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jay87shot

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Everything posted by jay87shot

  1. News today that Sasaki is going to be posted. There is probably less than 1% chance that he would come here but we could dream. What would the pitch be, we are young and up and coming. The city will love you forever and some sort of be different and choose your own path. My guess is the Dodgers are the favorites with Ohtani and Yomamoto, if they get Sasaki for peanuts it would really stink.
  2. Winner winner chicken dinner. Turang just won the platinium. Good job everyone
  3. I put Misi one because the reliever risk doesn't worry me much because of the quality reliever he would be. On top of that we have seen lots of relievers go back to starting after maturing and getting there stuff tuned in. My Misi projection is likely something like this. He starts like 15 games in AAA and the walk rate is a tad better but still to high. HE gets called up to the bigs as a reliever and does fine. Next year he has a Hader like role in Hader's role from his 1st year. Then in 2027 goes back to the rotation ala Garrett Crochet with his walk rate now at 10% or lower.
  4. Is Vinny Capra and Tyler Jay still on the 40 man? I feel like with all the other guys who we let go Capra and Jay would have been on the list before some of them. Both seem like a dime a dozen guys to pick up and maybe not even need a 40 man.
  5. Here is my thinking Let's say Rhys has a modest improvement to a 1 WAR player hits like .240 with a few more HR. If he was able to DH and not have to play the field that could be around 2 WAR but he actually loses value since he will have to play a lot of 1st. If we trade him and eat say $8 million (and get just a lotto style prospect) and then sign a guy like Carlos Santana to say like 7.5 million, I think that it is pretty likely Santana gives you 2.5 WAR. That means We improve the team by 1.5 WAR and save $2.5. We could even go bigger and try for a 1B like Goldy or Walker who have the upside to be 3-5 WAR players or trade candidates like Yandy Diaz as well. We could even just give Black the 1B job save $10 and role the dice on his defense. I would guess Black could hit .250/.350/.400 if things went right with 15-20 bombs and 20+ SB if the defense is even close to average he would be over 2 WAR easy.
  6. I am ok with keeping Devin if the value isn't there but I find it hard to believe we couldn't get 2 solid pieces for him (if not 3). There are like 10 teams that need a closer and like 5-7 potential options depending on who is available or who is closer quality. His value at the deadline might even be more depending on the market demand, just trading him seems like we should be able to plug the IF hole and save some money in one move.
  7. If he is solid at AAA the 1st half of the year would we rather him stay at AAA and get more ab's or have him on the big club even though he would only play once or twice a week.
  8. Dang thanks. Well, add a minor league OF to the list of AAA needs if we don't resign him.
  9. I don't think it would have to cost any prospects, we might have to eat 5-8 million or add him into with another player (Devin). We could also take back a contract to make things work. The problem with Rhys is that he is probably a guy who should primarily be a DH and with Yeli there and the OF jam it reduces Rhys value . I do think Rhys will be better next year but with poor defense and baserunning even if he his career averages he is probably only a 1-2 WAR player. He could also be worse, it isn't like he got better as the season went on (I hope not).
  10. I would saw we have a surplus, but for me I wouldn't deplete that depth because of injury concers. If Yeli and Mitchell get hurt Black would be the 4th OF with Hicklen and Collins by that point Carlos Rodriguez could be an option as well. We definitely has lots of OF depth it just is that with injury concerns trading away a guy on the cheap doens't make a ton of sense. I would guess we can find enough playing time for all 5 OF between DH and the 3 spots to make it work until someone undoubtedly misses some time. If it is to get an ace caliber guy like Crochet, Alcantara, or McClanahan, sure Frelick, Perk, or Mitchell can be moved. However a guy like Singer or Marsh doesn't move the needle enough to trade one of guys (maybe Perkins).
  11. I agree, I would bet Yeli starts like 100 games at DH assuming he doesn't get hurt and Contreras is less. Black= 62 1st, 20-30 DH, 5-10 OF, 2-5 2B/3B That puts him around 100 with injuries making the potential for more. With maybe like 20-30 pinch hitting appearance that should be enough playing time to see what he can do. Then next year the door is open for full time 1st or a trade to a team with an OF opening.
  12. I wouldn't mind Singer but if we are adding trading for a starter I start my sights a little higher at least to start the offseason. I don't think I would really trade any major pieces though. If it was just like Black for Singer maybe but my guess is the Royals would want more.
  13. Unless we get rid of Rhys, I don't see it. He doesn't play much 3B anymore and we don't have much DH time for him. If we are looking for a cheaper bat getting Carlos Santana back makes more sense because he can platoon with Rhys. I do like Turner, there would just need to be some moves to open up some time for him.
  14. I am just looking for ways to improve the team, my line of thinking is that we could get 2 high end players mlb ready players and attach Rhys. Using the money saved we could sign a short term starter that has equal value to Freddy and have the 2 players to improve the team. Then trade Devin for a 3 young player or just possibly the best young prospects. I would much prefer to keep Freddy but if we have almost no wiggle room financially, Freddy has a pretty significant trade value and we could cover for him with a stop gap free agent. Just brainstorming until things get moving.
  15. Needs= 3B That's it really, especially if you are fine with Tyler Black taking over the Bauers role. Wants= Consistent top of the rotation starter, 1B upgrade It would be really nice to add a starter like Crochet, Alcantara, McClanahan, etc. but the price might be to high for our liking and a 1B upgrade would be nice if we could find a taker on Rhys without giving up any thing. Non major concern= non 40 man roster depth. It seems like we are going to need a bunch of new minor league contract guys to fill a bunch of potential AAA holes.
  16. I think the Williams for Lowe deal would be pretty close, maybe a smaller prospect/2nd piece either way. I just used the Mets for the Freddy deal because they have the money. I would bet there could be a couple other teams that have a safer 3B/IF than Baty. Sproat has a high end arsenal and could make a nasty pairing with Mis but come with some of the same concerns. I doubt he would do much for the big club but could be a relief option in the last couple months. My thought with trading Freddy is that we could probably replace his 3 WAR with a 3B upgrade and whomever replaces him in the rotation. If we can attach Rhys to him that would give us plenty of money to get a free agent and be able to take back some salary in trades. I am sure there is likely a better team that could absorb Rhys, want Freddy badly, and has a 3B or 1B and P
  17. We can't rescind it but we don't have to pay anything unless he accpets, with the 99.9% chance he declines the QO it really shouldn't be playing into our finances.
  18. I am no expert but doesn't it look like his bat/hands aren't in a great hitting ready position when the pitch is coming in. It seems like the bat is way behind his head when he loads. Maybe it's the camera angle or the is a mechanical reason but I would push a guy like him to shorten his swing a bit.
  19. None of these cuts are big deals to me, I would have thought we could have gotten something for Wilson, Zas, Rae, or Herget. Even if it was some cash considerations or international money. My guess is that the market is overflowing with similar guys from around the league so giving up something doesn't make a lot of sense.
  20. I should have been more specific, when I said a few games at 3B and OF I should have said emergency 3B and OF (maybe emergency 2B as well). I agree 3B not part of his future.
  21. It hasn't been brought up but what thoughts do we have on trading Freddy Peralta, he only has 2 years of control left at a reasonable rate. He has been more of a #3 starter the past 3 years but has the top of the rotation upside with his k rates and strong 2021 season. I would guess we would ask for a better package than what we got for Corbin based on the extra year of control and cost effective contract. My thought is that if we could get a young starter and a 3B/IF that it might be a sneaky good way to improve the roster especially if you have confidence in Myers, Woody, and Civale staying healthy and effective. Maybe we could even find a money bags team to take Rhys with Freddy and get a 1B option in the deal or a Devin trade. Sorry I am going to run with this idea. 1) Trade Freddy and Rhys to NYM for Brett Baty, Brandon Sproat, and Nick Morabito If the Mets lose Alonso, Manaea, Severino, and Quintana this works well for them. They get a cheap starter to pair with Senga and probably a big FA addition and Rhy fills in the 1B/DH power hitter hole left by Alonso/Martinez. (I am sure he could find a way to get along with McNeil). We get a 3rd baseman and a high upside starter who isn't quite ready but has stuff that approaches Misi. Add in a toolsy upside prospect like Morabito for good measure 2)Trade Devin to Tex for Nate Lowe Texas was looking at potentially trading Lowe at the deadline, here we get 2 years of a more consistent 1B and Texas get a closer they need. 3) Sign a 1 year vet starter to replace Freddy and bridge the gap to Sproat, Misi, Henderson, and the other prospects. After reading mlbtraderumors top 50 FA's I kind of like Shinnosuke Ogasawara as a 1 year option better than the like of Buehler, Scherzer, Verlander, Bieber, etc. That scenario improves 1B and 3B (hopefully) keeps the rotation solid and adds a couple young guys with out adding payroll. Thoughts
  22. https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/milwaukee-brewers/payroll/_/year/2025 We are at around $110-115 million depending on arbitration deals. Last year the spotrac site had us at $115 total for the year. With the media rights uncertainty I would guess it will be hard to go over that $115 mark. So basically if we trade Devin his salary is about what we have to sign free agents assuming we don't take any salary back. We could always trade Civale or try and find a Hoskins taker if there is someone we would want to sign but that might be tricky.
  23. Agree that the 1B platoon with some games at 3B or the OF should be hos spot. Unless someone still values him as a top 50-75 prospect I would trade him potentially but I doubt he has that value.
  24. The Guardians release James Karinchak today, he would be an ideal high upside cheap arm to add. Sixto Sanchez possible as well if his arm is still even attached to his body.
  25. How long does Doc keep his job, giving him a long term deal last year is looking as bad as the Dame trade right now. I don't know how much of the deal was guaranteed I guess so maybe not. I think I would look to trade Bobby and Brook around game 15-20 if this doesn't get much better. I doubt we can get much for Dame or Middleton at this point but we need a younger core to support Giannis. 1)Portis to Hou for Cam Whitmore and Jock Londale The Rockets need a better big to help Sengen unless Adams comes around (Jabari Smith is still to much of an outside player in my opinion) Cam Whitmore is blocked there and would be a top notch young guy to get. 2)Brook and Pat C to GSW for Wiggins and Looney The Warriors need some defense and Lopez does that, they have Kuminga, Pod, and Moody to fill in for Wiggins. I am not a huge fan of taking a couple more year of Wiggins but athletically he is still there. 3)Beauchamp for Mo Bamba Bamba gives a bit more size to help Giannis Dam, Middleton, Wiggins, Prince, Giannis Trent, Whitmore, Looney, Londale, Wright, Green, Jackson, Johnson, Smith, Bamba
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