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2019-04-02: Brewers (Chacín) at Reds (DeSclafani) [Brewers win, 4-3 -- Arcia hits opposite field 3-run HR]


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[pre]Brewers Lineup Reds Lineup

1. Lorenzo Cain ® CF 1. Jesse Winker (L) LF

2. Christian Yelich (L) RF 2. Joey Votto (L) 1B

3. Travis Shaw (L) 3B 3. Yasiel Puig ® RF

4. Jesús Aguilar ® 1B 4. Eugenio Suarez ® 3B

5. Mike Moustakas (L) 2B 5. Scott Schebler (L) CF

6. Yasmani Grandal (S) C 6. Derek Dietrich (L) 2B

7. Ben Gamel (L) LF 7. Tucker Barnhart (S) C

8. Orlando Arcia ® SS 8. Jose Peraza ® SS

9. Jhoulys Chacín ® P 9. Anthony DeSclafani ® P[/pre]

Not just “at Night” anymore.

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Posted
It always seems like DeSclafani pitches well against the Brewers... Hope the Offense can either get to him or get him out early with a high pitch count. Chacin's about an average pitcher in Great America Park, hopefully with the early season climate Chacin can induce a lot of ground ball outs tonight...
Posted
It always seems like DeSclafani pitches well against the Brewers... Hope the Offense can either get to him or get him out early with a high pitch count. Chacin's about an average pitcher in Great America Park, hopefully with the early season climate Chacin can induce a lot of ground ball outs tonight...

My info may be wrong, but in seven career starts against Milwaukee, he has an ERA of 5.14. 24 ER in 42.1 innings. That includes 8 scoreless in his first start against Milwaukee back in 2015. He has not given up fewer than 4 runs in each of his last four starts against Mil (6.35 ERA).

 

Chacin pitched twice in Cincinnati as a Brewer and five times in his career total going back to 2011. Overall, a 4.3 ERA. His last start was good, though, 5IP with 1ER in a 12-3 win.

"Go ahead. Try to disagree with me. I dare you." Jeffrey Leonard.

Posted
My info may be wrong, but in seven career starts against Milwaukee, he has an ERA of 5.14. 24 ER in 42.1 innings. That includes 8 scoreless in his first start against Milwaukee back in 2015. He has not given up fewer than 4 runs in each of his last four starts against Mil (6.35 ERA).

 

Chacin pitched twice in Cincinnati as a Brewer and five times in his career total going back to 2011. Overall, a 4.3 ERA. His last start was good, though, 5IP with 1ER in a 12-3 win.

DeSclafani's tOPS+ against the Brewers is 76 (second best team for him). The counting stats probably reflect more bad luck as our raw OPS against him has been .662

 

Chacin's tOPS+ in GAP is 104 or roughly average.

Posted
So are you saying that Desclafani pitches well compared to himself against Milwaukee? As I understand tOPS+, it compares a player's home/road OPS against each other. I don't understand how that's an indicator of pitching well.

"Go ahead. Try to disagree with me. I dare you." Jeffrey Leonard.

Posted
So are you saying that Desclafani pitches well compared to himself against Milwaukee? As I understand tOPS+, it compares a player's home/road OPS against each other. I don't understand how that's an indicator of pitching well.

Yes, tOPS+ is a means of comparing splits to a players overall total. Compared to his career numbers, he pitches very well against the Brewers as only 1 other team (with more than 1 or 2 Games) has a lower tOPS+. OPS+ is probably a better overall measure looking at small samples, but I don't think it shows up on splits @ baseballrefernce.com.

 

Another issue to keep in mind when just looking at the raw R/ER numbers from the box score is that it could be that several times CIN relievers let the inherited baserunners score and those count against DeSclafani's numbers. So while the OPS numbers won't take those into account, the boxscore will apportion them to DeSclafani (elevating his ERA/RS).

 

The Raw OPS isn't adjusted for park/etc. His raw OPS is 0.662 when pitching against the Brewers. For comparison, Justin Verlander's raw OPS for his career is 0.657 so without taking any other factors into effect DeSclafani pitches like Justin Verlander when he pitches against the Brewers. Hence, my impression that he always seems to pitch well against the brewers...

Posted

Weather should be a bit warmer in Cincy tonight. Mid-50s at game time and high-40s around 10 PM ET.

 

With a lead late, I'd imagine we'll see some combo of Williams/Barnes/Guerra. Doubt they push Wilson after multiple innings last night, but who knows?

Posted
With the weather warmer, the balls might be flying out of the park tonight... Good feeling about Chacin pitching and our club playing quality baseball.
Posted
2nd time Braun had a nice game and they put Gamel in the next night, Braun will likely get an AB but hate to see him sit when he is hitting well. I think he will end up on the IL a couple of times whether they rest him twice a week or not.
Posted
I hope the IR is not the case for Braun. As we saw during the pregame show, he has worked hard this winter getting ready for the season. Lets hope that will make a difference this season.
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Posted
Nice start for Chacin. He doesn't get the fanfare that some of the others on the team get, but he sure does get the job done.
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I chuckled with sadness when instead of showing Arcia's batting average on tv they just had "0 for 14" there instead

 

0 for 15 now

Posted
Nice start for Chacin. He doesn't get the fanfare that some of the others on the team get, but he sure does get the job done.

I'm generally against giving aged SP extensions, if Chacin would do another friendly deal I would love to extend him 2 years...

Posted
Braun doesn't get that Gamel fly snag, methinks!

 

Either does Domingo which is the real comparison.

"This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.
Posted
Braun doesn't get that Gamel fly snag, methinks!

 

Either does Domingo which is the real comparison.

 

Well in the case it would have been Yelich in left who would have caught it

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