sveumrules

One year actually. Projected for $16M in Arby's then hitting free agency. If he hits around his projections this year (148 wRC+ | 5.5 WAR) he'll be entering free agency at age 29 with a wRC+ north of 140 for his career and something like 26-27 WAR. Should be the next $300M man.

There definitely is. Jack Flaherty, Ian Happ and Lucas Giolito all allegedly were pushing for Harry Marino (who helped minor leaguers into the union) to replace Bruce Meyer (who led talks for the 2022 CBA). Some even characterized it as an "attempted coup" or "mutiny attempt". All three were replaced as player reps on the 2024 MLBPA subcommittee. Apparently Tony Clark's contract runs through 2027.

Yup. MLBPA believes the market system gets their players the most money.

Yeah, Ortiz should pass Burnes in on-field value provided sometime this year with team control running through 2029… Ortiz 2024 2.7 bWAR | 3.1 fWAR Burnes 2024 3.4 bWAR | 3.7 fWAR | 4.4 rWAR Anything Hall turns in is essentially gravy at this point

Was curious how Soto's production compared with some of his predecessors leading up to their respective MegaDeals, so here they are in reverse chronological order. Age in parentheses is for the first year of the contract... 2025 Soto (Age 26: 15/765) 4,088 PAs | 158 wRC+ | 36.3 WAR 216 BB+ | 77 K+ | 115 AVG+ | 149 ISO+ 2024 Devers (Age 27: 10/313.5) 3,614 PAs | 123 wRC+ | 21.4 WAR 96 BB+ | 92 K+ | 113 AVG+ | 136 ISO+ 2023 Judge (Age 31: 9/360) 3,161 PAs | 163 wRC+ | 35.4 WAR 180 BB+ | 130 K+ | 114 AVG+ | 180 ISO+ 2023 Turner (Age 30: 11/300) 3,737 PAs | 124 wRC+ | 32.9 WAR 81 BB+ | 83 K+ | 120 AVG+ | 110 ISO+ 2022 Lindor (Age 28: 10/341) 4,034 PAs | 117 wRC+ | 34.6 WAR 101 BB+ | 68 K+ | 110 AVG+ | 116 ISO+ 2022 Seager (Age 28: 10/325) 2,710 PAs | 132 wRC+ | 21.9 WAR 106 BB+ | 87 K+ | 116 AVG+ | 120 ISO+ 2021 Mookie (Age 28: 12/365) 3,875 PAs | 136 wRC+ | 37.6 WAR 123 BB+ | 61 K+ | 118 AVG+ | 131 ISO+ 2020 Yelich (Age 28: 9/215) 4,043 PAs | 137 wRC+ | 31.7 WAR 130 BB+ | 100 K+ | 117 AVG+ | 115 ISO+ 2019 Trout (Age 27: 12/426.5) 4,673 PAs | 171 wRC+ | 63.4 WAR 184 BB+ | 106 K+ | 120 AVG+ | 170 ISO+ 2019 Harper (Age 26: 13/330) 3,957 PAs | 140 wRC+ | 28.6 WAR 175 BB+ | 104 K+ | 108 AVG+ | 149 ISO+ 2019 Machado (Age 26: 10/300) 4,074 PAs | 120 wRC+ | 29.8 WAR 90 BB+ | 80 K+ | 111 AVG+ | 127 ISO+ 2015 Giancarlo (Age 25: 13/325) 2,640 PAs | 145 wRC+ | 21.7 WAR 148 BB+ | 148 K+ | 104 AVG+ | 185 ISO+ 2001 A-ROD (Age 25: 10/252) 3,515 PAs | 137 wRC+ | 35.0 WAR 94 BB+ | 110 K+ | 113 AVG+ | 154 ISO+

Yeah, depending how things shake out a potential Devin trade could be a two birds one stone kind of thing too if it brings back an MLB ready infielder or starting pitcher. I think the easiest fill is Tyler Black into the vacated Bauers role. Would also be fine dealing for a guy like Brandon Lowe from TBR to fill that spot. Would like to see someone brought in to improve on Monasterio. Nothing fancy, Brandon Rodgers is a proven lefty crusher and shouldn’t cost too much as a Turang platoon partner. Have to imagine they’ll sign some random SP they like on a one year deal for depth/competition. Replacing Adames is definitely the hard one. I don’t really like any of the options that have been floated. Josh Smith from TEX would probably be my first choice since he’s younger, has a nice DRS at 3B and showed some signs of life with the bat last year. Depending on the medicals Kim could be an option too on a one plus one Hoskins kind of deal.

Angelos sold the team last year. New owners traded for Burnes and bumped OD payroll by $32M in their first season so they’ve shown some signs of being a bit more aggressive.

Just for fun, since they all came up, here is a quick comparison between Taylor, Siri, and Perkins. Age in parentheses is for the 2025 season. 2021-24 Taylor (Age 31) 1,264 PA | 2,794 inn. 63 BB+ | 104 K+ | 99 wRC+ 97 AVG+ | 121 ISO+ +27 DRS | +14 FRV +8.0 BsR | 5.6 WAR 1.55 WAR / 350 PA +7.25 DRS / 750 inn. 2022-24 Siri (Age 29) 1,137 PA | 2,669 inn. 77 BB+ | 158 K+ | 86 wRC+ 85 AVG+ | 123 ISO+ +19 DRS | +41 FRV +7.4 BsR | 6.3 WAR 1.94 WAR / 350 PA +11.52 FRV / 750 inn. 2023-24 Perkins (Age 28) 602 PA | 1,357 inn. 128 BB+ | 114 K+ | 85 wRC+ 94 AVG+ | 64 ISO+ +19 DRS | +17 FRV +3.2 BsR | 2.6 WAR 1.51 WAR / 350 PA +10.50 DRS / 750 inn. Obviously what they all have in common is they can go and get it on the grass and they're all plus baserunners too. Tyrone isn't quite as elite afield as the other two, but he makes up for it by being the best hitter of the bunch with a minuscule walk rate his only real performance flaw. Perkins and Siri are more comparable as GG calibre center fielders, with Blake bringing walks and some singles to the plate (but no pop) while Jose is a 1.5TO guy with the massive K rate and power that is more plus than truly top end (but no hits or walks to back it up). Anyway, back on topic, with Montas and Holmes joining Senga and Peterson as holdovers in the Mets rotation they should have room for one more addition. Have to imagine they splurge towards the top of the market for one of Burnes, Fried or Flaherty to round things out, though Stearns loves his flexibility so another calculated dice roll can't be entirely ruled out. Apparently Sasaki has the same agent as Senga too, so they might have the best shot of landing him among East Coast clubs.

Congrats to Willy, well deserved. Ended up getting $5M more than Dansby.

Why would signing a free agent RP who the Mets envision as an SP make trading an IF for an OF more realistic?

Baty has -9 DRS | -3 OAA | -1 FRV at 3B over 1,281 innings in MLB, not sure he is a natural there.

That 085/317/106 career triple slash is amazing. Out of 1,438 players with at least 50 PAs since 2016, Juan Soto is 2nd with an 18.8 BB% trailing only Colin Walsh and his 23.8 BB%. Colin's 33.2 Swing% is also the lowest in the sample among position players (seven pitchers swung less often) just fractions below Danny Vogelbach at 33.8%.

Baty has -9 DRS career at 3B. His OAA of -3 and FRV of -1 are a little closer to neutral, but I'm guessing the Brewers wouldn't view fielding metrics like those as an easy fit at 3B with the emphasis they place on run prevention.

Based on Polanco’s metrics at 2B/SS I doubt the Brewers would consider him a viable 3B. His K rate has gone from 15.5 in 2020, to 18.3 in 2021, to 21.3 in 2022, to 25.7 in 2023 to 29.2 in 2024. That’s more than just one bad year at Safeco.

BRef has him down for 0.0 WAR with us, but FanGraphs had him at 0.3 rWAR | 0.5 fWAR. His first nine starts with the Brewers he put up a 3.55 ERA over 50 IP before blowing up for 7 ER in 2.2 IP in his tenth start. He really only had one terrible start as a Brewer that torpedoed his numbers. His steamer projection is for 1.8 WAR over 155 IP. so something like 3.0 to 3.5 WAR over the next two years, which is right in line with his contract. Stearns and the Mets likely believe they can coax even more than that out of him similar to what they did with Severino and Manaea last year.

For real. If the Brewers wanted dude they probably could have had him at some point for Hader or Burnes or Adames…and it’s never come together. Probably because the Brewers don’t value him all that highly.

Lenyn Sosa has -7 DRS | -2 FRV in 762 innings at 2B. At 3B its -5 DRS | -3 FRV in 482 innings. He’s even managed -2 DRS | -1 FRV in only 41 innings at SS. Throw in -1.4 career BsR and a minuscule 3.1 BB% and he has no soft skills at all. He’s going to need to run a 120 wRC+ minimum to ever have any value. That’s 55 points over his career 65 mark and 40 points over the 80 wRC+ he posted last year. Pass.

He "plays" 2B and 3B. From reading his scouting reports I don't think the Brewers would view him as a regular option at either spot though.

Bucks last ten games have been a pretty huge turnaround from the first ten... First Ten Games (2 W - 8 L) 110.6 oRTG (19th) 115.7 dRTG (22nd) -5.1 netRTG (22nd) Last Ten Games (9 W - 1 L) 117.6 oRTG (6th) 108.7 dRTG (6th) +8.9 netRTG (5th) Here are some select player splits over that stretch... DAME F10: 34.8 3P% | 6.6 APG L10: 39.4 3P% | 9.1 APG GIANNIS F10: 55.4 FT% | 5.2 APG L10: 67.3 FT% | 8.2 APG BROOK F10: 27.7 3P% | 1.0 SPG | 2.1 BPG L10: 42.9 3P% | 1.5 SPG | 2.7 BPG PLAY THE YOUNG GUYS MORE AJJ (15.6 MPG up to 21.3 MPG) AJG (15.6 MPG up to 24.3 MPG) SHOOTERS GONNA SHOOT TAUREAN (55.9 3P% up to 57.1 3P%) TRENT JR (23.1 3P% up to 52.1 3P%) BOBBY (26.7 3P% up to 43.8 3P%) That's a solid eight man rotation right there with Khris looming somewhere off in the distance. Only real negatives at this point are that Patty C has looked mostly washed and Delon Wright's minutes have been pretty blah.

Bucks up 22 heading to Q4 against the Pistons. Took until a minute left in Q3 for Giannis to miss his first shot after ten straight makes to open the game with four nice midrange jumpers in there.

I’d love to add a lefty masher like Grichuk, but I’m not sure how much of an OF he is at this point with declining innings totals of 1143 > 897 > 381 the last three years and -13 FRV over that stretch (though his -2 DRS is a little more neutral). Also think they’ll try to get Haase as much of his playing time as possible against southpaws with platoon splits of 104 wRC+ vs LHP | 83 wRC+ vs RHP going back to 2021 which will eat into the available DH vs LHP opportunities too. One of Brendan Rodgers few bright spots is a 128 wRC+ vs LHP going back to 2021. He’d probably be a more natural fit as an improvement over Monasterio to pair with Turang and his 65 wRC+ vs LHP last year (55 career).

Jimenez has -18 DRS and -22 FRV in 2,074 career innings in the OF. Between injury and being a brutal fielder he has only played a total of 349 innings in the OF the last three years combined. He's never played 1B. His wRC+ has gone from 143 to 100 to 78 the last three years. His xwOBA has gone from .365 to .314 to .300 the last three years. Can't run, can't field, can't hit. That's how he ended up with -0.9 WAR last year.

The team won five of Montas first six starts en route to a 19 W - 9 L month of August that essentially sealed the division. Over the first four months Brewers starters had 513 IP (30th) | 100 ERA- (15th) | 111 FIP- (24th) | 7.0 rWAR (16th) In the month of August it was 157 IP (6th) | 77 ERA- (2nd) | 101 FIP- (11th) | 3.6 rWAR (3rd). Myers. Peralta and Civale all contributed too no doubt but the Montas acquisition was kind of like Lebowski’s rug…it tied the whole rotation together.

Played 77 innings there in 2016 and another 103 in 2023, so not really. Don’t see the Brewers really having any interest, all the arrows are pointing the wrong direction last three years… BB% 14.4 to 10.5 to 9.8 K% 21.3 to 25.7 to 29.2 wRC+ 118 to 117 to 92 xwOBA .358 to .348 to .311 WAR 1.7 to 1.4 to 0.3

Out of 324 players with at least 500 PAs the last two years, Sal’s 1.3 Barrel% ranks 323rd. Definitely ugly, but Steven Kwan is 318th at 1.7% and Luis Arraez is 310th at 2.5% so it isn’t necessarily a death sentence.