Giants (McDonald) vs Brewers (Harrison): 6/2/26, 6:40pm

[Brock Beauchamp]

Kyle Harrison is on the bump again, let's notch another easy win!

	THU	FRI	SAT	SUN	MON	TOT
Trevor Megill	0	11	0	13	0	24
Shane Drohan	0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Woodford	0	0	9	0	12	21
Grant Anderson	0	13	0	0	8	21
DL Hall	0	36	0	0	40	76
Chad Patrick	0	0	0	0	15	15
Abner Uribe	0	19	0	12	0	31
Aaron Ashby	0	15	0	0	0	15

[MilwaukeeBeers]

Kyle Harrison revenge game 

[formerlybis]

28 minutes ago, Brock Beauchamp said:

Kyle Harrison is on the bump again, let's notch another easy win!

	THU	FRI	SAT	SUN	MON	TOT
Trevor Megill	0	11	0	13	0	24
Shane Drohan	0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Woodford	0	0	9	0	12	21
Grant Anderson	0	13	0	0	8	21
DL Hall	0	36	0	0	40	76
Chad Patrick	0	0	0	0	15	15
Abner Uribe	0	19	0	12	0	31
Aaron Ashby	0	15	0	0	0	15

Whatever source you're pulling this from doesn't seem to count the pitches from when one of these guys opens/starts a piggyback game (noticed this with Patrick, too, when he did this last week) - Drohan threw 68 pitches yesterday. And, is Rob Z not on the roster? I thought they called him up, but I may have misunderstood.

In this stretch of no off-days, getting 6 IP from the "real" starters when it's their turn would help out a great deal. Ashby should be ready for action to bridge to the back end (if needed) tonight.

[Brock Beauchamp]

7 minutes ago, formerlybis said:

Whatever source you're pulling this from doesn't seem to count the pitches from when one of these guys opens/starts a piggyback game (noticed this with Patrick, too, when he did this last week) - Drohan threw 68 pitches yesterday. And, is Rob Z not on the roster? I thought they called him up, but I may have misunderstood.

In this stretch of no off-days, getting 6 IP from the "real" starters when it's their turn would help out a great deal. Ashby should be ready for action to bridge to the back end (if needed) tonight.

I'm still working on automating how to deal with openers. I wrote a custom call to the MLB API to generate these bullpen charts.

[Jim French Stepstool]

Let's hope last night was the start of good things for Sal Frelick. Seven hits from the trio of Frelick, Rengifo & Hamilton. The bottom 3rd turning the order over like that consistently would be huge.

I also loved not chasing & drawing the boatload of walks. Bauers is going to be pitched carefully if he continues to produce. I thought his taking four walks last night was beautiful.

[formerlybis]

I was looking at SF's lineup and they've got healthy batting averages and a similar (slightly higher) team OPS to the Brewers, but score about a whole run fewer runs per game. I'm no @sveumrulesbut I assume that has something to do with baserunning and productive outs - SF is dead last in SBs - only attempted 21 (15 successful), whereas the Brewers are 60 for 80. 

[willie key]

30 minutes ago, Jim French Stepstool said:

Let's hope last night was the start of good things for Sal Frelick. Seven hits from the trio of Frelick, Rengifo & Hamilton. The bottom 3rd turning the order over like that consistently would be huge.

I also loved not chasing & drawing the boatload of walks. Bauers is going to be pitched carefully if he continues to produce. I thought his taking four walks last night was beautiful.

If I was the brewer GM and I saw that when the bottom of the order actually did anything productive and all of a sudden they scored 16 runs.  That might tell me to actually do something about the bottom of the order going forward 

[wiguy94]

9 minutes ago, formerlybis said:

I was looking at SF's lineup and they've got healthy batting averages and a similar (slightly higher) team OPS to the Brewers, but score about a whole run fewer runs per game. I'm no @sveumrulesbut I assume that has something to do with baserunning and productive outs - SF is dead last in SBs - only attempted 21 (15 successful), whereas the Brewers are 60 for 80. 

100 fewer PA with RISP than the Brewers and a 91 wRC+ with RISP compared to 135 for the Brewers.

[sveumrules]

Just now, formerlybis said:

I was looking at SF's lineup and they've got healthy batting averages and a similar (slightly higher) team OPS to the Brewers, but score about a whole run fewer runs per game. I'm no @sveumrulesbut I assume that has something to do with baserunning and productive outs - SF is dead last in SBs - only attempted 21 (15 successful), whereas the Brewers are 60 for 80. 

Overall production is pretty similar with the Brewers at an even 100 wRC+ for the season while the Giants are a couple points back at a 98 wRC+.

I'd say the Giants lower run scoring is probably a convergence of a few different factors working in conjunction...

Shape of Production: while their wRC+ marks are pretty close, how the two teams have gotten there is quite different. The Brewers have an OBP heavy 334/366 line, while the Giants are SLG heavy at 300/403 with a 5.9 BB% that is historically bad.

Runners in Scoring Position: with their high OBP / low SLG approach the Brewers have gotten 100 more PA with RISP (652 to 552), and have hit much better in those opportunities (135 to 91 wRC+), resulting in an extra 62 RBI (228 to 166).

The base running you noted plays into it as well. FanGraphs has the Giants at -4.8 BsR (worst in MLB) and while the Brewers haven't been running quite as hair on fire as recent years they are still on the right side of the ledger at +1.1 BsR (12th).

Base Runs is a tool that estimates how many runs team would score with neutral sequencing. Based on the sum total of their offensive outcomes Base Runs thinks the Giants should have scored 4.27 R/G and the Brewers should have scored 4.51 R/G so far. Not too far off.

But the Brewers have been so good (& the Giants so bad) with RISP that their actual runs per game end up at 4.98 (+0.47 R/G) for the Brewers and 3.90 (-0.37 R/G) for the Giants.