Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

BrewerFan

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,705

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    8

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

News

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by BrewerFan

  1. BrewerFan
    And who was this?
  2. BrewerFan
    Did Julien just kinda come out of nowhere? I'm looking at the Twins 2022 prospect list and he's not on there. I don't know much about him beyond the stat-line...which looks nice. But I also like Frelick a lot. I don't know if he's #2 to Chourio, or Wiemer is, but he's more of a sure thing, he brings a ton of energy and I think he's a winner. I'd feel much better if it was Mitchell+ another prospect, but I just don't know much beyond what I see on Fangraphs. So no strong opinion on him.
  3. BrewerFan
    Based on what? I also didn't see him say he won't until he's 100%. I did see him say this two days ago;
  4. BrewerFan
    I posted this last Oct before I knew he was transferring to a non-Juco.
  5. BrewerFan
    No, I cannot, nor can you. And no, saying that salary and ticket prices have no correlation does not fly in the face of every business everywhere, it's basic economics. The owners aren't going to charge less than they can get irrespective of their expenses. This is the case in every sport, but particularly in Baseball. https://sheabridge.substack.com/p/payroll-doesnt-determine-ticket-prices https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/72886/veteran-presence-the-relationship-between-player-salaries-and-ticket-prices/#:~:text=Teams don't use analytics,t enter into that calculation.
  6. BrewerFan
    The cost of games isn't the players fault. If you want to blame anyone, it's the fans fault. If the Brewers payroll was 20M or 200M, the Brewers would be charging the same for the team each year. Owners wouldn't sacrifice less money just because they had lower costs and they can't raise ticket prices because they have higher costs. The Guardians went from a nearly 160 in payroll to cutting it in half and they raised ticket prices. Owners are going to maximize profits no matter what...just like it doesn't matter that your Jordan's only cost 9 bucks to make, you're still paying 399 for them or your Iphone or whatever else it is that people are willing to pay for despite very low..."labor" costs.
  7. BrewerFan
    Well, I would. But you don't have to. How pedantic can we make this? The point is we'll have seen Black play well before Wilken makes it up. Be it another year or a WHOLE month earlier by being a Sept call-up.
  8. BrewerFan
    Cool. He played 6 games. Doesn't change the point I was making, which was that he won't be up for another year.
  9. BrewerFan
    I remember arguing with someone on Twitter who said he wouldn't get 40M a year. I said I thought he'd get 50(which was hardly a rare take, it was the consensus) but I thought he'd get 12-13 years. To get 70M PER year? Even with the money he brings in and with the deferred money, it is insane.
  10. BrewerFan
    The players union will certainly go for one of the two. But the ship has sailed on the other long ago. As a Packers fan, I think about what Wellington Mara and what he did for the NFL. How he made it grow and surge past MLB by not grabbing as much cash as he could at the time, and being open to revenue sharing. I'll always be a Brewers fan, but...deals like this show you're just in a whole other universe. Oh well, farm systems, player development win. I mean, signing historically great players for the GDP of most European countries helps, but, it's not the only thing. Yup...I'll keep convincing myself of that.
  11. BrewerFan
    Sure, but Ohtani generates a massive amount of revenue being the biggest star from Japan. So that 70M a year...still an outrageous number, but I don't think it'd be like giving Soto 70M a year. You're making a LOT of money back from having Ohtani on your team. One article I just read estimated that Ohtani generated 20M a year for the Angels, a number that is expected to be much higher for the Dodgers, a more high-profile team and a 100-win-a-year team. Assuming "most" of the money is in deferrals, the contract becomes even more "less ridiculous," and starts coming...close to maybe making some sense.
  12. BrewerFan
    What was the reason though? It seemed like it was largely a positional need with Turang/Adames at 2B/SS and Black in the upper levels. I don't Wilken isn't going to be up for at least a year, so they can see how Black moves on the dirt. These guys will mostly figure it out themselves. If Wilken is the next quick mover, he'll force his way into 3rd. You don't take a big dude who's athletic with that type of arm and plop him at 1B. Ideally Black shows off the Glove work and can play 2B when Adames moves on, but that doesn't feel like something we've gotta worry about right now. As for now, neither has hit MLB pitching and Wilken hasn't even hit AA. So they'll have time to figure it out. But Wilken is hopefully the answer to our 3B issue.
  13. BrewerFan
    I've always thought the Giants made the most sense. They'd been looking for the next face of their franchise...they've been pretty good in this regard with Bonds, MadBum/Posey, but they missed on Judge, Correa and others. The Asian population in SF would seemingly also help, plus the park, staying on the West Coast, all those factors. I mean, if you get to pick from all these areas while making 500-600M(or more)...I'm not picking the Cubs and that dilapidated stadium or the weather. I'm guessing SF, LAD, and Tor...which may be stupid at this point as I know he's visiting Tor today. ,
  14. BrewerFan
    Austin Riley and Gunnar Henderson. Those are the two guys that Nichols has in the same category as Pratt? That'll work!
  15. BrewerFan
    Yeah, I missed that. That is a little bit of a head-scratcher. Even if you lose Burnes...and Williams, it's still not depth that you're in desperate need of, it's quality. Our BP is pretty good and pretty deep and there's reason to believe it'll be even better next year(namely Uribe). Our rotation didn't have Woody for much of last year as it was and that hurts and it may lose Burnes, and that'll hurt worse, but you do have two guys who should at worst be good depth pieces in Gasser and Rodriguez. Miley, Peralta, Ashby is coming back. Houser, Rea are both back. That's not exactly the 90s Braves, but it's a lot of depth. I think Ross is just a guy they think is back healthy and that they can work with to get the most out of. They've been pretty good in this regard. They're...bargain hunting for bats hasn't been particularly rewarding, but they've done well with pitching.
  16. BrewerFan
    More than you are at 1B...and I'd actually say fairly often. It doesn't need to be slamming into the wall like Frelick did(several times) last year, but going back to the wall and jumping or just using it to stop your momentum, that's going to put a lot more stress on a back than catching a ball and occasionally reaching for it. And I also included the throws that put stress on the back. A lot more than bending down to pick a ball in the dirt. As for not knowing if he'll be a good 1B? Yeah, you can say that about anyone at any position. But there's a reason players more to 1B later in their career. It's the easiest position on the field to play...by a pretty wide margin. And I'd say if you can move other players there, good chance you can move a guy who was held in high enough regard to get drafted in the 1st round having played 1B in HS. But sure, maybe he isn't good. I don't think that makes it a "pipe dream." Trading Yelich...that's a pipe dream. Moving him from LF to 1B seems like a logical step as he moves into his mid 30s and the later years of his contract/career.
  17. BrewerFan
    How would playing 1B be "the worst thing to do for a guy with his back issues?" You're putting a lot more onto your back running up against the wall and coming up and making a throw into 2B or wherever than you are at 1B. I don't understand that logic, nor do I understand the insistence that we'd never move Yelich to 1B. If they gave Braun a 1B glove later in his career, I don't see why they wouldn't try it with a guy who was drafted as a 1B at some point. I don't think most people foresaw Chourio getting extended this soon(hoped, but thought he'd start the year in the minors) and '25 was more likely for a transition...but it's not like when some(one) of us wanted to move Braun to 3B. It's a pretty reasonable suggestion...and I imagine it'll become more obvious if or when you see Chourio, Frelick and then Mitchell, Wiemer or Taylor in the OF together. How about Wilken flies up the prospect lists...and then you just lock him up ala Jackson Chourio? Get another position locked up long term.
  18. BrewerFan
    I've seen multiple people suggest this, but doesn't Wilken have a 70-arm and move pretty well at 3B? I think Black can handle 3rd and he's good enough, but Wilken SOUNDS like he's got much more upside at 3B defensively. I just think Wilken is very likely a year away. If he makes his debut this year, we got pretty lucky getting him where we did(or we're really bad, but I'm gonna hope it's the prior).
  19. BrewerFan
    It was a shoulder injury and he was back last year and running. Why would his speed be impacted by that? Also, don't think it was ever the knee that gave Yelich problems(use the same advanced analytics to analyze his '20, '21 ,'22 seasons and you'll see it was more likely the back issues...which will likely continue to flare up making DH or 1B a much better position).
  20. BrewerFan
    That's fine...this draws more interest to it and people will then go check out the other thread.
  21. BrewerFan
    I completely agree with the premise and have been wholeheartedly endorsing the John Hart philosophy for a while now. Feels like the Brewers made a mistake not offering Burnes an extension in the last 3+ years(at least). But, along with that, you'd have offered Woody one. To me, this is a numbers game though. If you do this with enough young talent, if a player like Woodruff gets hurt, you can weather that as you have several others at below-market value. It's entirely possible neither pitcher was interested in a deal that left considerable money on the table in exchange for the security(I know people will rely on the Boras relationship with Burnes, but players ultimately make the decision). I think they've been pretty good. The Peralta/Ashby extensions would suggest they made offers early on to the two aces as they signed them to exceptional deals. The key is to keep churning out elite talent. Hopefully, we're celebrating a Quero, Black, Frelick...Wiemer, Mitchell, Wilken, Misiorowski extension in the near future plus whoever is deserving. In the meantime, I'd love to see Uribe and Contreras. Both seem like pretty safe bets. Uribe would be a 7/35 type extension with 2 option years give or take. And using the Murphy extension at 6/73 a year further along, 7/75 makes sense, add a couple options @20 a year with a 5M buyout. 7/80, you have your catcher through age 31 and you can move on if Quero becomes a stud.
  22. BrewerFan
    It does...but the Tigers got closer IIRC and they weren't gutting elite talent from the farm system, were they? I thought it was just spending, but I could be wrong. Small difference though, very similar feel to it.
  23. BrewerFan
    Just going by kickers who've struggled this year on competitive teams. Seattle was the first that came to mind. He was also really bad in '21(the year Crosby struggled, he was even worse). The Bills could be another. Both are near the bottom of the league in FG% and poor TB%...though it's always tough to tell with the later if that's by design or an issue with leg strength.
  24. BrewerFan
    Ok...you can say they're overpaying, but that's still the market. I don't really know which teams are "struggling to pay the bills," other than the Pads who had an owner who was terminally ill and may have spent recklessly because he really wanted to see his team win. Most teams are doing just fine. They set a budget, they don't need loans to meet payroll...they're just fine. And those big market teams know they're going to eat a couple of bad years...and they'll probably get some good years on the first half of the deal. The Yanks don't seem to be regretting the Cole deal at this point(and there's a decent chance he opts out next year with 4/144M remaining). But whatever you think about it...it's not a market the Brewers can reasonably get in which is why they should move on from Burnes now.
  25. BrewerFan
    The first couple of those are certainly risks...but the bold is the biggest...challenge IMO. The Brewers are nearly lock to at least be in the race for a playoff spot(within ~3-4 games of of the last WC spot given the expanded playoffs). You just went through this with Hader, you said it was a mistake. Don't put yourself in a position to do this again. Then again, I don't really see Hoskins as worth the signing if you trade Burnes. So I'd say if they keep Burnes, then sign Hoskins and if they trade Burnes, then go with the youth movement and a soft reset this next year. I don't think Hader was one of the main reasons. He had a couple blow ups, but they were just bad for a few months. And yes, it was a great trade. It was also terrible optics and the FO has come out and said it was a mistake. So now doing it again with a more important player? I also really disagree that Arnold doesn't care about what fans think about player moves and when they happen. They need fan support, they need to sell tickets. That's their primary source of revenue. I'm not saying he passes up Jackson Holliday and Grayson Rodriguez at the deadline, but I think it's certainly a factor. I think it makes trading him in the off-season preferable to mid-season.
×
×
  • Create New...