Brewers (Drohan) vs Reds (Lowder): 9/4/26, 5:10pm

[Brandon Glick]

Standings Watch: Brewers have a 3.5-game lead over the Braves and Dodgers for the top seed in the NL.

[Brandon Glick]

	SUN	MON	TUE	WED	THU	TOT
Trevor Megill	0	0	0	12	0	12
Robert Gasser	0	0	76	0	0	76
JoJo Romero	0	0	11	11	0	22
Grant Anderson	39	0	0	0	0	39
DL Hall	0	18	11	0	12	41
Chad Patrick	0	21	0	0	0	21
Antonio Senzatela	0	0	13	12	0	25
Abner Uribe	0	0	14	12	0	26
Aaron Ashby	0	0	13	11	0	24

[formerlybis]

Not that they're a threat, but any win in these upcoming 6 games against Cincy both earns the Brewers the season series win and pushes our magic number to zero against them. 

Kudos to Henderson for re-setting the bullpen - we still have 6 games before getting to the off day. Drohan tends to get his pitch count up early, so getting almost everybody a rest day last night was good. 

[BruisedCrew]

More important and relevant than winning the season series against the Reds, and lowering the magic number against them, is the fact that wins against them will help if the Brewers end up in a tie with the Braves or Phillies. 

As many posters have already addressed, because the Braves and Brewers split their season series, the next tiebreaker is record within their division. Right now the Braves hold a slight advantage, but the Brewers have a lot more intradivisional games left than the Braves do, so they can make up the difference just by winning and without needing help. 

The Reds are not tanking as they have won their recent series against two playoff contenders (Cubs and Padres). The Brewers get a break with the Reds opting to push Burns’ next start to Monday against the Dodgers.

Hopefully the Brewers offense can be more productive than it was in the earlier series at GAB  

 

[Frisbee Slider]

It would be nice to only need to use some combination of Patrick, Anderson, and Megill tonight.

[BruisedCrew]

3 minutes ago, Frisbee Slider said:

It would be nice to only need to use some combination of Patrick, Anderson, and Megill tonight.

I was just looking at the chart and thinking the exact same thing.

Only using Hall for one inning last night was a big help, but with 6 more games until the next off day it’s not ideal to have relievers going 3 times in 4 days either. 

I’m putting a lot of the responsibility for this on the offense.  They aren’t facing any All Star caliber SP in this series, so maybe they can put up 6 or more runs to give the pitching staff some cushion. 

 

[willie key]

From one bandbox to the other

[formerlybis]

1 hour ago, BruisedCrew said:

More important and relevant than winning the season series against the Reds, and lowering the magic number against them, is the fact that wins against them will help if the Brewers end up in a tie with the Braves or Phillies. 

 

That's a good point, and ideally Brewers win every tiebreaker, but let's talk through this.

First, I think we can discount the Phillies - we've got just about as big a lead on them as the Cubs - magic #15. They could still get the tiebreaker on us, but it won't matter. They are, however, in a position to possibly win the division, but that would also mean ATL losing a lot and therefore lessening the possibility the Braves could overtake us. The Phils have 7 against ATL in the next 10 (and Sale vs Sanchez tonight) games, and have series against us and the Cubs coming, too. I would not bet on them.

Now let's look at ATL. Currently, Braves are 28-14 in their division (10 division games of their 22 left) and Brewers are 24-13 (15 NLC games in final 21). In order for the tiebreaker to matter, ATL has to make up 3.5 games. I can't do the actual math, but chances are that if ATL and MKE are tied at the end of the year, that means that some combo of ATL winning their division games and MKE losing theirs has happened, and therefore, it's likely ATL gets the tiebreaker.

What I take from this is not worry about the tiebreaker with ATL and just get the magic number to zero without it. Currently stands at 19.

Maybe that was only interesting to me...