already 5 deep. 

 

[TURBO]

2 hours ago, Jopal78 said:

...it doesn’t move the team forward subtracting from the pitching to add an OFer where they’re already 5 deep. 

 

I'm not disagreeing for the most part with your post, but 5 deep in the OF?

In my opinion, they are 2 deep, with a bunch of filler for 3-8, and are in desperate need of another bat in their starting OF.

Yelich - can't even count him really, since he is our daily DH. 

Perkins -  can't be projected as a starter due to his bat, he's a good #4 or 5 guy, but any extended playing time just means something went wrong.

Baddoo - yuk, I hope whatever the Brewers think they see in this guy pays off.

Lockridge - Not a fan, he's fast, blah blah blah.  No way we can count on him for an extended period of time.

Bauers - below average defense, and probably more in the "sucks at defense in the OF" category.

Mitchell - injury concern..............................not really a concern, just a matter of when the injury happens.(sorry BrewerFan)

To compete in the playoffs in 2026, we are going to have to add a bat in the OF, it's really as simple as that.  We can go into 2026 thinking we can repeat 2025, but even if we do, we see how far that gets us in the playoffs.

This line-up NEEDS another dependable bat that can hit for some power.  We can't think we are going to take another step forward in 2026 with Perkins/Baddoo/etc and Joey hitting 8 and 9 in the line-up.

We can hope to see 2024 Joey, and we can hope that Mitchell stays healthy and doesn't strike out 38% of the time, but that is just a hope and a prayer. 

All opinions of course.

[jay87shot]

2 hours ago, Jopal78 said:

Neither team would do that trade.

Duran had a bWAR of 4.7. Peralta had a bWAR of 5.5 in 2025. 
 

Under this scenario, Boston isn’t going to trade 3 future seasons of Duran plus a top pitching prospect for 32 starts from Peralta and Trevor Megill.
 

They wouldn’t  do it straight up Peralta for Duran and most likely wouldn’t agree to Peralta AND Megill for JUST Duran. 

 

For the Brewers, Peralta is their best trade chip this offseason, they’re not likely going to cash it in for an already well paid OFer because , it doesn’t move the team forward subtracting from the pitching to add an OFer where they’re already 5 deep. 

 

I think Freddy and Megill for Duran is to much but agree that we would likely have to add some value to Freddy. I would put Freddy's value at a top 100 prospect and 2 mid level piceces, Duran's value is likely 2 top 100 prospects and 2 mid prospects (it is hard to find a comp. trade, more than Kyle Tucker). That would likely mean we would need to give up one bigger piece. Maybe Freddy and Megill for Duran and Hunter Dobbins, Dobbins was solid and has a good arm but value wise isn't top tier and could make sense as not a big loss to Boston but yet a controllable cheap arm for us that would provide value.

[Playing Catch]

14 minutes ago, TURBO said:

In my opinion, they are 2 deep, with a bunch of filler for 3-8, and are in desperate need of another bat in their starting OF.

I think these are two different thresholds. You are stating that they are one starter short in the OF. I happen to agree, although that will come with a cost, which is kind of a separate thing. I think they can be patient.

But in terms of bench-injury-replacement-level guys, the Brewers are "deep" with guys that can put together a professional AB, with a professional approach; they stay within themselves, and maximize their talents and advantages (e.g. minor league options).

I'd prefer they acquire another bat. But I don't think it's a big deal if they don't do it during the off-season. Left-field may be the easiest position to acquire at the trade deadline, and the Brewers will have a couple of months to decide which prospects to trade away.

[tmwiese55]

I'd like to find a way to add him without giving up Freddy.    But, just adding to the scenario discussed here and comments along the line of 1 year of Freddy for them in terms of trade value.  While of course yes that is technically true,  If Bos were to make such a trade they would be factoring in planning on signing Freddy long term so getting him now allows them to get that done easier with exclusive rights.  They kind of just did the same thing with Crochet.   Will they do it again? IDK.      Just saying that would likely be a part of the equation as to the "we're trading for Freddy for 1 year". 

[jay87shot]

1 hour ago, tmwiese55 said:

I'd like to find a way to add him without giving up Freddy.    But, just adding to the scenario discussed here and comments along the line of 1 year of Freddy for them in terms of trade value.  While of course yes that is technically true,  If Bos were to make such a trade they would be factoring in planning on signing Freddy long term so getting him now allows them to get that done easier with exclusive rights.  They kind of just did the same thing with Crochet.   Will they do it again? IDK.      Just saying that would likely be a part of the equation as to the "we're trading for Freddy for 1 year". 

That would be nice but I doubt Boston trades Duran without getting something of high end value. There are probably 3-4 other teams with a bunch of top end starters who would trade them for Duran. I would think the Royals and Bubic, Marlins with Alcantara/Cabrera, Pirates with Keller or higher end prospects, Mariners (a bunch of options), and other would trade mlb top of the rotation arms for Duran making Freddy the really only likely path to him. I doubt Henderson, Pratt, and maybe a bit more would work for either side.

[Jopal78]

2 hours ago, jay87shot said:

I think Freddy and Megill for Duran is to much but agree that we would likely have to add some value to Freddy. I would put Freddy's value at a top 100 prospect and 2 mid level piceces, Duran's value is likely 2 top 100 prospects and 2 mid prospects (it is hard to find a comp. trade, more than Kyle Tucker). That would likely mean we would need to give up one bigger piece. Maybe Freddy and Megill for Duran and Hunter Dobbins, Dobbins was solid and has a good arm but value wise isn't top tier and could make sense as not a big loss to Boston but yet a controllable cheap arm for us that would provide value.

Look at it conceptually: Duran coming off of a down here with a 4.7 war. Say he simply matches that for the next three years that would be 14.1 war. 
 

Peralta coming off his best season is a 5.5 war pitcher. He took a team friendly extension once in the past,  so I would put the odds at him declaring free agency after 2026 as near 100%,  no matter what team he is on. 
 

Megill has been a 1.5 war pitcher and has two seasons of control left.

14.1 > 5.5 + 3.

That’s why these two teams don’t really lineup for those players. Boston will certainly want more than Peralta and McGill for just Duran.
 

Additionally, the Brewers are not likely interested in dipping into their minor-league talent to acquire a corner outfield bat, where they’re already have everyday starters at those positions plus a litany of bench players  for those spots on their 40 man roster

[Lloyd330]

Freddy/Mitchell/Megill for Duran/Marcus Phillips/Yophery Rodriguez ( yes, the one we traded)