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endaround

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Everything posted by endaround

  1. endaround
    1. Bauer was not what people are thinking the last time he was in MLB: 4.03 FIP So not a TOR guy 3 years ago, more like a #3 2. The last time he was really good was 2018 3. He projects even worse for 2024 4. MLB knows a lot more about him and potential problems than we do and no one will touch him
  2. endaround
    The deal is fair, and if the Brewers were a 75 win team it would make perfect sense to do it. But taking 4.5 wins from a 85-88 win team for guys who may not make it to their second arbitration year doesn't make much sense.
  3. endaround
    Turang has a wRC+ projection of 80 and Ortiz of 85. They are basically the same player.
  4. endaround
    That works out to a wRC+ 121 in AAA with a BABIP of .373. So not sustainable. He projects about an wRC+85 so basically a second division starter or utility infielder.
  5. endaround
    When you can tank your season for a utility infielder and a relief pitcher, well how can you say no?
  6. endaround
    You can't get a bigger impact for $15.6 million than Burnes was to give you.
  7. endaround
    McCarthy was very good when he first came to Green Bay. He then just stopped changing anything.
  8. endaround
    It's Shanahan. If it was 7 points, Shanahan might feel he needs to go for it on 4th down. 6? That's 2 field goals so kick away!
  9. endaround
    I doubt that the NFL cares. Hack sports talk guys want that because it makes easy copy
  10. endaround
    They are overall about the same but how they get there is really different when looking at DVOA. The Packers overall DVOA is -1.8% ranking 17th while the Bears are at -4.6% ranking 20th. The Packers have the number 9 offense with the number 28th defense and 27th special teams. The Bears have the 21st offense, 14th defense and 21st special teams. https://www.ftnfantasy.com/nfl/tools/team-total-dvoa This is the whole season so it maybe underselling the current state of the Packer offense and the Bears defense with Sweat.
  11. endaround
    Except it wasn't off coverage. Walker not covering receivers in his zone isn't shell coverage. Nixon being constantly burned man to man isn't shell coverage. Campbell not getting out on his receiver on 3rd and short in man then falling and allowing a 50 yd touchdown isn't shell coverage. The things is, at points in the game the defensive line just swamped Tampa with 4 rushers. The personnel just can't cover. Barry is a lightening rod, and likely should be replaced but the safety and line backer play just isn't good. That isn't a scheme thing.
  12. endaround
    Basically, but inflation is baked into the interest rate. Keep in mind the Dodgers, even if they need to escrow the money for legal/contract purposes likely can get better interest rates than the market rate. So while the CBA will value it at $46m per year or so, the Dodgers don't necessarily need to invest quite that much.
  13. endaround
    There tends to be reciprocity agreements with states but athletes get treated terribly and so often are exempt from that. Again that is less a burden for top leagues though still annoying but impacts minor league baseball players. No reason minor league players can't get unemployment benefits.
  14. endaround
    They saw that Vikings-Raiders game and said we can do better!
  15. endaround
    Frelick's iso makes him fairly risky. Very few players provide positive value while maintaining an iso near .100. Moving Frelick to a corner to make room for Chourio makes this an even bigger issue as Frelick's defense won't be covering for his bat as much. The Brewers have 4 players who best fit in CF. The group needs to be thinned somehow.
  16. endaround
    I guess I am the only one who is pretty "ehhhh" on this. The Brewers already had Chourio for basically 7 years already. A typical salary payout for that if Chourio is good but not MVP level the Brewers likely would be something like 1,1,1,6,12,16,20 for a total of $57-60 million over 7 years. So they added one more year at $20 million plus options at maybe $30m per year? The Brewers really only protected themselves from Chourio becoming Soto, Franco or Acuna all of whom already where much better by age 19. Not saying that Chourio can't become a 7 win player, but its a leap. And much of the value of the 8th year gets wasted by rushing Chourio to MLB this season after a fine but hardly rush to the majors campaign in AA.
  17. endaround
    Well when you have the next potential Victor Robles or Eloy Jimenez you do want to make sure you have him for ten years.
  18. endaround
    Because giving up value for free makes little sense? Bauers is 28 and likely would have been available for for a NRI at 40 man salary.
  19. endaround
    So the Brewers traded players for the opportunity to pay Bauers $2m to be below replacement level? Good thing that money wasn't wasted on brining Counsell back.
  20. endaround
    The Brewers have Owen Miller at home
  21. endaround
    How can the Bears not clean house? Not one but two coaches fired for behavioral reasons? How can you have any trust in coaching staff?
  22. endaround
    Gute already throwing Love under the bus so we have the scape goat lined up.
  23. endaround
    I think the Diamondbacks show the Brewers with Burnes could make the World Series next year. The Vikings need a talent influx to be a Super Bowl team. Not at all the same.
  24. endaround
    Already spent on Gary.
  25. endaround
    Like the poor Watson throw, I wouldn't be surprised there were also open cut ins 12-13 yds deep
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